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Measuring performance by integrating k-medoids with DEA: Mongolian case

Bayaraa, Batchimeg,Tarnoczi, Tibor,Fenyves, Veronika

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Bayaraa, Batchimeg; Tarnoczi, Tibor; Fenyves, Veronika Article Measuring performance by integrating k-medoids with DEA: Mongolian case Journal of Business Economics and Management (JBEM) Provided in Cooperation with: Vilnius Gediminas Technical University (VILNIUS TECH) Suggested Citation: Bayaraa, Batchimeg; Tarnoczi, Tibor; Fenyves, Veronika (2019) : Measuring performance by integrating k-medoids with DEA: Mongolian case, Journal of Business Economics and Management (JBEM), ISSN 2029-4433, Vilnius Gediminas Technical University, Vilnius, Vol. 20, Iss. 6, pp. 1238-1257, https://doi.org/10.3846/jbem.2019.11237 This Version is available at: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/317374 Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen: Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden. 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Published by VGTU Press This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons. org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. *Corresponding author. E-mail: [email protected] Journal of Business Economics and Management ISSN 1611-1699 / eISSN 2029-4433 2019 Volume 20 Issue 6: 1238–1257 https://doi.org/10.3846/jbem.2019.11237 MEASURING PERFORMANCE BY INTEGRATING K-MEDOIDS WITH DEA: MONGOLIAN CASE Batchimeg BAYARAA*, Tibor TARNOCZI , Veronika FENYVES Institute of Accounting and Finance, Faculty of Economics and Business, Károly Ihrig Doctoral School of Management and Business, University of Debrecen, Debrecen, Hungary Received 30 January 2019; accepted 18 July 2019 Abstract. Performance measurement encourages Decision Making Units (DMUs) to improve their level of performance by comparing their current financial positions with that of their peers. Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) is a widely used approach to performance measurement, though it is susceptible when the data is heterogeneous. The main objective of this study is to examine the performance of Mongolian listed companies by combining DEA and a k-medoid clustering method. Clustering facilitates the characterization and patterns of data and identification of homogenous groups. This study applies the integration of k-medoids and performance measurement. The research used 89 Mongolian companies’ financial statements from 2012 to 2015 – obtained from the Mongolian Stock Exchange website. The companies are grouped by k-medoids clustering, and efficiency of each cluster is evaluated by DEA. According to the silhouette method, the companies are classified into two clusters which are considered first cluster as small and medium-sized (80), and second cluster as big (9) companies. Both clusters are analyzed and compared by financial ratios. The mean efficiency score of big companies’ is much higher than that of small and medium-sized companies. Integrated results show that cluster-specific efficiency provides better performance than pre-clustering efficiency results. Keywords: financial performance, k-medoids clustering, data envelopment analysis, input efficiency, variable return to scale, decision making unit. JEL Classification: C38, C14, L25. Introduction The basis of all types of analysis is data. It is possible to face various data in everyday life, with or without any prior knowledge. However, further analysis cannot be made without knowing the pattern and the characteristics of data. Data classification – by grouping or clustering – is one means of primary analysis. Clusters have been determined in many ways, yet there is no single determination which is globally accepted. Cluster analysis is used for understand- Journal of Business Economics and Management, 2019, 20(6): 1238–1257 1239 ing (finding meaningful groups of objects that share common characteristics) and utility (to abstract the representative object from among many others in the same clusters) (Wu, 2012). Clustering techniques are divided into partitional and hierarchical types. The most popular and well-known partitional cluster technique is k-means, which is widely employed in research. Although k-means is a popular choice among partitional clusters, it is sensitive to outliers. On the contrary, the k-medoids algorithm is more robust and less sensitive to outliers. Research, which