Local DSA and HSN for epidemic tracking and forecasting

−2.0 −1.5 −1.0 −0.5 0.0 0 10 20 30 tstart lnbeta est log(beta) estimates −2.0 −1.5 −1.0 −0.5 0.0 0 10 20 30 tstart lndelta est log(delta) estimates −2.0 −1.5 −1.0 −0.5 0.0 0 10 20 30 tstart lngamma est log(gamma) estimates 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 0 10 20 30 tstart lnR0 est log(R0) estimates