A comprehensive study on bid-ask spread and its determinants in India
Abstract
EconStor is a publication server for scholarly economic literature, provided as a non-commercial public service by the ZBW.
Full text
Pan, Aritra; Misra, Arun Kumar Article A comprehensive study on bid-ask spread and its determinants in India Cogent Economics & Finance Provided in Cooperation with: Taylor & Francis Group Suggested Citation: Pan, Aritra; Misra, Arun Kumar (2021) : A comprehensive study on bid-ask spread and its determinants in India, Cogent Economics & Finance, ISSN 2332-2039, Taylor & Francis, Abingdon, Vol. 9, Iss. 1, pp. 1-23, https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2021.1898735 This Version is available at: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/270055 Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen: Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden. Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen. Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort genannten Lizenz gewährten Nutzungsrechte. Terms of use: Documents in EconStor may be saved and copied for your personal and scholarly purposes. You are not to copy documents for public or commercial purposes, to exhibit the documents publicly, to make them publicly available on the internet, or to distribute or otherwise use the documents in public. If the documents have been made available under an Open Content Licence (especially Creative Commons Licences), you may exercise further usage rights as specified in the indicated licence. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Full Terms & Conditions of access and use can be found at https://www.tandfonline.com/action/journalInformation?journalCode=oaef20 Cogent Economics & Finance ISSN: (Print) (Online) Journal homepage: https://www.tandfonline.com/loi/oaef20 A comprehensive study on bid-ask spread and its determinants in India Aritra Pan & Arun Kumar Misra | To cite this article: Aritra Pan & Arun Kumar Misra | (2021) A comprehensive study on bidask spread and its determinants in India, Cogent Economics & Finance, 9:1, 1898735, DOI: 10.1080/23322039.2021.1898735 To link to this article: https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2021.1898735 © 2021 The Author(s). This open access article is distributed under a Creative Commons Attribution (CC-BY) 4.0 license. Published online: 29 Mar 2021. Submit your article to this journal Article views: 6869 View related articles View Crossmark data Citing articles: 1 View citing articles
FINANCIAL ECONOMICS | RESEARCH ARTICLE A comprehensive study on bid-ask spread and its determinants in India Aritra Pan 1 * and Arun Kumar Misra 2 Abstract: Determinants of bid-ask spread have been explored significantly for lowfrequency datasets in many developed markets. Researchers have identified share price, traded volume, market–capitalization, return volatility, and number of trades as the prime spread drivers. However, the validity of these determinants has not been explored in high-frequency trading. The present study attempts to articulate the validity of low-frequency determinants of the bid-ask spread in high-frequency trading. It used “bigglm” concept to estimate various determinants of spread, one of the study’s major contributions. The study found a positive relation between market–capitalization and spread, supporting the theory that a higher trading volume cannot decrease the bid-ask spread. Explanatory variables are all significant and show different impacts in different market conditions and sectors. For pooled data, share price, traded volume, quote return, trading frequency, and return volatility are in inverse relation with the spread. The study investigates sectoral Aritra Pan Arun Kumar Misra ABOUT THE AUTHORS Dr. Aritra Pan is Assistant Professor and Chairperson at IMT Ghaziabad in the area of Business and Analytics. Dr. Pan has done his Ph.D. from IIT Kharagpur in the area of Financial Markets Analytics. Dr. Pan has completed his M. Tech and B.E. from IIEST, Shibpur. Dr. Pan was previously associated with global corporate firms like PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC) and RS Software. Dr. Pan has extensively worked in the areas of Data Science, Business Analytics and Business Intelligence. Dr. Arun Kumar Misra is an Associate Professor of Finance at Vinod Gupta School of Management, Indian Institute of Technology (IIT), Kharagpur. Before becoming an academician, he worked as a banker in a leading public sector bank. He has published research articles in the fields of banking, capital markets, and corporate finance. PUBLIC INTEREST STATEMENT Bid-ask spread provides information to traders on liquidity and profit margin in the stock market. The determinants of bid-ask spread have been explored in low-frequency data. However, it has not been examined in high-frequency data in the Indian stock market. The article examines various determinants of bid-ask spread using tickby-tick data, with a representative sample of 60 stocks involving six dominating sectors over a period of 3 months. The study finds the narrowest bid-ask spread for the IT-Telecom sector compared to a wide bid-ask spread in the case of sectors, such as Services & Healthcare and Automobile & Industrial Manufacturing. Similar to Madhavan (2000), the article finds that market–capitalization, stock price, return volatility, and trading volume are the major determinants of bid-ask spread along with stock quote return and number of trades which are the new determinants under high-frequency trading in the Indian context. The study will be helpful for traders while placing orders in an order-driven stock market. Pan & Misra, Cogent Economics & Finance (2021), 9: 1898735 https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2021.1898735 Page 1 of 23 Received: 25 August 2020 Accepted: 28 February 2021 *Corresponding author: Aritra Pan, Institute of Management Technology, Raj Nagar, Ghaziabad, India E-mail: [email protected] Reviewing editor: David McMillan, University of Stirling, Stirling, UK Additional information is available at the end of the article © 2021 The Author(s). This open access article is distributed under a Creative Commons Attribution (CC-BY) 4.0 license.
determinants of the bid-ask spread to understand sector-specific influences. It also explores the influence of up and down market, settlement cycles, opening and closing intervals, and price and market-cap on determinants. The findings have significance regarding influence on the market microstructure for trading, designing of trading liquidity, and reduction of transaction cost. Subjects: Multivariate Statistics; Statistical Computing; Statistics & Computing; Statistics for Business; Finance & Economics Keywords: High-Frequency trading; bid-ask spread; market determinants; market microstructure; bigglm 1. Introduction Advances in electronic trading together with the ability to process and store fast, large amounts of high-frequency data bring the concept of high-frequency trading (HFT) into the market. HFT is an investment strategy where stocks are bought and sold in a short time by a computer algorithm and are held for a very short time, normally milliseconds (or even microseconds) (O’Hara et al., 2019). This is done to profit from taking advantage of extremely short-term changes in the market. Transactions are so fast that many trading organizations place their servers close to the exchange computers to catch trading instructions at the speed of light. HFT possesses the following characteristics: a) it is programdriven trading by computers, b) it has an extremely high trading volume, and c) the rate of return is low, but on the whole, the return is stable. Stocks can be bought and sold multiple times within a trading day. However, understanding HFT is different for market participants, regulators, and academics. At the extremes, any intraday activity where the trading time is measured in microseconds is high-frequency. HFT improves market quality, reduces spreads, increases market depth, and enhances price discovery (O’Hara, 2015; Rojcek & Ziegler, 2016). In HFT, traders’ decisions to buy and sell depend on different transaction costs, such as processing fees, exchange fees, and liquidity costs. Processing and exchange fees are regulated by stock exchanges. Bid-ask spread, price impact, and opportunity cost are influenced by traders’ expectations, market forces, and information asymmetry. High-speed and high-volume trading narrow the bid-ask spread in the market. Market microstructure