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Optimal coexistence of long-term and short-term contracts in labor Markets

Abstract

We consider a market where firms hire workers to run their projects and such projects differ in profitability. At any period, each firm needs two workers to successfully run its project: a junior agent, with no specific skills, and a senior worker, whose effort is not verifiable. Senior workers differ in ability and their competence is revealed after they have worked as juniors in the market. We study the length of the contractual relationships between firms and workers in an environment where the matching between firms and workers is the result of market interaction. We show that, despite in a one-firm-one-worker set-up long-term contracts are the optimal choice for firms, market forces often induce firms to use short-term contracts. Unless the market only consists of firms with very profitable projects, firms operating highly profitable projects offer short-term contracts to ensure the service of high-ability workers and those with less lucrative projects also use short-term contracts to save on the junior workers' wage. Intermediate firms may (or may not) hire workers through long-term contracts.

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Optimal coexistence of long-term and short-term contracts in labor Markets

Author: Macho Stadler, Inés; Pérez Castrillo, David; Porteiro Fresco, Nicolás
Publisher: Dipòsit Digital de Documents de la UAB
Year: 2011
Source: https://ddd.uab.cat/pub/worpap/2011/hdl_2072_152047/87211.pdf
Op imal Coexis ence o Long- e m and
Sho - e m con ac s in Labo Ma ke s∗
Inés Macho-S adle †Da id Pé ez-Cas illo‡Nicolás Po ei o§
May 5, 2011
Abs ac
We conside a ma ke whe e i ms hi e wo ke s o un hei p ojec s and such
p ojec s diffe in p o i abili y. A any pe iod, each i m needs wo wo ke s o suc-
cess ully un i s p ojec : a junio agen , wi h no speci ic skills, and a senio wo ke ,
whose effo is no e i iable. Senio wo ke s diffe in abili y and hei compe ence
is e ealed a e hey ha e wo ked as junio s in he ma ke . We s udy he leng h o
he con ac ual ela ionships be ween i msandwo ke sinanen i onmen whe e
he ma ching be ween i ms and wo ke s is he esul o ma ke in e ac ion. We
show ha , despi e in a one- i m-one-wo ke se -up long- e m con ac s a e he op-
imal choice o i ms, ma ke o ces o en induce i ms o use sho - e m con ac s.
Unless he ma ke only consis s o i ms wi h e y p o i able p ojec s, i ms ope -
a ing highly p o i able p ojec s offe sho - e m con ac s o ensu e he se ice o
high-abili y wo ke s and hose wi h less luc a i e p ojec s also use sho - e m con-
∗We a e g a e ul o he pa icipan s a he semina a CREST (Pa is, 2011) o hei insigh ul com-
men s. Financial suppo om Minis e io de Ciencia y Tecnología (ECO2008-04321 and ECO2009—
07616), Gene ali a de Ca alunya (2009SGR-169), Jun a de Andalucía (SEJ-02936 and SEJ-04992),
Ba celona G adua e School o Economics and ICREA Academia is g a e ully acknowledged. The i s
wo au ho s a e ellows o MOVE.
†Uni e si a Au onoma de Ba celona - Ba celona GSE; Dep . Economía e His . Económica; Edi icio
B; 08193 Bella e a - Ba celona; Spain. Email: [email p o ec ed].
‡Co esponding au ho . Uni e si a Au onoma de Ba celona - Ba celona GSE; Dep . Economía e
His . Económica; Edi icio B; 08193 Bella e a - Ba celona; Spain. Email: da id.p[email p o ec ed].
§Depa men o Economics (Uni e sidad Pablo Ola ide). Email: npo ei [email protected].
1
ac s o sa e on he junio wo ke s’ wage. In e media e i ms may (o may no )
hi e wo ke s h ough long- e m con ac s.
JEL numbe s: D86, C78
2
1 In oduc ion
Pa ne s may es ablish ela ionships ha las o se e al pe iods. In job con ac s, o
ins ance, some i ms hi e he same wo ke o se e al yea s wi h a long- e m con ac ,
while o he s may p e e o sign con ac s pe iod by pe iod, some imes wi h he same
wo ke , some imes wi h diffe en wo ke s o e ime. One ques ion ha a ises is when is
i be e o he employe o w i e a long- e m con ac ha co e s he whole leng h o
he ela ionship and when is a sho - e m con ac signed o a ce ain pe iod o ime
supe io , knowing ha once ha pe iod is o e he i m has o offe ano he sho - e m
con ac .
The con ibu ions by Lambe (1983), Roge son (1985), Malcomson and Spinnewyn
(1988), and Chiappo i e al. (1994), among o he s, add ess he p e ious ques ion in
se ings cha ac e ized by mo al haza d whe e one i m ( he p incipal) en e s in o a long-
las ing ela ionship wi h a wo ke ( he agen ). In hese se ings, i he i m and he agen
can commi o a long- e m con ac , he i m can design a long- e m ag eemen ha
domina es he sequence o op imal sho - e m con ac s. In ac , long- e m con ac s can
always eplica e he sequence o he op imal sho - e m con ac s while he e e se is, in
gene al, no possible. This esul is obus o a numbe o diffe en speci ica ions and
implies ha , i commi men on he pa o he pa icipan s is possible, we should expec
i ms o use mainly long- e m con ac s in p ac ice.1Howe e , his is no he case and
he ac ha diffe en i ms in simila ma ke s ollow diffe en ime-du a ion con ac s
sugges s ha he e may be o he explana ions beyond lack o commi men .
In his pape we a gue ha no all he cha ac e is ics o he op imal con ac be ween
an employe and a wo ke can be deduced om he analysis o his ela ionship in a
one-wo ke , one- i m se ing. As he ecen con ibu ions by Dam and Pé ez-Cas illo
(2006), Se es (2008), Te iö (2008) and Alonso-Paulí and Pé ez-Cas illo ( o hcoming)
ha e shown, when he analysis is enla ged o ake in o conside a ion ma ke in e ac ion,
hen he o m o he op imal con ac s may subs an ially diffe om he ag eemen s ha
one ob ains o a gi en ela ionship s udied in isola ion. When he e ogenous p incipals
1When commi men on he agen side is difficul , con ac s may include, o example, non-compe e
clauses unde which he agen ag ees no o pu sue a simila p o ession o ade in a i m in he same
indus y i he b eaks he con ac . Con ac s may also include o he clauses ha will educe mobili y by
inc easing he cos o hi ing he wo ke by ano he i m.
3
compe e o he e ogenous agen s, he iden i y o he pa ne s in each ela ionship (in
addi ion o he con ac signed) is endogenous, as i is he le el o u ili y ob ained by
he agen s. Hence, e en i sho - e m con ac s a e no op imal when we conside an
isola ed ela ionship, hey may a ise as pa o he ma ke equilib ium whe e some i ms
may choose long- e m con ac s while o he hi e wo ke s only on sho - e m ag eemen s.
We conside a ma ke whe e he e ogenous i ms hi e wo ke s o un hei p ojec s.
Fi ms diffe in he p o i abili y o hei p ojec . A any pe iod, each i m needs wo ypes
o wo ke s: a junio agen , wi h no speci ic skills, and a senio expe ienced, wo ke whose
expe ise is c ucial o he good de elopmen o he p ojec . E e y wo ke s a s as a
junio agen in he i s pe iod he wo ks in a i m. A his poin in hei li es, all wo ke s
a e iden ical. A e he pe iod as an app en ice, he wo ke becomes senio o he second,
and inal, pe iod o his job ca ee . In ou model, he i s pe iod has a aining componen :
wo ke s acqui e he knowledge and expe ience needed o un a p ojec when senio s. We
assume ha his pe iod gi es human capi al speci ic o he indus y. This allows any
wo ke ha was hi ed (and ained) by a i masajunio o unap ojec asasenio in
any i m o he ma ke .2
The model is dynamic no only because he ela ionships (may) in ol e se e al pe i-
ods, bu also because in o ma ion abou wo ke s’ cha ac e is ics changes o e ime: a e
he agen has wo ked o a i m as a junio , he i ms and he wo ke himsel lea n his
compe ence as senio , which was ex-an e unknown o all ma ke pa icipan s. The e o e,
while all junio wo ke s a e indis inguishable, his is no he case o senio wo ke s as no
only hei esponsibili ies ( he p ojec hey wo k on), bu also hei abili ies may be qui e
diffe en . Consequen ly, we model a e y simple echnology o aining ha combines wo
dimensions o lea ning. Fi s , he e is lea ning because he inna e abili y o he wo ke is
e ealed h ough his aining as a junio and his in o ma ion becomes common knowl-
edge o he indus y. Second, he e is a lea ning-by-doing componen since wo king as
junio is a p e equisi e o la e unning a p ojec as a senio . In his espec , he pape is
ela ed, hough diffe en , o he li e a u e on on- he-job alen disco e y. Te iö (2009)
also p esen s a si ua ion whe e wo ke s’ inna e abili y is unknown o he ma ke (and
2In o he wo ds, we do no deal wi h i m-speci ic aining in he model. I he e is some i m-speci ic
abili y, wo ke s who change jobs in he second pe iod o hei li es lose hei i m-speci ic human capi al
and jus keep hei gene al aining in he indus y. This will end o dec ease he p o i abili y o sho -
e m con ac s.
4
he wo ke s hemsel es) un il hey ac ually wo k o a i m. Howe e , in Te iö’s pape
heobjec i eisdiffe en asheisconce nedby hepossibli y ha ma ke impe ec ions
hampe he p ocess o disco e ing alen .
In he model, a mo al haza d p oblem is p esen as senio wo ke s’ effo o decision is
no con ac ible. On he con a y, and jus o simplici y, we conside junio s’ effo o be
con ac ible. All he pa icipan s a e isk neu al and hey all ha e he capaci y o commi
o a long- e m con ac .3Howe e , wo ke s a e p o ec ed by limi ed liabili y: hei sala y
when junio and hei sala y when senio canno be lowe han ce ain h esholds.
We cha ac e ize equilib ia in his ma ke , which accoun s o he ype o con ac
offe ed by each i m and he cha ac e is ics o hese con ac s. Ou equilib ium concep is
close o he idea o “s abili y” used in he ma ching li e a u e ha has analyzed con ac s
in en i onmen s whe e he ma ching be ween i ms and wo ke s is endogenous.4To be
an equilib ium, an ou come ( ha is, a ma ching and a se o con ac s) mus be immune
o de ia ions. In ou en i onmen , a equilib ium, i mus be he case ha a i m canno
make mo e p o i by changing i s s a egy, ha is, by offe ing con ac s o wo ke s ha
make bo h he i m and he wo ke s be e -off han be o e.
We i s show ha i ms signing equilib ium long- e m con ac s offe low sala ies o
junio wo ke s oge he wi h he p omise o high ewa d when senio . This allows he i ms
o alle ia e he incen i e p oblem hey ace wi h senio agen s, imp o ing he efficiency o
he ela ionship and also hei p o i s. Since hey commi o do so, hese i ms will keep
he agen s when senio , i espec i e o hei abili y. Fi ms ha sign sho - e m con ac s
hi e junio agen s wi h no p omise o con inua ion. They also sign sho - e m con ac s
wi h senio wo ke s (who may o may no be he same hey hi ed he p e ious pe iod as
junio s); he e ms o he ag eemen may depend on he wo ke s’ abili y le el.
We ha e al eady a gued ha he op imal long- e m con ac always (a leas weakly)
3I no pa icipan can commi o a long- e m con ac , hen all mus be sho - e m con ac s. I he
pa icipan s in one o he sides o he ma ke , say he i ms, can commi while he o he s canno , hen
he e can s ill be oom o long- e m con ac s, bu hey a e ypically less efficien han in he en i onmen
wi h ull commi men . In e ms o he commi men possibili ies, we place ou sel es in he bes scena io
o he p e alence o long- e m con ac s.
4S abili y and compe i i e equilib ium a e e y close concep s. Any s able ou come is also a compe -
i i e equilib ium and ice- e sa. Fo (ea ly) ma ching models whe e he pa ies decide on money ins ead
o con ac s see, o ins ance, he o iginal con ibu ion by Shapley and Shubik (1972), and he excellen
e iew o he li e a u e by Ro h and So omayo (1990).
5

