Full text
feart-07-00190 August 2, 2019 Time: 17:11 # 1 ORIGINAL RESEARCH published: 06 August 2019 doi: 10.3389/feart.2019.00190 Edited by: Christina Robyn Magill, Macquarie University, Australia Reviewed by: Linlin Li, National University of Singapore, Singapore Pushpa Dissanayake, University of Kiel, Germany *Correspondence: Emilia Guisado-Pintado [email protected] Specialty section: This article was submitted to Geohazards and Georisks, a section of the journal Frontiers in Earth Science Received: 15 February 2019 Accepted: 05 July 2019 Published: 06 August 2019 Citation: Guisado-Pintado E and Jackson DWT (2019) Coastal Impact From High-Energy Events and the Importance of Concurrent Forcing Parameters: The Cases of Storm Ophelia (2017) and Storm Hector (2018) in NW Ireland. Front. Earth Sci. 7:190. doi: 10.3389/feart.2019.00190 Coastal Impact From High-Energy Events and the Importance of Concurrent Forcing Parameters: The Cases of Storm Ophelia (2017) and Storm Hector (2018) in NW Ireland Emilia Guisado-Pintado1,2*and Derek W. T. Jackson2 1Department of Physical Geography and Regional Geographic Analysis, University of Seville, Seville, Spain, 2School of Geography and Environmental Sciences, Ulster University, Coleraine, United Kingdom Infrequent but high energy storm events can radically modify coastlines, at times displacing significant sediment volumes and changing shoreline configuration. More frequent and stronger Atlantic storms over the last 40 years have heightened the potential risk to coastal environments, population and infrastructure. Understanding local environmental forcing conditions and associated variables involved in coastal impact and response, can better inform future coastal management planning. This study examines the coastal impacts of two separate storms that occurred at Five Finger Strand, on the northwest Irish coast, in late 2017 (Storm Ophelia) and mid-2018 (Storm Hector). Using forcing parameters (wind speed and direction, wave heights and wave run up) along with 3D topographic surveys, impacts are examined for both storm events. For Storm Ophelia, shore-oblique to shore-parallel waves (2 m in height) coincident with low tide (∼0.8 m) were recorded. This resulted in minimal erosional impact which was corroborated by a new proxy storm impact index, “Storm Dune Trimming” (value of >0.03) as well as a sediment displacement volume of 8,300 m3, largely confined to the intertidal area with only limited foredune edge erosion. Storm Hector, on the other hand, a lower energy event than Storm Ophelia, resulted in much more pronounced sediment displacement (13,400 m3in the intertidal area) and significantly more dune scarping (Storm Dune Trimming >0.09) due to better synchronicity of forcing factors such as high tide level, high wave heights and onshore wind direction. We conclude that storm energy is not always a direct indicator of coastal impact and that synchronicity of local forcing factors and antecedent beach conditions appears to be the most relevant in actual coastal response on sandy beaches. This study, therefore shows the importance of particular environmental parameters and their simultaneous timing in forcing change and is an important insight into which parameters may be more risk-relevant in producing erosion along many sandy, dune-fringed coasts of NW Europe. Keywords: Five Finger Strand, dune scarp, synchronicity, forcing factors, run up, storm impact, erosion Frontiers in Earth Science | www.frontiersin.org 1August 2019 | Volume 7 | Article 190
feart-07-00190 August 2, 2019 Time: 17:11 # 2 Guisado-Pintado and Jackson The Importance of Concurrent Forcing Parameters INTRODUCTION Storm impact along sandy coasts globally is driven by various local factors, including accommodation space and physical forcing parameters which help drive coastal dynamics (Cooper and Orford, 1998). The extent and range of impact variability can be high, even over small coastal stretches and minor morphologic alterations to beaches as result of dune vegetation, soil development and slope changes can influence beach response (Carter and Stone, 1989). Other characteristics of the subaerial beach, such as the elevation of the dune toe, foredune height, and the presence of nearshore subaqueous sandbars help determine the response of local morphology alongshore (Splinter et al., 2018). Changes in frequency and occurrence of storm-groups (Ferreira, 2006), as well as storm clusters (Dissanayake et al., 2015) can also intensify coastal morphological impacts. The majority of storms impacting the Atlantic coastline of Europe form in the western mid-latitude wind belts as extratropical storms (Lozano et al., 2004). This movement of cyclones aligns along track corridors (Hayden, 1981) and displays an inter-annual variability (Schmith et al., 1998). Winter climate and storm occurrence and its corresponding relationship with large-scale patterns of atmospheric variability, such as the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), have been widely studied (Hurrell, 1995;Dawson et al., 2002). Indeed, a strong relationship was found between wave climate variability in the North Atlantic region and the NAO index (Dawson et al., 2002, 2004;Dodet et al., 2010). Studies from Lambert (1996) and Schinke (1993) have shown that more intense storm events have occurred since 1970 in the northern hemisphere. The Global Tropical and Extratropical Cyclone Climatic Atlas data (GTECCA, 1996) was used to show that storms normally originate from the west, with most focussing SW of Iceland (Lozano et al., 2004). In a comparative study, Feser et al. (2015) also found that from early 70s until the mid-1990s, there has been increased storm activity over the North Atlantic area (north of 55–60◦) in agreement with the variability long-term proxies including the NAO. Strong coastal storms particularly affect the western/northwestern coasts of Ireland (Cooper et al., 2004;Backstrom et al., 2015). Historically, both its hard coasts (Scheffers et al., 2009, 2010;Erdmann et al., 2017) and sandy coasts (Cooper et al., 2004;Kandrot et al., 2016) are influenced by remnants of Atlantic Hurricanes reaching Ireland. Events such as the 1839 ‘Night of the big wind’ (Shields and Fitzgerald, 1989) a Category 3 Hurricane and 1961’s Hurricane Debbie (Hickey and ConnollyJohnston, 2012), demonstrate the potential impacts of receiving these events. More recently, Loureiro and Cooper (2019) show that in Ireland there is a strong relationship