literature (Madhavan, 2000) defines the bid-ask spread as the value paid for immediacy. In an order-driven market, traders execute trades by submitting market or limit orders. The bid price is the price an investor is willing to pay for an order, and the ask price is the price an investor is willing to receive from an order. The difference between the bid and the ask prices is known as the bid-ask spread, which is the compensation for immediacy. Spreads are pertinent to high-frequency traders, because a higher spread may generate higher profits. But spread may also occasionally imply greater risk (Ghasemiyeh et al., 2017), when traders cannot exit their positions at their desired price. There are typically three types of bid-ask spread: the quoted spread, the effective spread, and the realized spread (Harris, 2003; Su & Tokmakcioglu, 2020). The quoted spread represents economic costs in terms of barriers to trade. It is the difference between the best ask price and the best bid price at a specific moment. An effective bid-ask spread is the difference between the actual price at which a dealer buys a security and that at which they subsequently sell it, or vice versa (Harris, 2003). An effective spread can measure marketable orders executed in relation to the market center’s quoted spread and considers hidden and midpoint liquidity to be available. In other words, it is the gross underwriting spread, adjusted for impact by a common stock offering’s announcement on a firm’s share price (NASDAQ). A realized spread can be described as the theoretical profits of a liquidity provider. For this study, an effective spread is considered the measured bid-ask spread. The theoretical literature identifies three main factors determining spread: inventory-holding costs (Amihud & Mendelson, 1980; Ho & Stoll, 1983), adverse-selection costs (Easley & O’Hara, 1992; Glosten & Milgrom, 1985), and order processing costs (Brock & Kleidon, 1992). Jha et al. (1998) suggest that Pan & Misra, Cogent Economics & Finance (2021), 9: 1898735 https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2021.1898735 Page 2 of 23
order processing costs are incurred from orders of different sizes and frequencies for the Indian equity market. The adverse-selection cost increases in the presence of traders with rich information about a security’s value. But the inventory-holding cost is present whenever there is uncertainty about a security’s future payoffs in an equally information-distributed market. Each cost component depends on various factors that call for an analysis of the spread determinants. Determinants of bid-ask spreads have been extensively studied using low-frequency day-end data. Determinants and their impact on spreads are important for traders, speculators, hedgers, and arbitrageurs, who utilize information from these variables to predict prices (Huang & Stoll, 2001). Trading activity, risk, information, and competition are the prime drivers of spreads (McInish & Wood, 1992; Schwartz, 1988). Researchers have empirically assessed the trading frequency (Copeland & Galai, 1983; Kim & Ogden, 1996), trading volume (Kim & Ogden, 1996; Madhavan, 2000; Narayan et al., 2014; Stoll, 1978), transaction volume (Benston & Hagerman, 1974), price (Madhavan, 2000; Narayan et al., 2014), the number of shares traded (McInish & Wood, 1992), and return volatility (Kim & Ogden, 1996; Madhavan, 2000) as possible determinants of bid-ask spread. This study initiated an extensive literature review focusing on the determinants of the bid-ask spread in HFT in the Indian market. It focuses on methodologies to empirically examine the determinants of the bid-ask spread in HFT under different market conditions. This study is motivated by the recent movement of HFT in the Indian stock market as well as by previous studies by Stoll (1978), Madhavan (2000), Giouvris and Philippatos (2008), Benston and Hagerman (1974), and Kim and Ogden (1996). The study examines the effects of the various determinants for each sector to understand the sectoral effects. Gkillas et al. (2019) found a day-of-the-week effect in the adjustment speed of spreads. This study analyzes settlement day-wise as well as opening and closing interval-wise analysis to understand the effects of days and times on spread determinants. The paper is organized as follows. Section 2 presents the literature review on the different aspects of the bid-ask spread and its determinants under low-frequency as well as HFT. Section 3 discusses the objectives and hypotheses of the study. Section 4 explains the methodology used to estimate the bidask spread and its determinants. Details on the data selected from the National Stock Exchange and the study time period are provided in section 5. The study findings are given in section 6. Section 7 summarizes the findings of this study and Section 8 presents managerial implications of the findings. Section 9 points out the limitations, and the last section concludes the paper. 2. Literature review 2.1. Liquidity and spread The bid-ask spread comprises profit and transaction cost; it indirectly measures liquidity or immediacy (Demsetz, 1968). An investor may face difficulty in buying or selling a security in the absence of a significant number of trades. Fewer liquid assets, such as small-cap stocks, generally have a higher spread compared to large-cap index stocks. A quoted spread is the generic measure of the bid-ask spread. In both quoteand order-driven markets, quote prices are just the negotiation starting point. But trades may or may not happen at the quote price itself. Frequently, trades occur within or outside the quote prices. So in these scenarios, rather than considering the quoted spread as a measure of the execution cost, an effective spread is considered a useful measure of the execution cost. An effective spread is the difference between the trade and mid-quote price and is potentially a superior measure of the execution cost (Rath, 2004). The easy availability of order, quote, and transaction data from different stock markets in different countries has stimulated research on bid-ask spread determinants. There is a significant number of studies on developed countries’ stock exchanges, such as the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), LSE, NASDAQ, FTSE, Paris Bourse, and Sydney Stock Exchange as well as on stock markets of countries like Saudi Arabia (SSM), Brazil, and India (NSE) (Al-Suhaibani & Kryzanowski, 2000; Chakrabarty & Jain, 2005; Minardi et al., 2006). Pan & Misra, Cogent Economics & Finance (2021), 9: 1898735 https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2021.1898735 Page 3 of 23
2.2. Spread and information Glosten and Harris (1988) present the asymmetric information model, where the bid-ask spread is broken into transitory and adverse-selection components. Results show the spread is determined by trade size and the adverse-selection component. Menyah and Paudyal (2000) find that along with the order processing cost, the spread is influenced by the inventory cost in a quote-driven market. Giouvris and Philippatos (2008) compare components of the bid-ask spread and their determinants for FTSE100 and FTSE250 stocks. Determinants such as the number of trades have an impact on the bid-ask spread as well as on asymmetric information and order processing cost components. Trading volume has a significant effect on spread and its components for small stocks rather than big stocks. Volatility also has positive effects on all the components. Plerou et al. (2005) show that spread is influenced by order flow and volatility. McInish and Wood (1992) consider trading activity, risk, information, and competition as determinants of spread in NYSElisted stocks. They find that spread has an inverse relation with trading size and a positive relation with asymmetric information and risk. Kim and Ogden (1996) find a positive relation of spread with negative information, volatility, and trading volume. To examine intertemporal variations in the spread, they perform time-series and cross-sectional tests, finding that the frequency of trades and order size are related to firm size. Kim and Ogden (1996) results also show that although volatility has a positive relation to spread, it also has a relation to firm size, trade frequency, and order size. But past trade frequency has a negative relation to the bid-ask spread. Madhavan (2000) finds that price inverse is an important determinant of the cross-sectional variation in stock spreads. The author’s empirical findings confirm