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What makes risk-averse investors tick? A practitioners guide

Van den Bergh-Lindeque, Anzel,Ferreira-Schenk, Sune,Dickason Koekemoer, Zandri,Habanabakize, Thomas

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Van den Bergh-Lindeque, Anzel; Ferreira-Schenk, Sune; Dickason Koekemoer, Zandri; Habanabakize, Thomas Article What makes risk-averse investors tick? A practitioners guide Cogent Economics & Finance Provided in Cooperation with: Taylor & Francis Group Suggested Citation: Van den Bergh-Lindeque, Anzel; Ferreira-Schenk, Sune; Dickason Koekemoer, Zandri; Habanabakize, Thomas (2022) : What makes risk-averse investors tick? A practitioners guide, Cogent Economics & Finance, ISSN 2332-2039, Taylor & Francis, Abingdon, Vol. 10, Iss. 1, pp. 1-20, https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2022.2111786 This Version is available at: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/303751 Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen: Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden. Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen. 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A practitioners guide Anzel Van den Bergh-Lindeque, Sune Ferreira-Schenk, Zandri DickasonKoekemoer & Thomas Habanabakize To cite this article: Anzel Van den Bergh-Lindeque, Sune Ferreira-Schenk, Zandri Dickason-Koekemoer & Thomas Habanabakize (2022) What makes risk-averse investors tick? A practitioners guide, Cogent Economics & Finance, 10:1, 2111786, DOI: 10.1080/23322039.2022.2111786 To link to this article: https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2022.2111786 © 2022 The Author(s). This open access article is distributed under a Creative Commons Attribution (CC-BY) 4.0 license. Published online: 21 Aug 2022. Submit your article to this journal Article views: 1917 View related articles View Crossmark data Citing articles: 1 View citing articles Full Terms & Conditions of access and use can be found at https://www.tandfonline.com/action/journalInformation?journalCode=oaef20 FINANCIAL ECONOMICS | RESEARCH ARTICLE What makes risk-averse investors tick? A practitioners guide Anzel Van den Bergh-Lindeque 1 , Sune Ferreira-Schenk 2 , Zandri Dickason-Koekemoer 3 * and Thomas Habanabakize 4 Abstract: The real challenge to many practitioners in the financial and investment sector is to accurately profile risk-averse investors to still be inclusive of these investors in the wealth creation process. This study aims to profile risk-averse investors through a structural equation model based on endogenous and exogenous factors. The final sample size consisted of 463 individual investors in the economic hub of South Africa, Gauteng province. These endogenous and exogenous factors may bring about increases or decreases in the risk tolerance levels of investors and accordingly, influence their decisions to initiate, amend or terminate financial behaviours. These factors significantly contributed towards explaining lowrisk tolerance behaviour, which assisted with the successful development of a model to profile the risk tolerance behaviour of risk-averse investors. This risk profiling model makes a remarkable and unique contribution to the field of study and the financial industry, since it will assist financial practitioners to profile the risk tolerance behaviour of risk-averse investors more accurately, which will lead to the successful implementation of investment strategies. Subjects: Multidisciplinary Psychology; Cognitive Psychology; Economics; Finance Keywords: risk-averse; investors; low-risk tolerance behaviour; endogenous factors; exogenous factors; risk profiling; investment decisions; structural equation modelling; South Africa 1. Introduction Warren Buffet asserted that “investing is simple, but not easy”. The difficulties that investors and financial practitioners are confronted with in the identification and implementation of suitable investment strategies are represented by this eloquent phrase (Jacobsen et al., 2014). These difficulties frequently take on preferences that relate to how risk is perceived by investors and accordingly, how they behave towards risk. The issue with not considering risk tolerance is that perceptions lead to actions. In traditional finance theory, it is stipulated that investors make rational investment decisions to maximise their return on investment (Baghani & Sedaghat, 2014; Chaudhary, 2013). Nonetheless, in the real world, decisions made by investors deviate from theory and are primarily driven by their attitudes and perceptions towards risk (Jacobsen et al., 2014; Van den Bergh, 2018). Mutswenje (2014) affirmed that investors have a tendency to behave irrationally with uncertainty and fear of loss for the future, irrespective of how well-educated they are and their considerable level of financial and investment knowledge. Due to the effect of financial choices and every day changes on investment activities, the willingness and abilities to take risks differ among investors (Gilliam et al., 2010). Investment decisions are often driven by the investors’ risk perception rather than the actual risk involved