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Special Issue: How to Cope With Divergence in an Enlarging European Union?

Hein, Eckhard,Truger, Achim

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Hein, Eckhard; Truger, Achim Article Special Issue: How to Cope With Divergence in an Enlarging European Union? Intervention. Zeitschrift fuer Ökonomie / Journal of Economics Provided in Cooperation with: Edward Elgar Publishing Suggested Citation: Hein, Eckhard; Truger, Achim (2007) : Special Issue: How to Cope With Divergence in an Enlarging European Union?, Intervention. Zeitschrift fuer Ökonomie / Journal of Economics, ISSN 2195-3376, Metropolis-Verlag, Marburg, Vol. 04, Iss. 2, pp. 277-279, https://doi.org/10.4337/ejeep.2007.02.07 This Version is available at: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/277108 Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen: Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden. Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen. Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort genannten Lizenz gewährten Nutzungsrechte. Terms of use: Documents in EconStor may be saved and copied for your personal and scholarly purposes. You are not to copy documents for public or commercial purposes, to exhibit the documents publicly, to make them publicly available on the internet, or to distribute or otherwise use the documents in public. If the documents have been made available under an Open Content Licence (especially Creative Commons Licences), you may exercise further usage rights as specified in the indicated licence. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ © Intervention 4 (2), 2007, 277 – 279 Special Issue: How to Cope With Divergence in an Enlarging European Union? Editorial to the Special Issue Eckhard Hein* and Achim Truger** Although growth in the European Union (EU), and in particular in Germany, one of the Euro area’s former »sick men«, has speeded up in 2006, the EU and particularly the Euro area continue to face major economic problems. Th ese problems are caused by the restrictive »Maastricht economic policy regime«. To put it shortly, this regime is dominated: – by the European Central Bank’s (ECB) exclusive focus on price stability and its overly ambitious infl ation target, – by the lack of fi scal stabilisation imposed by the Stability and Growth Pact (SGP), even in its revised version, – and by the focus on structural reforms, particularly in the labour market, which – together with high unemployment – continue to undermine the wage bargainers’ ability to set wages with an eye to macroeconomic stability. Above all, the latter will exert defl ationary pressure on the Euro area as a whole as soon as the next recession materialises. Th is in turn will not only exacerbate the economic problems within the EU but it might even endanger the political project of European integration as such. Against the background of this restrictive policy mix, EU enlargement and the inclusion of the central and eastern European countries has considerably increased the degree of nominal and real diff erences within this economic area. And it is not at all clear whether and how the EU will be able to cope with these diff erences and the already existing tendencies of divergence among the »old« member states. Th e 10th workshop of the Research Network Macroeconomic Policies in October 2006 in Berlin therefore focused on »European Integration in Crisis«. Th e papers presented at this workshop attempted to evaluate the state of European economic integration, the economic policy strategies applied, and the perspectives for economic and currency in- * Macroeconomic Policy Institute (IMK) in the Hans Böckler Foundation, Düsseldorf, and Vienna University of Economics and Business Administration. ** Macroeconomic Policy Institute (IMK) in the Hans Böckler Foundation, Düsseldorf. 278 Intervention. Journal of Economics tegration. In this special issue we have included four papers dealing with the problem of divergence in an enlarging EU from diff erent angles, but with a focus on monetary and fi nancial issues.1 Catherine Mathieu and Henri Sterdyniak focus on »How to Deal With Economic Divergences in EMU?« Th ey argue that since the launch of the euro, persistent and even rising disparities among member states have made it diffi cult to implement common economic policies. Mathieu and Sterdyniak consider four explanations for Euro area disparities and imbalances: fi rst, the benefi ts of the single currency for catching-up countries; second, the weaknesses of the Euro area economic policy framework; third, the implementation of non-cooperative domestic policies inducing excessive competition and insuffi cient coordination hurting mainly the larger economies; and fourth, the crisis of the European continental model in a global world. Four economic policy strategies to cope with these tendencies are then discussed: fi rst, increasing market fl exibility; second, moving towards the knowledge society of the Lisbon Agenda; third, re-nationalising economic policies; and fourth, introducing a more growth-oriented policy framework. In »International Capital Flows Within the European Monetary Union: Increasing Economic Divergence Between the Centre and the Periphery«, Sergio Rossi aims at investigating some neglected consequences of free capital mobility in the Euro area. His approach is based on the book-keeping nature of money, which shows that capital – in the form of bank deposits – is mobile within a currency area but actually immobile between diff erent monetary areas. Rossi argues that within the Euro area both shortand long-term investments are directed into those economies with the highest return on investment. Since the return on investment is positively related to the rate of real growth, economic divergence might increase between member countries of the EMU. Th is will give rise to a higher rate of unemployment in those member countries that suff er from net capital outfl ows, whereas the other countries in the same area will benefi t. Michael Holz argues in favour of »Asset-Based Reserve Requirements: A New Monetary Policy Instrument for Targeting Diverging Real Estate Prices in the Euro area«. Since the ECB has to conduct monetary policy for the Euro area as a whole, its policies aff ect countries with rapidly rising housing prices (e. g. Spain) in a markedly diff erent way than those with stagnating housing prices (like Germany). Th erefore, in order to deal with divergent real estate prices within the Euro area, interest rate policy is not the appropriate instrument according to Holz. But he argues that »fi ne tuning« may be possible with the help of asset-based reserve requirements. All fi nancial institutions would be forced to deposit them at the ECB with reserve rates being free to vary between countries. Reserve rates should be highest in those countries where appropriate indicators signal a housing price bubble. In »Capital Flows, Turbulences, and Distribution: Th e Case of Turkey«, Özlem Onaran deals with the mechanism of the boom-bust cycles in the context of domestic and international fi nancial liberalisation in Turkey as a developing potential accession coun1 Further papers from the conference have been published in Hein / Priewe / Truger (2007). E ck ha rd Hein / A chim Truger: E ditoria l to t he Sp ecia l I ssue 279 try. She also analyses the eff ects of crises and exchange rate volatility on functional income distribution. Turkey has experienced two severe crises in 1994 and 2001 after the liberalisation of capital fl ows and has also been hit the hardest during the May-June 2006 turbulences. Th e paper analyses the recent turbulences in the global economy and their consequences for an emerging market country also as a case study to illustrate the endogenous formation of expectations. According to Onaran, the recovery in Turkey after the turmoil is not based on a solution to the structural causes of the problem, since it has completely depended on the reversal of the capital outfl ows thanks to high interest rates. Th e longterm eff ects of this process are not yet clear. We would like to thank the contributors to this special issue for their cooperation, the referees for their timely and constructive reports, and the participants in the conference for the stimulating discussions. Special thanks go to Barbara Schnieders for the assistance in the editing process and to the Hans Böckler Foundation for organisational and fi nancial support of the conference and the publications, and – in particular on the occasion of the 10th workshop – for the support of the activities of the Research Network Macroeconomic Policies during the last decade. References Hein, Eckhard / Priewe, Jan / Truger, Achim (eds.) (2007): European Integration in Crisis, Marburg: Metropolis