that market–capitalization, price, stock volatility, and trading volume are the prime determinants of spread. The study also provides empirical evidence of the nonlinear effect of volume and price on spread. In the case of the Brazil market, Minardi et al. (2006) find positive relationships between spread, stock price, and liquidity; spreads are negatively related to conventional liquidity measures, such as stock turnover, the volume traded, and the number of trades. Alzahrani (2011) finds volume and volatility to be in positive relation with effective bid-ask spread, while trading frequency is found to be in inverse relation in a study of the Saudi Market, using high-frequency data. The study has achieved overall very low Rsquared fitting of the models for different metrics of bid-ask spread. Huang (2004) discusses the determinants of information asymmetry components and order processing costs in his comparative study of the Singapore and Taiwan stock exchanges and confirms a positive relation between the bid-ask spread and price level and return volatility. On the other hand, a rise in the number of transactions and the total volume of trading can lower order processing costs. Based on Demsetz’s (1968) and Hasbrouck’s (2006) studies, Huang (2004) suggests a negative relation between order processing costs and trading activities. Riedl and Serafeim (2011) find that a higher information risk will lead to higher levels of information asymmetry, leading to increasing bid-ask spreads across financial instruments. Fender and Lewrick (2015) conclude that the increased presence of informed traders significantly influences the spread. 2.3. Determinants of spread Empirical research by Demsetz (1968) is the basis for research in investigating determinants of the bid-ask spread. Demsetz examined the impact of transaction costs on transaction rates (i.e., the number of transactions over a given time period) on NYSE stocks. Benston and Hagerman (1974) estimate the bid-ask spread using trading volume, price volatility, the number of market makers, and the number of transactions as independent variables. They find that spread is positively related to price volatility and is negatively related to competition in market making. Benston and Hagerman (1974) examined the nonlinear relationship between spreads with share price, number of stockholders, number of dealers, unsystematic risk or inventory holding risk, the number of transactions per security, and insider losses. Copeland and Galai (1983) empirically observe relations between the bid-ask spread and variables like price volatility, asset price level, and volume. The volume’s negative effect on spreads is also argued by others. Easley and O’Hara (1992) and Brock and Kleidon (1992) find a positive relationship between spread and volume. Cohen and Maier (1986) find a positive relationship between transaction price volatility and bid-ask spreads when price change is measured over short intervals, such as daily intervals. Similar results have also Pan & Misra, Cogent Economics & Finance (2021), 9: 1898735 https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2021.1898735 Page 4 of 23
been reported by Tinic and West (1972). However, Chordia et al. (2001) find a negative effect of volatility on spreads. Wang et al. (1994) find that bid-ask spread and price volatility are jointly determined and positively related. The results indicate that the major determinants of bid-ask spreads are price risk, volume per transaction, and competition in market making. Wang (1999) examines components of the bid-ask spread in the Sydney Futures Exchange and mentions that the bid-ask spread has a higher adverse-information component and a lower order-processing component. Hussain (2011) finds that a contemporaneous and lagged trading volume and the bidask spread have a statistically significant effect on return volatility. Amihud and Mendelson (1987) demonstrates that the bid-ask spread has a positive effect on return variance. They also show (Amihud & Mendelson, 1986) that asset returns increase with bid-ask spreads. Chen and Kan (1996) also adopt Amihud and Mendelson (1986) model but cannot find any reliable relation between the CAPM risk-adjusted return and the relative bid-ask spread. Demsetz (1968) finds a positive relationship between the share price spread, while McInish and Wood (1992) find a negative relationship. Nath et al. (2017) find a significant relationship between the bid-ask spread and its determinants, such as order imbalance, trade execution, volatility, and the trading volume in the case of the intraday trading of the government securities market. Rahman et al. (2002) find a positive relation between the intraday variations of the bid-ask spread and intraday return volatility. Zhang et al. (2008) find that the bid-ask spread increases with return volatility. Paital and Sharma (2016) investigate the relationship between return volatility, trading volume, and the bid-ask spread in the high-frequency data of the Indian stock market. The authors find a weak relation of volatility with both volume and spread and conclude that the Indian market is informationally inefficient. Ripamonti (2016), in studying the emerging market of Brazil, finds a relation between the asymmetric information measure of spread and variables such as the market-to-book ratio, debt on equity, size, and return. In the Chinese futures commodity market, Liu et al. (2016) find a positive relationship between bid-ask spreads and volatility and a negative relation with trading volume. In the Indian market, Chakrabarty and Jain (2005) examined variables affecting the bid-ask spread of NSE-listed stocks using only day-end data. The results confirmed a negative relationship between spread and trading volume, while volatility is positively related to spread. These authors’ findings could be different, given high-frequency intraday data. 3. Research objectives and hypotheses The above discussed literature presents an in-depth review of the determinants of bid-ask spread. The literature outlines share price, market–capitalization, the number of trades, the square of return, and trading volume as the prime drivers of bid-ask spread. The majority of the studies were conducted in developed markets with a low-frequency dataset. Analyzing the determinants of bid-ask spreads in the Indian market using high-frequency datasets is an evolving area of current research. This study will contribute to existing literature by studying determinants of the bid-ask spread under HFT in the Indian stock market for different sectors, market conditions, settlement periods, pools of stocks based on characteristics (volume, share price, and market–capitalization), and different timeframes. The study has framed the following objectives to examine various determinants of the bid-ask spread in HFT: (a) Using “pooled bigglm, (bounded memory linear and generalized linear models),” the study will examine various determinants of the bid-ask spread. (b) Sectoral analysis will be conducted to articulate sector-specific influence on bid-ask spread determinants. (c) The study will conduct settlement day-wise bid-ask spread analysis to understand the impact of settlement days on bid-ask spread determinants. (d) The first and last ticks of the day carry different information than the other ticks of the day. Hence, the study uses the first and last ticks of the day to analyze bid-ask spread determinants. Pan & Misra, Cogent Economics & Finance (2021), 9: 1898735 https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2021.1898735 Page 5 of 23