domina es any sequence o sho - e m con ac s when he iden i y o he pa ies ma ched
in a job con ac is p ede e mined. Howe e , sho - e m con ac s can be bene icial o
i ms when he i m-wo ke ma ching is endogenous. Sho - e m con ac s allow he
i ms o sc een wo ke s be o e pu ing hem in cha ge o leading a p ojec . This non-
commi men s a egy gi es i ms he eedom o ocus on he pa icula ype o senio
wo ke ha i s hei needs. The e o e, i ms acea ade-offbe ween choosing he op-
imal con ac o a gi en ma ch (long- e m a e supe io o sho - e m ag eemen s) and
selec ing a con ac ha allows a be e selec ion (hi ing high-abili y senio wo ke s is
mo e impo an o some i ms han o o he s).
The ma ke equilib ium depends on he cha ac e is ics o he se o i ms and he se
o wo ke s. We sol e he model o ma ke s whe e he e is a la ge p opo ion o low-
p oduc i i y (no mal) senio wo ke s and a small p opo ion o high-p oduc i i y senio
wo ke s (s a s) and whe e hese highly- alen ed wo ke s eally make a diffe ence in he
i ms heywo k o .
When only i ms wi h e y p o i able p ojec s exis in he ma ke , all o hem sign
long- e m con ac s a equilib ium. Each i m offe s he same ag eemen ha i would
offe i no ma ke would ha e exis ed. Mo e in e es ingly, we show ha , excep in his
case whe e he ma ke only consis s o i ms wi h e y p o i able p ojec s, he e is always
ase o i ms ha sign sho - e m con ac s wi h hei junio wo ke s and specialize in
a pa icula ype o senio s. Depending on he alue hey a ach o hei p ojec s, some
i ms always look o high-abili y while o he s hi e low-abili y senio wo ke s. Fi ms wi h
highly p o i able p ojec s gi e a g ea deal o ele ance o hi ing high-abili y senio agen s
o un hei p ojec s and, hence, hey a e willing o offe high wages o a ac hem.
As a esul , he expec ed u ili y o junio wo ke s when hey accep sho - e m con ac s
becomes highe because, i hey u n ou o be o high abili y, hey will ob ain a high
ewa d when senio . The expec a ion o his po en ial ewa d leads wo ke s o accep ,
when junio , a low wage. Fi ms wi h ela i ely poo p ojec s ake ad an age o his
educ ion in he wage o junio wo ke s. These i ms pu mo e weigh on he sa ings on
junio s’ wages han o he ac ha hey end up con ac ing wi h a low-abili y senio
wo ke . The e o e, a equilib ium, he i ms wi h he mos p o i able p ojec s use sho -
e m con ac s o ensu e he se ices o high-abili y wo ke s while he i ms wi h he leas
p o i able p ojec s use sho - e m con ac s o sa e in he cos o hi ing junio wo ke s.
6
In his sense, he ma ching be ween i ms and senio agen s is posi i e asso a i e, o he
se s ha choose sho - e m con ac s.5
The ade-offbe ween he ad an ages o long- e m and sho - e m con ac s is o en
sol ed in a o o he use o long- e m con ac s o i ms wi h in e media e p ojec s. The
likelihood o he coexis ence o he wo ypes o con ac s is highe as he dis ibu ion
o i ms is mo e biased owa d good p ojec s, he discoun a e is lowe , he diffe ence
be ween he ese a ion u ili y o junio wo ke s and he minimum sala y is lowe , he
diffe ence in pe o mance be ween high and low-abili y senio wo ke s is highe , and he
cos o he wo ke s’ effo is lowe .
Wo ke s ecei e pa o he inc eased su plus c ea ed by he op imal so ing o senio
wo ke s p omo ed by he sho - e m ag eemen s. Indeed, al hough all junio wo ke s a e
iden ical and hey pe o m iden ical asks, hose who sign sho - e m con ac s expec a
highe u ili y han hose signing long- e m con ac s. Long- e m ag eemen s allow he
i ms o a oid he compe i ion o he bes wo ke s, who ob ain high sala ies unde sho -
e m equilib ium con ac s.
In ou analysis, we ocus on ma ke s wi h a small p opo ion o e y alen ed senio
wo ke s ha makeadiffe ence o he i ms hey wo k o and whose le el o abili y is pub-
lic o all he i ms inside he indus y. Mo eo e , he human capi al acqui ed by senio s is
indus y-speci ic and no jus i m-speci ic. This model can p o ide a schema ic e sion o
he uni e si y job ma ke . The pe o mance o esea che s du ing he i s yea s a e he
comple ion o hei Ph.D., ha we can associa e o hei “abili y”, is public in o ma ion
since i can be measu ed, o ins ance, by hei publica ion eco d. In his job-ma ke
some uni e si ies offe Ph.D. g adua es a enu e ack posi ion ha gua an ees enu e i ,
a e he p oba iona y pe iod, he candida e sa is ies some p ede e mined pe o mance
c i e ia (in e ms o publica ions and o he measu es). The enu e- ack sys em co e-
sponds in ou model o sho - e m con ac s. O he uni e si ies sign enu e con ac s
om he e y beginning and ake he commi men o keeping he esea che independen
o he ou come o u he e alua ion (e en i con ac condi ions may indeed depend on
pe o mance). This co esponds o a long- e m con ac .
A s and spo s a e also examples o ma ke s whe e he abili y o senio s is well-known,
5See Leg os and Newman (2007) o condi ions unde which mono one ma chings eme ge in en i on-
men s whe e u ili y is no ully ans e able.
7
as i is subjec o public sc u iny h ough hei pe o mance and whe e his human capi al
is mainly indus y-speci ic. Singe s o socce playe s, o ins ance, may sign exclusi e
con ac s (wi h a s udio, a eco d company, o a club) o a long pe iod in which hey a e
p e en ed om eco ding an album o ano he company o playing wi h ano he club.
O he companies, howe e , choose o offe sho e con ac s, pa icula ly o young singe s
o playe s. The s a s o hese ma ke s, a ew indi iduals, a ain p ominence and success
and hei alue and ea nings a e signi ican ly g ea e han he ea nings o he s anda d
wo ke in he ma ke s. The same can be said abou su geons o c ea i es in ad e ising.
Finally, he ma ke o uppe execu i es also sha es some simila ea u es: hese high
execu i es a e well-known wi hin hei indus y and hei con ac s may (o may no )
include special clauses aimed a p e en ing hem om mo ing o ano he i m.
To he bes o ou knowledge, ou s is he i s pape o s udy how he choice o he
con ac ual leng h may be de e mined by ma ke in e ac ion. The e a e o he pape s ha
ha e s udied he implica ions o diffe en con ac ual a angemen s bu in widely diffe en
se -ups. Rice and Sen (2008) show how a educ ion in he leng h o a con ac can help
o alle ia e he mo al haza d p oblem when explici incen i es canno be included in he
e ms o he con ac . In hei pape , he op imal choice o he p incipal depends on
he balance be ween mo e incen i es o effo (sho - e m con ac s) and lowe wages
(long- e m con ac s).
The con ibu ion by Ghosh and Waldman (2010) compa es wo con ac ual a ange-
men s: up-o -s ay s. up-o -ou con ac s in a se ing wi h mul iple i ms compe ing o
a wo ke . The pape does no add ess he issue o endogenous ma ching since i s udies
he i ms’ Be and compe i ion in wages o a ac he single wo ke a ailable in he
ma ke . They show ha up-o -ou p e ails when i m-speci ic human capi al is low and
when high- and low-le el jobs a e simila . O he wise, s anda d (up-o -s ay) p ac ices a e
op imal. Simila o ou pape , Gha ak e al. (2001) s udy an o e lapping gene a ions e -
sion o a p incipal-agen p oblem whe e con ac s a e de e mined in gene al equilib ium.
In hei model, all young wo ke s a e iden ical bu ha e diffe en in es men possibili ies
when senio , depending on hei pe o mance. They do no allow o long e m con ac s
because hei he au ho s’ conce n is o explain he senio s’ decision be ween becoming
en ep eneu s o emaining wo ke s.
In ou pape , sho - e m con ac s ac as a o m o p oba iona y pe iod ha allows
8
i ms and wo ke s o achie e a be e ma ching. I is, he e o e, no a way in which i ms
y o es i he wo ke is good enough o he job, bu a he i allows senio wo ke s
o be ma ched wi h hose i ms whe e hey a e mo e p oduc i e. In his sense, he sho -
e m con ac se es as a so ing de ice. A ela ed, bu diffe en , a gumen can be ound
in Loh (1994) whe e i is a gued ha in oducing an employmen p oba ion can se e as
a so ing de ice as i will induce sel -selec ion by wo ke s. Fi ms offe ing p oba iona y
employmen will end o a ac wo ke s who a e mo e con iden abou hei capabili ies.
Finally, he coexis ence o ixed paymen schemes and incen i e-based paymen schemes
ela ed o he cha ac e is ic o he wo ke s is also p esen in a s a ic ad e se selec ion
amewo k whe e i ms compe e o agen s. Ma u es e al. (1994) s udy he choice o
compensa ion schemes by wo i ms ha compe e in a labo ma ke whe e agen s a e
he e ogenous and hey ha e p i a e in o ma ion abou hei ype. They show ha , in
equilib ium, i i ms a e no oo diffe en in he eyes o wo ke s, one i m offe s a wage
a e and he o he offe s a piece a e. By p oposing diffe en compensa ion schemes, i ms
induce sel -selec ion among wo ke s, which he eby dec eases he in ensi y o compe i ion
in he labo ma ke .
The emainde o he pape is o ganized as ollows. Sec ion 2 p esen s he model.
Sec ions 3, 4 and 5 analyze he candida e long- e m and sho - e m con ac s o equi-
lib ium. Sec ion 6 cha ac e izes he iden i y o he i ms and wo ke s ha en e in o he
ela ionship, he equilib ium sala ies, as well as he con ac s ha eme ge as a esul o
he ma ke in e ac ion. Finally, Sec ion 7 concludes.
2Model
We model he economy as an o e lapping gene a ion model whe e a each pe iod ,wi h
=12 , i ms con ac wi h wo ke s o de elop p ojec s. Fi ms a e in ini e-li ed playe s
and he se o i ms is cons an o all pe iods. On he o he hand, wo ke s (agen s) li e
o wo pe iods. Bo h, i ms and wo ke s discoun he u u e acco ding o he discoun
ac o ,whe e∈(01).
Allpa icipan sa eassumed obe iskneu al.Wealsoassume ha awo ke ,a any
age, enjoys limi ed liabili y o e income. This cons ain implies ha his wage in any
pe iod and con ingency canno be lowe han a ce ain h eshold .
9
…wJ
wJ
wJ
wJ
…
(wS, S)(wS, S)(wS, S)(wS, S)
– 1 + 1 + 2 …
wJw’Jw’Jw’J…
(wS, S)(wS, S)(w’S, ’S)(w’S, ’S)…
…wJ
wJ
wJ
wJ
…
(wS, S)(wS, S)(wS, S)(wS, S)
– 1 + 1 + 2 …
wJw’Jw’Jw’J…
(wS, S)(wS, S)(w’S, ’S)(w’S, ’S)…
Figu e 1: A i m conside s changing he con ac
The si ua ion is simila i a i m which is cu en ly offe ing he con ac  decides
o swi ch o a se ies o ST con ac s: i i s changes hecon ac i offe s o he junio
agen o be able o ully implemen he new s a egy in he subsequen pe iod. Also, we
ace he same si ua ion i a i m is cu en ly offe ing ST con ac s and plans o swi ch
o LT con ac s: i needs o change he ag eemen wi h he junio agen oday bu s ill
needs o hi e a senio agen h ough an ST con ac o be able o ully implemen he
change omo ow. Finally, when a i m swi ches om ST con ac s o ano he s eam o
ST con ac s in a pe iod, i can do i immedia ely, wi hou wai ing ill he subsequen
pe iod. Indeed, i can keep hi ing junio agen s unde he same condi ions as be o e ( ha
is, unde he lowes sala y ha he agen is eady o accep ). Whe he we compu e he
cos o he junio agen as 1
o isno ele an o hecompa isono p o i s in
he wo s a egies, since he i m pays he same cos unde bo h, he old and he new
con ac s.
The e o e, we can de elop he analysis o he (s a iona y) equilib ia o ou model by
ocusing on he p o i s i ms make in one pe iod, p o ided ha we conside he cos o he
junio agen as being gene a ed he p e ious pe iod, ha is, as long as we associa e a cos
o 1
, ins ead o , o he junio agen . F om now on, we will e e o his le el o p o i s
as “a i m’s one-pe iod p o i s” and we will deno e e=−1
+(−∆)−.A i m
hasincen i es oswi ch omcon ac  o con ac 0i and only i e()e(0).
16