in investing (Davey, 2012). Therefore, it is important to understand the behaviours associated with risks. Van den Bergh-Lindeque et al., Cogent Economics & Finance (2022), 10: 2111786 https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2022.2111786 Page 1 of 20 Received: 13 December 2021 Accepted: 06 August 2022 *Corresponding author: Z. DickasonKoekemoer, Director of Trade Research Entity, North-West University, PO BOX 81, Meyerton, South Africa E-mail: [email protected] Reviewing editor: David McMillan, University of Stirling, Stirling, UK Additional information is available at the end of the article © 2022 The Author(s). This open access article is distributed under a Creative Commons Attribution (CC-BY) 4.0 license. Risk tolerance is a prominent concept applied in the financial industry and it is considered when planning and selecting the investment strategies of investors (Rutgers, 2014). Risk tolerance is referred to as the willingness to partake in risky behaviour where there is a possibility that the expected outcome may be unfavourable (Davey & Resnik, 2008; Grable, 2017; Irwin, 1993). Measuring risk tolerance can be difficult as subjectivity plays a part when taking risks. When assessing risk, two major elements need to be considered. These elements are risk attitude, which is the amount of risk a given investor is willing to take, and risk capacity, which refers to the amount of risk a given investor can take. Risk attitude covers psychological and personality aspects, while risk capacity covers financial aspects (Boone & Lubitz, 2003). Additionally, to the financial and psychological aspects of risk tolerance, the latter can either be objective or subjective. The subjective aspect of risk tolerance is generally grounded in the economic theory of risk aversion. The objective aspect is grounded on Malkiel’s notion of household financial situation, which affirms that investors’ abilities to take risks depend on their financial conditions (Malkiel, 1996). Accordingly, the willingness of investors to tolerate risks can be measured through risk assessment forms. Risk assessment forms are utilised by financial practitioners to measure the risk tolerance of investors with the intention of matching the investor’s risk profile with a selection of suitable investments (Coronation Fund Managers, 2013). However, these forms are not comprehensive enough to consider all the factors that could influence the willingness of investors to tolerate risks. The measurement of risk tolerance is multifaceted and surpasses the completion of a simple risk assessment form. Investors and financial practitioners need to apply four factors when constructing investment strategies, namely financial circumstances, financial needs, risk capacity and risk appetite. The relations between these four frequently contradictory factors are astonishingly multifaceted (Coronation Fund Managers, 2018). Hence, the main problem statement of this study is formulated against the fact that existing and conventional risk assessment forms used by practitioners in the financial industry have shortcomings as it is not comprehensive enough to consider all the factors that may affect the risk tolerance behaviour of investors when making investment decisions. Although several studies have been conducted by researchers, such as Grable et al. (2009), Larkin et al. (2013), Baghani and Sedaghat (2014), Mutswenje (2014), Kuzniak and Grable (2017), Hemrajani and Sharma (2018), and Dickason and Ferreira (2019), as well as Lawrenson (2020), to investigate the factors that influence the risk tolerance of investors when making investment decisions, there is no evident studies that examined the influence of a multitude of both endogenous and exogenous factors on investor risk tolerance behaviour. Previous research studies have also not focused on and addressed the deficiencies of existing and conventional risk assessment forms used by practitioners in the financial industry. Furthermore, South Africa can be a high-risk investment for those investors who usually are less inclined to take on risks. Such risk-averse investors tend to take fewer risks or are not able to take any risks, and consequently, tend to accept lower returns to preserve the real value of their investment portfolios (Goodall, 2005). The real challenge to many practitioners in the financial industry is to accurately profile the risk tolerance behaviour of riskaverse investors to still be inclusive of these investors in the wealth creation process. Therefore, the primary objective of this study is to construct a model that will assist to profile the risk tolerance behaviour of risk-averse investors based on endogenous and exogenous factors. 