(e) The study will separate stocks on the basis of low and high price and low and high market– capitalization. This study also formulates the following hypotheses to be tested during the study: (a) HT 1: Stocks with large trading volumes will have narrower bid-ask spreads than those of low trading volume. HT 2: The bid-ask spread is narrow when volatility is low and risk is at a minimum. HT 3: For low-priced stocks, the bid-ask spread will tend to be larger. Using “pooled bigglm,” the study will examine determinants of the bid-ask spread separately for each data set. 4. Methodology 4.1. Estimations of bid-ask spread Quoted Spread As per Bessembinder and Venkataraman (2010), a quoted spread is computed using equation 4.1: Quotedspreadit SQuoted it � �¼Askpriceit ait ð Þ Bidpriceit bit ð Þ (4:1) where SQuoted it is the quoted spread, a it is the best quoted ask price, and b it is the best quoted bid price, where t=1,…,n is the stock being observed, t=1,…,T is the time, Quotedspread it is the quoted spread at time t, Askprice it is the ask price at time t, and Bidprice it is the bid price at time t. The quoted percentage spread is the measurement of the execution cost, described on a percentage basis. Studies (Benzennou et al., 2020; Bessembinder & Venkataraman, 2010) propose computing the quoted percentage spread as follows (equation 4.2): QuotedPercentageSpreadit S%Quoted it � �¼Askpriceit ait ð Þ Bidpriceit bit ð Þð Þ Midquote mit ð Þ �100 (4:2) where S%Quoted it is the quoted percentage spread, a it is the best quoted ask price, and b it is the best quoted bid price, where i=1,…,n is the stock being observed, is the time, QuotedpercentageSpread it is the quoted percentage spread at time t, Askprice it is the ask price at time t, Bidprice it is the bid price at time t, and Midquote it is the mid-quote at time t, computed as Askpriceit ait ð ÞþBidpriceit bit ð Þð Þ 2. Effective Spread The effective spread is twice the absolute value of the difference between the actual trade price and the midpoint of the market quote (i.e., between the quoted bid price and the quoted ask price), divided by the midpoint between these two prices. Using the trade indicator (buy or sell), in Roll (1984) and Huang and Stoll (1997), the effective spread is computed from the difference between the trade price and the quoted midpoint: EffectiveSpread ¼2�Dit �Pit PM it � (4:3) Pan & Misra, Cogent Economics & Finance (2021), 9: 1898735 https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2021.1898735 Page 6 of 23
where t=1,…,n is the stock being observed, t=1,…,T is the time, P it is the transaction price, PM it is the midpoint of the posted bid and ask quotes, and D it is the trade indicator, whose values are “+1” for a buyer-initiated order and “–1” for a seller-initiated order. PM it is the quote midpoint PM it ¼PA it þPB it 2 � �, where PA it is the posted ask price and PB it is the posted bid price. Classification of Buy and Sell Transactions In the high-frequency quote and trade data of the NSE, taken from the Bloomberg server, there are no flags for classifying whether a trade was buyer-initiated or seller-initiated. In studying the market microstructure, this classification is important, as it is supported by different empirical studies. To calculate the effective spread, first, the computation of the trade indicator is needed, to understand the impact on the spread from the buyer/seller initiation of trade. This classifier is the trade indicator. There are two approaches to computing this indicator: 1) the tick test, comparing the trade price to adjacent trades and 2) comparing the trade price to the quote (bid and ask) prices of the prevailing quote. Lee and Ready (1991) take the tick test approach, defining the trade indicator direction of the trade initiation (bid or ask). Value is computed as (+1) for buy-initiated orders and (–1) for sell-initiated. Lee and Ready (1991) propose an algorithm for computing trade direction, based on the tick test. The computation of trade direction is based on several conditions comparing trade prices to preceding trades. Trades can be categorized into four categories: uptick, downtick, zero-uptick, and zero-downtick. If the current trade price is higher (lower) than the previous price, it is called uptick (downtick). If the current price is equivalent to the previous price, it is zero tick. In case of a zero tick in a previous trade, a check is needed for the last price change. If that price change was an uptick (downtick), the current trade is called a zero-uptick (zero-downtick). Lee and Ready (1991) argue that a better result is obtained from a tick test than from other tests. Using a tick test of preceding trades, buy orders are identified: Pt>Pm!Buy ¼TRUEð Þ^ Pt¼Pm ð Þ^ PtPt1ð Þ>0ð Þð Þ ! Buy ¼TRUEð Þ ^Pt¼Pm ð Þ^ PtPt1ð Þ ¼ 0ð Þ^ PtPt2ð Þ>0ð Þð Þ ! Buy ¼TRUEð Þ (4:4) where P t is the trade price and P m is the mid-quote price. In high-frequency data, one major finding is that of duplicate timestamps in the data. To handle that, this study selected the best bid and ask from the quote data and the mean trade from the trade data for computation from duplicate timestamp ticks. 4.2. Determinants of bid-ask spread For high-frequency determinants of bid-ask spreads, the study used a modified Madhavan (2000) model to estimate the following regression equation for measuring the tick spread from the big data perspective: sit ¼β0þβ1ln Mit ð Þþβ2pit ð Þþβ3QRit þβ4ln Vit ð Þþln NTit ð ÞþRVit þεit (4:5) where for security i at time t, is the stock spread and dependent variable. Regarding the independent variables, M it is market–capitalization, P it is price, QR it is the quote return of the stock computed as, NT it is the number of trades, RV it is the volatility of return, and V it is the trading volume. The quote return is estimated as the absolute value of the return at day t, calculated from the mid-points of the bid-ask quotes. Brown et al. (2010) also tested a similar model, mentioned above, for the bid-ask spread. Several factors influence the bid-ask spread, the most evident being trading volume. Stocks with large trading volumes will have narrower bid-ask spreads than those that are infrequently traded Pan & Misra, Cogent Economics & Finance (2021), 9: 1898735 https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2021.1898735 Page 7 of 23
Table 5. Bid-Ask spread determinants: pooled data sets—sector-wise analysis method: pooled bigglm: sector-wise analysis; period: June—August 2016; dependent variable: effective spread Table 5 represents Sector Wise determinants for Effective Bid-Ask spread. Our objective is to analyse impact of individual determinants on effective spread at different sector level. One major observation here is that Price and Volatility are in positive relation with effective spread in case of Automobile & Industrial Manufacturing sector which is opposite in case of other sectors. Overall, pharmaceuticals sector has highest explainability power by determinants of effective spread Sector Consumer Goods Financial Services IT-Telecom Services & Healthcare Pharma Automobile & Industrial Manufacturing Intercept 12.8964*** (4.804) {2.6845} 9.4589*** (19.661) {0.4811} 9.9743*** (14.5546) {0.6853} 2.6073 (1.0705) {2.4357} −1.1675 (−1.2641) {0.9236} −25.5756*** (−29.1926) {0.8761} Price Inverse 17.5492*** (30.1015) {0.583} 13.096*** (23.4024) {0.5596} 39.6859*** (147.2029) {0.2696} 19.0986*** (44.0161) {0.4339} 219.1605*** (345.7336) {0.6339} −4.8905*** (−30.0769) {0.1626} Ln (Traded Volume) −0.7277*** (−117.371) {0.0062} −0.2556*** (−102.24) {0.0025} −0.3507*** (−250.5) {0.0014} −1.6617*** (−281.6441) {0.0059} −2.0055*** (−557.0833) {0.0036} −0.218*** (−136.25) {0.0016} Quote Return −1027.2045 (−295.5219) {3.4759} 616.1024*** (358.8458) {1.7169} 237.8187*** (401.4495) {0.5924} 6.4985*** (7.0906) {0.9165} 477.3776*** (151.5003) {3.151} 1313.634*** (314.4245) {4.1779} Ln (Market Cap) 0.7754*** (96.925) {0.008} 0.2954*** (109.4074) {0.0027} 0.3532*** (220.75) {0.0016} 2.0126*** (271.973) {0.0074} 1.9746*** (548.5) {0.0036} 0.258*** (122.8571) {0.0021} Ln (No. of Trades) −0.9398 (−154.0656) {0.0061} −0.3083*** (−280.2727) {0.0011} −0.3136*** (−285.0909) {0.0011} −1.2994*** (−216.5667) {0.006} −0.4752*** (−316.8) {0.0015} −0.6418*** (−320.9) {0.002} Volatility −9.3533 (−3.4855) {2.6835} −8.6398*** (−17.9809) {0.4805} −9.501*** (−13.866) {0.6852} −5.1915* (−2.1319) {2.4351} −7.783*** (−8.4314) {0.9231} 29.4031*** (33.5767) {0.8757} F-statistic df(6,674,971): 31,044.8959, p-value is 0, Rejected df(6,2,472,036): 138,107.6855, p-value is 0, Rejected df(6,1,580,009): 74,058.5639, p-value is 0, Rejected df (6,606,392): 36,468.8596, p-value is 0, Rejected df(6,1,001,237): 122,534.7198, p-value is 0, Rejected df(6,1,475,000): 85,794.6768, p-value is 0, Rejected Adj. R-squared 18.7% 21.83% 18.99% 23.12% 37.96% 22.53% ARCH Effect is present 553,852.3951, p-value is 0, Rejected 16,441,938.5358, pvalue is 0, Rejected 1,130,065.5937, p-value is 0, Rejected 5,146,125.2754, p-value is 0, Rejected 6,058,412.5709, p-value is 0, Rejected 7,281,318.5230, p-value is 0, Rejected Unit Root is present −504.4310, p-value is 0.01, Rejected −523.9586, p-value is 0.01, Rejected −746.4920, p-value is 0.01, Rejected −238.3212, p-value is 0.01, Rejected −359.2231, p-value is 0.01, Rejected −418.4702, p-value is 0.01, Rejected (): t-ratio; {}: Standard Error Pan & Misra, Cogent Economics & Finance (2021), 9: 1898735 https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2021.1898735 Page 14 of 23