between positive phases of the NAO and highly energetic winters, with a greater number of storms per winter over the past 67 winters. For this period, they conclude that winters in the northwest coast of Ireland are becoming stormier. The western coast of Ireland has therefore become attuned to generally high-energy wave settings, with localised sediments adjusted to this elevated energy forcing. In this regard, these beaches therefore usually require an amalgamation of forcing events to provoke substantial impact (Cooper and Jackson, 2003) with extreme storms resulting in dramatic shoreline erosional responses. These impacts manifest as rapid erosion of foredunes but are typically followed by shoreline readjustment (Cooper et al., 2007) and sediment recirculation within coastal cells with sand being returned to the coast in post-storm recovery periods (e.g., Backstrom et al., 2015). In this study, we focus on two recent storm events that reached the coast of Ireland in the 2017–2018 period. Storm Ophelia arrived to the western coast of Ireland on the 16th October 2017 which at landfall was a “post-tropical storm” but was earlier labelled as a Category 3 hurricane (NOAA, 2017), the most eastern Category 3 Atlantic hurricane recorded (NOAA, 2017;United Kingdom Meteorological Office, 2017). This highenergy storm produced sustained winds of more than 34 knots and induced significant wave heights of 26.1 m at the Kinsale gas platform located at −100 m depth (Met EIREANN, 2017). Secondly, we examine Storm Hector, an unusually energetic summertime storm generated from a deep low-pressure system that was deflected toward the northeast to Ireland by a strong jet stream. It made landfall early on the 14th June 2018 with mean wind speeds between 65 and 80 km/h, with the highest recorded gusts reaching 111 km/h at Mace Head, Co. Galway (around 3:00 am) (Met EIREANN, 2017). Coastal response to events like these, as well as post-storm recovery behaviour, have been shown to be spatially highly variable, even between adjacent coastal sites (Guisado-Pintado et al., 2014) and can be attributed to differences in local hydrodynamic regimes (Burvingt et al., 2017). Beach morphology (Haerens et al., 2012), regional and local geology (Jackson et al., 2005;Jackson and Cooper, 2009) all dictate site-specific response. Some studies (e.g., Karunarathna et al., 2014) have shown that beach and dune erosion from a clustering of storms could be more impactful than an isolated, single event with similar overall energy. However, the final impact could be strongly influenced by the chronology and sequence of storms in a cluster (Dissanayake et al., 2015). Further, the complex interplay between variables such as offshore wave height and pre-existing bathymetry often controls the coastal response (Coco et al., 2014). Forcing factors such as wave heights coinciding with higher water levels during storms, has been shown to dictate actual coastal damageresponse (Masselink et al., 2016a,b) and further changes in dune morphology, based on the relative tidal range reached (Costas et al., 2005). Additionally, the orientation of a coastline compared to the storm direction and average winds, can also influence the incoming wave angle approach, inducing shelter effects and helping force the beach/dune into transporting sediment into the cross-shore and alongshore dimension (Castelle et al., 2015). Finally, the physical characteristics of beach-dune systems such as their dune toe elevation and overall dune height (Houser, 2013), the presence of subtidal sandbars and beachslope’s angle, can in combination, induce a physical response (Splinter et al., 2018). The objective of this study is to investigate the associated coastal impacts from two storm events with different energy levels such as Storm Ophelia (October 2017) and Storm Hector (June 2018). We focus on morphological changes within an Frontiers in Earth Science | www.frontiersin.org 2August 2019 | Volume 7 | Article 190
feart-07-00190 August 2, 2019 Time: 17:11 # 3 Guisado-Pintado and Jackson The Importance of Concurrent Forcing Parameters intertidal zone and dune edge that occurred on the northwestern sandy beach of Five Finger Strand during the storm peaks of both events. The direction of the storm, its intensity (significant wave height, wave period and speed of winds), storm duration locally, tidal stage and water level surge, as well as the intertidal morphology under preand post-storm conditions are examined. To better understand the forcing and response of dune coasts under particular conditions, we propose and test a new impact index “Storm Dune Trimming” which examines the potential dune trimming of specific storm events. We compare the actual local impact induced by both storm events to demonstrate the importance of synchronicity of forcing parameters in determining coastal impact response. STUDY AREA Western Irish coastlines are defined by hard geology with a cover of glacial materials, providing important sedimentary sources for its beaches (Burningham and Cooper, 2004). Basaltic headlands and cliffs punctuate the coast, while sandy beaches and large coastal dunes are present in coastline re-entrants (Jackson et al., 2005). Only 44% of its coastline can be classified under a high energy category (Devoy, 2008). Five Finger Strand is situated on the Inishowen penninsula in County Donegal, western Ireland (Figure 1A). The beach, 1.7 km long and 350 m wide, is backed by a vegetated sand dune system that can reach heights of around 25 m with an average dune toe height that ranges from 2.0 to 3.0 m relative to mean sea level (Figure 2B). Its beach is classed as dissipative (Wright and Short, 1984) and runs north to south between Five Fingers rocks and Lagg Point at Trawbreaga Bay (Figure 1A). In the south, a tidal inlet presents a large ebb tide delta system with a concomitant, ebb channel. Sand shifts between the ebb tidal delta, estuary and the beach/dune system, driven through tidal inlet changes (Cooper et al., 2007;O’Connor et al., 2011). Nearshore intertidal bars are also present at Five Fingers Strand and their dynamics show clear seasonal and inter-annual variability (Jackson et al., 2016). Typically, during winter time (Oct-Feb) the site’s northern beach and dune profiles (P1-3 in Figure 1B) displays quite flat topography with little to no bar formation, thereby rendering the beach and dune toe edge more exposed to higher energy storms and surges during the region’s storm