4 Long- e m con ac s in equilib ium
Conside a i m ha owns a p ojec whose addi ional alue in case o success is ∈£ ¤
and ha signs LT con ac s wi h junio wo ke s. A each pe iod , he i m uns he p ojec
wi h hejunio agen ha i hi esa and wi h he senio wo ke ha i hi ed a pe iod
−1. The senio agen has abili y wi h p obabili y and abili y wi h p obabili y
1−, as his abili y was unknown a −1. As p e iously said, he abili y o he agen
is publicly known be o e he s a s wo king as a senio ; hence, he LT con ac signed a
−1may ha e paymen s con ingen on he abili y o he agen when senio .12
All wo ke s a e ex-an e iden ical and he e a e mo e junio wo ke s han posi ions
o ill. The e o e, a any pe iod he e a e unemployed junio agen s eady o accep
any LT con ac ha p o ides hem wi h an expec ed u ili y equal o hei ( wo-pe iod)
ou side u ili y +. Hence, he pa icipa ion cons ain (PC ) speci ies ha he o al
expec ed u ili y he wo ke ob ains in he ela ionship be a leas equal o +.
Following he discussion o he p e ious sec ion, a candida e LT con ac o equi-
lib ium (
∆
∆)maximizes he i m’s one-pe iod p o i s, also aking in o
accoun he ICCs and he limi ed liabili y cons ain s (LLC), ha is, i sol es
max
(∆∆)−1
+((−∆)−)+(1−)((−∆)−)
s. . +£(∆+−()2)+(1−)(∆+−()2)¤≥+
=1
22∆,=1
22∆
≥
≥
≥.
I he con ac does no sa is y he p e ious p og am, hen he i m can de ia e by offe ing
adiffe en accep able LT ag eemen o junio agen s and ob ain la ge discoun ed p o i s.
We s a e he cha ac e is ics o he candida e LT con ac in P oposi ion 2, whe e we
deno e
e≡q2
+(1−)2
,