for low-priced stocks also support Hypothesis (HT) 3, where for lower-priced stocks, the spread tends to be wider. The pooled regression satisfied the basic requirements of a robustness test. 7. Summary of findings In this study, bid-ask spread and its determinants have been assessed under different market conditions as well as stock level properties. Past studies (Chakrabarty & Jain, 2005; Giouvris & Philippatos, 2008; Kim & Ogden, 1996; Madhavan, 2000) have found a strong relation between spread and determinants like volatility, trading volume, frequency of trades, order size, and stock price. The empirical findings by Madhavan (2000) have confirmed that market–capitalization, price, stock volatility, and trading volume are the prime determinants of spread. This study finds return volatility, share price, trading volume, and number of trades to be significant determinants of spread, as per the prior studies (Benston & Hagerman, 1974; Giouvris & Philippatos, 2008; Kim & Ogden, 1996; Madhavan, 2000; Stoll, 1978). The negative relations of spread with the number of Table 6. Bid-Ask spread determinants: pooled data sets—settlement days-wise analysis method: pooled bigglm: settlement days-wise analysis; Period: June—August, 2016; dependent variable: effective spread Table 6 represents Settlement Day wise analysis of determinants of effective spread. We randomly chose three different settlement weeks from 3 months covered under this study to analyse the impact of determinants in various phases of settlement cycles. Variables like quote return and volatility tend to act differently in different settlement periods. This confirms the effect of settlement periods on spread management. For all three experiments, we have seen similar level of explained variation Settlement Period June 2016: End Settlement Days July 2016: Mid Settlement Days August 2016: Beginning Settlement Days Intercept 0.5166 (0.5709) {0.9049} 0.7087 (0.6147) {1.1529} 32.7192*** (15.8094) {2.0696} Price Inverse 0.0378 (0.1995) {0.1895} −2.9443*** (−12.1065) {0.2432} −3.2114*** (−6.1065) {0.5259} Ln (Traded Volume) −0.3739*** (−233.6875) {0.0016} −0.3535*** (−196.3889) {0.0018} −0.4687*** (−137.8529) {0.0034} Quote Return 16.3481*** (29.0272) {0.5632} 432.9802*** (329.4629) {1.3142} −1038.3253*** (−412.9515) {2.5144} Ln (Market Cap) 0.4673*** (233.65) {0.002} 0.4619*** (200.8261) {0.0023} 0.5904*** (137.3023) {0.0043} Ln (No. of Trades) −0.6212*** (−388.25) {0.0016} −0.5145 (−285.8333) {0.0018} −1.0275*** (−270.3947) {0.0038} Volatility 1.7873*** (1.9758) {0.9046} 0.4725 (0.4099) {1.1528} −27.7243*** (−13.3986) {2.0692} F-statistic df(6,1,507,180): 58,375.6655, p-value is 0, Rejected df(6,1,368,956): 57,638.9980, p-value is 0, Rejected df(6,1,392,250): 54,850.0287, p-value is 0, Rejected Adj. R-squared 16.22% 17.39% 16.46% ARCH effect is present 12,670,119.8084, p-value is 0, Rejected 5,442,062.5741, p-value is 0, Rejected 1,820,028.1159, p-value is 0, Rejected Unit Root is present −377.2311, p-value is 0.01, Rejected −448.2717, p-value is 0.01, Rejected −669.0259, p-value is 0.01, Rejected (): t-ratio; {}: Standard Error Pan & Misra, Cogent Economics & Finance (2021), 9: 1898735 https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2021.1898735 Page 15 of 23
trades and trading volume imply that bid-ask spread will be lower for higher numbers of trades and volume, consistent with the findings from Benston and Hagerman (1974), Kim and Ogden (1996), and Giouvris and Philippatos (2008). We found an inverse relation between spread and stock price. Similar relations were established by Stoll (1978) in NASDAQ, Jegadeesh and Subrahmanyam (1993) in the NYSE, and Heflin and Shaw (2000). Higher volatility increases the risk, which indicates that bid-ask spread is not pricing the risk. Consistent with findings from Narayan et al. (2014), we found return volatility to have an inverse relationship with spread, indicating thereby that return volatility reduces the spread. As spread has a positive relation to market–capitalization, it indicates that despite higher trading volume, spread does not decrease. This is consistent with findings by Kim and Ogden (1996) and Heflin and Shaw (2000). The sector-specific analysis reveals similar results in a larger sense; however, price has a direct relation with spread in the Automobile & Industrial Manufacturing sector, unlike in other sectors. Return volatility has a positive relation with spread in the Automobile & Industrial Manufacturing sector, opposite to the other sectors. Price, as an explanatory variable, comparatively has more explanatory power in the Pharmaceuticals sector than in other sectors. Settlement days-wise Table 7. Bid-Ask spread determinants: pooled data sets—opening and closing interval-wise analysis method: pooled bigglm: opening and closing interval-wise analysis; period: June—August, 2016; dependent variable: effective spread Table 7 represents Settlement Day wise analysis of determinants of effective spread. We randomly chose 3 different settlement weeks from 3 months covered under this study to analyse the impact of determinants in various phases of settlement cycles. Variables like quote return and volatility tend to act differently in different settlement periods. This confirms the effect of settlement periods on spread management. For all three experiments, we have seen similar level of explained variation Time of the Day Opening Interval (30 mins.) Closing Interval (30 mins.) Intercept 14.1451*** (11.9772) {1.181} −13.1695*** (−10.3509) {1.2723} Price Inverse 2.1615*** (9.1318) {0.2367} −0.7617** (−2.9061) {0.2621} Ln (Traded Volume) −0.4492*** (−213.9048) {0.0021} −0.4925*** (−223.8636) {0.0022} Volatility 553.1242*** (127.9432) {4.3232} 949.1164*** (194.0814) {4.8903} Ln (Market Cap) 0.5704*** (203.7143) {0.0028} 0.6429*** (229.6071) {0.0028} Ln (No. of Trades) −0.5315*** (−231.087) {0.0023} −0.6753*** (−281.375) {0.0024} Squared Return −13.5149*** (−11.4475) {1.1806} 14.2975*** (11.2393) {1.2721} F-statistic df(6,863,546): 35,561.8804, p-value is 0, Rejected df(6,1,139,324): 57,110.7438, pvalue is 0, Rejected Adj. R-squared 17.07% 20.04% ARCH effect is present 1,963,192.2182, p-value is 0, Rejected 3,680,111.9332, p-value is 0, Rejected Unit Root is present −349.4144, p-value is 0.01, Rejected −367.1903, p-value is 0.01, Rejected (): t-ratio; {}: Standard Error Pan & Misra, Cogent Economics & Finance (2021), 9: 1898735 https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2021.1898735 Page 16 of 23
analysis of spread indicates that the settlement periods have some impact on the spread in terms of different behaviors by determinants. In the price-range wise analysis, the study found that volatility has a positive relation with spread in the case of mid-priced and low-priced stocks, but an inverse relation in the case of high-priced stocks. Stock price, traded volume, quote return and market–capitalization have comparatively more explanatory power in the case of high-priced stocks than other price ranges. Similarly, market–capitalization specific analysis reveals that volatility and number of trades have an inverse relation with spread in the case of mid-cap stocks. 8. Managerial implications Traders generally manage inventory of cash and stocks with continuous buying and selling of stocks to manage the inventory in a dynamic setup. Buy orders reduce the cash inventory, and sell orders increase the cash inventory. While placing the buy and sell order, traders generally influence their inventories with a motive of increasing the trading profit. In this context, our article provides information to traders on improvement of trading profit through spread management. Table 8. Pooled bigglm: price range-wise analysis period: June—August 2016; dependent variable: effective spread Table 8 represents different price—range (of stocks) wise spread analysis in terms of its determinants. The study found model explainability power to be highest for High Price range stocks and lowest for Low Price range stocks. For high price range stocks, except return volatility, all other variables have significant effect on effective spread Time of the Day High Priced Stocks (Price > 2000) Mid-Priced Stocks (200 < Price <1000) Low Priced Stocks (Price < 200) Intercept −361.2449*** (−88.5474) {4.0797} 7.4352*** (80.6435) {0.0922} 0.8451*** (0.0325) {0.0325} Price Inverse 112,358.8019*** (264.063) {425.5001} 30.82*** (82.7774) {0.3723} 0.4416*** (41.4137) {0.0107} Ln Traded Volume −41.9738*** (−352.6541) {0.119} −0.1542*** (−155.8111) {0.001} −0.0347*** (−132.1224) {0.0003} Quote Return −972.4646*** (−227.5388) {4.2738} 191.5009*** (589.1564) {0.325} 1.537*** (74.688) {0.0206} Ln Market Cap 41.823*** (351.6368) {0.1189} 0.1593*** (160.1663) {0.001} 0.036*** (126.4717) {0.0003} Ln Number of Trades −0.979*** (−140.1159) {0.007} −0.0673*** (−552.329) {0.0001} −0.0131*** (−133.9881) {0.0001} Volatility −1.5132 (−0.385) {3.93} −7.8152*** (−85.0215) {0.0919} −0.846*** (−26.0516) {0.0325} F-statistic df(6,728,909): 91,713.3493, p-value 0, Rejected df(6,4,301,678): 285,502.7504, p-value 0, Rejected df(6,2,029,782): 13,548.5865, p-value 0, Rejected Adj. R-squared 38.62% 24.92% 3.23% ARCH effect is present 288,159.4350, p-value 0, Rejected 12,130,372.1439, p-value 0, Rejected 109,884.4372, p-value 0, Rejected Unit Root is present −474.5512, p-value 0.01, Rejected −881.4770, p-value 0.01, Rejected −921.1434, p-value 0.01, Rejected (): t-ratio; {}: Standard Error Pan & Misra, Cogent Economics & Finance (2021), 9: 1898735 https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2021.1898735 Page 17 of 23
