Full text
Global, regional, and national levels and causes of maternal mortality during 1990–2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013 A full list of authors and affiliations appears at the end of the article. Summary Background—The fifth Millennium Development Goal (MDG 5) established the goal of a 75% reduction in the maternal mortality ratio (MMR; number of maternal deaths per 100 000 livebirths) between 1990 and 2015. We aimed to measure levels and track trends in maternal mortality, the key causes contributing to maternal death, and timing of maternal death with respect to delivery. Methods—We used robust statistical methods including the Cause of Death Ensemble model (CODEm) to analyse a database of data for 7065 site-years and estimate the number of maternal deaths from all causes in 188 countries between 1990 and 2013. We estimated the number of pregnancy-related deaths caused by HIV on the basis of a systematic review of the relative risk of dying during pregnancy for HIV-positive women compared with HIV-negative women. We also estimated the fraction of these deaths aggravated by pregnancy on the basis of a systematic review. To estimate the numbers of maternal deaths due to nine different causes, we identified 61 *Correspondence to: Dr Nicholas J Kassebaum, Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, 2301 Fifth Avenue, Suite 600, Seattle, WA 98121, USA, [email protected]. †Authors listed alphabetically ‡Joint senior authors Contributors NJK and CJLM prepared the first draft. NJK, CS, ADL, CJLM, and RL finalised the draft on the basis of comments from other authors and reviewer feedback. NJK, ADL, CJLM, and RL conceived the study and provided overall guidance. NJK completed all modelling. NJK, AB-V, and MSC did the statistical analysis of model results. All other authors provided data, developed models, reviewed results, initiated modelling infrastructure, and reviewed the report. See Online for appendix Declaration of interests Cyrus Cooper has received consultancy fees, lecture fees, and honoraria from Amgen, GlaxoSmithKline, Alliance for Better Bone Health, Merck Sharp and Dohme, Eli Lilly, Pfizer, Novartis, Servier, Medtronic, and Roche. Katherine B Gibney received the National Health and Medical Research Council Gustav Nossal scholarship sponsored by CSL in 2012; this award is peer-reviewed through the standard National Health and Medical Research Countil peer-review process, and CSL does not play any part in selection of the awardee. Norito Kawakami has received fees from Meiji, Otsuka, EAP Consulting, Fujitsu Software Technologies, Japan Productivity Center, Occupational Health Foundation, Japan Housing Finance Agency, Aishin-Seiki, and the Japan Dental Association; consultancy fees from Sekisui Chemicals, Junpukai Health Care Center, and Osaka Chamber of Commerce and Industry; and royalties from Igaku-Shoin, Taisha-kan, Nanko-do, Nanzan-do, PHP Publication, and Fujitsu Software Technologies. Norito Kawakami has also received research grants from the Japanese Ministry of Education, Science, and Technology; the Japanese Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare; Fujitsu Software Technologies; Softbank; and Japan Management Association. Guilherme V Polanczyk has received grants or research support from the National Council for Scientific and Technological Development, the São Paulo Research Foundation, and the University of São Paulo; has served as a paid consultant to Shire; has served on the speakers’ bureau of Shire; and has received royalties from Editora Manole. Jasvinder A Singh has received research grants from Takeda and Savient; has received consultant fees from Savient, Takeda, Regeneron, and Allergan; is a member of the executive of OMERACT, an organisation that develops outcome measures in rheumatology and receives arms-length funding from 36 companies; is a member of the American College of Rheumatology’s Guidelines Subcommittee of the Quality of Care Committee; and is a member of the Veterans Affairs Rheumatology Field Advisory Committee. The other authors declare no competing interests. Europe PMC Funders Group Author Manuscript Lancet. Author manuscript; available in PMC 2014 December 04. Published in final edited form as: Lancet. 2014 September 13; 384(9947): 980–1004. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(14)60696-6. Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts
sources from a systematic review and 943 site-years of vital registration data. We also did a systematic review of reports about the timing of maternal death, identifying 142 sources to use in our analysis. We developed estimates for each country for 1990–2013 using Bayesian metaregression. We estimated 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) for all values. Findings—292 982 (95% UI 261 017–327 792) maternal deaths occurred in 2013, compared with 376 034 (343 483–407 574) in 1990. The global annual rate of change in the MMR was −0·3% (−1·1 to 0·6) from 1990 to 2003, and −2·7% (−3·9 to −1·5) from 2003 to 2013, with evidence of continued acceleration. MMRs reduced consistently in south, east, and southeast Asia between 1990 and 2013, but maternal deaths increased in much of sub-Saharan Africa during the 1990s. 2070 (1290–2866) maternal deaths were related to HIV in 2013, 0·4% (0·2–0·6) of the global total. MMR was highest in the oldest age groups in both 1990 and 2013. In 2013, most deaths occurred intrapartum or postpartum. Causes varied by region and between 1990 and 2013. We recorded substantial variation in the MMR by country in 2013, from 956·8 (685·1–1262·8) in South Sudan to 2·4 (1·6–3·6) in Iceland. Interpretation—Global rates of change suggest that only 16 countries will achieve the MDG 5 target by 2015. Accelerated reductions since the Millennium Declaration in 2000 coincide with increased development assistance for maternal, newborn, and child health. Setting of targets and associated interventions for after 2015 will need careful consideration of regions that are making slow progress, such as west and central Africa. Funding—Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. Introduction Since the 1980s, the global health community has focused on reducing maternal mortality through a sequence of initiatives, beginning with the Safe Motherhood movement in 1987, to the creation of the Partnership for Maternal, Newborn and Child Health in 2005.1,2 The priority accorded to reductions in maternal mortality is shown by its choice as one of the eight Millennium Development Goals (MDGs). Despite these efforts and visibility, there was broad concern that little or no progress was being made, which prompted intensified efforts by the UN Secretary General through the launch of Every Woman Every Child in 2010, and the subsequent creation of the Commission on Information and Accountability for Women’s and Children’s Health.2,3 In 2010, a comprehensive assessment of global trends in maternal mortality suggested that the maternal mortality ratio (MMR; number of maternal deaths per 100 000 livebirths) had decreased by 1·3% per year since 1990.4 Subsequent revisions of the historical estimates have shown even larger worldwide rates of change, from −1·9% to −3·1% per year.5,6 This evidence collectively suggests that, although concerns about the rate of change of maternal mortality might have been too pessimistic, there is substantial uncertainty about how rapid the decrease has been and about the actual numbers of deaths in several large populations. If policy debates about acceleration of maternal mortality reductions are to be usefully informed, goals established, and targets set for reproductive health, up-to-date monitoring of the levels and trends in maternal mortality is essential.7 Kassebaum et al. Page 2 Lancet. Author manuscript; available in PMC 2014 December 04. Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts
Compared with child mortality, maternal mortality has been more difficult to track over time at the national level.8 Several major challenges have to be addressed in any measurement effort: misclassification of maternal deaths to other causes in countries with complete vital registration and medical certification of causes of death; substantial sampling error in measurements that depend on survey recall because few maternal deaths are reported; large non-sampling error in survey and census measurements as demonstrated in settings with repeated overlapping measurements; variation in the demographic assessment of reproductive-age mortality from all causes, particularly in the 1990s; and the need for models to synthesise data from several studies or generate estimates when data are sparse.9-11 The substantial differences between global modelling efforts, which are at times substantial, emphasise the influence of each of the analytical steps used to estimate maternal mortality.12 Political attention to how countries are progressing towards MDG 5 targets is intensifying.1,13 Donors, global health partners, and national programme managers are understandably frustrated by the wide uncertainty intervals and the variability of estimates from different analysts.8 Here, we use the systematic approach of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2013 (GBD 2013) to measure levels and track trends in maternal mortality, the key causes contributing to maternal death, and the timing of maternal deaths. In GBD 2013, with application of rigorous statistical methods to critically appraise and synthesise data from different sources to estimate levels and causes of death in each age and sex group, a consistent and holistic approach to the challenges of maternal mortality measurement is used that enables comparisons across time, country, and other important causes of death in women of reproductive