compared k-medoids with k-means, suggested the k-medoid was better in all aspects. For example, Arora and Varshney (2016) compared k-means and k-medoids in their research. Their results proved that k-medoids is better than k-means; as execution time, sensitivity to outliers and space complexity of overlapping are all less. Narayana and Vasumathi (2018) stated in their work that the k-medoids technique is more accurate and easier to understand than k-means clustering. Moreover, Patel and Singh (2013) studied a new approach for k-means and k-medoids algorithm and concluded that k-medoids improved accuracy. However, Arbin, Suhaimi, Mokhtar, and Othman (2016) evaluated k-means and k-medoids, and both methods were found to be good having mean errors less than three. The K-medoids algorithm, which was proposed by Kaufman and Rousseeuw (1987), was developed and investigated by various researchers from different fields. For example, HoKieu, Vo-Van, and Nguyen-Trang (2018) verified and compared the effectiveness and feasibility of the k-medoids method and algorithm with various other algorithms’ through artificial and real datasets. The results revealed an outstanding performance through the evaluation criteria. Park and Jun (2009) recommended a simple and fast algorithm for k-medoids clustering. In this work, a new algorithm – which runs like the k-means algorithm – was proposed. Mohammad, Zadegan, Mirzaie, and Sadoughi, (2013) examined ranked k-medoids. They introduced a new k-medoids algorithm, which can find all Gaussian-shaped clusters. Zhang and Couloigner (2005) suggested a new k-medoids algorithm for spatial clustering in large applications. Gandhi and Srivastava (2014) presented an overview of the modified k-medoids algorithm to improve scalability and efficiency. Sood and Bansal (2013) surveyed the combination of the k-medoids algorithm and the bat algorithm. Mei and Chen (2011) investigated medoid-based fuzzy relational clustering. Clustering itself is not the final result, rather it is a possible data input for further analysis. Therefore, the aim of the study was to improve the accuracy of performance analysis by integrating it with clustering. It must be mentioned that clustering methods have been used with efficiency analysis before. For example, Omrani, Shafaat, and Emrouznejad (2018) integrated a fuzzy clustering cooperative game with DEA model in an application to hospital efficiency. In their research, 288 hospitals from 31 provinces of Iran examined. Similarly, Jahangoshai, Rezaee, Jozmaleki, and Valipour (2018) integrated fuzzy C-means, DEA, and an artificial neural network. They obtained their data (from 2007 to 2012) from the Tehran Stock Market and used financial ratios as variables. Thakare and Bagal (2015) evaluated the performance of k-means with various metrics. They concluded that the performance of the k-means algorithm is based on the distance metrics as well the database used. Kim, Lee, and Kang (2018) integrated eight internal clustering efficiency measures based on DEA and proposed a new cluster validity index. Amin, Wan-Ismail, Abdul-Rasid, and Selemani (2014) analyzed some issues confront the DEA clustering algorithm. Kianfar Ahadzadeh Namin, Alam Tabriz, Na- 1240 B. Bayaraa et al. Measuring performance by integrating k-medoids with DEA: Mongolian case jafi, and Hosseinzadeh Lotfi (2017) examined a hybrid cluster and DEA. They concluded that there was a perceptible difference between the efficiency of DMUs with the upper bound and with the lower bound. Po, Guh, and Yang (2009) presented a new clustering approach using DEA. Bi, Song, and Wu (2014) proposed slack-based measure-based clustering method to classify the environmental performance of Chinese industry. Dai and Kuosmanen (2014) proposed benchmarking using the clustering method. They concluded cluster-specific efficiency ranking provides more efficient and meaningful benchmarking than the conventional approach. Moreover, some researchers integrated clustering with a parametric method such as, ‘Bayesian clustering in stochastic frontier analysis’ by Griffin (2011). According to the Mongolian Stock Exchange’s (MSE) research, 475 companies were registered for the last 10 years; however, 202 companies were delisted by March of 2019. This shows the need for the listed companies to be evaluated properly – by their performance – and make improvements based on best practices. From the researchers’ point of view, there is no published research used