The findings reveal that exchanges can manage the bid-ask spread by improving trading volume and trading frequency. The study has found that higher priced stocks have low trading volume and high spread. In this context, exchanges should design a policy for the splitting of high-priced stocks to reduce their spread. The study has made a significant contribution in estimating and analyzing the high-frequency bid-ask spread of selected CNX 500 stocks, across the six sectors, listed on the National Stock Exchange of India (NSE). It discerns the behavior of spread and assesses the factors impacting such behavior on the basis of market-microstructure theories. The results are more pervasive than those of previous studies. The sectoral analysis of spread provides information to traders for the systematic management of buy and sell orders for the IT-Telecom sector where the spread is very narrow, while the Automobile & Industrial Manufacturing sector shows a widened spread. The sector having a widened spread might be at a high risk of illiquidity, and our article provides empirical evidence to traders to manage the trading profit of high-spread stocks. The traders should be very careful while churning the inventory of stocks. To maximize trading profit, the timing of buy and sell is not symmetrical in cases of large-cap stocks, due to a positive relation between quote return and spread. However, in cases of mid-cap stocks, the timing of buy and sell is very important, as quote return and spread are inversely related. Exchanges should also advise Table 9. Pooled bigglm: market cap-wise analysis period: June—August 2016; dependent variable: effective spread Table 9 represents different market capitalization (of stocks) wise spread analysis in terms of its determinants. The study found model explainability power to be highest for Small cap stocks and lowest for Mid cap stocks. Only price, traded volume and market cap have significant impact on spread in case of small cap stocks. Though in case of large and mid cap stocks, all the variables have significant impact on spread Market Cap Category Large Cap Stocks (Market Cap > 150,000) Mid Cap Stocks (60,000 < Market Cap<100,000) Small Cap Stocks (Market Cap<25,000) Intercept 7.1618*** (6.7954) {1.0539} 27.9198*** (15.793) {1.7679} 3.9521*** (5.0923) {0.7761} Price Inverse 20.2421*** (14.0668) {1.439} 175.4301*** (159.7512) {1.0981} 22.6256*** (126.4765) {0.1789} Ln Traded Volume −0.1152*** (−34.9574) {0.0033} −0.686*** (−174.5998) {0.0039} −0.9174*** (−294.9449) {0.0031} Quote Return 418.9893*** (693.3396) {0.6043} −538.6425*** (−379.0464) {1.421} −0.4753 (−1.3878) {0.3425} Ln Market Cap 0.1235*** (37.1184) {0.0033} 0.6502*** (158.3966) {0.0041} 0.9325*** (209.8548) {0.0044} Ln Number of Trades 0.0046* (2.2688) {0.002} −0.7556*** (−228.3219) {0.0033} −0.1226 (−33.4929) {0.0037} Volatility −7.9928*** (−7.5866) {1.0535} −25.6383*** (−14.5075) {1.7672} −7.6316 (−9.8418) {0.7754} F-statistic df(6,1,965,096): 97,135.9408, p-value 0, Rejected df(6,2,291,797): 59,282.5497, p-value 0, Rejected df(6,214,261): 24,795.1914, p-value 0, Rejected Adj. R-squared 19.82% 11.45% 36.65% ARCH effect is present 286,082.2556, p-value 0, Rejected 1,356,432.9020, p-value 0, Rejected 687,005.3588, p-value 0, Rejected Unit Root is present −1374.1853, p-value 0.01, Rejected −909.3933, p-value 0.01, Rejected −184.5488, p-value 0.01, Rejected (): t-ratio; {}: Standard Error Pan & Misra, Cogent Economics & Finance (2021), 9: 1898735 https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2021.1898735 Page 18 of 23
companies with high-priced stocks to adopt share splitting to improve trading and to reduce their spread. Exchanges should specifically design monitoring parameters for very low price and small market–capitalization stocks, which are more prone to high spreads and low market liquidity. Since the bid-ask spread indicates the trading and liquidity levels in the market, exchanges should monitor transaction costs and information asymmetry, which have significant impacts on the bid-ask spread. 9. Limitations and future directions The study has a few limitations with respect to the sample data and modelling. We have not considered the non-linearity aspect of financial time series in the study. The non-linearity aspect of time series data can be factored to understand the evolvement of the bid-ask spread in the stock market. The study was confined to the cash market only and ignored the implications of options and other derivative segments on the bid-ask spread. But, the study can be extended to capture the intraday bid-ask spread and expected returns in the options, futures, and other derivatives segment of the Indian equity market. Apart from that the actual behavior of traders through primary data collection was not captured in this article. This could be another potential area of Figure 1. Effective spread among different sectors in the time period of Jun–Aug, 2016. Figure 1 shows the variability in effective spread throughout the study period from June to August 2016 in different sectors. Here average sectoral effective spreads are plotted for each sector. Figure 2. Effective spread among different sectors on 22 July 2016. Figure 2 shows the variation in average effective spread in different sectors during 9:30 am to 10 am in stock market. Consumer Goods sector possesses an interesting shape like “W” during this period. Pan & Misra, Cogent Economics & Finance (2021), 9: 1898735 https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2021.1898735 Page 19 of 23
research in future. A deep dive analysis for selected sectors (Birjandi et al., 2019) can bring out more factors like information asymmetry, company conditions, opinions etc., which were beyond scope of this study. 10. Conclusion The study examined the determinants of the bid-ask spread in HFT for selected sample stocks of the NSE, India. According to the authors’ knowledge, this is the first study that has considered such a deep analysis of the determinants of bid-ask spread in the Indian order-driven market under HFT. This study is unique in terms of analyzing the effects of various market conditions and stock properties on spread and its determinants. The literature has empirically established return volatility, share price, trading volume, number of trades, and quote return to be significant determinants of the bid-ask spread in the NYSE, NASDAQ, and many emerging stock exchanges. The empirical analysis in this study reveals that in the Indian equity market, return volatility, share price, trading volume, and number of trades are significant determinants of spread. This study used the “bigglm” method to model spread determinants, an approach that is unique and that has not been performed in earlier studies. This method takes care of the effects of big data when running regression models. The findings indicate that the bid-ask spread is not pricing the risk in the Indian market. The positive relation between market–capitalization and spread reveals that higher trading volumes cannot decrease spread. The month-wise analysis on the pooled datasets revealed that explanatory variables have different impacts on spread in different trading time periods; the pricing of information on the spread is not uniform across time periods. The results of sector-wise pooled regression were not similar across sectors, indicating that sector-specific information is captured in the spread determinants. The impact of brisk trading during