season. Conversely, in spring and summer, bars start to reform (and migrate toward the nearshore) along the northern profiles, as there is enough accommodation for them after the beach flattens earlier in the year. Conversely, the southern part of the Strand (P4-P5 in Figure 1B) are devoid of nearshore bars for most seasons and only in late summer does an infrequent nearshore bar form which is preceded by an intertidal channel. The beach sediment is carbonate-rich terrigenous sand (mean grain size 0.3 mm and largely homogenous across this zone) with a subordinate gravel component overlying a cobble/gravel base of glacial sediments. Ireland’s west coast beaches are largely meso-tidal (2–4 m) environments. Five Finger strand has a spring tidal-range of 3.5 m with average significant wave heights around 2.2 m and wave periods of 9 s, with predominant winds from the southwest (Jackson et al., 2005, 2016). Dominant swell wave approach is from the west and southwest and fully refracted within the headland-embayment system (Jackson et al., 2016;GuisadoPintado and Jackson, 2018). Five Finger strand is therefore a high energy Atlantic beach system that has been modally adjusted to a large swell wave environment that undergoes important morphological changes over various spatial and temporal scales (Cooper et al., 2007;Guisado-Pintado et al., 2017). STORM OPHELIA AND STORM HECTOR CHARACTERISTICS Storm Ophelia The remnants of Hurricane Ophelia struck the British Isles in mid-October 2017 under the status of an extra-tropical storm. The Hurricane developed originally southwest of the Azores from a persistent low-pressure system, allowing it to travel to northeastern Europe (NOAA, 2017). Storm Ophelia reached Ireland on the 16th October and was re-classified as a “post-tropical” cyclone (Guisado-Pintado and Jackson, 2018) but still retained gusts of up to 130 km/h were recorded. Storm Ophelia made landfall at 10am (1100 UTC) October 16th. Storm Ophelia’s highest gust was 156 km/h with a SSE direction, which was recorded in Roche’s Point (Co. Cork) at 10:59 am, further north at Malin Head (Co. Donegal), a maximum wind gust of 106 km/h was reached at 19:30 h on the 16th of October with an overall direction of SSW. Storm Ophelia, despite initial expectations, lost its energy as it travelled north toward the study site. Around Malin Head (Figure 3A) significant wave heights ranged from 1.78 m on the 16th October at 9:00 am to 1.28 m when the storm had passed the study site (18th October) as shown in Figure 3C, with associated 4–5 s wave periods. The maximum wave height, 2.22 m, was reached at 6:00 pm (17th October, Figure 3B). Wave direction varied from 170 (S) to 220 (SW) during the storm event, which is parallel to main beach orientation of the study site. Storm Hector Storm Hector occurred in the second half of June 2018 and was formed by an unusually strong jet stream forced by a cold air mass from Polar Regions meeting a warm air mass from the tropics. The storm reached the western Ireland coast on Wednesday the 14th June around midnight, producing 2 days of gales on the 13th and 14th, followed by frontal systems crossing toward Scotland on the 20th June. Storm Hector’s highest gust was 61 knots (113 km/h), the highest June gust since 2005. The month’s highest 10-minute mean wind speed was 48 knots (89 km/h), and its highest June 10-min wind speed since 2005.1In Northern Ireland, gusts of 64 knots (119 km/h) and 60 knots (111 km/h) were recorded.2 1Met Eireann June report (2018). 2UK Met Office June report (2018). Frontiers in Earth Science | www.frontiersin.org 3August 2019 | Volume 7 | Article 190
feart-07-00190 August 2, 2019 Time: 17:11 # 4 Guisado-Pintado and Jackson The Importance of Concurrent Forcing Parameters FIGURE 1 | (A) General location of the western coast of Ireland and the Five Finger site showing the M4 wave buoy position and SWAN grid point location. (B) Map of study area in north-western Ireland showing location of the TLS survey, time lapse camera and cross-shore profiles. The strongest winds from Storm Hector over the northern coast of Ireland were coincident with high spring tides, leading to coastal flooding and wave overtopping in many coastal areas of Co. Donegal and Co. Galway. Storm Hector arrived at the study site around 3:00 am on the 14th of June (Hs= 2.5 m) and lasted until the 15th June 6:00 am were significant wave heights dropped below 2.5 m (Figures 3E,F). The storm had reached a maximum significant wave height of 4.0 m south of Malin Head (14th June 9:00 am) (Figure 3D). Mean wave period of 6 s were recorded closest to the study site. While offshore, the Marine Institute M4 buoy (54.99◦N 9.9◦W), recorded a wave height of 6.53 m (T= 8.9 s) at 9:00 am on the 14th of June. The storm showed a mean wave direction of 220–270◦(W and WSW), perpendicular to the main coast orientation. METHODS Wave and wind data have been analysed as Storm Ophelia and Storm Hector moved over Ireland’s western coastline, with particular reference to Five Finger Strand, using hourly data from various meteorological stations over a 24-h period encompassing both storms. To investigate the response at Five Finger Strand beach and dune system detailed before and after topographic data were acquired using a Terrestrial Laser Scanner (TLS) to quantify changes in the intertidal and subaerial beach areas as well as across the beach/dune topography (Table 1). Continuous monitoring of derived wave run-up and further storm-dune interactions during the occurrence of both events was carried out using a fixed, time-lapse camera over-looking the site. Hydrodynamic Conditions During the Events Offshore and Nearshore Modelled Wave Conditions Modelled wave conditions at intermediate depths (−20 m) for analysing wave forcing close to the site was performed using the East Atlantic SWAN Wave Model output from Ireland’s Marine Institute. The model uses the nearshore wave model SWAN (Booij et al., 1999;Ris et al., 1999) at a 0.025 degrees resolution (1.5 km) for a domain covering the Irish waters. The Global Forecast System (GFS) by the National Center for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) and the Fleet Numerical Meteorology and Oceanography Center (FNMOC) through Wave Watch 3 data model, provide boundary conditions. The model provides 3hourly significant wave height (Hs), wave period (T) and wave direction (D). The nearest grid point to the site (55.332◦N, 7.40◦W; −20 m depth and located 2.7 km offshore) was used for extracting wave forcing (see Figure 1A). Wave analysis covered periods from pre-storm TLS surveys of the beach, from the 19th September 2017 until Storm Ophelia and from the 30th of March 2018 until the occurrence of Storm Hector respectively. Water Levels and Wind Forcing Tide levels were extracted every 6 min from the Malin Head tide gauge at 55.37◦N, −7.33◦W (see Figure 1A). The tidal dataset was combined with the height of the dune toe, taken previously from the TLS and GPS data along the back-beach (Figure 2D), and used to assess potential erosion of dune toe areas. Total water levels were calculated as the combination of the tide level and run up heights (Ruggiero et al., 2001; Frontiers in Earth Science | www.frontiersin.org 4August 2019 | Volume 7 | Article 190