in financial statements’ parameters for k-medoids. Also, the data analyzed in this paper has high variability. Therefore, the algorithm of k-medoids is chosen instead of k-means; which is less sensitive to noise and outliers than k-means. Moreover, there is no published research using k-medoids for Mongolian companies, so this study applies k-medoids which is a comparably new clustering method. The main goal is to measure the performance of Mongolian listed companies. To do so, the following steps are made: – Fundamental statistical analysis to decide whether clustering is appropriate for the data; – Determination of the optimal number of clusters, using the silhouette method; – Identification of clusters by K-medoids; – Analysis of each cluster by ratio analysis; – Evaluation of the performance of each cluster, and comparison between the performance with that of pre-clustering performance. The remainder of this paper is organized in the following way. After the introduction, the first section reviews the literature on performance measurement, the DEA method, clustering, and the k-medoids algorithm. The second section presents data sets and variables used during the analysis. Section three consists of empirical results and the conclusions are presented in section four. 1. Literature review 1.1. Performance measurement Corporate performance is the measurement of what has been achieved by a company. Masri (2013) notes, ‘Performance measurement system is used by an organization not just to determine whether its objectives have been met but also as a means of comparing their performance with that of other DMUs (decision-making units)’. DMUs can be firms, organizations, divisions, industries, projects or individuals. Performance can be divided into two parts: efficiency and effectiveness, which are often confused. Neely, Gregory, and Platts (1995) described effectiveness as the extent to which Journal of Business Economics and Management, 2019, 20(6): 1238–1257 1241 customers’ requirements are met, while efficiency is a measurement of how economically the firm’s resources are utilized when providing a given level of customer satisfaction. In contrast, Cooper, Seiford, and Tone (2006) described effectiveness as goal achievement and efficiency as the evaluations of the resources used. The scope of this study is to evaluate efficiency, not effectiveness. Efficiency is the ratio calculated from input resources and output results, to evaluate whether the use of input resources is effectively employed for the outcome or not (Azadeh, Ghaderi, Miran, Ebrahimipour, & Suzuki, 2007; Ueasin, Liao, & Wongchai, 2015). The objective of efficiency measurement is to detect weak areas so that appropriate efforts can be devoted to improve performance. Efficiency (cost efficiency or overall efficiency) has two components: technical efficiency (ability to avoid waste by producing as much output, as input usage allows), and allocative efficiency (combining input and output in an optimal proportion based on prices) (MunisamyDoraisamy, 2004). Overall efficiency (cost efficiency) means the firm must be able to choose the right mix of inputs and use them in a technically efficient manner (Bogetoft & Otto, 2011) OE = TE × AE, (1) where OE is overall efficiency, TE is the technical efficiency, AE is the allocative efficiency. Since allocative efficiency requires price information, this research concerns technical efficiency only. Technical efficiency signifies a level of performance that describes a process which uses the lowest amount of inputs to create the greatest amount of outputs. It is noteworthy that technical efficiencies can be gained by sacrificing quality, since higher quality can be attained by reducing productivity and increasing costs (Sudit, 1996). In the simplest case – where a process or unit has a single input and a single output – technical efficiency is defined as: =y TE x , (2) where x is input vector, y is the output vector. Typically, DMUs use multiple inputs and outputs (Boussofiane, Dyson, & Thanassoulis, 1991) and in that case, efficiency is determined as: TE= =Weighted sum of outputs . Weighted sum of inputs TE (3) Efficient companies take a score of 1, so the efficiency score which is closer to 1 shows better performance. After calculating the efficiency score, inefficiency can be easily determined by subtracting the efficiency score from one. The smaller the inefficiency is, the better the performance is (Bogetoft & Otto, 2011). 