settlement days reveals that beginning and end settlement cycles have a larger impact on spread. The analysis found that opening and closing intervals both have an impact on spread. The study’s empirical analysis reveals that price and return volatility have direct and inverse relations, respectively, with spread, with respect to closing intervals, while the relations are the opposite for opening intervals. The spreads of midpriced and low-priced stocks are more prone to return volatility. Price, traded volume, volatility, and market-cap as explanatory variables have comparatively more explanatory power for highpriced stocks than for other stock price ranges. The analysis of spread determinants could help stock exchanges design the market microstructure for trading. The findings on NSE-listed sample stocks reveal that exchanges need to enhance trading volumes, free float shares, and reduce return volatility to reduce spread. Figure 3. Effective spread among different sectors on 22 July 2016. Figure 3 shows the variation in average effective spread in different sectors during closing 30 minutes of stock market (3 pm to 3:30 pm). Almost all the sectors’ average effective spread are going up during closing of market as captured in the study period of June to August 2016. So, towards very end of stock market closing, effective spread tends to be widen which is due to unavailability of buyers or abruptly squaring-off the positions by few traders. Pan & Misra, Cogent Economics & Finance (2021), 9: 1898735 https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2021.1898735 Page 20 of 23
Funding The authors received no direct funding for this research. Author details Aritra Pan 1 E-mail: [email protected] ORCID ID: http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5740-0804 Arun Kumar Misra 2 1 Business Analytics Area, Institute of Management Technology, Ghaziabad, India. 2 Vinod Gupta School of Management, Indian Institute of Technology, Kharagpur, India. Citation information Cite this article as: A comprehensive study on bid-ask spread and its determinants in India, Aritra Pan & Arun Kumar Misra, Cogent Economics & Finance (2021), 9: 1898735. References Al-Suhaibani, M., & Kryzanowski, L. (2000). An exploratory analysis of the order book, and order flow and execution on the Saudi stock market. Journal of Banking & Finance, 24(8), 1323–1357. https://doi.org/ 10.1016/S0378-4266(99)00075-8 Alzahrani, A. (2011). Liquidity cost determinants in the Saudi market. International Journal of Trade, Economics and Finance, 2(3), 185. https://doi.org/10. 7763/IJTEF.2011.V2.101 Amihud, Y., & Mendelson, H. (1980). Dealership market: Market-making with inventory. Journal of Financial Economics, 8(1), 31–53. https://doi.org/10.1016/ 0304-405X(80)90020-3 Amihud, Y., & Mendelson, H. (1986). Asset pricing and the bidask spread. Journal of Financial Economics, 17(2), 223– 249. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405X(86)90065-6 Amihud, Y., & Mendelson, H. (1987). Trading mechanisms and stock returns: An empirical investigation. The Journal of Finance, 42(3), 533–553. https://doi.org/10. 1111/j.1540-6261.1987.tb04567.x Benston, G. J., & Hagerman, R. L. (1974). Determinants of bid-asked spreads in the over-the-counter market. Journal of Financial Economics, 1(4), 353–364. https:// doi.org/10.1016/0304-405X(74)90014-2 Benzennou, B., Ap Gwilym, O., & Williams, G. (2020). Commonality in liquidity across options and stock futures markets. Finance Research Letters, 32, 101096. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2019.01.008 Bessembinder, H., & Venkataraman, K. (2010). Bid-ask spreads: Measuring trade execution costs in financial markets. In Encyclopedia of Quantitative Finance (pp. 184–190). Birjandi, A. K., Akhyani, F., Sheikh, R., & Sana, S. S. (2019). Evaluation and selecting the contractor in bidding with incomplete information using MCGDM method. Soft Computing, 23(20), 10569–10585. https://doi. org/10.1007/s00500-019-04050-y Brock, W. A., & Kleidon, A. W. (1992). Periodic market closure and trading volume: A model of intraday bids and asks. Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control, 16(3), 451– 489. https://doi.org/10.1016/0165-1889(92)90045-G Brown, C., Dark, J., & Davis, K. (2010). Exchange traded contracts for difference: Design, pricing, and effects. Journal of Futures Markets, 30(12), 1108–1149. https://doi.org/10.1002/fut.20475 Chakrabarty, B. K., & Jain, P. (2005). “Understanding the microstructure of Indian markets”, National Stock Exchange of India, Research Paper Series, NSE, Final Paper No. 128. Chen, N. F., & Kan, R. (1996). Center for Research in Security Prices. In K. Saitou, and K. Kubota (Eds.), Expected Return and the Bid-Ask Spread. Graduate School of Business, University of Chicago. Chordia, T., Roll, R., & Subrahmanyam, A. (2001). Market liquidity and trading activity. The Journal of Finance, 56 (2), 501–530. https://doi.org/10.1111/0022-1082.00335 Cohen, K. J., & Maier, S. F. (1986). The Microstructure of Securities Markets. Prentice-Hall. Copeland, T. E., & Galai, D. (1983). Information effects on the bid-ask spread. The Journal of Finance, 38(5), 457–1469. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1983. tb03834.x Demsetz, H. (1968). The cost of transacting. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 82(1), 33–53. https://doi.org/ 10.2307/1882244 Easley, D., & O’Hara, M. (1992). Time and the process of security price adjustment. The Journal of Finance, 47 (2), 577–605. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261. 1992.tb04402.x Fender, I., & Lewrick, U. (2015). “Shifting tides–market liquidity and market-making in fixed income instruments”, BIS Quarterly Review, March. Ghasemiyeh, R., Moghdani, R., & Sana, S. S. (2017). A hybrid artificial neural network with metaheuristic algorithms for predicting stock price. Cybernetics and Systems, 48(4), 365–392. https://doi.org/10.1080/ 01969722.2017.1285162 Giouvris, E., & Philippatos, G. (2008). Determinants of the components of the bid-ask spreads on the London stock exchange: The case of changes in trading regimes. Journal of Money, Investment and Banking, 1(1), 49–61. Gkillas, K., Vortelinos, D. I., Babalos, V., & Wohar, M. E. (2019). “Day-of-the-week effect and spread determinants: Some international evidence from equity markets”, available at SSRN 3434805. Glosten, L. R., & Harris, L. E. (1988). Estimating the components of the bid/ask spread. Journal of Financial Economics, 21(1), 23–142. https://doi.org/10.1016/ 0304-405X(88)90034-7 Glosten, L. R., & Milgrom, P. R. (1985). Bid, ask and transaction prices in a specialist market with heterogeneously informed traders. Journal of Financial Economics, 14(1), 71–100. https://doi.org/10.1016/ 0304-405X(85)90044-3 Harris, L. (2003). Trading and exchanges: Market microstructure for practitioners. OUP USA. Hasbrouck, J. (2006). Empirical Market Microstructure: The Institutions, Economics, and Econometrics of Securities Trading. Oxford University Press. Heflin, F., & Shaw, K. W. (2000). Blockholder ownership and market liquidity. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 35(4), 621–633. https://doi.org/ 10.2307/2676258 Ho, T. S., & Stoll, H. R. (1983). The dynamics of dealer markets under competition. The Journal of Finance, 38(4), 1053–1074. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.15406261.1983.tb02282.x Huang, R. D., & Stoll, H. R. (1997). The components of the bid-ask spread: A general approach. The Review of Financial Studies, 10(4), 995–1034. https://doi.org/10. 1093/rfs/10.4.995 Huang, R. D., & Stoll, H. R. (2001). Tick size, bid-ask spreads, and market structure. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 36(4), 503–522. https://doi. org/10.2307/2676222 Huang, Y. C. (2004). The components of bid-ask spread and their determinants: TAIFEX versus SGX-DT. Journal of Futures Markets, 24(9), 835–860. https:// doi.org/10.1002/fut.20113 Hussain, S. M. (2011). The intraday behaviour of bid-ask spreads, trading volume and return volatility: Pan & Misra, Cogent Economics & Finance (2021), 9: 1898735 https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2021.1898735 Page 21 of 23