2. Literature review This section of the paper contextualises the risk profile process and the endogenous and exogenous factors influencing investor risk tolerance behaviour. Nobre and Grable (2015) asserted that investors expect investment companies to construct, measure and evaluate strategies that will assist them to make successful investment decisions. Financial planners are operating in an environment where it is prudent and legally required to be acquainted with investors’ financial, attitudinal and emotional circumstances before making Van den Bergh-Lindeque et al., Cogent Economics & Finance (2022), 10: 2111786 https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2022.2111786 Page 2 of 20 recommendations with regard to investment decisions (Brayman et al., 2017). Risk assessment forms, which are constructed on the basis of institutional intellect with reference to rational investor behaviour, are employed by financial practitioners to measure the risk tolerance behaviour of investors (Coronation Fund Managers, 2016; Di Dottorato, 2013). Nevertheless, as emphasised by Brayman et al. (2017) a lack of regulatory guidance on risk profiling in the financial industry led to a varied approach to risk profiling assessments. There have been many deliberations regarding risk profiling and its significance, or deficiency thereof, to establish suitable investment strategies for investors. The main problem is formulated against the fact that existing and traditional risk assessment forms used by practitioners in the financial industry have shortcomings. It is not comprehensive enough to consider all the factors that may affect the risk tolerance behaviour of investors when making investment decisions. The current risk profiling approach in the financial industry involves a standardised and one-size-fits-all approach (Masthead, 2019). Dickason (2017) also indicated that risk assessment forms used by financial planners do not make provision to examine and measure irrational behaviour of investors. Moreover, the gathering of information is a key step in the investment planning process. It is vital that the correct questions are asked to obtain a comprehensive understanding of the investor (Masthead, 2019). Investors will provide financial planners with valuable information that should be employed to determine their risk tolerance behaviour. Financial planners need to be discerning given that the information will come from effective communication with the investors and not from standardised risk assessment forms as it consists of too few questions and the incorrect types of questions (Jacobsen et al., 2014; Kitches, 2018). Brayman et al. (2017) stated that it is argued that only asking a few questions cannot adequately measure the elements associated with an investor’s risk profile. A wider range of possible outcomes should be included to improve risk assessment forms. Therefore, existing risk assessment forms should be improved by recommending a framework that makes provision for client-specific questions by taking into account the factors that influence risk tolerance behaviour. It is fundamental for investors and financial practitioners to comprehend the factors related to risk tolerance behaviour as it has a momentous influence on the investment decisions of investors. Risk tolerance behaviour is influenced by multiple factors that can be summarised into two categories, namely endogenous and exogenous factors (Grable, 2016; Guillemette & Nanigian, 2014; Van de Venter et al., 2012). Figure 1 provides an illustration of the endogenous and exogenous factors that influence investor risk tolerance behaviour. The endogenous and exogenous factors that influence the risk tolerance behaviour of investors are reviewed in the following subsections. Figure 1. Endogenous and exogenous factors influencing investor risk tolerance behaviour. Van den Bergh-Lindeque et al., Cogent Economics & Finance (2022), 10: 2111786 https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2022.2111786 Page 3 of 20 2.1. Endogenous factors Endogenous factors are referred to as inherent characteristics or personality elements unique to individuals (Grable, 2016). Endogenous factors comprise demographical factors (age, gender, ethnicity, marital status, employment status, education, income and wealth, homeownership, household size and financial dependants), socio-cultural factors (religion, financial and investment knowledge and health status), the investor lifecycle (growth investor phase and defensive (cautious) investor phase) and behavioural finance biases (representativeness, overconfidence, anchoring, gambler’s fallacy, availability bias, loss aversion, regret aversion, mental accounting, selfcontrol; Grable, 2016; Grable & Joo, 2004; Irwin, 1993; Van den Bergh−lindeque, 2020). These endogenous factors are discussed below. ●Demographical factors: refers to statistical data of the socio-economic characteristics of a population (Merriam-Webster Dictionary, 2022).Numerous demographical factors, namely age, gender, ethnicity, marital status, employment status, education,, income and wealth, homeownership, as well as household size and number of financial dependants are to be taken into consideration when examining its relation to risk tolerance behaviour (Sung & Hanna, 1996; Van den Bergh −lindeque, 2020). ●Socio-cultural factors: refers to the differences between groups of individuals in relation to the social class and society in which they live (Cambridge Dictionary, 2022). Socio-cultural factors comprises religion, financial and investment knowledge and health status (Van den Bergh−lindeque, 2020). ●Investor lifecycle: signifies the investment behaviour of investors over the different phases of their lives given their age and time horizon (Cocco et al., 2005; Shaikat, 2020). According to the life cycle theory, the risk tolerance behaviour of investors declines with age given that they have less time to recuperate probable losses (Marx et al., 2010). The investor lifecycle can be categorised into two categories, namely the growth investor phase and defensive (cautious) investor phase (Van den Bergh−lindeque, 2020). ●Behavioural finance biases: Investigates how the unpredictable nature of human psychology influences investment decision-making (Rossini & Maree, 2015). The behavioural finance biases encompasses representativeness, overconfidence, anchoring, gambler’s fallacy, availability bias, loss aversion, regret aversion, mental accounting and self-control. These behavioural finance biases are described in Table 1. 2.2. Exogenous factors Exogenous factors are referred to as factors or events that are related to the external environment which may bring about changes and fluctuations in financial markets (Van den Bergh−lindeque, 2020). Exogenous factors include political-legal factors, technological factors, tax implications, macroeconomic factors (interest rates, exchange rates, inflation, gross domestic product (GDP)), market fluctuations and volatility and the international stock market and economic events (Kuzniak & Grable, 2017; Rossini & Maree, 2015; Van den Bergh−lindeque, 2020). As financial markets are characterised by fluctuations and changes, investors and financial practitioners should be considerate to changes in the external environment and the effect these changes may have on investment decision-making. Having knowledge of the external environment will assist investors and financial practitioners to draw on opportunities and to prepare for future challenges or risks (Rossini & Maree, 2015). These exogenous factors are discussed below. ●Political-legal factors: It is vital for investors and financial practitioners to consider political-legal factors as it should not be ignored or underestimated given that political-legal risks are taking on new and different shapes (Rossini & Maree, 2015). Governments are confronted with income inequalities and high levels of sovereign debt in advanced economies. The effective management of political-legal events and risks will enable investors and financial practitioners to enter and navigate new markets. While political-legal events cannot be shunned away from, it can be managed (Culp, 2012). ●Technological factors: The financial industry has changed since 2010 as technological advances have been at the heart of the financial industry and imperative for financial companies to enhance client services. The rise and the increasing importance of technology will be the most competitive trend in the financial industry (Rossini & Maree, 2015). Technological advances will allow financial advice to be presented more strategically and in a professional and compliant manner. Technology offers new Van den Bergh-Lindeque et al., Cogent Economics & Finance (2022), 10: 2111786 https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2022.2111786 Page 4 of 20 enhanced communication and distribution channels between investors and financial practitioners and enables financial practitioners to obtain more insight into investors’ needs and preferences. Technology also provides investors with access to investment information through a number of channels, for example, mobile devices, computers and televisions, whereby they remain informed with the most recent news in the financial markets (Rossini & Maree, 2015). ●Tax implications: During the construction of an investment plan, investors should consider the effect of taxation on the investment and what the most tax-efficient choice is for the investment (Discovery, 2018; Marx et al., 2010). This would assist in deterring the type of investment to practice. Tax implications on investments differ for each type of investment. Consequently, an investment with a high return might not be the best investment if it is associated with an exorbitant capital gains tax (Mayo, 2000; Old Mutual, 2014). To minimise the effect of taxation on investment returns, investors with high tax brackets prefer to invest in tax-deferred investments (Fischer & Gallmeyer, 2016). Based on the effect of taxation on investment returns, an investor should have enough knowledge about the implications of taxes on investments or the investor should acquire the assistance of a financial practitioner to minimise the effect of taxation and maximise the total return on the investment (Witz & Zemon, 2017). ●Macroeconomic factors: As stated by Kuzniak and Grable (2017), macroeconomic factors may influence the risk tolerance behaviour of investors in two manners. Firstly, negative events may lessen investors’ financial capabilities resulting in a negative shift in financial risk tolerance and causing investors to be less risk tolerant. Secondly, investors’ perceptions, instead of the actual impact of macroeconomic factors and events, can influence investors’ willingness to take financial risks. The macroeconomic