feart-07-00190 August 2, 2019 Time: 17:11 # 5 Guisado-Pintado and Jackson The Importance of Concurrent Forcing Parameters FIGURE 2 | Pre-Storm Ophelia (A) and Storm Hector (B) topo-bathymetries extracted from TLS surveys with numbers representing depths. Note differences in antecedent conditions of the submerged and subaerial beach at Five Finger Strand. (C) shows the subzones used for comparisons in the DoD analysis. (D) shows an alongshore section of dune toe height before Storm Ophelia (partially adapted from Guisado-Pintado and Jackson, 2018) and Storm Hector where the blue arrows represent the cross-shore profiles. Young et al., 2016;Castelle et al., 2017). Stockdon et al. (2006)’s formula for dissipative beaches discerned that the level was exceeded by 2% of waves (R2%). Real-time wave run-up and dune toe encroachment monitoring was supplemented by a fixed, time-lapse camera system (Brinno TLC200) set to capture images twice an hour. As a result, images spanning the whole monitoring period and particularly during the occurrence of the storm events (see Tables 1,2) helped (qualitatively) to image features such as sand lags/deposits and actual run-up encroachments. Additionally, the wind regime was assessed during the passage of both storm events using the Malin Head meteorological station (shown in Figure 1A) operated by Met Eireann: The Irish Meteorological Service. Ten-minute average wind speeds (knots), wind direction (degrees) and Mean Sea Level Pressure (hPa) were extracted to examine wind forcing (speed and direction) during storms Ophelia and Hector. Characterisation of Storm Events Storm thresholds are usually site specific, with wind speed-based values ranging from 7.6 to 15.3 m/s in Atlantic coastal areas (Lozano et al., 2004). Here, we define storm events as those with a peak significant wave heights (Hs) above 10% exceedance of wave height, previously determined as being Hs>3 m (Guisado-Pintado and Jackson, 2018). To determine the storm duration we used the 5% of exceedance meaning that a wave induced storm is noted only when Hsexceeds the 5% exceedance wave height (Masselink et al., 2016a,b) and ends with it falls below this limit. For the study site, the 5% exceedance wave height was set at Hs= 2 m. A minimum threshold for storm duration of 12 h was considered (to guarantee the events extend over high tide). Given that storm events can differ significantly in terms of duration, wave power and morphological impact, the use of environmental proxies help to classify and compare storm events for a specific site. Proxies allow analysis of the variation in storms and their geomorphological impact, based on variables such as the frequency, duration, wave power and category (e.g., Dolan and Davies, 1992;Rangel-Buitrago and Anfuso, 2011). Two proxies were used to characterise storm climate during the study period: the Storm Severity Index (SSI) and the Storm Impact Potential (SIP) both developed by Zãinescu et al. (2017). Frontiers in Earth Science | www.frontiersin.org 5August 2019 | Volume 7 | Article 190
feart-07-00190 August 2, 2019 Time: 17:11 # 6 Guisado-Pintado and Jackson The Importance of Concurrent Forcing Parameters FIGURE 3 | Spatial and temporal evolution of Storm Ophelia (A–C) and Storm Hector (D–F) as they moved across the northwest coast of Ireland. Location map highlights the study site (black square) and hydrodynamic conditions (Significant wave heights) from the Marine Institute East Atlantic SWAN wave model. In addition, a new index called Storm Dune Trimming (SDT) is proposed here to account for the potential dune trimming of a specific storm event. The SSI quantifies the total energetic strength of an individual storm, based on the wind speed and its duration, and is based on work by Lamb and Frydendahl (1991): SSI =X(V3×T)/103(1) Where: V= wind speed and T= total duration of a given speed (h). In order to measure the potential coastal impact of a storm, the morphologic index (SIP) was used as it accounts for the angle of wind direction (α) and the shoreline orientation (θ) itself, which in the case of Five Finger is mostly N-S. Maximum impact is therefore assumed for storms from the NW to SW (i.e., for angles between 200◦and 300◦) for this site. Lower impacts correspond to storms that approach the coast with a longshore or slightly oblique strike to the shore direction (N–NNW; S–SSW). For this proxy, offshore wind directions are not taken into consideration. SIP =X(V3×T×sin(α−θ))/103(2) Where: V= wind speed and T= total duration of a given speed (h). Finally, the Storm Dune Trimming (SDT) proxy is designed to estimate the total water level (water level and run up) reached by a storm and thus the potential dune impact. The proxy is a measure of the number of hours for which total water levels of a specific onshore storm event is above the average and lower dune toe height. SDT =X(TWL3×Th ×sin(α−θ))/103(3) Where: TWL = total water level, Th = total duration of wave height above dune toe (h) and α= wave direction. Topographical Change Analysis Topographic changes, driven by the storm events, both in the intertidal area and subaerial beach, were quantified using a FARO Focus 3D ×330 TLS. The TLS survey produced a dense point cloud, extending from the dune toe toward the intertidal environment. Surveys were undertaken during low tide conditions, revealing a large part of the intertidal area to around −1.5 m (see Figures 2A,B) and ranging landward over front sections of the dunes (up to +20 m). Frontiers in Earth Science | www.frontiersin.org 6August 2019 | Volume 7 | Article 190