1≡2
e 1
(−)+−and 
2≡4
e 1
(−)+−.
12As will be clea la e , his lexibili y has no effec on he op imal con ac . The e o e, a he candida e
equilib ium con ac , no hi d pa y needs o e i y he abili y o he agen .
17
P oposi ion 2 I i m is in he se R , heni offe s he ollowing LT con ac :
Region  :I 

1, hen
13
 ()=µ
=

=
=1
(−)+−1
422e2∆
=∆
=¶
Region  :I ∈£
1

2¤ hen
 ()=Ã
=

=
= ∆
=∆
=2
e 1
(−)+−!
Region  :I 

2 hen
 ()=µ
=

=
= ∆
=∆
=
2¶
We now explain he main cha ac e is ics o he LT con ac  (). Despi e he ab-
sence o isk a e sion, he mo al haza d p oblem o he senio agen induces an inefficiency
due o he p esence o limi ed liabili y ha es ic s he capaci y o he i m o induce
hesenio wo ke oexe ahigheffo . The e o e, he i m is in e es ed in elaxing he
senio agen ’s limi ed liabili y cons ain , which explains why i concen a es as much as
possible he agen ’s paymen s in his second pe iod o li e (i.e., he i mpays oayoung
wo ke he minimum possible wage: 
=.) Young agen s accep con ac s wi h a
low payoffbecause o he c edible p omise o be “well” paid when hey a e senio . The
limi ed liabili y cons ain s also explain why, unless is e y low, wo ke s a e paid he
minimum sala y i he ou come u ns ou o be a ailu e: 
=
=.
The impac o limi ed liabili y on bonuses and on payoffs ob ained by agen s and i ms
diffe s depending on he p o i abili y o he p ojec (as well as on he le el o agen s’
ese a ion u ili y +,cos o effo , and “a e age” p obabili y o success e).
Some cha ac e is ics a e shown in Figu e 2.
Fo high alues o (Region  ), heop imalbonusdependsonlyon he alueo
he p ojec . The i m sha es hal o he alue in he e en o success because i maximizes
p o i s when he senio agen supplies effo 
=1
42 o = . Gi en his bonus,
he wo ke ends up wi h a u ili y la ge han +(i.e., he ob ains in o ma ional
en s).
13In his egion, he e a e o he con ac s ha a e also candida es o equilib ium. Any combina ion
o ,and  ha sa i ies +(+(1−))+1
422e2=+andsuch ha each
a iable is highe han , is also a candida e as i would gi e he same p o i s o he i m.
18
R1LT R
(PC) does no bind
(LLC) binds
1/2 o FB e o s
(PC) binds
(LLC) binds
e o s inc ease in
UJ and US
(PC) binds
(LLC) does no bind
FB e o s
R
R
R/2