1.2. Data envelopment analysis Efficiency measurement methods can be divided into three main categories: ratio indicators, parametric and nonparametric methods (Vincová, 2005). A significant difference between the parametric and the non-parametric approaches is the estimation method. DEA is a nonparametric approach to weigh the inputs/outputs and to measure the relative efficiency of 1242 B. Bayaraa et al. Measuring performance by integrating k-medoids with DEA: Mongolian case DMUs (Ablanedo-Rosas, Gao, Zheng, Alidaee, & Wang, 2010). The idea of DEA was first introduced by Farrell (1957) and developed by Charnes, Cooper, and Rhodes (1978). The general idea of DEA is considering DMUs to have the same technology set. The technology set is the set of outputs that can be produced by using available inputs which takes zero or positive numbers as input and output variables (non-negative). DEA determines two orientations: input efficiency and output efficiency. Input efficiency is appropriate when one is interested in minimizing inputs, and output efficiency when one is interested in maximizing output. Input efficiency: ( ) ( ) + = = ∈ ∈= 0 00 * 00 * ( , ; min{ | , }E Exy T ER Exy T , (4) where (x, y) means feasibility of the vector, and T* the smallest set which is consistent with the data. Input efficiency takes a value between 0.0 and 1.0. For example, a value of 0.6 obtained by the input-oriented method shows the possibility to produce the same output when the inputs are decreased by 40%. The frontier scale of DEA consists of constant return to scale (CRS) and variable return to scale (VRS). VRS consists of increasing (IRS) and decreasing return to scale (DRS) (Fenyves, Tarnóczi, & Zsidó, 2015). Choosing between DRS and IRS depends on the firm’s industry. In this research, the input efficiency VRS model by R statistical program is used. Decreasing Return to Scale: ( ) ( ) ∈ ≤λ≤ ⇒λ ∈=, , 0 1 , xy T xy T . (5) Increasing Returns to Scale: ( ) ( ) ∈ λ ≤ ⇒ λ ∈=, , 1 , xy T xy T . (6) Although CRS is the basic DEA model, it is appropriate when DMUs freely produce under their optimal size. But the heterogeneity of the data shows that there is not a perfect competition among the DMUs. Therefore, VRS model is chosen which is more realistic in this study. When a dataset contains wide-ranging companies, the importance of the performance measurement maybe questionable, therefore, performance measurement is integrated with clustering. 1.3. Clustering Clustering plays an essential role in helping people to analyze, describe and utilize the valuable information hidden in the groups (Wu, 2012). Cluster analysis is one of the data mining methods for discovering knowledge in multidimensional data. The primary goal of cluster analysis is to identify pattern or groups of objects within a data set which have high similarity. Clustering techniques are divided into the partitional and hierarchical. Partitional clustering methods directly divide data points into some pre-specified number of clusters without the hierarchical structure. In contrast, hierarchical clustering groups the data with a sequence of nested partitions, either from singleton clusters to a cluster including all of the individuals; or vice versa (Xu & Wunsch, 2008). Partitioning methods relocate instances by moving them from one cluster to another, starting from an initial partitioning (Rokach & Maimon, 2010). Journal of Business Economics and Management, 2019, 20(6): 1238–1257 1243 Based on the way to approach the center, cluster analyses are classified as: hard (crisp) clustering and soft (fuzzy) clustering (Ho-Kieu et al., 2018). The most common and wellknown hard clustering is k-means. The k-means is a simple and fast clustering method. Moreover, a k-means algorithm has the excellent ability to handle a large number of investigated data. The k-means algorithm applies a standard distance measure formula, to determine the similarity of the data repetitively, to obtain the high inter-cluster distance among clusters (Arbin et al., 2016). K-means clustering iteratively finds the k centroids and assigns every object to the nearest centroid (Park & Jun, 2009). The centroids are updated by taking the average of all data. Therefore, if there are outliers in data, the centroids will be pushed to the outliers. Extremely high values might substantially distort the distribution of data, which is the drawback of k-means. In contrast to k-means, k-medoids uses the most centrally located object in a cluster – instead of center mass – which helps to overcome the k-means’ drawback. 