feart-07-00190 August 2, 2019 Time: 17:11 # 7 Guisado-Pintado and Jackson The Importance of Concurrent Forcing Parameters TABLE 1 | Main characteristics of the storm events studied and the topographic surveys performed to monitor geomorphological impact. Storm event Pre-storm TLS and topographic survey Post-storm TLS and topographic survey Time after event Scan stations Ophelia (16th–17th October 2018) 19th September 2017 18th October 2017 24 h 29 scans Hector (13th–15th June 2018) 30th March 2018 26th June 2018 11 days 31 scans TABLE 2 | Storm characteristics for each surveyed period preand post-Ophelia and Hector storms. Storm events Wave conditions Duration Mean wave direction Maximum TWL PreStorm Ophelia S1 Maximum Hs= 4.62 m; T = 8.74 s 108 h 318◦2.30 m S2 Maximum Hs= 3.66 m; T = 9.67 s 75 h 325◦2.44 m S3 Maximum Hs= 3.84 m; T = 11.23 s 36 h 324◦1.86 m Storm Ophelia S4 Maximum Hs= 2.24 m; T = 5.3 s 12h 326◦1.40 m PreStorm Hector S1 Maximum Hs= 3.07; T = 9.87 s 15 h 340◦2.30 m S2 Maximum Hs= 4.96; T= 10.64 s 57 h 336◦2.02 m Storm Hector S3 Maximum Hs= 4.06; T= 6.59 s 21 h 340◦2.92 m Topographic surveys were performed along the northern section of Five Finger Strand (Figure 1B), selecting a 420 m ×250 m area of interest (≈105,000 m2). For Storm Ophelia preand post-storm surveys were 6 weeks apart (Guisado-Pintado and Jackson, 2018), whereas for Storm Hector a pre-storm survey was carried out 13 weeks before the event and the post-storm took place 8 days after the event (Table 1). A total of 29 scan station locations were established across the site for each event, ensuring good coverage. We used 6 target spheres as reference Ground Control Points (G) (Figure 1B) georeferenced into the Irish National Grid coordinate system using a RTK dGPS (Trimble 5800) with an accuracy of 0.03 m in x, y and z. TLS-generated Point Clouds were post-processed to create Digital Surface Models (DSMs) from preand postconditions of the storm events. The Geomorphic change detection (GCD) add-in in ArcGIS (Wheaton et al., 2010) allowed surface volume variations (DEM of Difference, DoD) and topographical comparisons (vertical changes) of each pair of surveys. The total volumetric change (dQtotal in m3) relates to the difference in volume of the postand pre-storm surface utilising the DEM, and areal change (dAtotal m2) is the amount of area undergoing erosion/deposition after each event and over subsequent TLS surveys during the recovery process. To guarantee the quantification of morphological changes at different beach sections as well as the comparison of driven impacts of both events (storms Ophelia and Hector), four zones were delimited following Guisado-Pintado and Jackson (2018). These relate to (1) lower areas from mean sea level (MSL) to lowest level surveyed by TLS, (2) an intertidal channel, (3) between MSL and the shoreline (dune toe) and; (4) the upper area from the shoreline to the top of the dune edge (Figure 2C). Finally, five cross-shore profiles (Figures 1,2) extracted from DTM surveys where analysed to assess alongshore and cross-shore morphological changes between the two storm events. RESULTS Wind Forcing Wind is one of the main environmental variables that dictates the characteristics of locally generated waves at the coast, with speed and direction of wind critical in driving potential beach impacts from a storm. Wind patterns and resulting wave climates during storms Ophelia and Hector were significantly different, with storm events that occurred between the preand post TLS surveys also being dissimilar in power, orientation and duration. During Storm Ophelia, winds reached a maximum of 38 knots (70 km/h) at Malin Head station which were sustained for around 3 h (Figure 4A). However, as shown in Figure 4B, the wind direction was mostly shore-parallel and varied from a predominantly southern direction (about 180◦) to SSW (220◦) as the storm passed through the site (17th October 2017 at around 18:00 h). At Malin Head during the passage of the Storm Ophelia, sea level pressure reached a minimum of 979 hPa (Figure 4C). Storm Hector’s pattern was somewhat different. A maximum wind speed of 37 knots was recorded during the storm but lasted for only 1 h (see Figure 4A), although sustained winds over 18 knots were recorded for the remainder of the storm. Predominantly onshore winds with an average direction of 220– 270◦(WSW) were recorded over the site during the passage of Storm Hector. Minimum pressure at sea level never fell below 985 hPa (Figure 4C). In both cases, mean wind speeds during the storms were around 27 knots at Malin Head station (Figure 4A) and changes in wind orientation conditions produced a 5–10 knots decrease in wind speeds (Figures 4A,B). Wave Climate and Storm Occurrence: Evolution and Characterisation The hourly evolution of Storm Ophelia along the western seaboard of Ireland (Figures 3A–C) reveals that the storm’s intensity gradually dissipated as it travelled north, whereas during Storm Hector energy conditions reached their maximum level at northern Irish latitudes as the storm moved toward the western seaboard (Figures 3D–F. In the case of Storm Ophelia, and according to Guisado-Pintado and Jackson (2018), three storm wave events (onshore directed with orientation varying from 318◦to 324◦) were recorded in between topographic and TLS surveys and before the occurrence of Storm Ophelia (see Table 2 and Figure 5A). The peak of the first storm (S1) occurred on the Frontiers in Earth Science | www.frontiersin.org 7August 2019 | Volume 7 | Article 190
feart-07-00190 August 2, 2019 Time: 17:11 # 8 Guisado-Pintado and Jackson The Importance of Concurrent Forcing Parameters FIGURE 4 | Time-series of wind conditions during both storm events at Malin Head Station. From above (A) 10-min wind speed (knots), (B) wind direction (degrees) and (C) Mean sea level pressure (hPa). Red and blue boxes represent Storm Ophelia and Storm Hector coincidence at Five Finger Strand respectively. 2nd Oct at 03:00 am during high tide (1.21 m), producing a total water level (TWL) of 2.13 m. A second highest synchronisation between wave height and water levels took place on the 4th October between 16:30 and 18:00 h, where TWL peaked to 2.2 m (see Figure 5C). The second storm (S2: 10th Oct 18:00 h) began 5 days later and over its duration was coincident with several cycles of high tide (1.47 m) resulting in a maximum TWL of 2.5 m and thus above average dune toe height (2 m Frontiers in Earth Science | www.frontiersin.org 8August 2019 | Volume 7 | Article 190