R2LT
Figu e 2: Incen i es in he op imal LT con ac s
Fo in e media e alues o (Region  ), he equilib ium paymen scheme also
depends on 
,and , as he pa icipa ion cons ain ( oge he wi h he lim-
i ed liabili y cons ain ) binds. Gi en ha he i m needs o p o ide a le el o u ili y
o +, i gi es i in e ms o bonuses, which lead o a senio agen ’s effo o

=
q1
(−)+− o = .
Finally, i mswi hlow- aluedp ojec s(Region ) gi e all he p ojec ’s e u ns o
he wo ke ( hey se ∆=)inexchange o a ixed paymen (a anchise- ype con ac ).
The e o e, agen s ob ain hei o al ou side u ili y +and hey p o ide, when
senio , he i s -bes le el o effo 
=1
22 o = .
Nex co olla y p o ides he exp ession o he i m’s one-pe iod p o i s o  ().
Co olla y 1 The i m’s one-pe iod p o i s unde  ()a e:
Region  :I 

1, hen
e ()=−1
−+1
422e2
Region  :I ∈£
1

2¤ hen
e ()=+1
e 1
(−)+−−1
[2−(1 + )]−2
Region  :I 

2 hen
e ()=+2e2
82−(1 + )

19
The p o i unc ion e ()is con inuously diffe en iable and con ex in .
5 Sho - e m con ac s in equilib ium
All i ms signing ST con ac s hi e simila young wo ke s, as hey a e indis inguishable
ex-an e. Conce ning senio wo ke s, hey can decide o hi e high-abili y o low-abili y
wo ke s.
Conside an equilib ium whe e some i ms sign ST con ac s. A ac ion o hose
i ms offe con ac s o high-abili y senio agen s. Deno e by  he (minimum) le el o
u ili y ha his ype o agen ob ains a he equilib ium.14 Simila ly, deno e by  he
(minimum) le el o u ili y ecei ed by low-abili y senio wo ke s. Bo h and need o
be highe han o equal o Addi ionally, gi en he limi ed liabili y cons ain and he
compe i ion among i ms, and, possibly, can be s ic ly highe han The e o e,
a junio agen is eady o sign an ST con ac ha p o ides a u ili y le el lowe han 
as long as he educ ion is no highe han he expec ed ex a u ili y he will ob ain when
senio . Fo mally, he sala y  ha he junio agen is eady o accep mus sa is y:
+[+(1−)]≥+,
whe e we deno e and  he expec ed u ili y o a high- and a low-abili y wo ke . Fo
example, i all he low-abili y wo ke s ob ain he same in all he possible jobs, hen
=.
The candida e equilib ium con ac o i m in R(R) o a high- (low-) abili y
senio agen mus be he op imal one-pe iod con ac o his agen , aking in o accoun
ha i mus g an him a le el o u ili y o a leas (); ha is, i sol es
max
(∆)+(−∆)−
s. . ∆+−()2≥
=1
22∆
≥
14Gi en he limi ed liabili y cons ain , simila senio agen s migh ob ain diffe en u ili y le els a
equilib ium. A i m wi h a e y high ends up p o iding i s senio agen a u ili y le el highe han as
i s pa icipa ion cons ain will no be binding (see also, Alonso-Pauli and Pé ez-Cas illo, o hcoming).
20
o = . Nex p oposi ion p o ides he candida e equilib ium con ac o hose
i ms, whe e we use he no a ion

1()≡2
p−and 
2()≡4
p−.
P oposi ion 3 I i m is in he se Rwi h ∈{ }, heni offe s he ollowing
ST con ac o a senio agen :
Region 
():I 

1(), hen

( )=µ
=−1
422
2∆
=¶
Region 
():I ∈£
1()

2()¤ hen

( )=µ
= ∆
=2
p−¶
Region 
():I 

2() hen

( )=µ
= ∆
=
2¶
In Region 
(), senio agen ’s effo is he i s -bes le el 
=1
22 while in
Region 
()his effo is lowe han he i s -bes le el: 
=1
√− In hese wo
egions, he agen ’s expec ed u ili y is Finally, in Region 
()whe e he p ojec is
e y aluable, he senio agen ’s effo is 
=1
42 o =  and he ecei es an
in o ma ional en . His expec ed u ili y in his egion is +1
1622
2

Co olla y 2 p o ides he exp ession o he i m’s one-pe iod p o i s unde 
( ),
deno ing 
 he equilib ium sala y paid o junio agen s.
Co olla y 2 A i m in he se Rwi h ∈{ }ob ains he ollowing one-pe iod
p o i s wi h 
( )
Region 
():I 

1(), hene
¡ 

¢=+1
422
2−−1


Region 
():I ∈£
1()

2()¤ hen
e
¡ 

¢=−2++1
√−−1


Region 
():I 

2() hen e
( 
)=−+1
822
2−1


The p o i unc ion e
¡ 

¢is con inuously diffe en iable and con ex in .
21

6 Equilib ium ma ching and equilib ium con ac s
The p e ious sec ions iden i y he equilib ium con ac s once we know he ype o ag ee-
men s i ms offe ( ha is, once he se s R ,Rand Ra e de e mined) and he le els
o u ili y and  ha hey mus gua an ee o low- and high-abili y agen s. In he
p esen sec ion, we cha ac e ize equilib ia whe e a leas some i ms offe ST con ac s.
The e o e, we iden i y he dis ibu ion o i ms in R ,Rand R, he le els and
and he minimum sala y  ha i ms mus offe o junio s unde ST con ac s.
We look o equilib ia whe e =. Low-abili y wo ke s do no ha e special skills
and he i ms will no compe e o hem.15 On he o he hand, he le el o will be
de e mined by he equilib ium condi ions, ha is, by he (ma ginal) i m’s willingness
o pay o a ac a high-abili y wo ke ins ead o ei he a ac ing a low-abili y one, o
signing an LT con ac .
We de elop he analysis o ma ke s whe e high-abili y wo ke s a e no abundan bu
hey make a diffe ence o he i m hey wo k o . Tha is, we conside en i onmen s wi h
many “no mal” wo ke s and some “s a s”. Assump ion 1 e lec s his idea, oge he wi h
he easonable hypo hesis ha he ou side ese a ion u ili y o a senio agen is la ge o
equal o ha o a junio wo ke (pa (i)). Assump ion 1 (ii) s a es ha he p opo ion o
high-abili y agen s is small enough. Finally, Assump ion 1 (iii) ep oduces he idea ha
he diffe ence among he wo ypes o agen is la ge enough.
Assump ion 1 The pa ame e s sa is y he ollowing condi ions:
(i) ≥,
(ii)  
1+2,
(iii) ³
´21+ 1
 
Why may some i ms be in e es ed in LT ela ionships while o he s p e e o secu e
high-abili y agen s h ough ST con ac s? E en mo e, why would a i m choose a s a egy
ha implies con ac ing low-abili y agen s h ough ST con ac s, ins ead o offe ing LT
con ac s and, some imes, bene i ing om high-abili y senio agen s? The wo main
equilib ium a iables ha make i ms p e e one o ano he ype o con ac a e he
15Howe e , a equilib ium he measu e o senio wo ke s wi h low abili y is he same as he measu e o
i ms looking o hem. The e o e, o he equilib ia may exis whe e 
 o all low-abili y playe s.
22
sala y o a young wo ke 
(o a he , he compa ison be ween 
and )and he
diffe ence be ween he cos o a high- e sus a low-abili y senio agen , ha is, −
The i ms ha ob ain la ge p o i s in he e en o success, ha is, i ms wi h a high ,
a e eady o pay a high p ice o always hi e a good senio agen gi en his added alue in
e ms o inc eased p obabili y o success. The e o e, i ms a he igh end o he in e al
£ ¤mus be hose mos in e es ed in signing ST con ac s o hi e high-abili y senio
agen s. Simila ly, i ms ha do no ca e much abou agen s’ effo , i.e., i ms wi h a low
, pay mo e a en ion o he po en ial sa ings hey can make in a junio ’s con ac i
hey offe him an ST con ac han o he gains ob ained h ough an LT con ac , o
by secu ing a high-abili y agen . The e o e, i ms a he le end o £ ¤a e he likely
candida es o sign ST con ac s o hi e low-abili y senio agen s.
Lemma1p o idesa i s con i ma ion o he p e ious in ui ions. I compa es he
slopes, in e ms o , o he p o i s ob ained om he diffe en ypes o con ac .
Lemma 1 Unde Assump ion 1, he slopes o he p o i unc ions sa is y he ollowing
ela ions:16
(a) 