factors, namely interest rates, exchange rates, inflation and GDP are described in Table 2. ●Market fluctuations and volatility: According to Haugen (1987) financial markets are not strictly efficient or strictly inefficient. Lintner (1988) stated that investors base their investment decisions Table 1. Behavioural finance biases Behavioural finance bias Description Representativeness Investors classify new information and make investment decisions based on their perceptions of past experiences or known events. Overconfidence Investors have a tendency to overestimate their investment capabilities. Anchoring Investors have a tendency to rely on a single piece of information when making investment decisions, regardless of the fathomless information available. Gambler’s fallacy Investors inaccurately predict financial market movements as they base their investment decisions on future market trends. Availability bias Individual investors base their investment decisions on the most recently available information. Loss aversion Investors have a greater inclination to avoid losses rather than to achieve gains and therefore, have a tendency to hold onto non-performing investments with the anticipation that investments will produce positive returns in the future. Regret aversion Investors tend to manage situations to avoid feelings of regret or embarrassment of reporting a loss as a result of poor investment decisions. Mental accounting Investors group information regarding particular events and keep track of gains and losses concerning investment decisions in separate mental compartments. Self-control Investors exercise self-control to lessen the temptations of taking bigger financial risks to avoid large financial losses and to protect their investments. Source: Kannadhasan (2006), Byrne and Brooks (2008), Mazzoli and Marinelli (2011), Singh (2012), Pompian (2016), Dickason (2017) and Ferreira (2018). Van den Bergh-Lindeque et al., Cogent Economics & Finance (2022), 10: 2111786 https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2022.2111786 Page 5 of 20 on prediction, market timing and financial performance. Hence, when investors make irrational investment decisions it can bring about inefficiencies in the financial markets. In a study conducted by Guillemette and Finke (2014) it was found that the risk tolerance behaviour of investors tends to be affected by recent stock market movements and fluctuations over the short term. However, the risk tolerance behaviour of investors was found to be relatively stable over the long term. Furthermore, investors’ risk tolerance levels increased as stock market valuations increased and decreased throughout market downturns. Malmendier and Nagel (2011) established that the risk tolerance behaviour of investors is affected by macroeconomic shocks experienced throughout their lifetime. Investors who experienced a stock market boom throughout their life cycle were regarded as more risk-tolerant than those who did not encounter a boom in the stock market. Furthermore, investors who encountered a constant bull market had a greater propensity to hold shares and a larger portion of wealth in the form of shares. Table 2. Macroeconomic factors Macroeconomic factor Description Interest rates Interest rates are referred to as the compensation rate agreed upon between lenders and borrowers of money (Marx et al., 2009). Interest rates have a significant influence on the entire economy, as well as on investments, such as interest-bearing investments and shares. Investments are financed either by means of current savings or by borrowing (Patel, 2019). Exchange rates An exchange rate is the rate at which one domestic currency is converted into a foreign currency (Ryan, 1988; Van der Merwe & Mollentze, 2010). Volatility in the exchange rate influences trade and investment decisions and constrains a country’s economic growth. It is important to have a comprehension of what factors contribute to exchange rate volatility to assess whether economic policy can reduce volatility (Mavee & Schimmel-pfenning, 2017). Inflation Inflation is referred to as the sustained increase in the general level of prices (Ryan, 1988; Fourie & Burger, 2009). Inflation can influence investments over the long term. Pettinger (2021) affirmed that high and volatile inflation is likely to generate more uncertainty regarding the cost of investments and investors may fear that high inflation levels could bring about economic uncertainty and future economic downturns. Countries with long-lasting periods of low and stable inflation frequently experienced higher rates of returns on investments. Coronation Fund Managers (2019) stated that investors should be attentive to inflation over the long term as it can erode investment returns. This is as a result of the investment portfolio returns being less than the inflation rate, and consequently, investors’ abilities to acquire goods and services in the future may decline. GDP GDP is described as the total market value of final goods and services produced domestically in a country during a particular time period, excluding invisibles, such as income and dividends, earned out of the country. Thus, GDP