feart-07-00190 August 2, 2019 Time: 17:11 # 9 Guisado-Pintado and Jackson The Importance of Concurrent Forcing Parameters FIGURE 5 | (A) Shows the wave climate time-series spanning Storm Ophelia where the left Y-axis accounts for Hs(grey line) and right Y-axis represents wave direction in degrees (top black line). Graph (B) represents the Total Water Level (TWL) based on wave run-up for each storm event (from Guisado-Pintado and Jackson, 2018) where blue arrows show the water level position from the time-lapse camera pictures. Squares highlight storm events that occurred between TLS/topographic surveys with S4 corresponding to Storm Ophelia. Pictures (C–F) show corresponding time-lapse images where peak storm wave height and/or the highest synchronisation of both wave height and water level during each storm analysed (S1–S4). Note that red arrows point to the maximum wave run up. height as shown in Figure 2D). S2 peaked during the night of 10th October at 9:00 pm and couldn’t be recorded by the TLC but hours later (11th October between 09:00 and 10:00 am) a second peak resulted in TWL of 2.07 m as evidenced in Figure 5D, affecting the dune toe line in the most southern sections. Six hours after the end of S2, a third storm occurred (S3: 13th Oct 15:00 h). S3 presented two peaks, one on the 14th at midnight with a maximum TWL of 1.86 m and a second the 14th at midday where TWLs were around 1.8 m, in both cases below mean dune toe height (Figure 5E). Twenty-four hours Frontiers in Earth Science | www.frontiersin.org 9August 2019 | Volume 7 | Article 190
feart-07-00190 August 2, 2019 Time: 17:11 # 16 Guisado-Pintado and Jackson The Importance of Concurrent Forcing Parameters coastal changes, including storm duration and orientation, storm track line speed, local wave height and tidal water levels were isolated and analysed. Field observations and modelling results show that synchronicity of variables is crucial in driving the effectiveness of those storm-induced changes along sandy, dunefringed coastlines. Antecedent intertidal beach configuration, as well as prestorm clustering events, appears to play important roles in dictating coastal response. Using a Storm Severity Index (SSI) and Storm Impact Potential (SIP) to characterise what the site was subjected to, does not necessarily always result in actual dune retreat, with field observations showing that effective storm dune trimming might not materialise if other factors such as high tide and storm duration are not synchronised. However, the new proxy Storm Dune Trimming index resulted in an accurate proxy for potential and effective wave run-up and subsequent dune trimming, as qualitatively demonstrated by time-lapse camera images collected during the storms. The study shows that for a more complete understanding of coastal response we need to have a myriad of forcing and response data captured over sufficient time periods, before, during and after high-energy events. Despite having an intensively monitored site such as in this study, understanding detailed relationships between forcing dynamics and actual coastal response is fraught with difficulties, with various feedbacks active in the system, which ultimately complicates the final stormresponse of the beach/dune zone. Even with very high-energy events such as Storm Ophelia, anticipated to cause significant coastal impact, a much smaller event such as Storm Hector proved to be much more effective at causing morphological (SIP and SDT) change due to having better synchronicity of forcing factors. Ultimately, the study confirms that having higher frequency monitoring at sites goes some way toward bridging the gaps in our understanding of coastal response to storm activity. This will help improve how such systems need to be managed in the future. The coastal-dune response observed in this research provides regional and local coastal managers with an estimation of the degree of impact that can be expected with the passage of these types of high-energy storms and should inform coastal risk actions and plans along sandy, dune-fringed coastlines. DATA AVAILABILITY The datasets generated for this study are available on request to the corresponding author. AUTHOR CONTRIBUTIONS EG-P and DJ designed the experiments and contributed meaningfully to the manuscript writing. EG-P was in charge of data analysis and results description, and production of figures. DJ carried out the fieldwork as well as significantly contributed to the results, analysis, and discussion. FUNDING This work is a contribution to the Natural Environment Research Council grant NE/F019483/1 and to the UNESCO IGCP Project 639 “Sea Level Change from Minutes to Millennia.” ACKNOWLEDGMENTS We wish to thank the Irish Marine Institute for providing access to hydrodynamic data (measured water levels and modelled parameters including significant wave height, mean wave direction and mean wave period) for the study site location. We would also like to acknowledge the Met Éireann (The Irish Meteorological Service) for the meteorological data at the Malin Head station. Thanks are also extended to David Rogers for his invaluable help in fieldwork and in the post-processing of topographic field data and to the Ulster University for supporting the research and providing the fieldwork equipment. We also thank the two reviewers whose suggestions and comments helped to improve the manuscript enormously. REFERENCES Backstrom, J., Jackson, D. W. T., Cooper, J. A. G., and Loureiro, C. (2015). Contrasting geomorphological storm response from two adjacent shorefaces. Earth Surf. Process. Landf. 40, 2112–2120. doi: 10.1002/esp. 3788 Booij, N., Ris, R. C., and Holthuijsen, L. H. (1999). A third-generation wave model for coastal regions. Model description and validation. J. Geophys. Res. 104, 7649–7666. doi: 10.1029/98jc02622 Burningham, H., and Cooper, J. A. G. (2004). “Morphology and historical evolution of north-east Atlantic coastal deposits: the west Donegal estuaries, north-west Ireland,” in Proceedings of the STRAEE Workshop (WINTER 2004), Vol. 41. (Ferrara), 148-159. Burvingt, O., Masselink, G., Russell, P., and Scott, T. (2017). Classification of beach response to extreme storms. Geomorphology 295, 722–737. doi: 10.1016/ j.geomorph.2017.07.022 Carter, R. W. G., and Stone, G. W. (1989). Mechanisms associated with the erosion of sand dune cliffs, Magilligan, Northern Ireland. Earth Surf. Process. Landf. 