1.4. K-medoids algorithm K-medoids algorithm is computationally harder than that of the k-means due to computing the medoids using the frequency of occurrences. Clustering tendency, which shows whether the clustering is appropriate for the data, must be assessed, before employing a clustering algorithm. Afterwards, the number of clusters and algorithms must be determined. Finally, cluster validation (goodness of clustering results) should be done. According to Kassambara (2017), the most common algorithm of k-medoids clustering is the Partitioning Around Medoids (PAM) and is as follows: – Initialize. Randomly select k (number of the cluster) of the n data points as the ‘mediods’. Like k-means, k-medoids requires a pre-set number of cluster (k). There is no final approach to determining the number of clusters, but identifying an inappropriate number of clusters can lead to meaningless clusters (which do not exist). A useful approach to assess the optimal number of clusters is the silhouette method (Kassambara, 2017). – Calculate the dissimilarity matrix. A standard way to express similarity is through a set of distances between pairs of objects (Hartigan, 1989). Data within the group (intra-cluster) are similar, while data between the groups (inter-cluster) are different, based on the specific criteria. – Assign every object to the closest medoid. The closest medoid is defined by using any valid distance metric, most commonly: Euclidean distance (the root-sum-of-squares of differences), Manhattan distance (the sum of absolute distances) or Minkowski distance. Manhattan is more robust than Euclidean distances when data contains outliers. If any of the objects of the cluster decreases the average dissimilarity coefficient, select the entity that reduces this coefficient the most as the medoid for this cluster. Each clustering algorithm creates a different cluster for the same data, therefore, cluster validation is essential to determine whether the clusters are meaningful or just artifacts of the clustering algorithm. – There are three categories of validation: – External; used to select a suitable clustering algorithm; 1244 B. Bayaraa et al. Measuring performance by integrating k-medoids with DEA: Mongolian case – Internal: measures the compactness (within cluster variation), and the connectedness and the separation (how well-separated) of the cluster partitions; – Relative criteria (Kassambara, 2017). 2. Data and variables Mongolian companies are organized as public or non-public. Since public companies’ financial reports are required to be audited, their data is more reliable (than that of non-public companies) and is publicly available. In this research, 89 public companies’ financial statements (from 2012 to 2015) were obtained from the MSE (Mongolian Stock Exchange) and used as data. In 2009, the MSE started providing downloadable financial statements; though only nine companies’ financial statements were available at that time. In 2010, the number of publicly available financial statements rose dramatically to 100. However, the form of financial statements was changed in 2012, which made it difficult to compare the financial statements before and after 2012. Although there are 334 registered public companies, not all the companies were suitable sources for data. Some companies’ financial reports were deducted from research due to bankruptcy, lack of annual reports, and zero values in financial data. Only 137 companies out of 334, reported publicly their financial statements of 2015. The financial statements which are used in the research met the requirements of consistency, comparability, and accuracy. In this paper, total assets and revenue are chosen for k-medoids. Data includes companies in different sectors, including, services, mining, manufacturing, etc. The majority of costs in the service sector are operational costs, while the costs of goods sold were greater in manufacturing. Similarly, current assets constitute more in the service sector and less in the mining sector. Considering the characteristics of sectors, revenue and after-tax profit are chosen as output variables; while non-current assets, current assets, cost of goods sold and operational costs are input variables in the DEA. The descriptive statistics of each year are attached in Appendix 1. As we can see from Appendix 1, the coefficients of variation are