reflects the overall performance of a country’s economy (Ryan, 1988; Marx et al., 2009). A healthy growth rate in the GDP of a country, indicating good economic performance, brings about an increase or positive effect on a country’s stock market. As a result, investors have a more positive economic outlook and are more likely to invest in riskier assets or the stock market. When a country has a less desirable GDP, indicating poor economic performance, the opposite is true (Money Matters, 2022). Van den Bergh-Lindeque et al., Cogent Economics & Finance (2022), 10: 2111786 https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2022.2111786 Page 6 of 20 ●International stock market and economic events: Investors’ risk tolerance behaviour are likely to be strongly affected by recent news about major stock market and economic events (Hanna & Lindamood, 2007; Yao et al., 2004). Miller and Campbell (1959) affirmed that when investors are provided with two opposing sets of information, they are more influenced by the information most recently received, either positive or negative, if time has passed between the first and second set of information and the decision is made right away after the second set of information is presented. Yip (2000) found that financial risk tolerance remains steady over time and is not influenced by major crashes in the stock market. On the other hand, Shefrin (2002) found that investors are not consistent in their risk tolerance, as it is reliant on numerous factors of which one is recent experiences, when confronted with risks. Schooley and Worden (2016) stated that investors’ reactions to negative events in the financial markets tend to be much more emotional. As South African markets change and experience volatility, this article places more emphasis on risk averse investors that might be less inclined to take on risks. Investors are classified into different risk profiling categories based on their risk-taking propensities. The following section focuses on the risk profiling of risk averse investors. 2.3. Risk profiling of risk averse investors Investors have different attitudes towards risk and as a result are classified into different risk profiling categories based on their willingness to take risks (Goodall, 2005). The willingness of investors to tolerate risks should be determined and carefully considered when constructing investment plans as it will assist investors and financial practitioners with the selection of the most appropriate asset allocation for the investors’ investment portfolios (Klement, 2015). Risk averse investors can be categorised as moderately conservative (cautious) and conservative as discussed below (Coronation Fund Managers, 2018; Goodall, 2005). ●Moderately conservative (cautious) investors: These investors have an investment horizon of three or more years and tend to tolerate slightly more risk than conservative investors, but are still resistant to significant downside risks (Bridges, 2020). Investors in this category are close to retirement and require liquidity, steady growth and a reasonable income level. The core objective of moderately conservative (cautious) investors is capital preservation as they seek to preserve the real value of their investment portfolios. Consequently, they require a minimum level of risk and are willing to accept lower returns on their investments (Hallman & Rosenbloom, 2009). Their investment portfolios are diversified and comprise a greater portion of defensive, low risk assets, such as cash and bonds, and a smaller portion of growth, high risk assets, such as property and equities, to provide partial protection against tax and inflation. These investors prefer little exposure to equities in preference for higher returns to be generated over the long term (Goodall, 2005; Tools for Money, 2018). ●Conservative investors: These investors have an investment horizon of three years or less and tend to tolerate less risk or are not able to tolerate any risk, and consequently, tend to accept lower returns. Their core objective is also to preserve the real value of their investment portfolios (Discovery, 2019a). Most investors in this category are retired with short life expectancies and require high liquidity with access to their investments in less than three years, steady growth and a high level of income (Australian Investors Association, 2022). Given the investors’ short time horizon, they do not have sufficient time to recover from any losses. Their investment portfolios mainly comprise defensive, low risk assets, such as cash, bonds and unlisted property. These investors seek their investment portfolios to produce inflation-adjusted income streams to cover their living expenses (Coronation Fund Managers, 2017; Goodall, 2005; Tools for Money, 2018). 