14, 1–10. doi: 10.1002/esp.3290140102 Castelle, B., Bujan, S., Ferreira, S., and Dodet, G. (2017). Foredune morphological changes and beach recovery from the extreme 2013/2014 winter at a highenergy sandy coast. Mar. Geol. 385, 41–55. doi: 10.1016/j.margeo.2016. 12.006 Castelle, B., Marieu, V., Bujan, S., Splinter, K. D., Robinet, A., Sénéchal, N., et al. (2015). Impact of the winter 2013–2014 series of severe Western Europe storms on a double-barred sandy coast. Beach and dune erosion and megacusp embayments. Geomorphology 238, 135–148. doi: 10.1016/j.geomorph.2015. 03.006 Coco, G., Senechal, N., Rejas, A., Bryan, K. R., Capo, S., Parisot, J. P., et al. (2014). Beach response to a sequence of extreme storms. Geomorphology 204, 493–501. doi: 10.1016/j.geomorph.2013.08.028 Cooper, J. A. G., and Jackson, D. W. T. (2003). “Geomorphological and dynamic constraints on mesoscale coastal response to storms, Western Ireland,” in Proceedings 6th International Symposium on Coastal Engineering and Science of Coastal Sediment Processes, (Florida: American Society of Civil Engineers), 1–13. Cooper, J. A. G., and Orford, J. D. (1998). Hurricanes as agents of mesoscale coastal change in western Britain and Ireland. J. Coast. Res. 26, 123–128. Frontiers in Earth Science | www.frontiersin.org 16 August 2019 | Volume 7 | Article 190
feart-07-00190 August 2, 2019 Time: 17:11 # 17 Guisado-Pintado and Jackson The Importance of Concurrent Forcing Parameters Cooper, J. A. G., Jackson, D. W. T., Navas, F., McKenna, J., and Malvarez, G. (2004). Identifying storm impacts on an embayed, high-energy coastline: examples from western Ireland. Mar. Geol. 210, 261–280. doi: 10.1016/j.margeo.2004. 05.012 Cooper, J. A. G., McKenna, J., Jackson, D. W. T., and O’Connor, M. (2007). Mesoscale coastal behavior related to morphological self-adjustment. Geology 35, 187–190. Costas, S., Alejo, I., Vila-Concejo, A., and Nombela, M. A. (2005). Persistence of storm-induced morphology on a modal low-energy beach: a case study from NW-Iberian Peninsula. Mar. Geol. 224, 43–56. doi: 10.1016/j.margeo.2005. 08.003 Dawson, A., Elliott, L., Noone, S., Hickey, K., Holt, T., Wadhams, P., et al. (2004). Historical storminess and climate ‘see-saws’ in the North Atlantic region. Mar. Geol. 210, 247–259. doi: 10.1016/j.margeo.2004.05.011 Dawson, A. G., Hickey, K., Holt, T., Elliott, L., Dawson, S., Foster, I. D. L., et al. (2002). Complex North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) index signal of historic North Atlantic storm-track changes. Holocene 12, 363–369. doi: 10.1191/ 0959683602hl552rr Devoy, R. J. N. (2008). Coastal vulnerability and the implications of sea-level rise for Ireland. J. Coast. Res. 24, 325–341. doi: 10.2112/07a-0007.1 Dissanayake, P., Brown, J., Wisse, P., and Karunarathna, H. (2015). Effects of storm clustering on beach/dune evolution. Mar. Geol. 370, 63–75. doi: 10.1016/j. margeo.2015.10.010 Dodet, G., Bertin, X., and Taborda, R. (2010). Wave climate variability in the North-East Atlantic Ocean over the last six decades. Ocean Model. 31, 120–131. doi: 10.1016/j.ocemod.2009.10.010 Dolan, R., and Davies, R. E. (1992). An intensity scale for Atlantic Coast Northeast Storms. J. Coast. Res. 8, 840–853. Erdmann, W., Kelletat, D., and Kuckuck, M. (2017). Boulder ridges and washover features in Galway Bay, Western Ireland. J. Coast. Res. 33, 997–1021. doi: 10.2112/jcoastres-d-16-00184.1 Ferreira, Ó (2006). The role of storm groups in the erosion of sandy coasts. Earth Surf. Process. Landf. 31, 1058–1060. doi: 10.1002/esp.1378 Feser, F., Barcikowska, M., Krueger, O., Schenk, F., Weisse, R., and Xia, L. (2015). Storminess over the North Atlantic and northwestern Europe—A review. Quart. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 141, 350–382. doi: 10.1002/qj.2364 Gervais, M., Balouin, Y., and Belon, R. (2012). morphological response and coastal dynamics associated with major storm events along the gulf of lions coastline. France. Geomorphology 14, 69–80. doi: 10.1016/j.geomorph.2011. 07.035 GTECCA (1996). Global Tropical and Extratropical Cy-clone Climatic Atlas 2.0. Asheville, NC: NOAA. Guisado-Pintado, E., Jackson, D. W. T., Cooper, J. A. G., and O’Connor, M. (2017). Storm impacts on a high energy sandy beach system, northwest Ireland: short (event) to long term (decadal) behaviour. Geophys. Res. Abstr. 19:10267. Guisado-Pintado, E., and Jackson, D. W. T. (2018). Multi-scale variability of storm Ophelia 2017: the importance of synchronised environmental variables in coastal impact. Sci. Total Environ. 630, 287–301. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018. 02.188 Guisado-Pintado, E., Jackson, D. W. T., and Rogers, D. (2019). 3D mapping efficacy of a drone and terrestrial laser scanner over a temperate beachdune zone. Geomorphology 328, 157–172. doi: 10.1016/j.geomorph.2018. 12.013 Guisado-Pintado, E., Malvárez, G., Navas, F., and Carrero, R. (2014). “Spatial distribution of storm wave energy dissipation for the assessment of beach morphodynamics,” in Proceedings of the 13th International Coastal Symposium, Durban, 259–265. doi: 10.2112/si70-044.1 Haerens, P., Bolle, A., Trouw, K., and Houthuys, R. (2012). Definition of storm thresholds for significant morphological change of the sandy beaches along the Belgian coastline. Geomorphology 143-144(Suppl. C), 104–117. doi: 10.1016/j. geomorph.2011.09.015 Harley, M. D., Turner, I. L., Short, A. D., and Ranasinghe, R. (2009). “An empirical model of beach response to storms - Se Australia,” in Proceedings of the 19th Conference Coasts and Ports 2009 in a Dynamic Environment, Engineers, Wellington. Hayden, B. (1981). Secular variation in atlantic coast extratropical cyclones. Mon. Weather Rev. 109, 159–167. doi: 10.1175/1520-0493(1981)109<0159:sviace>2. 0.co;2 Hickey, K. R., and Connolly-Johnston, C. (2012). “The impact of hurricane debbie (1961) and Hurricane Charley (1986) on Ireland,” in Advances in Hurricane Research - Modelling, Meteorology, Preparedness and Impacts, ed. K. Hickey (Rijeka: InTech). Houser, C. (2013). Alongshore variation in the morphology of coastal dunes: Implications for storm response. Geomorphology 199, 48–61. doi: 10.1016/j. geomorph.2012.10.035 Hurrell, J. W. (1995). Decadal trends in the north atlantic oscillation: regional temperatures and precipitation. Science 269, 676–679. doi: 10.1126/science.269. 5224.676 Jackson, D. W. T., and Cooper, J. A. G. (2009). Geological control on beach form: accommodation space and contemporary dynamics. J. Coast. Res. 56, 69–72. Jackson, D. W. T., Cooper, J. A. G., and del Rio, L. (2005). Geological control of beach morphodynamic state. Mar. Geol. 216, 297–314. doi: 10.1016/j.margeo. 