age. Algorithms for cause of death reclassification are applied consistently across all causes and modelling strategies use methods with clearly quantified out-of-sample predictive validity.14 On the basis of recent trends in MMR, we also project an MMR scenario for 2030 to inform policy debates by identifying which countries are in greatest need of intensified focus. Methods Maternal mortality 1990–2013 Data—We used the GBD 2013 cause of death database, which extends from 1980 to 2013, to estimate maternal mortality. Although we report estimates for the MDG period 1990– 2013, data for 1980–90 are included in the analysis to improve the robustness of the time trend estimation. Naghavi and colleagues15 provide substantial detail about the inclusion criteria and data processing of studies across all causes. Briefly, building on previous analyses, we identified data from 180 of 188 GBD countries, including 4877 site-years of vital registration data, 1213 site-years of sibling histories from Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) and Reproductive Health Surveys (RHS) providing information about the pregnancy-related fraction of reproductive-age deaths, 73 site-years of censuses, 626 siteyears of maternal mortality surveillance, and 267 site-years of verbal autopsy analyses covering women of reproductive age.4,5,16 We identified the above data sources through a systematic review (appendix), from analyses by Lozano and colleagues5 and GBD 2010 Kassebaum et al. Page 3 Lancet. Author manuscript; available in PMC 2014 December 04. Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts
analyses,16 searches of Ministry of Health websites, and a search of the Global Health Data Exchange. There has been much debate about which deaths of women of reproductive age should be included as maternal deaths. To be classified as maternal, pregnancy needs to be a causal factor in death. It can either have a direct effect (complications of the pregnancy or childbirth, or postpartum complications) or indirect effect (exacerbation of a pre-existing condition). Therefore, accidental or incidental deaths in which pregnancy had no causal role are not classified as maternal deaths. Definitions for national use based on the International Classification of Diseases (ICD) have differed from other recommendations for international comparisons of the MMR. All definitions include direct and indirect causes during pregnancy and within 6 weeks of the termination of pregnancy (figure 1). ICD-10 definitions also include late maternal deaths between 6 weeks and 1 year after termination.6,17 For some causes, such as suicide, there is national variation in whether they are coded as incidental or indirect.18,19 MDG guidance for cross-country comparisons of MMR recommends that all HIV-related deaths during pregnancy or within 6 weeks should be included in the MMR,20 but the UN group estimating maternal mortality uses only 50% of these deaths in their estimation.6,20 Conceptually, only the fraction of deaths aggravated by pregnancy should be included, because that is the definition of an indirect cause of maternal mortality. We included direct and indirect deaths during pregnancy and within 6 weeks of delivery, plus late maternal deaths up to 1 year after delivery and the fraction of HIV-related deaths aggravated by pregnancy. Late maternal deaths were not coded in ICD-9 so data are only available for ICD-10 (ie, from 1994). Additionally, because maternal deaths in the age group 10–14 years have been consistently reported in our data sources, we have estimated the number of maternal deaths in this age group but have not included them in the computation of the MMR because no standard estimates of birth rates are available for this group. In vital registration and verbal autopsy data, maternal deaths are often misclassified as deaths attributable to other underlying causes. We reassigned deaths assigned to causes that are unlikely to be underlying causes of death with standardised algorithms.14 The causes of death that are partly reassigned to maternal causes are shown in the appendix.15 We reanalysed DHS and RHS microdata for sibling deaths that were related to pregnancy by year using Gakidou-King weights to deal with potential survivor bias.21 We used a Bayesian noise reduction algorithm to preprocess data to avoid the issue of large stochastic fluctuations and zero counts leading to distorted time trends (appendix). When different DHS surveys provided data for reproductive-age deaths and the number that were related to pregnancy for the same year, we pooled results for that year to reduce stochastic measurement error. Additionally, for some vital registration data, no maternal deaths are reported in specific age group or for a specific period. Noise reduction algorithms again help to reduce upward bias because all zero counts would otherwise be dropped from natural logarithm death rate and logit cause fraction models. Data were unavailable for only eight countries, for which we relied entirely on model predictions for maternal mortality estimates. Kassebaum et al. Page 4 Lancet. Author manuscript; available in PMC 2014 December 04. Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts
HIV-related mortality—Because of the rapid increase in reproductive-age mortality due to the HIV epidemic in eastern and southern Africa, disentangling the fraction of HIV deaths during pregnancy that are incidental (ie, not related to pregnancy) from those aggravated by pregnancy (ie, maternal deaths) is important. Assessment of HIV-related mortality during pregnancy has two steps: estimation of the fraction of deaths during pregnancy or within 6 weeks of delivery that are related to HIV, and estimation of the fraction of these HIV-related deaths that are aggravated by pregnancy. For the first step, we updated Calvert and Ronsmans’ systematic review22 (appendix). We identified one new study, giving a total of 21 for which we could examine mortality risk during pregnancy for HIV-positive versus HIV-negative women.23-43 We excluded data from non-representative populations, from sources that did not include postpartum deaths, and any deaths more than 1 year after delivery. Most studies did not specify antiretroviral therapy (ART) status. We undertook a DerSimonian-Laird meta-analysis of the relative risk (RR) of death. Studies were heterogeneous and the pooled RR was 6·40 (figure 2). We identified no clear geographical pattern to explain why some studies are significantly above or below the pooled estimate, nor any clear relation with other study attributes, meaning that we had an insufficient basis for further weighting of input studies. We used the RR and estimated HIV prevalence in pregnant women (based on the UNAIDS Spectrum model) to estimate the population attributable fraction of pregnancy-related deaths that are related to HIV. To estimate the fraction of HIV-related deaths aggravated by pregnancy, we did another systematic review (appendix). We could identify only two studies to inform this fraction, with a pooled RR of 1·13 (95% UI 0·73–1·77),44,45 corresponding to a frequency of all HIV-related deaths during pregnancy that should be counted as maternal deaths of 11·5% (0–43·5). Several additional studies did not show increased risk of HIVrelated mortality during pregnancy, but were excluded because stratification of the study population on the basis of stage of HIV or ART status was not completed. Modelling—Following Lozano and colleagues’ methods,5 we used the Cause of Death Ensemble model (CODEm) to model maternal mortality by age (appendix). With CODEm, many models are developed and their performance is assessed objectively.46 We selected nine covariates for CODEm to test on the basis of previously reported associations that also have a plausible causal association with maternal mortality: age-specific fertility rate, total fertility rate, age-standardised HIV death rate for female individuals aged 15–49 years, neonatal death rate, lag-distributed gross domestic product (GDP) per person (GDP per person computed with a triangle lag that weights more recent years more heavily), proportion of deliveries occurring in facilities, proportion of deliveries overseen by skilled birth attendants, coverage of four visits of antenatal care, and malnutrition in children younger than 5 years (<2 SD below mean weight for age; used as a proxy for adult nutritional status; appendix). We divided covariates into three groups to enable computation. Level 1 covariates had the strongest likely relation with maternal mortality; covariates in levels 2 and 3 had weaker likely relations. CODEm tests all combinations of level 1 covariates and nearly every combination of level 2 and level 3 covariates using four families of models: mixed effects linear regression of the logit-transformed cause-specific mortality fraction, spatial-temporal Kassebaum et al. Page 5 Lancet. Author manuscript; available in PMC 2014 December 04. Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts
Gaussian Process Regression (ST-GPR) of the logit-transformed cause-specific mortality rate, mixed effects linear regression of the natural log of the maternal death rate, and STGPR of the natural log of the maternal death rate.46 30% of the data were not included in the models. Models were retained when the beta for each covariate was significant and in the direction allowed by previous evidence. The performance of each retained model was then assessed with half the held-out data in terms of the root-mean squared error of the prediction of the model compared with the data held out, and the root-mean squared error of the trend in the model compared with the trend in the data. Ensemble models were developed on the basis of the rankings of individual models and the performance of different ensembles assessed in the second half of the data held out of the regression (appendix). The best performing ensemble was selected and refitted to all data. One of the strengths of the GBD is that all causes are simultaneously estimated. Estimates of every cause-specific death rate are necessary to sum to all-cause mortality using the CoDCorrect algorithm.16 To ensure they do sum to all-cause mortality, at the level of each draw from the posterior distribution of each cause of death for a specific country, year, and age group, the sum of all causes was rescaled to equal a draw taken from the uncertainty distribution of all-cause mortality for that country, year, and age group. Causes of maternal death We disaggregated maternal deaths into nine causes: maternal haemorrhage, maternal sepsis and other pregnancy-related infections, hypertensive disorders of pregnancy, obstructed labour, abortion, other direct maternal disorders, indirect maternal disorders, HIV, and late maternal deaths. To estimate the different causes of maternal death, we completed a systematic review (appendix) to identify data to inform which proportion of total maternal deaths is due to each cause. Additionally, we incorporated all vital registration and sample registration data that provided ICD-coded detail for maternal causes (appendix). We identified 61 studies and, after processing, included 943 site-years of vital registration, sample registration, and maternal mortality surveillance data. We modelled the proportion of maternal deaths for all causes except HIV using DisMod-MR (version 2.0), which is a Bayesian meta-regression tool developed for the GBD (appendix). This version of DisMod-MR allows for two types of fixed effects (study attributes and country covariates) and includes nested random effects for super-region, region, and country. A key advantage of DisMod-MR is that it can handle data reported for any age interval. Predictions from DisMod-MR for each group divided by country, year, and age are based on the country covariates, reference values of the study level covariates, and hierarchical random effects. Point estimates with uncertainty were produced for six discrete points: 1990, 1995, 2000, 2005, 2010, and 2013. Each cause was modelled independently. Predicted cause fractions for each group were rescaled to equal 100% of the deaths not related to HIV. The rescaled cause fractions were then multiplied by the number of maternal deaths in each group (divided by country, year, and age) to obtain the number of deaths for each maternal cause, a sum to which the HIV deaths were added. The final result includes cause fraction and number of maternal deaths due to each cause, country, age group, and year. Kassebaum et al. Page 6 Lancet. Author manuscript; available in PMC 2014 December 04. Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts
Timing of maternal deaths An important issue for planning of interventions is an understanding of the timing of maternal deaths with respect to labour and delivery.47 We completed a systematic review to identify studies of the timing of maternal deaths (appendix). We identified 142 studies and used vital registration, sample registration, and surveillance data for late maternal death. Many studies combined the first 24 h postpartum (immediate or early postpartum) with the intrapartum period, because events of the immediate postpartum period are clinically related to events occurring during labour and delivery. Therefore, we also combined intrapartum and immediate postpartum periods. We followed this format to construct a dataset that included four different time windows: deaths occurring antepartum (before onset of labour), deaths occurring intrapartum or during the immediate postpartum period (up to 24 h after delivery), deaths occurring during the subacute and delayed postpartum periods (24 h to 42 days after delivery),47 and late maternal deaths (43 days to 1 year after delivery). We modelled the proportion of maternal deaths in each of the four periods with DisMod-MR (version 2.0). The predicted proportions were scaled to 100% for each group. 2030 scenario and rate-of-change calculations We developed a straightforward forecast scenario for the MMR for every country in 2030 by using the estimated annualised rate of change from 2003 to 2013 to predict the MMR for 2030. For countries with an increasing MMR in that period, we assumed that the MMR would remain constant. We used UN Population Division forecasts of the population aged 15–49 years and births to forecast the number of maternal deaths for each country. We calculated annualised rate of change for 1990–2013 using the continuous rate-of-change formula. Achievement of the MDG 5 target would be equivalent to a sustained 5·5% decrease per year from 1990 to 2015. Uncertainty We report 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) for maternal deaths, the MMR, causes of maternal death, timing of maternal deaths, and annualised rates of change. The ensemble models for maternal mortality generate 1000 draws from the posterior distribution; the validity of the UIs was confirmed through 50 iterations of cross-validation with data held out during CODEm estimation. Additionally, DisMod-MR produced 1000 draws from the posterior distribution for the cause analysis and time-of-death analysis. We assumed uncertainty in the estimated fraction of maternal deaths due to each cause or the estimated fraction of maternal deaths in different timings to be independent of the uncertainty in the occurrence of maternal mortality. We calculated uncertainty with 1000 draws from the posterior distribution of every step of the estimation process, which allows for quantification and propagation of uncertainty associated with each of the epidemiological variables in the GBD framework. These UIs are different from confidence intervals, which would only quantify sampling uncertainty in the underlying data for a specific model. Kassebaum et al. Page 7 Lancet. Author manuscript; available in PMC 2014 December 04. Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts
Role of the funding source The funder of the study had no role in study design, data collection, data analysis, data interpretation, or writing of the report. The authors had access to the data in the study and had final responsibility for the decision to submit for publication. Results The total annual number of maternal deaths decreased from 376 034 (95% UI 343 483–407 574) in 1990, to 292 982 (261 017–327 792) in 2013 (figure 3A, table 1). The reduction accelerated steadily from 1990 to 2013 (figure 3B), with corresponding decreases in MMR (table 1). Between 2003 and 2013, the annual rate of change in MMR was greater than −1%, reaching −3·3% for 2012–13 (figure 3B). MMR was highest in the oldest age groups and lowest in women aged 20–29 years in both 1990 and 2013 (figure 4). However, it decreased significantly between 1990 and 2013 for almost all age groups (figure 4). We used data for the proportions of births in different maternal age groups and calculated that 9·5% of maternal deaths are in the group aged 15– 19 years, 43·1% in women aged 20–29 years, and 47·0% in those aged 30 years and older, with the remainder occurring in the group aged 10–14 years. Despite much higher rates of mortality in older age groups, the total number of deaths is roughly equal before and after the age of 30 years. The MMR in mothers aged 15–19 years in 2013 was 1·5 times higher than that in women aged 20–24 years, and 1·4 times higher than in those aged 25–29 years. In 2013, the MMR was 9·5 times higher for a woman aged 45–49 years (1374·4, 95% UI 1117·1–1694·9) than for a woman aged 20–24 years (144·1, 120·6–169·9). We recorded substantial differences across the GBD regions in the trends in maternal deaths and the MMR (figure 5). Of the regions where the MMR was more than 300 in 1990, south Asia made the greatest progress by 2013 (figure 5A, table 1). In eastern and western subSaharan Africa, MMRs increased until 2005, but have since reduced substantially (figure 5A). The MMR in eastern sub-Saharan Africa has been changing at a rate of −4·5% per year (95% UI −6·0 to −2·8) since 2005. Of regions that had MMRs of 100–300 in 1990, southeast Asia has had the most notable decreases (figure 5B). The MMR in the Caribbean has followed a similar trend to eastern and western sub-Saharan Africa—ie, increasing to 2005, before falling—and it has improved only slightly in north Africa and the Middle East (figure 5B). The MMR in southern sub-Saharan Africa increased greatly between 1990 and 2006, rising from 150·8 (95% UI 115·9–182·6) to 565·7 (420·1–737·2), but then fell to 279·8 (202·6–381·5) in 2013 (figure 5B). We recorded decreases in MMRs in all regions that had an MMR of 30–100 in 1990 (figure 5C, table 1). This reduction is particularly evident in east Asia (figure 5C, table 1). The rates of change in southern Latin America and central Latin America since 2000 seem to have been slower than those before 2000 (figure 5C). In regions with low MMR in 1990 (<30), the MMR has continued to reduce slowly, except for in the high-income region of North America (figure 5D, table 1). Kassebaum et al. Page 8 Lancet. Author manuscript; available in PMC 2014 December 04. Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts
Except for late maternal deaths and HIV-related deaths, the absolute numbers of deaths due to every cause decreased significantly (p<0·001) from 1990 to 2013 (table 2, appendix). However, in sub-Saharan Africa, the number of deaths due to all causes increased from 1990 to 2013 (table 1). Globally, the biggest absolute reduction was in deaths due to maternal haemorrhage: from 71 295 (95% UI 64 562–78 329) in 1990, to 44 190 (38 273–50 819) in 2013. The biggest percentage decrease was in maternal sepsis, which caused 11·6% (11·4– 11·8) of all maternal deaths in 1990, but 9·7% (9·5–9·9) in 2013 (figure 6A). The proportion of maternal deaths due to indirect causes increased slightly from 9·1% (95% UI 8·9–9·4) in 1990, to 10·2% (10·0–10·5) in 2013 (figure 6A). Additionally, the proportion of maternal deaths due to other direct causes rose from 16·5% (95% UI 16·3–16·8) in 1990, to 17·0% (16·7–17·3) in 2013 (figure 6A). The number of late maternal deaths decreased globally by 3·0%, from 44 814 (95% UI 36 414–53 106) in 1990, to 43 507 (35 667–52 395) deaths in 2013. In 2013, HIV accounted for 1·5% (0·9–2·0) of all maternal deaths in sub-Saharan Africa, but only 0·4% (0·2–0·6) worldwide. The number of abortion-related deaths decreased significantly at the global level (p=0·002; figure 6A) and in all regions other than Oceania, where no significant change occurred (p=0·35), and sub-Saharan Africa, where the number of deaths increased significantly after abortion (p<0·001). Cause patterns vary by regions. The two most important causes of maternal death in highincome regions in 2013 were indirect and other direct causes (figure 6B), owing largely to a decrease in abortion-related deaths, which was the most important cause of maternal mortality in high-income regions in 1990. The number of deaths due to haemorrhage, hypertension, and maternal sepsis have also decreased significantly, whereas the numbers of deaths due to indirect and late maternal causes have increased since 1990 (figure 6B, appendix). By contrast, the most important causes in low-income countries—other direct, abortion, and haemorrhage—have not changed between 1990 and 2013, although different trends are apparent in different regions. For example, east Asia had significant decreases in all causes except HIV (which was estimated to be the cause of 0·003% of all maternal deaths in 2013; appendix). The total global number of HIV-related maternal deaths in 2013 was 2070 (95% UI 1290–2866), reduced from a peak of 3280 (2041–4403) in 2004. The increase in proportion of deaths due to indirect maternal causes was most notable in Latin America and the Caribbean, where the proportion increased from 9·2% (95% UI 8·8–9·8) in 1990, to 11·5% (10·9–12·2) in 2013. In 2013, on average, nearly a quarter of deaths occurred antepartum (24·6%, 24·1–25·2), a quarter intrapartum and immediately postpartum (27·7%, 27·1–28·2), a third subacute and delayed postpartum (35·6%, 34·9–36·2), and 12·1% (11·9–12·5) late. The biggest absolute change was in intrapartum deaths (table 2, appendix), which decreased by more than 35%, but equally notable was that despite a decrease in the mean fraction of postpartum deaths, the proportion of total deaths occurring postpartum and late actually increased at the global level (p<0·001). In 2013, 16 countries had MMRs of between 500 and 1000: Afghanistan, Cameroon, Central African Republic, Chad, Côte d’Ivoire, Djibouti, Eritrea, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Liberia, Lesotho, Mauritania, Papua New Guinea, Sierra Leone, South Sudan, and Zimbabwe (figure 7, table 1). 15 countries had MMRs of less than 5: Andorra, Australia, Austria, Denmark, Kassebaum et al. Page 9 Lancet. Author manuscript; available in PMC 2014 December 04. Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts
Borja del Pozo-Cruz†, Kebede Deribe†, Muluken Dessalegn†, Gabrielle A deVeber†, Samath D Dharmaratne†, Uğur Dilmen†, Eric L Ding†, Rob E Dorrington†, Tim R Driscoll†, Sergei Petrovich Ermakov†, Alireza Esteghamati†, Emerito Jose A Faraon†, Farshad Farzadfar†, Manuela Mendonca Felicio†, Seyed-Mohammad Fereshtehnejad†, Graça Maria Ferreira de Lima†, Mohammad H Forouzanfar†, Elisabeth B França†, Lynne Gaffikin†, Ketevan Gambashidze†, Fortuné Gbètoho Gankpé†, Ana C Garcia†, Johanna M Geleijnse†, Katherine B Gibney†, Maurice Giroud†, Elizabeth L Glaser†, Ketevan Goginashvili†, Philimon Gona†, Dinorah González-Castell†, Atsushi Goto†, Hebe N Gouda†, Harish Chander Gugnani†, Rahul Gupta†, Rajeev Gupta†, Nima Hafezi-Nejad†, Randah Ribhi Hamadeh†, Mouhanad Hammami†, Graeme J Hankey†, Hilda L Harb†, Rasmus Havmoeller†, Simon I Hay†, Ileana B Heredia Pi†, Hans W Hoek†, H Dean Hosgood†, Damian G Hoy†, Abdullatif Husseini†, Bulat T Idrisov†, Kaire Innos†, Manami Inoue†, Kathryn H Jacobsen†, Eiman Jahangir†, Sun Ha Jee†, Paul N Jensen†, Vivekanand Jha†, Guohong Jiang†, Jost B Jonas†, Knud Juel†, Edmond Kato Kabagambe†, Haidong Kan†, Nadim E Karam†, André Karch†, Corine Kakizi Karema†, Anil Kaul†, Norito Kawakami†, Konstantin Kazanjan†, Dhruv S Kazi†, Andrew H Kemp†, Andre Pascal Kengne†, Maia Kereselidze†, Yousef Saleh Khader†, Shams Eldin Ali Hassan Khalifa†, Ejaz Ahmed Khan†, Young-Ho Khang†, Luke Knibbs†, Yoshihiro Kokubo†, Soewarta Kosen†, Barthelemy Kuate Defo†, Chanda Kulkarni†, Veena S Kulkarni†, G Anil Kumar†, Kaushalendra Kumar†, Ravi B Kumar†, Gene Kwan†, Taavi Lai†, Ratilal Lalloo†, Hilton Lam†, Van C Lansingh†, Anders Larsson†, Jong-Tae Lee†, James Leigh†, Mall Leinsalu†, Ricky Leung†, Xiaohong Li†, Yichong Li†, Yongmei Li†, Juan Liang†, Xiaofeng Liang†, Stephen S Lim†, Hsien-Ho Lin†, Steven E Lipshultz†, Shiwei Liu†, Yang Liu†, Belinda K Lloyd†, Stephanie J London†, Paulo A Lotufo†, Jixiang Ma†, Stefan Ma†, Vasco Manuel Pedro Machado†, Nana Kwaku Mainoo†, Marek Majdan†, Christopher Chabila Mapoma†, Wagner Marcenes†, Melvin Barrientos Marzan†, Amanda J Mason-Jones†, Man Mohan Mehndiratta†, Fabiola Mejia-Rodriguez†, Ziad A Memish†, Walter Mendoza†, Ted R Miller†, Edward J Mills†, Ali H Mokdad†, Glen Liddell Mola†, Lorenzo Monasta†, Jonathan de la Cruz Monis†, Julio Cesar Montañez Hernandez†, Ami R Moore†, Maziar Moradi-Lakeh†, Rintaro Mori†, Ulrich O Mueller†, Mitsuru Mukaigawara†, Aliya Naheed†, Kovin S Naidoo†, Devina Nand†, Vinay Nangia†, Denis Nash†, Chakib Nejjari†, Robert G Nelson†, Sudan Prasad Neupane†, Charles R Newton†, Marie Ng†, Mark J Nieuwenhuijsen†, Muhammad Imran Nisar†, Sandra Nolte†, Ole F Norheim†, Luke Nyakarahuka†, In-Hwan Oh†, Takayoshi Ohkubo†, Bolajoko O Olusanya†, Saad B Omer†, John Nelson Opio†, Orish Ebere Orisakwe†, Jeyaraj D Pandian†, Christina Papachristou†, Jae-Hyun Park†, Angel J Paternina Caicedo†, Scott B Patten†, Vinod K Paul†, Boris Igor Pavlin†, Neil Pearce†, David M Pereira†, Konrad Pesudovs†, Max Petzold†, Dan Poenaru†, Guilherme V Polanczyk†, Suzanne Polinder†, Dan Pope†, Farshad Pourmalek†, Dima Qato†, D Alex Quistberg†, Anwar Rafay†, Kazem Rahimi†, Vafa Rahimi-Movaghar†, Sajjad ur Rahman†, Murugesan Raju†, Saleem M Rana†, Amany Refaat†, Luca Ronfani†, Nobhojit Roy†, Tania Georgina Sánchez Pimienta†, Mohammad Ali Sahraian†, Joshua A Salomon†, Uchechukwu Sampson†, Itamar S Santos†, Monika Sawhney†, Kassebaum et al. Page 16 Lancet. Author manuscript; available in PMC 2014 December 04. Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts
Felix Sayinzoga†, Ione J C Schneider†, Austin Schumacher†, David C Schwebel†, Soraya Seedat†, Sadaf G Sepanlou†, Edson E Servan-Mori†, Marina ShakhNazarova†, Sara Sheikhbahaei†, Kenji Shibuya†, Hwashin Hyun Shin†, Ivy Shiue†, Inga Dora Sigfusdottir†, Donald H Silberberg†, Andrea P Silva†, Jasvinder A Singh†, Vegard Skirbekk†, Karen Sliwa†, Sergey S Soshnikov†, Luciano A Sposato†, Chandrashekhar T Sreeramareddy†, Konstantinos Stroumpoulis†, Lela Sturua†, Bryan L Sykes†, Karen M Tabb†, Roberto Tchio Talongwa†, Feng Tan†, Carolina Maria Teixeira†, Eric Yeboah Tenkorang†, Abdullah Sulieman Terkawi†, Andrew L Thorne-Lyman†, David L Tirschwell†, Jeffrey A Towbin†, Bach X Tran†, Miltiadis Tsilimbaris†, Uche S Uchendu†, Kingsley N Ukwaja†, Eduardo A Undurraga†, Selen Begüm Uzun†, Andrew J Vallely†, Coen H van Gool†, Tommi J Vasankari†, Monica S Vavilala†, N Venketasubramanian†, Salvador Villalpando†, Francesco S Violante†, Vasiliy Victorovich Vlassov†, Theo Vos†, Stephen Waller†, Haidong Wang†, Linhong Wang†, XiaoRong Wang†, Yanping Wang†, Scott Weichenthal†, Elisabete Weiderpass†, Robert G Weintraub†, Ronny Westerman†, James D Wilkinson†, Solomon Meseret Woldeyohannes†, John Q Wong†, Muluemebet Abera Wordofa†, Gelin Xu†, Yang C Yang†, Yuichiro Yano†, Gokalp Kadri Yentur†, Paul Yip†, Naohiro Yonemoto†, Seok-Jun Yoon†, Mustafa Z Younis†, Chuanhua Yu†, Kim Yun Jin†, Maysaa El SayedZaki†, Yong Zhao†, Yingfeng Zheng†, Maigeng Zhou†, Jun Zhu†, Xiao Nong Zou†, Alan D Lopez‡, Mohsen Naghavi‡, Christopher J L Murray‡, and Rafael Lozano‡ (N J Kassebaum MD, A Bertozzi-Villa BA, M S Coggeshall BA, K A Shackelford BA, C Steiner MPH, K R Heuton BS, D Gonzalez-Medina BA, R Barber BS, C Huynh BA, D Dicker BS, T Templin BA, T M Wolock BA, Prof L Dandona PhD, M H Forouzanfar MD, S S Lim PhD, Prof A H Mokdad PhD, M Moradi-Lakeh MD, M Ng MD, A Schumacher BS, Prof T Vos PhD, H Wang PhD, M Naghavi PhD, Prof C J L Murray PhD, Prof R Lozano MD), Department of Neurology (D L Tirschwell MD), Pediatric Anesthesiology and Pain Medicine, Seattle Children’s Hospital, School of Medicine (N J Kassebaum), University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA (R Alfonso-Cristancho PhD, P N Jensen MPH, D A Quistberg PhD, M S Vavilala MD); Hacettepe University Institute of Population Studies, Ankara, Turkey (A Abbasoglu Ozgoren MA, A Cavlin PhD); Faculty of Medicine, Cairo University, Cairo, Egypt (Prof F Abd-Allah MD); School of Public Health, College of Health Sciences, Mekelle University, Mekelle, Tigray, Ethiopia (S F Abera MSc); University College London, London, UK (Prof I Abubakar PhD); Ministry of Health, Gaborone, Botswana (T Achoki PhD); Public Health Promotion Alliance, Osogbp, Nigeria (A Adelekan PhD); Centre for International Child Health (S M Colquhoun PhD), University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia (Z Ademi PhD, J D Blore PhD, R G Weintraub MB, Prof A D Lopez PhD); Association Ivoirienne Pour Le Bien Etre Familial, Abidjan, Côte d’Ivoire (A K Adou MD); University of Extremadura, Cáceres, Spain (Prof J C Adsuar PhD); Institution of Public Health Sciences, Stockholm, Sweden (E E Agardh PhD); Makerere University, Kampala, Uganda (D Akena PhD, L Nyakarahuka MPH); Ministry of Health, Muscat, Oman (D Alasfoor MSc, M J Al Kahbouri PhD); Debre Markos University, Debre Markos, Amhara, Ethiopia (Z A Kassebaum et al. Page 17 Lancet. Author manuscript; available in PMC 2014 December 04. Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts
Alemu MPH); National Guard Health Affairs, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia (S Alhabib PhD); University of Oxford, Oxford, UK (R Ali MSc, Prof S I Hay DPhil, K Rahimi DM); School of Public Health, University of Lorraine, Nancy, France (Prof F Alla PhD); Ministry of Health, Belmopan, Cayo, Belize (P J Allen MPH); Saudi Ministry of Health, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia (M A AlMazroa MD, Prof Z A Memish MD); Charité Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Berlin, Germany (U Alsharif DMD, S Nolte PhD, C Papachristou PhD); Spanish Observatory on Drugs, Government Delegation for the National Plan on Drugs (E Alvarez PhD), and Division of Pharmacoepidemiology and Pharmacovigilance, Spanish Medicines and Healthcare Products Agency (F Catalá-López PhD), Ministry of Health, Social Services and Equality, Madrid, Spain (E Alvarez PhD); Universidad de Cartagena, Cartagena de Indias, Colombia (Prof N Alvis-Guzmán PhD); Albany State University, Albany, GA, USA (Prof A A Amankwaa PhD); Department of Epidemiology, University of Groningen, Groningen, Netherlands (A T Amare MPH); College of Medicine and Health Sciences, Bahir Dar University, Bahir Dar, Ethiopia (A T Amare); Kurdistan Environmental Health Research Centre, Kurdistan University of Medical Sciences, Sanandaj, Kurdistan, Iran (H Amini MSPH); Ministry of Public Health, Beirut, Lebanon (W Ammar PhD, H L Harb MPH); College of Public Health, University of the Philippines Manila, Manila, Philippines (C A T Antonio MD, E J A Faraon MD); UN Population Fund, Kabul, Afghanistan (P Anwari MSc); Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden (J Ärnlöv PhD, Prof A Larsson PhD); Institute of Microbiology and Immunology, School of Medicine, University of Belgrade, Belgrade, Serbia (Prof V S Arsic Arsenijevic PhD); Median, Windsor, ON, Canada (A Artaman PhD); Ministry of Health, Amman, Jordan (M M Asad PhD); Field Epidemiology and Laboratory Training Program, Islamabad, Pakistan (R J Asghar MD); Mashhad University of Medical Sciences, Mashhad, Iran (R Assadi MD); Ministry Of Health, Wellness, Human Services and Gender Relations, Sans Souci, Castries, Saint Lucia (L S Atkins MPH); Public Health Agency of Canada, Toronto, ON, Canada (A Badawi PhD); Sri Ramachandra University, Chennai, India (K Balakrishnan PhD); School of Health Sciences, University of Canterbury, Christchurch, New Zealand (A Basu PhD); School of Medicine (L Gaffikin DrPH); Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA (S Basu PhD); Oxford University, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam (J Beardsley MBChB); College of Public Health and Tropical Medicine, Jazan, Saudi Arabia (N Bedi MD); Madawalabu University, Bale Goba, Oromia, Ethiopia (T Bekele MPH); Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA (Prof M L Bell PhD); King’s College London, London, UK (E Bernabe PhD); Addis Ababa University, Debre Zeit, Ethiopia (T J Beyene MSC, K Deribe MPH); Aga Khan University Medical Centre (Prof Z Bhutta PhD); Aga Khan University (M I Nisar MSc); Karachi, Pakistan; University of Missouri-Kansas City, Kansas City, MO, USA (A Bin Abdulhak MD); GeneralDirectorate of Health Research (B Bora Basara PhD, U Dilmen MD, G K Yentur PhD); Ministry of Health, Ankara, Turkey (S B Uzun MD); World Bank, Washington, DC, USA (D Bose PhD); University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, USA (Prof N Breitborde PhD); Universidad Autonoma Metropolitana, Mexico Kassebaum et al. Page 18 Lancet. Author manuscript; available in PMC 2014 December 04. Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts
City, Mexico (R Cárdenas ScD); Colombian National Health Observatory, Instituto Nacional de Salud, Bogota, Colombia (C A Castañeda-Orjuela MSc); Universidad Diego Portales, Santiago, Chile (R E Castro PhD); College of Public Health (H-H Lin ScD), National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan (Prof JC Chang PhD); National Institutes of Health, Department of Health and Human Services, Bethesda, MD, USA (X Che PhD); Cyprus University of Technology, Limassol, Cyprus (C A Christophi PhD); Cedars-Sinai Medical Centre, Los Angeles, CA, USA (Prof S S Chugh MD); University of Salerno, Baronissi, Italy (Prof M Cirillo MD); Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA (L T Cooper MD); Medical Research Council Lifecourse Epidemiology Unit, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK (Prof C Cooper FMedSci); National School of Public Health (ENSP/Fiocruz), Rio de Janeiro, Brazil (I da Costa Leite PhD); Public Health Foundation of India, New Delhi, India (Prof L Dandona, R Dandona PhD, G A Kumar PhD, R B Kumar MD); Public Health England, London, UK (Prof A Davis PhD); School of Medicine (A Dayama MD), Emory University, Atlanta, GA, USA (Prof Y Liu PhD, S B Omer PhD); The Kirby Institute (A J Vallely PhD), University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia (Prof L Degenhardt PhD); Griffith University, Brisbane, QLD, Australia (Prof D De Leo DSc); University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand (B del Pozo-Cruz PhD); Africa Medical and Research Foundation in Ethiopia, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia (M Dessalegn MPH); Hospital for Sick Children, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada (G A deVeber MD); University of Peradeniya, Peradeniya, Sri Lanka (S D Dharmaratne MD); Harvard School of Public Health (E L Ding ScD), Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA (Prof J A Salomon PhD); Hatter Institute for Cardiovascular Research in Africa, Faculty of Health Sciences (Prof K Sliwa PhD), University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa (Prof R E Dorrington MPhil); Sydney School of Public Health (T R Driscoll PhD), University of Sydney, NSW, Australia (J Leigh PhD); The Institute of Social and Economic Studies of Population at the Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia (Prof S P Ermakov DSc); Non-Communicable Diseases Research Centre (F Farzadfar MD); Endocrinology and Metabolism Research Centre (Prof A Esteghamati MD, N Hafezi-Nejad MD, S Sheikhbahaei MD), Digestive Diseases Research Institute (S G Sepanlou MD), MS Research Centre (M A Sahraian MD), Sina Trauma and Surgery Research Centre (Prof V Rahimi-Movaghar MD), Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran; Departamento de Saúde Pública, ARS Norte IP, Porto, Portugal (M M Felicio MD, C M Teixeira MD); Department of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics (E Weiderpass PhD), Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden (S-M Fereshtehnejad MD, R Havmoeller MD); Northern Region Health Administration (V M P Machado MSc), Public Health Department, Unidade Local de Saúde de Matosinhos, Porto, Portugal (G M Ferreira de Lima BSC); Federal University of Minas Gerais, Belo Horizonte, Brazil (E B Franca PhD); National Centre for Disease Control and Public Health of Georgia, Tbilisi, Georgia (K Gambashidze MS, K Kazanjan MS, M Kereselidze MD, M Shakh-Nazarova MS, L Sturua PhD); Clinique Coopérative de Parakou, Parakou, Borgou, Benin (F G Gankpé MD); Public Health Unit of Kassebaum et al. Page 19 Lancet. Author manuscript; available in PMC 2014 December 04. Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts
Primary Health Care Group of Almada-Seixal, Almada, Setúbal, Portugal (A C Garcia MPH); Division of Human Nutrition, Wageningen University, Wageningen, Netherlands (J M Geleijnse PhD); Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia (K B Gibney MBBS, B K Lloyd PhD); University Hospital of Dijon, Dijon, France (Prof M Giroud MD); Heller School for Social Policy and Management (E L Glaser MA), Brandeis University, Waltham, MA, USA (B T Idrisov MD, E A Undurraga PhD); Ministry of Labour, Health and Social Affairs, Tbilisi, Georgia (K Goginashvili MPH); University of Massachusetts Medical School, Worcester, MA, USA (Prof P Gona PhD); National Institute of Public Health, Cuernavaca, Mexico (D González-Castell MSc, I B Heredia Pi PhD, F Mejia-Rodriguez MSc, J C Montañez Hernandez MSc, T G Sánchez Pimienta MSc, E E Servan-Mori MSc, S Villalpando PhD, Prof R Lozano); Department of Diabetes Research, National Centre for Global Health and Medicine, Tokyo, Japan (A Goto PhD); School of Population Health (D G Hoy PhD), University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD, Australia (H N Gouda PhD, L Knibbs PhD); Saint James School of Medicine, Kralendijk, Bonaire, Netherlands (Prof H C Gugnani PhD); Kanawha Charleston Health Department, Charleston, WV, USA (Rahul Gupta MD); Fortis Escorts Hospital, Jaipur, India (Rajeev Gupta PhD); Arabian Gulf University, Manama, Bahrain (Prof R R Hamadeh DPhil); Wayne County Department of Health and Human Services, Detroit, MI, USA (M Hammami MD); School of Medicine and Pharmacology, University of Western Australia, Perth, WA, Australia (Prof G J Hankey MD); Parnassia Psychiatric Institute, The Hague, Netherlands (H W Hoek MD); Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, NY, USA (Prof H D Hosgood PhD); Public Health Division, Secretariat of the Pacific Community, Noumea, New Caledonia (D G Hoy); Birzeit University, Birzeit, Ramallah, Palestine (A Husseini PhD); National Institute for Health