3. Methodology Given the establishment of the significant influence of endogenous and exogenous factors on investor risk tolerance behaviour, it is of considerable importance for financial practitioners to take endogenous and exogenous factors and accordingly, the risk profiling model into consideration when assessing investors’ risk tolerance behaviour. The research question for this paper stemmed from the factors explained in the literature review: How does endogenous factors, namely demographical factors, socio-cultural factors, the investor life cycle and behavioural finance biases, and exogenous factors (political-legal factors, technological factors, tax implications, macroeconomic Van den Bergh-Lindeque et al., Cogent Economics & Finance (2022), 10: 2111786 https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2022.2111786 Page 7 of 20 with low-risk tolerance behaviour should be in the defensive (cautious) investor phase of the life cycle (Cocco et al., 2005; Discovery, 2019a; Shaikat, 2020). However, it can be derived from this finding based on theory that the investors in the growth phase of the investor life cycle may be younger individuals with long investment horizons who are risk-averse as they are willing to take less risks (Marx et al., 2010). Relating to the behavioural finance biases, the anchoring bias contributed the greatest degree towards explaining low-risk tolerance behaviour, followed by the loss aversion bias, the representativeness bias, the mental accounting bias, the availability bias and the overconfidence bias, respectively. The anchoring bias explains low-risk tolerance behaviour to a moderate degree, the loss aversion bias explains low-risk tolerance behaviour to a relatively moderate degree and the remaining behavioural finance biases explain low-risk tolerance behaviour to a rather small degree. Similar to these findings, Pompian (2016) found that risk averse investors with low-risk tolerance behaviour are subject to biases such as anchoring, loss aversion and mental accounting. Dickason and Ferreira (2018a) found that risk-averse investors with low-risk tolerance behaviour are subject to the loss aversion bias and mental accounting bias. Concerning the exogenous factors, which comprise factors about the external environment, it can be inferred from Table 4 that market fluctuations and volatility, international events and GDP explain low-risk tolerance behaviour to a moderate degree, while inflation explains low-risk tolerance behaviour to a rather moderate degree. Accordingly, market fluctuations and volatility contributed the greatest degree towards explaining low-risk tolerance behaviour, followed by international events, GDP and inflation, respectively. Very little attention has been given in research to identify and analyse the influence of exogenous factors on the risk tolerance behaviour of risk-averse investors in practice. However, Kuzniak and Grable (2017) examined the relationship between investor risk tolerance behaviour and the GDP of a country and established that investors who live in countries with a high GDP are more likely to tolerate higher levels of risk, than investors Table 4. Proposed weights to profile the risk tolerance behaviour of risk-averse investors Low-risk tolerance behaviour Endogenous factors Demographical factors Age 0.110 Net worth −0.134 Socio-cultural factors Financial and investment knowledge −0.165 Investor life cycle Growth investor phase 0.138 Behavioural finance biases Representativeness 0.185 Overconfidence 0.117 Anchoring 0.304 Availability bias 0.127 Loss aversion −0.243 Mental accounting 0.146 Exogenous factors Factors of the external environment Inflation −0.206 GDP 0.309 International events −0.468 Market fluctuations and volatility 0.470 Van den Bergh-Lindeque et al., Cogent Economics & Finance (2022), 10: 2111786 https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2022.2111786 Page 14 of 20 living in countries with a lower GDP. Brandt and Wang (2003) found that investors are more riskaverse during periods of economic recessions and are more risk-tolerant during periods of economic growth. Looking from a South African perspective, although South Africa holds promise for growth, its GDP has been staggering combined with rising unemployment, low saving rates and high consumer indebtedness (World Bank, 2021). This may cause investors in South Africa to be less willing to tolerate risk when considering factors about the external environment. To conclude, the endogenous and exogenous factors that contributed the greatest degree towards explaining the low-risk tolerance behaviour of risk-averse investors should mainly be considered. However, the endogenous and exogenous factors that explain low-risk tolerance behaviour to a relatively small degree, given the complexity of the SEM, should not be disregarded as they also uniquely contributed towards explaining the low-risk tolerance behaviour of risk-averse investors. The following section presents the conclusion of this study with an overview of the contribution of this study to the field of research and the limitations of the study to make recommendations and contribute towards possibilities for future research endeavours. 