remarkably high (> 200%), especially for the last variable (after-tax profit > 400%). The high values of the coefficients of variation indicate that the variability and heterogeneity are also extremely high. From Appendix 1, it is apparent that the values of the kurtosis indicator are high, positive values, which means that the data are predominating around the average value. The values of the skewness indicator are also positive which indicates the density functions of the variables have longer tails on the right side, and the mass of the distribution is concentrated on the left side. Figure 1 presents the high variability of the investigated variables which can be seen in Appendix 1. The descriptive statistics of the four years’ average values are presented in Table 1. The Interquartile Range (IQR) indicators, which show the range of the middle 50% of the data, were calculated by using the average values of the variables. It is apparent from Table 1 that the IQRs of given variables represent only a fraction of their total ranges (0.72–7.43%). Additionally, more than 90% of the total range of the variables is in the fourth quartile. Overall, the statistical characteristics show similar tendencies to the annual data in Appendix 1. The variables have huge variability, and the more significant part of their total range is located in Journal of Business Economics and Management, 2019, 20(6): 1238–1257 1245 Figure 1. Heterogeneity across years – differences among the companies (source: author’s calculation by R Studio) 1252 B. Bayaraa et al. Measuring performance by integrating k-medoids with DEA: Mongolian case Bi, G., Song, W., & Wu, J. (2014). A clustering method for evaluating the environmental performance based on slacks-based measure. 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Quartile 165 420 782 200 19 94 0 Median 854 1,286 2,154 924 376 422 11 3. Quartile 5,281 8,306 13,588 8,658 4,353 1,224 453 Maximum 105,495 267,542 291,633 229,514 142,790 39,669 80,021 Mean 6,689 13,945 20,633 13,492 8,562 2,478 2,022 Standard deviation 15,083 38,744 47,659 36,149 21,906 6,306 9,455 Coefficient of variation 225.50% 277.84% 230.98% 267.92% 255.86% 254.45% 467.67% Skewness 4.09 4.58 3.67 4.25 3.92 3.96 6.66 Kurtosis 20.53 23.50 14.82 19.70 17.33 16.58 49.95 2013 Minimum 3 5 21 2 0 0 –5,259 1. Quartile 171 492 892 258 96 104 –44 Median 1,095 1,296 3,390 1,291 800 430 21 3. Quartile 6,161 10,409 14,928 7,411 6,201 2,029 298 Maximum 105,217 360,649 402,889 233,290 155,390 48,554 62,096 Mean 8,185 18,160 26,345 16,966 11,295 3,301 1,792 Standard deviation 18,880 50,712 63,663 42,024 27,915 8,509 8,849 Coefficient of variation 230.68% 279.25% 241.65% 247.69% 247.15% 257.79% 493.81% Skewness 3.56 4.54 3.87 3.42 3.54 3.81 5.52 Kurtosis 13.34 23.73 16.38 11.78 12.95 14.58 31.46 2014 Minimum 2 5 23 4 0 0 –14,174 1. Quartile 168 510 1,000 372 107 117 –41 Median 1,233 1,692 5,063 1,535 750 441 11 3. Quartile 7,490 8,858 16,276 9,145 7,355 2,334 463 Maximum 101,021 233,295 334,316 255,895 154,619 66,141 43,794 Mean 7,745 17,161 24,907 15,618 10,505 3,849 1,101 Standard deviation 16,728 41,785 55,186 39,714 25,103 10,424 6,425 Coefficient of variation 215.98% 243.48% 221.57% 254.29% 238.96% 270.82% 583.78% Skewness 3.48 3.43 3.61 4.10 3.77 4.07 4.63 Kurtosis 13.15 11.88 14.36 18.66 15.82 17.54 26.48 Journal of Business Economics and Management, 2019, 20(6): 1238–1257 1255 Years The name of statistical characteristics Current assets Noncurrent assets Assets Revenue Cost of goods sold Operational costs After-tax profit 2015 Minimum 1 5 24 0 0 0 –3,505 1. Quartile 205 587 1,153 234 82 143 –61 Median 1,386 1,783 4,707 1,053 618 432 22 3. Quartile 8,326 10,634 19,092 8,444 6,378 2,036 348 Maximum 88,985 420,903 448,809 240,637 191,124 72,455 30,072 Mean 8,586 23,549 32,135 17,208 12,154 3,912 835 Standard deviation 18,465 62,275 74,707 44,021 31,411 10,846 4,128 Coefficient of variation 215.06% 264.44% 232.48% 255.83% 258.44% 277.27% 494.11% Skewness 3.24 4.04 3.50 3.58 3.77 4.32 5.51 Kurtosis 10.26 18.83 13.02 12.86 15.18 20.19 32.52 End of Appendix 1 1256 B. Bayaraa et al. Measuring performance by integrating k-medoids with DEA: Mongolian case APPENDIX 2 Determination of the optimal cluster numbers by silhouette method Optimal cluster number in 2012 Optimal cluster number in 2013 Optimal cluster number in 2014 Optimal cluster number in 2015 Journal of Business Economics and Management, 2019, 20(6): 1238–1257 1257 APPENDIX 3 The clustering plot