Evidence from DAX30. International Journal of Economics and Finance, 3(1), 23. https://doi.org/10. 5539/ijef.v3n1p23 Jegadeesh, N., & Subrahmanyam, A. (1993). Liquidity effects of the introduction of the S&P 500 index futures contract on the underlying stocks. Journal of Business, 66(2), 171– 187. https://doi.org/10.1086/296600 Jha, R., Murthy, K. V., Nagarajan, H. K., & Seth, A. K. (1998). “Components of the wholesale bid-ask spread and the structure of grain markets: The case of rice in India”, IIM Bangalore Research Paper, (106). Kim, S.-H., & Ogden, J. P. (1996). Determinants of the components of bid-ask spreads on stocks. European Financial Management, 2(1), 127–145. https://doi.org/ 10.1111/j.1468-036X.1996.tb00032.x Lee, C. M., & Ready, M. J. (1991). Inferring trade direction from intraday data. The Journal of Finance, 46(2), 733–746. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1991.tb02683.x Liu, Q., Hua, R., & An, Y. (2016). Determinants and information content of intraday bid-ask spreads: Evidence from Chinese commodity futures markets. PacificBasin Finance Journal, 38, 135–148. https://doi.org/ 10.1016/j.pacfin.2016.04.002 Lumley, T. (2011). “Biglm: Bounded memory linear and generalized linear models.” R package version 0.8, available at: http://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/biglm. Madhavan, A. (2000). Market microstructure: A survey. Journal of Financial Markets, 3(3), 205–258. https:// doi.org/10.1016/S1386-4181(00)00007-0 McInish, T. H., & Wood, R. A. (1992). An analysis of intraday patterns in bid/ask spreads for NYSE stocks. The Journal of Finance, 47(2), 753–764. https://doi.org/10. 1111/j.1540-6261.1992.tb04408.x Menyah, K., & Paudyal, K. (2000). The components of bid– ask spreads on the London Stock Exchange. Journal of Banking & Finance, 24(11), 1767–1785. https://doi. org/10.1016/S0378-4266(99)00102-8 Miller, A. J. (1992). Algorithm AS 274: Least squares routines to supplement those of Gentleman. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C, Applied Statistics, 41(2), 458–478. http://www.jstor.org/ stable/2347583 Minardi, A. M. A. F., Sanvicente, A. Z., & Monteiro, R. (2006). “Bid-ask spread and liquidity premium in Brazil”, (No. wpe_53). Insper Working Paper, Insper Instituto de Ensino e Pesquisa. Muggeo, V. M., & Adelfio, G. (2010). Efficient change point detection for genomic sequences of continuous measurements. Bioinformatics, 27(2), 161–166. https://doi.org/10.1093/bioinformatics/btq647 Myers, K., Lawrence, E., Fugate, M., Bowen, C. M., Ticknor, L., Woodring, J., … Ahrens, J. (2016). Partitioning a large simulation as it runs. Technometrics, 58(3), 329–340. https://doi.org/10.1080/00401706.2016.1158740 Narahari, Y. (2002). “Data structures and algorithms”, Lecture Notes, Department of Computer Science and Automation, Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore. Narayan, P. K., Mishra, S., & Narayan, S. (2014). Spread determinants and the day-of-the-week effect. The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 54(1), 51–60. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.qref.2013.07.008 Nath, G. C., Rajaram, S., Shiraly, P., & Dalvi, M. (2017). Determinants of bid-ask spread in the Indian government securities market. Money, Banking and Finance, 52(12), 25. https://www.epw.in/journal/ 2017/12/money-banking-and-finance/determinantsbid-ask-spread-indian-government-securities O’Hara, M. (2015). High frequency market microstructure. Journal of Financial Economics, 116(2), 257–270. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2015.01.003 O’Hara, M., Saar, G., & Zhong, Z. (2019). Relative tick size and the trading environment. The Review of Asset Pricing Studies, 9(1), 47–90. https://doi.org/10.1093/ rapstu/ray009 Paital, R. R., & Sharma, N. K. (2016). Bid-ask spreads, trading volume and return volatility: Intraday evidence from Indian stock market. Eurasian Journal of Economics and Finance, 4(1), 24–40. https://doi.org/ 10.15604/ejef.2016.04.01.002 Plerou, V., Gopikrishnan, P., & Stanley, H. E. (2005). Quantifying fluctuations in market liquidity: Analysis of the bid-ask spread. Physical Review E, 71(4), 046131. https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.71.046131 Rahman, S., Lee, C. F., & Ang, K. P. (2002). Intraday return volatility process: Evidence from NASDAQ stocks. Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, 19(2), 155–180. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1020683012149 Rath, S. (2004). The hidden costs of trade execution. JASSA, 4, 35–37. Riedl, E. J., & Serafeim, G. (2011). Information risk and fair values: An examination of equity betas. Journal of Accounting Research, 49(4), 1083–1122. https://doi. org/10.1111/j.1475-679X.2011.00408.x Ripamonti, A. (2016). Corwin-Schultz bid-ask spread estimator in the Brazilian stock market. Brazilian Administration Review, 13(1), 76–97. https://doi.org/ 10.1590/1807-7692bar2016150036 Rojcek, J., & Ziegler, A. (2016). “High-frequency trading in limit order markets: Equilibrium impact and regulation”, Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper, 15–23. Roll, R. (1984). A simple implicit measure of the effective bid-ask spread in an efficient market. The Journal of Finance, 39(4), 1127–1139. https://doi.org/10.1111/j. 1540-6261.1984.tb03897.x Schwartz, R. A. (1988). Equity Markets: Structure, Trading, and Performance. HarperCollins College Div. Seddon, J. J., & Currie, W. L. (2017). A model for unpacking big data analytics in high-frequency trading. Journal of Business Research, 70, 300–307. https:// doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusres.2016.08.003 Stoll, H. R. (1978). The supply of dealer services in securities markets. The Journal of Finance, 33(4), 1133–1151. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1978.tb02053.x Su, E., & Tokmakcioglu, K. (2020). A comparison of bid-ask spread proxies and determinants of bond bid-ask spread. In Borsa Istanbul Review. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214845020300661 Tinic, S. M., & West, R. R. (1972). Competition and the pricing of dealer service in the over-the-counter stock market. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 7(3), 1707–1727. https://doi.org/10.2307/2329797 Wang, C., Chen, M. H., Schifano, E., Wu, J., & Yan, J. (2016). “Statistical methods and computing for big data”, arXiv preprint: https://arxiv.org/abs/1502.07989; https://dx.doi.org/10.4310/SII.2016.v9.n4.a1. Wang, G. H., Michalski, R. J., Jordan, J. V., & Moriarty, E. J. (1994). An intraday analysis of bid-ask spreads and price volatility in the S&P 500 Index futures market. Journal of Futures Markets, 14(7), 837–859. https:// doi.org/10.1002/fut.3990140706 Wang, J. (1999). Asymmetric information and the bid-ask spread: An empirical comparison between automated order execution and open outcry auction. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 9(2), 115–128. https://doi.org/10.1016/ S1042-4431(99)00002-5 Zhang, M. Y., Russell, J. R., & Tsay, R. S. (2008). Determinants of bid and ask quotes and implications for the cost of trading. Journal of Empirical Finance, 15(4), 656–678. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jempfin.2007.12.003 Pan & Misra, Cogent Economics & Finance (2021), 9: 1898735 https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2021.1898735 Page 22 of 23
© 2021 The Author(s). This open access article is distributed under a Creative Commons Attribution (CC-BY) 4.0 license. You are free to: Share — copy and redistribute the material in any medium or format. Adapt — remix, transform, and build upon the material for any purpose, even commercially. The licensor cannot revoke these freedoms as long as you follow the license terms. Under the following terms: Attribution — You must give appropriate credit, provide a link to the license, and indicate if changes were made. You may do so in any reasonable manner, but not in any way that suggests the licensor endorses you or your use. No additional restrictions You may not apply legal terms or technological measures that legally restrict others from doing anything the license permits. Cogent Economics & Finance (ISSN: ) is published by Cogent OA, part of Taylor & Francis Group. Publishing with Cogent OA ensures: • Immediate, universal access to your article on publication • High visibility and discoverability via the Cogent OA website as well as Taylor & Francis Online • Download and citation statistics for your article • Rapid online publication • Input from, and dialog with, expert editors and editorial boards • Retention of full copyright of your article • Guaranteed legacy preservation of your article • Discounts and waivers for authors in developing regions Submit your manuscript to a Cogent OA journal at www.CogentOA.com Pan & Misra, Cogent Economics & Finance (2021), 9: 1898735 https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2021.1898735 Page 23 of 23