 ( )
 (), o all ;
(b) 

 ( )

 ( 
), o all ,and o all≥;and
(c) 
 ()

 ( 
), o all ,and o all≥.
A i m’s ST p o i s inc ease wi h he alue o success when i hi es a low-abili y
wo ke . Howe e , his inc ease is smalle han ha o a i m’s p o i s unde he op imal LT
con ac (pa (a)). I is also smalle han he a e a which i s p o i s inc ease i i hi es
high-abili y wo ke s h ough ST con ac s (pa (b)). A highe implies a la ge in e es
in secu ing he se ices o a high-abili y wo ke , which explains he p e ious ela ions. A
simila a gumen gi es he in ui ion o pa (c) in he lemma.
Le usdeno eby he alue ha would “balance” he se o i ms i all he i ms
wi h 
would hi e low-abili y wo ke s while all he i ms wi h ≥would hi e
high-abili y wo ke s, ha is, is cha ac e ized by
()
1−()≡1−

16Lemma 1 (a) and 1 (b) do no depend on Assump ion 1. Howe e , i Assump ion 1 does no hold,
hen Lemma 1 (c) may ail i 
≡h2
+(1−)2

2
i£1
(−)+−¤+.
23
Also, we deno e b
 he alue ha makes he i m indiffe en be ween using LT con ac s
and hi ing low-abili y senio wo ke s h ough ST con ac s, when he junio sala y is

=, ha is, b
is cha ac e ized by
e (b
)=e
(b
 ).
As we check in Claim 1in he p oo o Theo em 1, unde Assump ion 1 i m b
lies in
egions  and 
()The e o e, we can easily calcula e b
:b
≡2
(2
−2
)p−.
We i s conside he case whe e b
∈[
) ha is, some o he i ms in he ma ke
ha e a low- alued p ojec , bu he e is a ela i ely high numbe o i ms wi h aluable
p ojec s.
Theo em 1 Suppose ≤b

, and deno e  he i m such ha ³b
´=
(1 −)(). Then, unde Assump ion 1, an equilib ium exis s whe e
(i) i ms wi h ≤b
offe ST con ac s:  o junio wo ke s and 
( ) o low-
abili y senio wo ke s,
(ii) i ms wi h ∈³b
 ´offe he LT con ac s  (),
(iii) i ms wi h ≥ offe ST con ac s:  o junio wo ke s and 
( 
) o
high-abili y senio wo ke s, whe e 
is such ha e ()=e
(
),
(i ) junio wo ke s accep bo h LT con ac s ha gua an ee hem +and ST con-
ac s wi h 
=,and
( ) senio wo ke s accep con ac s ha gua an ee hem .17
When is high enough, ha is, he popula ion o i ms is no concen a ed on low
le els o  hen, a equilib ium, i ms a e di ided acco ding o h ee hi ing s a egies.
Fi ms wi h low- alued p ojec s use ST con ac s and only hi e low-abili y senio s; i ms
wi h a high also use ST con ac s bu hey only hi e high-abili y senio s; and i ms wi h
in e media y s use LT con ac s.
The a ionale behind Theo em 1 is he ollowing. Fi ms wi h mo e p o i able p ojec s
gi e mo e impo ance o hi ing he high-abili y wo ke , and hey offe mo e o a ac
hem. This inc eases he expec ed u ili y o a junio wo ke when he accep s he ST
con ac : i he u ns ou o be o high abili y he will ob ain a la ge u ili y le el. The
17A equilib ium, high-abili y wo ke s ecei e a le el o u ili y o , a leas , 

.Howe e ,ou o
equilib ium, hey should be eady o accep lowe offe s, as long as hey gua an ee .
24
R
ˆR Ro
o
)(
~RE LT


S
ST
LUwRE ,,
~

R
o
R


oo
H
ST
HHwRE ,,
~

Sho Te
m
low-abili y
wo ke s
LongTe
m
Sho Te
m
high-abili y
wo ke s
Figu e 3: P o i unc ions a equilib ium
expec a ion o his po en ial ewa d leads wo ke s o accep a wage =when junio
which is unde hei ese a ion u ili y because hey will be compensa ed in he u u e
(in expec ed e ms) o his sac i ice. Fi ms wi h low  ake ad an age o his educ ion
in hewage ha canbeoffe ed o junio wo ke s who sign ST con ac s: hei alue o
he p ojec is low enough so ha he educ ion in he wage o junio agen s mo e han
compensa es he ac ha hey always end up hi ing low-abili y senio wo ke s.
Gi en he diffe ence in equilib ium sala ies be ween high- and low-abili y senio wo k-
e s, i ms wi h in e media y do no pe cei e a la ge diffe ence be ween hi ing one ype
o ano he . The e o e, i is be e o hem o p o i om he addi ional imp o emen in
efficiency due o he commi men hey make h ough LT con ac s.
Figu e 3d aws he LT and ST p o i s, as a unc ion o , o he equilib ium alues
o sala ies and u ili y . As shown in Lemma 1, he slope o e
( 
)is always
highe han ha o e ()which in u n is highe han he slope o e
( ).
A equilib ium, he ma ke p ice ha a i m has o pay in o de o a ac a high-abili y
wo ke (
), is such ha he h ee p o i unc ions c oss as shown in Figu e 3.
I iswo hno ing ha e en houghalljunio wo ke sa eiden icalwhen heysign hei
equilib ium con ac s and hey pe o m iden ical jobs, hei expec ed u ili y is diffe en
25
up ecei ing high emune a ion when ST con ac a e in place which, in u n, allows he
educ ion o he paymen o junio s, who o esee he p ospec s o a e y high wage when
senio s. Consequen ly, some i ms ha ing less luc a i e en u es20 may no be able o
e ain he high- alen ed wo ke s, bu hey indi ec ly p o i om he exis ence o such
wo ke sasi allows hem ohi ejunio sa amuchlowe cos .
A equilib ium, we o en ind ha wo ypes o i ms use sho - e m con ac s: i ms
in which he success o he p ojec depends e y much on he senio ’s effo , which always
end up hi ing high-abili y senio wo ke s; and i ms whose p o i s do no depend oo
much on he effo , which hi e low-abili y senio wo ke s. In e media e i ms may use
long- e m o sho - e m con ac s, depending on se e al ma ke cha ac e is ics. We show
ha coexis ence o bo h ypes o con ac is mo e likely when he e is a ele an ac ion
o i ms wi h p o i able p ojec s, when he ese a ion u ili y o young wo ke s is low and
he minimum wage is high, when he discoun a e is small, when he e is a la ge diffe ence
be ween he p oduc i i y o high- and low-abili y wo ke s, and when he agen s’ effo is
no oo cos ly.
In addi ion o he equilib ium wi h sho - e m con ac s ha o en exis s, he e always
exis s an equilib ium whe e all i ms choose a long- e m con ac s (see P oposi ion 1).
Howe e , we a gue ha , in ou en i onmen , whene e he equilib ium wi h sho - e m
con ac s and he one wi h only LT con ac s coexis , he o me is mo e “ obus ” o
“sensible” as he la e is a “kni e-edge” esul . The ull long- e m ou come is sus ained
by he ac ha , since no o he i m is choosing a sho - e m con ac , no i m can p o i
om he enhanced lexibili y ha sho - e m con ac s offe . A small amoun o i ms
wi h low- alued p ojec s and ano he wi h high- alued p ojec s ha e incen i es o swi ch
om LT o ST ag eemen s o ob ain highe p o i s.
Appendix
A P oo o P oposi ion 1
P oo . We i s no e ha ,inasi ua ionwhe eall i ms sign LT con ac s, i a i m
ollows he s a egy o offe ing ST con ac s o i s wo ke s, i necessa ily hi es as senio
20Fi ms whe e he ole o he senio is less impo an o he ou come.
32