2005.02.021 Jackson, D. W. T., Cooper, J. A. G., O’Connor, M., Guisado-Pintado, E., Loureiro, C., and Anfuso, G. (2016). Field measurements of intertidal bar evolution on a high-energy beach system. Earth Surf. Process. Landf. 41, 1107–1114. doi: 10.1002/esp.3920 Kandrot, S., Farrell, E., and Devoy, R. (2016). The morphological response of foredunes at a breached barrier system to winter 2013/2014 storms on the southwest coast of Ireland. Earth Surf. Process. Landf. 41, 2123–2136. doi: 10.1002/esp.4003 Karunarathna, H., Pender, D., Ranasinghe, R., Short, A. D., and Reeve, D. E. (2014). The effects of storm clustering on beach profile variability. Mar. Geol. 348, 103–112. doi: 10.1016/j.margeo.2013.12.007 Lamb, H., and Frydendahl, K. (1991). Historic Storms of the North Sea, British Isles and Northwest Europe. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Lambert, S. J. (1996). Intense extratropical northern hemisphere winter cyclone events: 1899–1991. J. Geophys. Res. 101, 21319–21325. doi: 10.1029/96jd 01653 Loureiro, C., and Cooper, J. A. G. (2019). Temporal variability in winter wave conditions and storminess in the northwest of Ireland. Ir. Geogr. 51, 1–16. doi: 10.2014/igj.v51i2.1369 Loureiro, C., Ferreira, O., and Cooper, J. A. G. (2014). Non-uniformity of storm impacts on three high-energy embayed beaches. J. Coast. Res. 70, 326–331. doi: 10.2112/si70-055.1 Lozano, I., Devoy, R. J. N., May, W., and Andersen, U. (2004). Storminess and vulnerability along the Atlantic coastlines of Europe: analysis of storm records and of a greenhouse gases induced climate scenario. Mar. Geol. 210, 205–225. doi: 10.1016/j.margeo.2004.05.026 Masselink, G., Castelle, B., Scott, T., Dodet, G., Suanez, S., Jackson, D. W. T., et al. (2016a). Extreme wave activity during 2013/2014 winter and morphological impacts along the Atlantic coast of Europe. Geophys. Res. Lett. 43, 2135–2143. doi: 10.1002/2015GL067492 Masselink, G., Scott, T., Poate, T., Russell, P., Davidson, M., and Conley, D. (2016b). The extreme 2013/2014 winter storms: hydrodynamic forcing and coastal response along the southwest coast of England. Earth Surf. Process. Landf. 41, 378–391. doi: 10.1002/esp.3836 Met EIREANN (2017). Observational Records: Provisional Quick Observational Facts of Land and Marine Observations on STORM OPHELIA, 2017. Available at: https://www.met.ie/news/display.asp?ID=463 (accessed November 20, 2018). NOAA (2017). National Hurricane Center: Post-Tropical Cyclone Ophelia Discussion Number 28 NWS. Silver Spring, MA: NOAA. O’Connor, M. C., Cooper, J. A. G., and Jackson, D. W. T. (2011). Decadal behavior of tidal inlet–associated beach systems, Northwest Ireland, in relation to climate forcing. J. Sediment. Res. 81, 38–51. doi: 10.2110/jsr.2011.3 Phillips, M. S., Harley, M. D., Turner, I. L., Splinter, K. D., and Cox, R. J. (2017). Shoreline recovery on wave-dominated sandy coastlines: the role of sandbar morphodynamics and nearshore wave parameters. Mar. Geol. 385, 146–159. doi: 10.1016/j.margeo.2017.01.005 Rangel-Buitrago, N., and Anfuso, G. (2011). An application of dolan and davis (1992) classification to coastal storms in SW spanish littoral. J. Coast. Res. 64, 1891–1895. Ris, R. C., Holthuijsen, L. H., and Booij, N. (1999). A third-generation wave model for coastal regions: 2. Verification. J. Geophys. Res. 104, 7667–7681. doi: 10.1029/1998jc900123 Frontiers in Earth Science | www.frontiersin.org 17 August 2019 | Volume 7 | Article 190
feart-07-00190 August 2, 2019 Time: 17:11 # 18 Guisado-Pintado and Jackson The Importance of Concurrent Forcing Parameters Ruggiero, P., Komar, D., McDougal, W. G., Marra, J. J., and Beach, R. A. (2001). Wave runup, extreme water levels and the erosion of properties backing beaches. J. Coast. Res. 17, 407–419. Scheffers, A., Kelletat, D., Haslett, S., Scheffers, S., and Browne, T. (2010). Coastal boulder deposits in Galway Bay and the Aran Islands, western Ireland. Zeitschrift for Geomorphologie 54, 247–279. doi: 10.1127/0372-8854/2010/ 0054s3-0027 Scheffers, A., Scheffers, A., Kelletat, D., and Browne, T. (2009). Wave-emplaced coarse debris and megaclasts in Ireland and Scotland: boulder transport in a high-energy littoral environment. J. Geol. 117, 553–573. doi: 10.1086/600865 Schinke, H. (1993). On the occurrence of deep cyclones over Europe and the North Atlantic in the period 1930-1991. Beitr. Phys. Atmos. 66, 223–237. Schmith, T., Kaas, E., and Li, T. S. (1998). Northeast Atlantic winter storminess 1875–1995 re-analysed. Clim. Dyn. 14, 529–536. doi: 10.1007/s003820050239 Shields, L., and Fitzgerald, D. (1989). The ‘Night of the Big Wind’ in Ireland, 6–7 January 1839. Ir. Geogr. 22, 31–43. doi: 10.1080/00750778909478784 Splinter, K. D., Kearney, E. T., and Turner, I. L. (2018). Drivers of alongshore variable dune erosion during a storm event: observations and modelling. Coast. Eng. 131, 31–41. doi: 10.1016/j.coastaleng.2017.10.011 Stockdon, H. F., Holman, R. A., Howd, A., and Sallenger, A. H. Jr. (2006). Empirical parameterization of setup, swash, and runup. Coast. Eng. 53, 573–588. doi: 10.1016/j.coastaleng.2005.12.005 United Kingdom Meteorological Office (2017). Ex-Hurricane Ophelia Report. Available at: https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/interesting/2017ophelia (accessed November 20, 2018). Wheaton, J. M., Brasington, J., Darby, S. E., and Sear, D. A. (2010). Accounting for uncertainty in DEMs from repeat topographic surveys: improved sediment budgets. Earth Surf. Process. Landf. 35, 136–156. Wright, L. D., and Short, A. D. (1984). Morphodynamic variability of surf zones and beaches. Mar. Geol. 56, 93–118. doi: 10.1016/0025-3227(84)90 008-2 Young, A. P., Guza, R. T., O’Reilly, W. C., Burvingt, O., and Flick, R. E. (2016). Observations of coastal cliff base waves, sand levels, and cliff top shaking. Earth Surf. Process. Landf. 41, 1564–1573. doi: 10.1002/esp. 3928 Zãinescu, F. I., Tãtui, F., Valchev, N. N., and Vespremeanu-Stroe, A. (2017). Storm climate on the danube delta coast: evidence of recent storminess change and links with large-scale teleconnection patterns. Nat. Hazards 87, 599–621. doi: 10.1007/s11069-017-2783-9 Conflict of Interest Statement: The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest. Copyright © 2019 Guisado-Pintado and Jackson. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms. Frontiers in Earth Science | www.frontiersin.org 18 August 2019 | Volume 7 | Article 190