6. Conclusion and practical implications Risk-averse investors tend to take fewer risks or are not able to take any risks and subsequently, tend to accept lower returns. These investors seek to preserve the real value of their capital, rather than to increase the real value of their capital. Their willingness to take risks and decisions to initiate, amend or terminate risky behaviours are influenced by endogenous and exogenous factors. Although numerous studies have been conducted to investigate the factors that influence investor risk tolerance behaviour when making investment decisions, there is no evident studies that examined the influence of a multitude of both endogenous and exogenous factors on the risk tolerance behaviour of risk-averse investors. Furthermore, previous research studies have not focused on and addressed the deficiencies of existing and conventional risk assessment forms used by practitioners in the financial industry. The main aim of this study to profile the risk tolerance behaviour of risk-averse investors based on endogenous and exogenous factors was achieved through the development of a risk profiling model utilising SEM. Several pre-identified endogenous and exogenous factors significantly and uniquely contributed towards explaining the low-risk tolerance behaviour of risk-averse investors. This led to the successful development of the model to profile the low-risk tolerance behaviour of risk-averse investors based on the endogenous and exogenous factors. The degree to which each of these endogenous and exogenous factors explains the low-risk tolerance behaviour of riskaverse investors should also be considered. This risk profiling model makes a remarkable and unique contribution to the field of study and the financial industry. It should be considered by investors, financial practitioners and researchers not only in South Africa, but also internationally, to be acquainted with and to comprehend the endogenous and exogenous factors that influence the low-risk tolerance behaviour of risk-averse investors. This risk profiling model will assist with the identification of the endogenous factors unique to risk-averse investors that influence their risk tolerance behaviour. It will also assist with the identification of the exogenous factors relating to the external environment that may hamper the abilities of risk-averse investors to take more risks given the South African and world-wide economic climate and financial market conditions. Furthermore, the risk profiling model should be considered to facilitate the more practical, executable and accurate profiling of the low-risk tolerance behaviour of risk-averse investors and accordingly, to ensure the successful implementation of investment strategies in practice. This study also contributes significantly towards academia and the financial industry by addressing worldwide deliberations regarding the deficiencies of existing and conventional risk assessment forms. In particular, investment companies should Van den Bergh-Lindeque et al., Cogent Economics & Finance (2022), 10: 2111786 https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2022.2111786 Page 15 of 20 give careful consideration to these endogenous and exogenous factors to guide them and assist with the improvement of existing and conventional risk assessment forms. This study acknowledges certain limitations within the research, which provides future researchers with new opportunities. A non-probability purposive sampling method was used to obtain the representative sample from a specific investment company in Gauteng, South Africa. It can be recommended to use an alternative sampling method and accordingly, adjust or extend the inclusion criteria of the research study as preferred by the researcher to draw a representative sample from the population. Given the complexity of the risk profiling model, the review and further investigation of the pre-identified endogenous and exogenous factors incorporated into the model to profile risk-averse investors’ low-risk tolerance behaviour will assist in further refining and simplifying the model. Specifically, the endogenous and exogenous factors that explain low-risk tolerance behaviour to a rather small degree should be reviewed and further investigated. Acknowledgements Special thanks to Prof PMS Van Heerden for assisting in the co-supervision of this study, Programme Leader for Risk Management, North-West University, South Africa. Funding The authors received no direct funding for this research. Author details Anzel Van den Bergh-Lindeque 1 Sune Ferreira-Schenk 2 Zandri Dickason-Koekemoer 3 E-mail: [email protected] ORCID ID: http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3157-7772 Thomas Habanabakize 4 1 Independent Financial Advisor. 2 Programme Leader for Risk Management, North-West University, Vanderbijlpark, South Africa. 3 Director of TRADE Research Entity, North-West University, South Africa. 4 North West University, Vanderbijlpark, South-Africa. Disclosure statement No potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s). Citation information Cite this article as: What makes risk-averse investors tick? A practitioners guide, Anzel Van den Bergh-Lindeque, Sune Ferreira-Schenk, Zandri Dickason-Koekemoer & Thomas Habanabakize, Cogent Economics & Finance (2022), 10: 2111786. References Abdillah, W., Sari, R. P., & Hendrawaty, E. (2019). Understanding determinants of individual intention to invest in digital risky investment. 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