agen a pe iod he same agen ha i hi ed as a junio a pe iod −1.Also, heonly
al e na i e occupa ion o he senio agen is o ge ou o he ma ke , since no o he
i m is in e es ed in hi ing him, independen on his abili y. Then, any sequence o ST
con ac s can be eplica ed as an LT con ac . The e o e, he op imal ST con ac s canno
gi e highe p o i s han he op imal LT con ac s.
B P oo o P oposi ion 2
P oo . Subs i u ing and by hei alue and mul iplying he objec i e unc ion by
, he i m’s p og am can be ew i en as:
max
(∆∆) + µ1
222
∆(−∆)−¶+(1 −)µ1
222
∆(−∆)−¶−
s. . + µ1
422
∆2
+¶+(1 −)µ1
222
∆2
+¶≥+(1)
≥
≥
≥.
Le  ,and be he Lag ange mul iplie s co esponding o he cons ain s. The
Kuhn-Tucke ( i s -o de ) condi ions o he abo e maximiza ion p oblem include he con-
s ain s, and he non-nega i i y o he mul iplie s: ≥0,≥0,≥0,≥0The
de i a i es o he Lag angian wi h espec o ∆and ∆a e:
 1
222
(−2∆)+ 1
222
∆=0 (2)
(1 −)1
222
(−2∆)+ (1 −)1
222
∆=0(3)
which imply ha ∆=∆, which we deno e ∆in he es o he p oo .
The de i a i es o he Lag angian wi h espec o ,and a e:
−1++=0
− + +=0(4)
−(1 −)+(1 −)+=0
which imply =1−,= (1 −)and =(1 −)(1−); he e o e, ei he he
h ee cons ain s a e binding o none is. The las Kuhn-Tucke condi ions a e:
∙+∙µ+1
422
∆2
¶+(1−)µ+1
422
∆2
¶¸−(+)¸=0
33
(−)=0
(−)=0
(−)=0
F om (2) and (4) we can deduce ha :
=2−
∆and = µ
∆−1¶
We s udy he diffe en egions whe e he Kuhn-Tucke condi ions may be sa is ied:
Case /1:0,0,0,0Paymen s when young and in case o ailu e a e
===and he bonus in case o success is ∆=2
q1
[(+)−(1 + )].
Finally, his is a candida e only i ∈[01], i.e.,
∈"2
e 1
[(+)−(1 + )]4
e 1
[(+)−(1 + )]#
Case 2 :=00
0,0.Then===,and∆=
2.In
his case he pa icipa ion cons ain holds only i ≥4
q1
[(+)−(1 + )]
(The candida e a he lowe bound o his case coincides wi h he candida e a he highe
bound o Case 1.)
Case 3:===0.Then=1and ∆=. We w i e he pa icipa ion cons ain
as
+(+(1−))+1
422e2=+
Any combina ion o ,and  ha sa is ies he p e ious cons ain and such ha he
h ee alues a e la ge o equal o cons i u es an op imal solu ion (in pa icula , he al-
ues p oposed in he p oposi ion). This can be he case only i +(+(1−))≥
(1 + ), ha is≤2
q1
[(+)−(1 + )].
Theuniquecandida e o each alueo is he op imal solu ion o he i m’s maxi-
miza ion p og am. F om he op imal con ac in each case, i is immedia e o compu e
agen ’s effo (s) and u ili y, and i m’s p o i s. Addi ionally, easy calcula ions show ha
he unc ion  ()is con inuously diffe en iable in .
34
C P oo o P oposi ion 3
P oo . Subs i u ing by i s alue in he i m’s p og am, we can ew i e i as
max
(∆)+1
222
∆(−∆)−
s. . 1
422
∆2
+≥
≥.
Le   be he Lag ange mul iplie s co esponding o he cons ain s. The Kuhn-Tucke
( i s -o de ) condi ions o he abo e maximiza ion p oblem include he cons ain s, and
he non-nega i i y o he mul iplie s: ≥0,≥0The de i a i es o he Lag angian
wi h espec o and ∆a e
−1++=0(5)
1
222
(−2∆)+1
222
∆=0(6)
F om (5) and (6) we can deduce ha :
=2−
∆
and =
∆−1
We s udy he diffe en egions.
Case /1:0,0Paymen a e =and ∆=2
√−. This is a candida e
only i ≥0and ≥0,i.e.,∈h2
√− 4
√−i
Case 2 :=00.Then=,and∆=
2. In his case he pa icipa ion cons ain
holds only i ≥4
√−
Case 3:=0.Then∆=, which implies =10. The pa icipa ion cons ain is
1
422
2+=The e o e, =−1
422
2≥i and only i ≤2
√−
Theuniquecandida e o each alueo is he op imal solu ion o he i m’s maximiza ion
p og am. F om he op imal con ac in each case, i is immedia e o compu e agen ’s
effo (s) and u ili y.
D P oo o Lemma 1
P oo . We highligh ha he h ee de i a i es ha we conside in he lemma, 

 ( ),

 (),and

 ( 
), ha e a simila shape: hey a e i s linea in un il hey
35
each some 1(ei he 
1(),o 
1,o 
1()), hen hey a e cons an un il hey
each a second h eshold 2and, om 2on, hey a e linea in again. The p oo o
he h ee pa s in he lemma is simila . We w i e a comple e p oo o pa (a) and we
poin ou he main elemen s o pa s (b) and (c).
(a) Fi s , no ice ha i lies in bo h egions 
()and  ,

 =1
222

1
22e2=
 The same compa ison holds i lies in bo h egions 
()and
 . Addi ionally, i lies in bo h egions 
()and  ,

 =1
p− 
1
eq1
(−)+−=
 
Second, i 
1≥
1()(and 
2≥
2()), hen 
 is inc easing in a
la ge egion o pa ame e s han 

 be o e becoming cons an (a a highe le el han


 in egion 
()). Finally, e en i 

 s a s inc easing again (i.e., i eaches
egion 
())be o e
 (because 
2()≤
2), i is always lowe han he
la e , since i is lowe e en when =
2, gi en ha we ha e seen ha 

 

o any which lies in bo h egions 
()and  .
Thi d, suppose 
1

1()(and 
2

2()). Gi en ha 

 is smalle
han 
 when 

 eaches he egion whe e i becomes cons an , and ha i is
ce ainly also smalle when i s a s inc easing again (because 
 has eached his
egion be o e), i is no possible ha he wo de i a i es c oss. The e o e, 

 

o any 0.
(b) I lies in bo h egions 
()and 
(),

 =1
222
 1
222
=


 The same compa ison holds in egions 
()and 
(). Also, i lies in
bo h egions 
()and 
(),

 =1
p−  1
√−=

 
The es o hep oo isiden ical o heoneinpa (a).
(c) Fo in bo h egions  and 
()(and simila ly in  and 
()),

 =1
22e2 1
222
=

 .I lies in bo h egions  and 
(),
hen 
 =1
eq1
(−)+−  1
√−=

 i and only i 
2
2
£1
(−)+−¤+. I his inequali y holds, he es o he p oo o Lemma
(c) is iden ical o he one in pa (a). A sufficien condi ion is
≥e2
2
∙1
(−)+−¸+(7)
which, gi en Assump ion 1 (i), is implied by (2
−e2)e2,i.e.,(1 −)(2
−2
)
2
+(1−)2
,o ,((1 −)−)2

2

(1+)(1−)Assump ion 1 (ii) implies ha (1−
36
)−0The e o e, gi en Assump ion 1 (iii), he inequali y holds i ((1 −)−)³1+ 1
 ´≥
(1 + )(1 −),i.e.,(1 −)−≥0which closes he p oo s.
E P oo o Theo em 1
P oo . We do he p oo h ough a se ies o claims.
Claim 1:I 
=, hen b


1()and b


1.
P oo o Claim1:I he alueb
 ha sa is ies e (b
)=e
(b
 )lies in bo h e-
gions  and 
()(i.e., b


1()and b


1), hen b
=2
(2
−2
)p−
Mo eo e , i is easy o check ha each o he inequali ies b


1()and b


1is
equi alen o he ollowing:
2
(−)¡2
−2
¢(−)(8)
Gi en Assump ion 1 (i), (8) is implied by Assump ion 1 (ii).
Claim 2: Conside he alue b
such ha e
³b
 
´=e
³b
 

=b
´.
I junio wo ke s an icipa e ha hey will ob ain a leas b
when senio i hey u n ou
o be high-abili y, hen hey a e eady o accep 
=.
P oo o Claim2: We p oceed as ollows. We conjec u e ha b
is such ha b


1³b
´=2
qb
− we will compu e he co esponding b
in his egion, and
hen we will show ha i is indeed he case ha b


1³b
´. The e o e, b
is de ined
by
−1

−+³
2´2b
2=−1

−b
+³
2´2b
2
i.e., b
=+¡1
2¢2(2
−2
)b
2o b
=+1
 (−)Fo his alue, 
1³b
´=
2
q+¡1
2¢2(2
−2
)b
2−.The e o e,b


1³b
´holds i and only i b
2
³2
´2h+¡1
2¢2(2
−2
)b
2−i, i.e., 2
b
2(2)2(−), which is equi alen
o (8). Finally, gi en b
, and aking in o accoun ha ≥b
and ≥,
a junio wo ke is eady o accep an ST con ac wi h 
whene e 
++
 ¡1
2¢2(2
−2
)b
2≥+, ha is, when 
≥.
Claim 3:e
¡ 
=¢e
¡ 
=
¢ o any ≥b
and
o any  b
.
37

P oo o Claim3:Gi en hede ini ion o b
in Claim 3,e
³b
 
=´≥
e
³b
 
=
´ o any ≥b
. Then, he claim ollows a e Lemma 1 (b).
Claim 4:e
¡ 
=¢max ©e
¡ 
=
¢e ()ª o
any  b
.
P oo o Claim4:The i s inequali y ollows a e Claim 3,also akingin oaccoun ha
 b
implies 
b
. The second inequali y ollows he de ini ion o b
and Lemma
1(a).
Claim 5:e ()≥max ©e
¡ 
=
¢e
¡ 
=¢ª o
any ∈hb
 i.
P oo o Claim5:The i s pa o he inequali y ollows a e he cha ac e iza ion o 

in pa ( i) o he heo em, by he p ope y ha 
b
and Lemma 1 (c). The second
pa ollows he de ini ion o b
and Lemma 1 (a).
Claim 6:e
¡ 
=
¢max ©e ()e
¡ 
=¢ª o
any 
.
P oo o Claim6: By he same a gumen as in Claim 5, he maximum o he wo e ms
inside he maximiza ion is e (). Then, he inequali y is implied by he cha ac e i-
za ion o 
in pa ( i) o he heo em, by he p ope y ha 
b
and Lemma 1
(c).
FP oo o Theo em2
P oo . Gi en ha he beha io o he wo ke s is op imal by cons uc ion, we p o e he
heo em i we show ha i ms’ s a egies a e op imal. We do i h ough a se ies o claims.
Claim 1:
≤− ¡
2¢2(2
−2
)
P oo o Claim1.Gi en ha ≥
and ≥,−(+(1−)−)≤
− ¡
2¢2(2
−2
)Mo eo e ≤− ¡
2¢2(2
−2
)because his inequali y
is equi alen o ≤b
.
Claim 2:≤
1(
)
P oo o Claim2:≤2
q+¡
2¢2(2
−2
)−i and only i ≤2
p−=

1()which is implied by he ac ha ≤b
and b
≤
1()(by Claim 1in
he p oo o Theo em 1).
Claim 3:
¡


¢=
¡

¢≥ ()
38
P oo o Claim3.Gi en ha ≤
1()and ≤
1(
) he i s equali y comes
di ec ly om he de ini ion o 
To p o e he inequali y, we no ice ha ≤
1
because ≤b
and b
≤
1(by Claim 1in he p oo o Theo em 1). Gi en ha
≤
1and ≤
1() he inequali y can be w i en as −
+¡
2¢2≥−−
1
(−)+³
2´2
By Claim 1,asufficien condi ion is −³− ¡
2¢2(2
−2
)´+
¡
2¢2≥−−1
(−)+³
2´2This inequali y holds because i is equi alen o
≤b

Claim 4:e
¡ 
¢max ©e
( 

)e ()ª o any 

P oo o Claim4: I ollows om Claim 3and Lemma 1 (a) and (b).
Claim 5:e
( 

)≥max ©e
¡ 
¢e ()ª o any ≥
P oo o Claim5: I ollows om Claim 3and Lemma 1 (b) and (c).
G P oo o Theo em 3
P oo . We ecall ha b
is cha ac e ized by e (b
)=e
(b
 ).I b
, hen
b
 o all ∈£ ¤. The e o e, Lemma 1 (b) implies e ()e
( )
o all ∈£ ¤. I easily ollows ha e ()e
( 
) o all ∈£ ¤,
≥and ≥. The e o e, a equilib ium, no ST con ac can be signed, since
i would imply ha some i ms choose he s a egy o keeping low-abili y senio wo ke s,
which is domina ed by he s a egy o always offe ing LT con ac s.
H P oo o Theo em 4
P oo . The p oo s o heo ems 1 and 2 and ha o Lemma 1 only use Assump ion 1 o
show ha he inequali ies (7) and (8) hold. The e o e, we p o e heo em 4 i we show
ha Assump ion 2 also imply (7) and (8). We w i e Assump ion 2 as
 ¡2
−2
¢(−)
2
(−)
and
(1 −)¡2
−2
¢(−)e2(−).
The i s inequali y co esponds o (8). Mo eo e , i is easy o check ha he second
inequali y also co esponds o (7) (wi h s ic inequali y).
39
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