Development, Tallinn, Estonia (K Innos PhD, M Leinsalu PhD); School of Public Health (Prof N Kawakami MD), Graduate School of Medicine (M Inoue PhD), University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan (Prof K Shibuya MD); George Mason University, Fairfax, VA, USA (K H Jacobsen PhD); Ochsner Medical Centre, New Orleans, LA, USA (E Jahangir MD); Graduate School of Public Health, Yonsei University, Seoul, South Korea (Prof S H Jee PhD); Postgraduate Institute of Medical Education and Research, Chandigarh, India (Prof V Jha DM); Tianjin Centres for Diseases Control and Prevention, Tianjin, China (G Jiang MD); Department of Ophthalmology, Medical Faculty Mannheim, University of Heidelberg, Heidelberg, Germany (Prof J B Jonas MD); National Institute of Public Health, Copenhagen, Denmark (Prof K Juel PhD); Vanderbilt University, Nashville, TN, USA (E K Kabagambe PhD, U Sampson MD); Fudan University, Shanghai, China (H Kan MD); University of Balamand, Beirut, Lebanon (N E Karam MD); Helmholtz Centre for Infection Research, Braunschweig, Germany (A Karch MD); Malaria and Other Parasitic Diseases Division (C K Karema MSc), Ministry of Health, Kigali, Rwanda (F Sayinzoga MD); Oklahoma State University, Tulsa, OK, USA (A Kaul MD); University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA (D S Kazi MD); University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil (Prof A H Kemp PhD, Prof P A Lotufo DrPH, Prof G Kassebaum et al. Page 20 Lancet. Author manuscript; available in PMC 2014 December 04. Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts
V Polanczyk PhD, Prof I S Santos PhD); South African Medical Research Council, Cape Town, South Africa (A P Kengne PhD); Jordan University of Science and Technology, Al-Ramtha, Jordan (Prof Y S Khader ScD); Supreme Council of Health, Doha, Qatar (S E A H Khalifa MSc); Health Services Academy, Islamabad, Pakistan (E A Khan MPH); Institute of Health Policy and Management, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea (Prof Y-H Khang PhD); Department of Preventive Cardiology, Department of Preventive Medicine and Epidemiologic Informatics, National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Centre, Suita, Japan (Y Kokubo PhD); Centre for Community Empowerment, Health Policy and Humanities, National Institute of Health Research and Development, Jakarta, Indonesia (S Kosen MD); University of Montreal, Montreal, QC, Canada (Prof B Kuate Defo PhD); Rajrajeshwari Medical College and Hospital, Bangalore, India (Prof C Kulkarni PhD); Arkansas State University, Jonesboro, AR, USA (V S Kulkarni PhD); International Institute for Population Sciences, Mumbai, India (K Kumar MPS); Indian Institute of Public Health, Public Health Foundation of India, Gurgaon, India (R B Kumar); Boston Medical Centre, Boston, MA, USA (G Kwan MD); Fourth View Consulting, Tallinn, Estonia (T Lai PhD); Australian Research Centre for Population Oral Health (ARCPOH), School of Dentistry, University of Adelaide, Adelaide, SA, Australia (Prof R Lalloo PhD); Institute of Health Policy and Development Studies, National Institutes of Health, Manila, Philippines (Prof H Lam PhD); International Agency for the Prevention of Blindness and Vision 2020, Weston, FL, USA (V C Lansingh PhD); Korea University, Seoul, South Korea (Prof J-T Lee PhD, S-J Yoon PhD); University at Albany, Rensselaer, NY, USA (R Leung PhD); National Centre for Birth Defects Monitoring of China, Chengdu, China (X Li MD); National Centre for Chronic and Non-Communicable Disease Control and Prevention (Yichong Li MPH, S Liu PhD, J Ma PhD, Prof L Wang MD, Prof M Zhou PhD), National Institute of Occupational Health and Poison Control (Prof F Tan MD), Chinese Centre for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China (X Liang PhD); Genentech, South San Francisco, CA, USA (Yongmei Li PhD); National Office for Maternal and Child Health Surveillance, West China Second University Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China (Prof J Liang MD, Prof Y Wang MS, Prof J Zhu MD); Wayne State University, Miami, FL, USA (S E Lipshultz MD); National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences, Research Triangle Park, NC, USA (S J London MD); Ministry of Health Singapore, Singapore, Singapore (S Ma PhD); Xpharmconsult, Kumasi, Ghana (N K Mainoo MMRCB); Department of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences and Social Work, Trnava University, Trnava, Slovakia (M Majdan PhD); University of Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia (C C Mapoma PhD); Queen Mary University of London, London, UK (Prof W Marcenes PhD); University of the East Ramon Magsaysay Memorial Medical Centre, Quezon City, Philippines (M B Marzan MSPH); University of York, York, UK (A J Mason-Jones PhD); Janakpuri Super Specialty Hospital, New Delhi, India (Prof M M Mehndiratta MD); UN Population Fund, Lima, Peru (W Mendoza MD); Pacific Institute for Research and Evaluation, Calverton, MD, USA (T R Kassebaum et al. Page 21 Lancet. Author manuscript; available in PMC 2014 December 04. Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts
Miller PhD); University of Ottawa, Ottawa, ON, Canada (E J Mills PhD); University of Papua New Guinea, Port Moresby, Papua New Guinea (Prof G L Mola MD); Institute for Maternal and Child Health Istituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico Burlo Garofolo, Trieste, Italy (L Monasta DSc, L Ronfani PhD); Bureau of International Health Cooperation, Manila City, Philippines (J de la Cruz Monis MSc); University of North Texas, Denton, TX, USA (Prof A R Moore PhD); Iran University of Medical Sciences, Department of Community Medicine, Tehran, Iran (M Moradi-Lakeh); National Centre for Child Health and Development, Setagaya, Tokyo, Japan (R Mori PhD); Philipps-University Marburg, Marburg, Germany (Prof U O Mueller PhD, R Westerman PhD); Tokyo Medical and Dental University, Tokyo, Japan (M Mukaigawara MD); International Centre for Diarrhoeal Diseases Research, Dhaka, Bangladesh (A Naheed PhD); University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa (Prof K S Naidoo PhD); Ministry of Health Fiji, Suva, Fiji (D Nand MPH); Suraj Eye Institute, Nagpur, India (Prof V Nangia MD); School of Public Health, City University of New York, New York, NY, USA (D Nash PhD); Faculty of Medicine, Fez, Morocco (Prof C Nejjari PhD); National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases, Phoenix, AZ, USA (R G Nelson PhD); Norwegian Centre for Addiction Research (SERAF), University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway (S P Neupane MBBS); Kenya Medical Research Institute Wellcome Trust Programme, Kilifi, Kenya (Prof C R Newton MD); Centre for Research in Environmental Epidemiology (CREAL), Barcelona, Spain (M J Nieuwenhuijsen PhD); University of Bergen, Bergen, Norway (Prof O F Norheim PhD); Kyung Hee Unversity, Seoul, South Korea (I-H Oh PhD); Teikyo University School of Medicine, Tokyo, Japan (Prof T Ohkubo MD); Centre for Healthy Start Initiative, Lagos, Nigeria (B O Olusanya PhD); Lira District Local Government, Lira Municipal Council, Lira, Uganda (J N Opio MPH); Toxicology Unit, Faculty of Pharmacy, University of Port Harcourt, Port Harcourt, Nigeria (Prof O E Orisakwe PhD); Christian Medical College Ludhiana, Ludhiana, India (J D Pandian MD); Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Suwon, South Korea (Prof J-H Park MPH); Universidad de Cartagena, Cartagena, Colombia (A J Paternina Caicedo MSc); University of Calgary, Calgary, AB, Canada (Prof S B Patten PhD); All India Institute of Medical Sciences (AIIMS), New Delhi, India (Prof V K Paul MD); WHO, Waigani, Papua New Guinea (B I Pavlin MD); London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK (Prof N Pearce PhD); 3B’s Research Group in Biomaterials, Biodegradables and Biomimetics, University of Minho, Headquarters of the European Institute of Excellence on Tissue Engineering and Regenerative Medicine, and ICVS/3B’s PT Government Associate Laboratory, Braga Portugal (Prof D M Pereira PhD); Flinders University, Adelaide, SA, Australia (Prof K Pesudovs PhD); Centre for Applied Biostatistics, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Sweden (Prof M Petzold PhD); McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada (D Poenaru MD); Erasmus Medical Center, Department of Public Health, Rotterdam, Netherlands (S Polinder PhD); University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK (D Pope PhD); University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada (F Pourmalek Kassebaum et al. Page 22 Lancet. Author manuscript; available in PMC 2014 December 04. Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts
PhD); College of Pharmacy (D Qato PhD), University of Illinois, Chicago, IL, USA (K M Tabb PhD); Contech International, Lahore, Pakistan (A Rafay MS); Hamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar (S ur Rahman FRCPCH); University of Missouri, Columbia, MO, USA (M Raju PhD); Department of Public Health, University of the Punjab, Lahore, Pakistan (S M Rana PhD); Walden University, Minneapolis, MN, USA (Prof A Refaat PhD); Bhaba Atomic Research Center Hospital, Mumbai, India (N Roy MD); Marshall University, Huntington, WV, USA (M Sawhney PhD); Federal University of Santa Catarina, Florianópolis, Brazil (I J C Schneider PhD); University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, AL, USA (D C Schwebel PhD, J A Singh MD); Stellenbosch University, Cape Town, South Africa (Prof S Seedat PhD); Health Canada, Ottawa, ON, Canada (H H Shin PhD, S Weichenthal PhD); Heriot-Watt University, Edinburgh, UK (I Shiue PhD); Reykjavik University, Reykjavik, Iceland (I D Sigfusdottir PhD); University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA (Prof D H Silberberg MD); Instituto Nacional de Epidemiología Dr Juan H Jara, Mar del Plata, Buenos Aires, Argentina (A P Silva MgSc); Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway (Prof V Skirbekk PhD); Federal Research Institute for Health Organisation and Informatics of Ministry of Health of the Russian Federation, Moscow, Russia (S S Soshnikov PhD); Department of Clinical Neurological Sciences, Western University, London, ON, Canada (L A Sposato MD); University Tunku Abdul Rahman, Kajang, Malaysia (C T Sreeramareddy MD); Hellenic Centre for Disease Control and Prevention (KEELPNO) Greece, Athens, Greece (K Stroumpoulis PhD); Department of Criminology, Law and Society (and Sociology), University of California Irvine, Irvine, CA, USA (B L Sykes PhD); Ministry of Public Health, Yaounde, Cameroon (R T Talongwa MD); Memorial University, St John’s, NL, Canada (E Y Tenkorang PhD); Department of Anesthesiology, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, USA (A S Terkawi MD); Department of Anesthesiology, King Fahad Medical City, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia (A S Terkawi); The Earth Institute, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA (A L Thorne-Lyman ScD); Cincinnati Children’s Hospital Medical Centre, Cincinnati, OH, USA (Prof J A Towbin MD); Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA (B X Tran PhD); Department of Medicine, University of Crete, Heraklion, Greece (Prof M Tsilimbaris PhD); Department of Veterans Affairs, Washington, DC, USA (U S Uchendu MD); Department of Internal Medicine, Federal Teaching Hospital Abakaliki, Abakaliki, Nigeria (K N Ukwaja MD); National Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, Netherlands (C H van Gool PhD); UKK Institute for Health Promotion Research, Tampere, Finland (Prof T J Vasankari PhD); Neuroscience Centre, Raffles Hospital, Singapore (N Venketasubramanian MD); University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy (Prof F S Violante MD); Higher School of Economics, Moscow, Russia (Prof V V Vlassov MD); Uniformed Services University of Health Sciences, Bethesda, MD, USA (S Waller MD); Shandong University Affiliated Jinan Central Hospital, Jinan, China (X R Wang PhD); Murdoch Children’s Research Institute, Royal Children’s Hospital, Melbourne, VIC, Australia (R G Weintraub); University of Miami, Miami, FL, USA (J D Wilkinson Kassebaum et al. Page 23 Lancet. Author manuscript; available in PMC 2014 December 04. Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts
MD); Institute of Public Health, University of Gondar, Gondar, Ethiopia (S M Woldeyohannes MPH); Ateneo School of Medicine and Public Health, City of Pasig, Manila, Philippines (J Q Wong MD); Jimma University, Jimma, Ethiopia (M A Wordofa MPH); Nanjing University School of Medicine, Jinling Hospital, Nanjing, China (Prof G Xu PhD); University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC, USA (Y C Yang PhD); Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Jichi Medical University School of Medicine, Shimotsuke, Japan (Y Yano MD); University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China (Prof P Yip PhD); National Centre of Neurology and Psychiatry, Kodaira, Japan (N Yonemoto MPH); Jackson State University, Jackson, MS, USA (Prof M Z Younis PhD); Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Global Health Institute, School of Public Health, Wuhan University, Wuhan, China (Prof C Yu PhD); TCM Medical Tk, Nusajaya, Johor Bahru, Malaysia (K Yun Jin PhD); Mansoura Faculty of Medicine, Mansoura, Egypt (Prof M E S Zaki MD); Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China (Prof Y Zhao MD); Zhongshan Ophthalmic Centre, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China (Y Zheng PhD); and Cancer Institute and Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, China (Prof X N Zou MD) Affiliations (N J Kassebaum MD, A Bertozzi-Villa BA, M S Coggeshall BA, K A Shackelford BA, C Steiner MPH, K R Heuton BS, D Gonzalez-Medina BA, R Barber BS, C Huynh BA, D Dicker BS, T Templin BA, T M Wolock BA, Prof L Dandona PhD, M H Forouzanfar MD, S S Lim PhD, Prof A H Mokdad PhD, M Moradi-Lakeh MD, M Ng MD, A Schumacher BS, Prof T Vos PhD, H Wang PhD, M Naghavi PhD, Prof C J L Murray PhD, Prof R Lozano MD), Department of Neurology (D L Tirschwell MD), Pediatric Anesthesiology and Pain Medicine, Seattle Children’s Hospital, School of Medicine (N J Kassebaum), University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA (R Alfonso-Cristancho PhD, P N Jensen MPH, D A Quistberg PhD, M S Vavilala MD); Hacettepe University Institute of Population Studies, Ankara, Turkey (A Abbasoglu Ozgoren MA, A Cavlin PhD); Faculty of Medicine, Cairo University, Cairo, Egypt (Prof F Abd-Allah MD); School of Public Health, College of Health Sciences, Mekelle University, Mekelle, Tigray, Ethiopia (S F Abera MSc); University College London, London, UK (Prof I Abubakar PhD); Ministry of Health, Gaborone, Botswana (T Achoki PhD); Public Health Promotion Alliance, Osogbp, Nigeria (A Adelekan PhD); Centre for International Child Health (S M Colquhoun PhD), University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia (Z Ademi PhD, J D Blore PhD, R G Weintraub MB, Prof A D Lopez PhD); Association Ivoirienne Pour Le Bien Etre Familial, Abidjan, Côte d’Ivoire (A K Adou MD); University of Extremadura, Cáceres, Spain (Prof J C Adsuar PhD); Institution of Public Health Sciences, Stockholm, Sweden (E E Agardh PhD); Makerere University, Kampala, Uganda (D Akena PhD, L Nyakarahuka MPH); Ministry of Health, Muscat, Oman (D Alasfoor MSc, M J Al Kahbouri PhD); Debre Markos University, Debre Markos, Amhara, Ethiopia (Z A Kassebaum et al. Page 24 Lancet. Author manuscript; available in PMC 2014 December 04. Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts
Alemu MPH); National Guard Health Affairs, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia (S Alhabib PhD); University of Oxford, Oxford, UK (R Ali MSc, Prof S I Hay DPhil, K Rahimi DM); School of Public Health, University of Lorraine, Nancy, France (Prof F Alla PhD); Ministry of Health, Belmopan, Cayo, Belize (P J Allen MPH); Saudi Ministry of Health, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia (M A AlMazroa MD, Prof Z A Memish MD); Charité Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Berlin, Germany (U Alsharif DMD, S Nolte PhD, C Papachristou PhD); Spanish Observatory on Drugs, Government Delegation for the National Plan on Drugs (E Alvarez PhD), and Division of Pharmacoepidemiology and Pharmacovigilance, Spanish Medicines and Healthcare Products Agency (F Catalá-López PhD), Ministry of Health, Social Services and Equality, Madrid, Spain (E Alvarez PhD); Universidad de Cartagena, Cartagena de Indias, Colombia (Prof N Alvis-Guzmán PhD); Albany State University, Albany, GA, USA (Prof A A Amankwaa PhD); Department of Epidemiology, University of Groningen, Groningen, Netherlands (A T Amare MPH); College of Medicine and Health Sciences, Bahir Dar University, Bahir Dar, Ethiopia (A T Amare); Kurdistan Environmental Health Research Centre, Kurdistan University of Medical Sciences, Sanandaj, Kurdistan, Iran (H Amini MSPH); Ministry of Public Health, Beirut, Lebanon (W Ammar PhD, H L Harb MPH); College of Public Health, University of the Philippines Manila, Manila, Philippines (C A T Antonio MD, E J A Faraon MD); UN Population Fund, Kabul, Afghanistan (P Anwari MSc); Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden (J Ärnlöv PhD, Prof A Larsson PhD); Institute of Microbiology and Immunology, School of Medicine, University of Belgrade, Belgrade, Serbia (Prof V S Arsic Arsenijevic PhD); Median, Windsor, ON, Canada (A Artaman PhD); Ministry of Health, Amman, Jordan (M M Asad PhD); Field Epidemiology and Laboratory Training Program, Islamabad, Pakistan (R J Asghar MD); Mashhad University of Medical Sciences, Mashhad, Iran (R Assadi MD); Ministry Of Health, Wellness, Human Services and Gender Relations, Sans Souci, Castries, Saint Lucia (L S Atkins MPH); Public Health Agency of Canada, Toronto, ON, Canada (A Badawi PhD); Sri Ramachandra University, Chennai, India (K Balakrishnan PhD); School of Health Sciences, University of Canterbury, Christchurch, New Zealand (A Basu PhD); School of Medicine (L Gaffikin DrPH); Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA (S Basu PhD); Oxford University, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam (J Beardsley MBChB); College of Public Health and Tropical Medicine, Jazan, Saudi Arabia (N Bedi MD); Madawalabu University, Bale Goba, Oromia, Ethiopia (T Bekele MPH); Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA (Prof M L Bell PhD); King’s College London, London, UK (E Bernabe PhD); Addis Ababa University, Debre Zeit, Ethiopia (T J Beyene MSC, K Deribe MPH); Aga Khan University Medical Centre (Prof Z Bhutta PhD); Aga Khan University (M I Nisar MSc); Karachi, Pakistan; University of Missouri-Kansas City, Kansas City, MO, USA (A Bin Abdulhak MD); GeneralDirectorate of Health Research (B Bora Basara PhD, U Dilmen MD, G K Yentur PhD); Ministry of Health, Ankara, Turkey (S B Uzun MD); World Bank, Washington, DC, USA (D Bose PhD); University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, USA (Prof N Breitborde PhD); Universidad Autonoma Metropolitana, Mexico Kassebaum et al. Page 25 Lancet. Author manuscript; available in PMC 2014 December 04. Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts
6. WHO, UNICEF, UN Population Fund, World Bank. [accessed Jan 31, 2014] Trends in maternal mortality: 1990 to 2010. 2012. http://www.unfpa.org/webdav/site/global/shared/documents/ publications/2012/Trends_in_maternal_mortality_A4-1.pdf 7. Bhutta ZA, Chopra M, Axelson H, et al. Countdown to 2015 decade report (2000–10): taking stock of maternal, newborn, and child survival. Lancet. 2010; 375:2032–44. [PubMed: 20569843] 8. Hounton S, De Bernis L, Hussein J, et al. Towards elimination of maternal deaths: maternal deaths surveillance and response. Reprod Health. 2013; 10:1. [PubMed: 23279882] 9. Leone T. Measuring differential maternal mortality using census data in developing countries. Popul Space Place. 2013 published online July 8. DOI:10.1002/psp.1802. 10. Helleringer S, Duthé G, Kanté AM, et al. Misclassification of pregnancy-related deaths in adult mortality surveys: case study in Senegal. Trop Med Int Health. 2013; 18:27–34. [PubMed: 23130912] 11. Cross S, Bell JS, Graham WJ. What you count is what you target: the implications of maternal death classification for tracking progress towards reducing maternal mortality in developing countries. Bull World Health Organ. 2010; 88:147–53. [PubMed: 20428372] 12. Lawson GW, Keirse MJNC. Reflections on the maternal mortality Millennium Goal. Birth. 2013; 40:96–102. [PubMed: 24635463] 13. Mangham LJ, Hanson K. Scaling up in international health: what are the key issues? Health Policy Plan. 2010; 25:85–96. [PubMed: 20071454] 14. Naghavi M, Makela S, Foreman K, O’Brien J, Pourmalek F, Lozano R. Algorithms for enhancing public health utility of national causes-of-death data. Popul Health Metr. 2010; 8:9. [PubMed: 20459720] 15. Naghavi M, Wang H, Vos T, et al. Global, regional, and national levels of age-specific mortality and 239 causes of death during 1990–2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013. Lancet. submitted. 16. Lozano R, Naghavi M, Foreman K, et al. Global and regional mortality from 235 causes of death for 20 age groups in 1990 and 2010: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010. Lancet. 2012; 380:2095–128. [PubMed: 23245604] 17. WHO. International statistical classification of diseases and related health problems: tenth revision. 2004; 2 http://www.who.int/classifications/icd/ICD-10_2nd_ed_volume2.pdf. 18. Confidential Enquiry into Maternal and Child Health. Why mothers die: 2000–2002. Royal College of Obstetricians and Gynaecologists Press; London: 2004. 19. Ronsmans C, Graham WJ, on behalf of The Lancet Maternal Survival Series steering group. Maternal mortality: who, when, where, and why. Lancet. 2006; 368:1189–200. [PubMed: 17011946] 20. UN Development Group. [accessed Feb 1, 2014] Indicators for monitoring the Millennium Development Goals: definitions, rationale, concepts, and sources. 2003. http://www.undp.org/ content/dam/aplaws/publication/en/publications/poverty-reduction/poverty-website/indicators-formonitoring-the-mdgs/Indicators_for_Monitoring_the_MDGs.pdf 21. Gakidou E, King G. Death by survey: estimating adult mortality without selection bias from sibling survival data. Demography. 2006; 43:569–85. [PubMed: 17051828] 22. Calvert C, Ronsmans C. The contribution of HIV to pregnancy-related mortality: a systematic review and meta-analysis. AIDS. 2013; 27:1631–39. [PubMed: 23435296] 23. Le Coeur S, Khlat M, Halembokaka G, et al. HIV and the magnitude of pregnancy-related mortality in Pointe Noire, Congo. AIDS. 2005; 19:69–75. [PubMed: 15627035] 24. Lionel J, Aleyamma TK, Varghese L, et al. HIV and obstetric complications and fetal outcomes in Vellore, India. Trop Doct. 2008; 38:144–46. [PubMed: 18628535] 25. Louis J, Landon MB, Gersnoviez RJ, et al. Perioperative morbidity and mortality among human immunodeficiency virus infected women undergoing cesarean delivery. Obstet Gynecol. 2007; 110:385–90. [PubMed: 17666615] 26. Kourtis AP, Bansil P, McPheeters M, Meikle SF, Posner SF, Jamieson DJ. Hospitalizations of pregnant HIV-infected women in the USA prior to and during the era of HAART, 1994–2003. AIDS. 2006; 20:1823–31. [PubMed: 16954723] Kassebaum et al. Page 32 Lancet. Author manuscript; available in PMC 2014 December 04. Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts
27. Khan M, Pillay T, Moodley JM, Connolly CA, for the Durban Perinatal TB HIV-1 Study Group. Maternal mortality associated with tuberculosis-HIV-1 co-infection in Durban, South Africa. AIDS. 2001; 15:1857–63. [PubMed: 11579249] 28. De Groot MR, Corporaal LJ, Cronjé HS, Joubert G. HIV infection in critically ill obstetrical patients. Int J Gynaecol Obstet. 2003; 81:9–16. [PubMed: 12676387] 29. Coley JL, Msamanga GI, Fawzi MC, et al. The association between maternal HIV-1 infection and pregnancy outcomes in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania. BJOG. 2001; 108:1125–33. [PubMed: 11762650] 30. Zvandasara P, Hargrove JW, Ntozini R, et al. Mortality and morbidity among postpartum HIVpositive and HIV-negative women in Zimbabwe: risk factors, causes, and impact of single-dose postpartum vitamin A supplementation. J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr. 2006; 43:107–16. [PubMed: 16885772] 31. Sewankambo NK, Gray RH, Ahmad S, et al. Mortality associated with HIV infection in rural Rakai District, Uganda. AIDS. 2000; 14:2391–400. [PubMed: 11089628] 32. McDermott JM, Slutsker L, Steketee RW, Wirima JJ, Breman JG, Heymann DL. Prospective assessment of mortality among a cohort of pregnant women in rural Malawi. Am J Trop Med Hyg. 1996; 55:66–70. [PubMed: 8702040] 33. Black V, Brooke S, Chersich MF. Effect of human immunodeficiency virus treatment on maternal mortality at a tertiary center in South Africa: a 5-year audit. Obstet Gynecol. 2009; 114:292–99. [PubMed: 19622990] 34. Zaba B, Calvert C, Marston M, et al. Effect of HIV infection on pregnancy-related mortality in sub-Saharan Africa: secondary analyses of pooled community-based data from the network for Analysing Longitudinal Population-based HIV/AIDS data on Africa (ALPHA). Lancet. 2013; 381:1763–71. [PubMed: 23683643] 35. Mmiro F, Ndugwa C, Guay L, et al. Effect of human immunodeficiency virus-1 infection on the outcome of pregnancy in Ugandan women. Pediatr AIDS HIV Infect. 1993; 4:67–73. 36. Temmerman M, Chomba EN, Ndinya-Achola J, Plummer FA, Coppens M, Piot P. Maternal human immunodeficiency virus-1 infection and pregnancy outcome. Obstet Gynecol. 1994; 83:495–501. [PubMed: 7907777] 37. Nathoo K, Rusakaniko S, Zijenah LS, et al. Survival pattern among infants born to human immunodeficiency virus type-1 infected mothers and uninfected mothers in Harare, Zimbabwe. Cent Afr J Med. 2004; 50:1–6. [PubMed: 15490717] 38. Kumar RM, Uduman SA, Khurranna AK. Impact of maternal HIV-1 infection on perinatal outcome. Int J Gynaecol Obstet. 1995; 49:137–43. [PubMed: 7649317] 39. Nuwagaba-Biribonwoha H, Mayon-White RT, Okong P, Carpenter LM, Jenkinson C. The impact of HIV on maternal quality of life in Uganda. AIDS Care. 2006; 18:614–20. [PubMed: 16831790] 40. Maiques-Montesinos V, Cervera-Sanchez J, Bellver-Pradas J, Abad-Carrascosa A, Serra-Serra V. Post-cesarean section morbidity in HIV-positive women. Acta Obstet Gynecol Scand. 1999; 78:789–92. [PubMed: 10535342] 41. Ryder RW, Nsuami M, Nsa W, et al. Mortality in HIV-1-seropositive women, their spouses and their newly born children during 36 months of follow-up in Kinshasa, Zaïre. AIDS. 1994; 8:667– 72. [PubMed: 8060546] 42. Lepage P, Dabis F, Hitimana DG, et al. Perinatal transmission of HIV-1: lack of impact of maternal HIV infection on characteristics of livebirths and on neonatal mortality in Kigali, Rwanda. AIDS. 1991; 5:295–300. [PubMed: 2059369] 43. Chilongozi D, Wang L, Brown L, et al. Morbidity and mortality among a cohort of human immunodeficiency virus type 1-infected and uninfected pregnant women and their infants from Malawi, Zambia, and Tanzania. Pediatr Infect Dis J. 2008; 27:808–14. [PubMed: 18679152] 44. Matthews LT, Kaida A, Kanters S, et al. HIV-infected women on antiretroviral treatment have increased mortality during pregnant and postpartum periods. AIDS. 2013; 27(suppl 1):S105–112. [PubMed: 24088676] 45. Westreich D, Maskew M, Evans D, Firnhaber C, Majuba P, Sanne I. Incident pregnancy and time to death or AIDS among HIV-positive women receiving antiretroviral therapy. PloS One. 2013; 8:e58117. [PubMed: 23520489] Kassebaum et al. Page 33 Lancet. Author manuscript; available in PMC 2014 December 04. Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts
46. Foreman KJ, Lozano R, Lopez AD, Murray CJ. Modeling causes of death: an integrated approach using CODEm. Popul Health Metr. 2012; 10:1. [PubMed: 22226226] 47. Romano M, Cacciatore A, Giordano R, La Rosa B. Postpartum period: three distinct but continuous phases. J Prenat Med. 2010; 4:22–25. [PubMed: 22439056] 48. Jamison DT, Summers LH, Alleyne G, et al. Global health 2035: a world converging within a generation. Lancet. 2013; 382:1898–955. [PubMed: 24309475] 49. Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation. Financing global health 2013: transition in an age of austerity. Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation; Seattle, WA: 2014. 50. Konje JC, Ladipo OA. Nutrition and obstructed labor. Am J Clin Nutr. 2000; 72(suppl 1):291–97S. 51. Bhutta ZA, Das JK, Rizvi A, et al. Evidence-based interventions for improvement of maternal and child nutrition: what can be done and at what cost? Lancet. 2013; 382:452–77. [PubMed: 23746776] 52. Bhutta ZA, Ahmed T, Black RE, et al. What works? Interventions for maternal and child undernutrition and survival. Lancet. 2008; 371:417–40. [PubMed: 18206226] 53. Acosta C, Bhattacharya S, Tuffnell D, Kurinczuk J, Knight M. Maternal sepsis: a Scottish population-based case-control study. BJOG. 2012; 119:474–83. [PubMed: 22251396] 54. Say L, Pattinson RC, Gülmezoglu AM. WHO systematic review of maternal morbidity and mortality: the prevalence of severe acute maternal morbidity (near miss). Reprod Health. 2004; 1:3. [PubMed: 15357863] 55. Morgan J, Roberts S. Maternal sepsis. Obstet Gynecol Clin North Am. 2013; 40:69–87. [PubMed: 23466138] 56. Asnani MR, McCaw-Binns AM, Reid ME. Excess risk of maternal death from sickle cell disease in Jamaica: 1998–2007. PloS One. 2011; 6:e26281. [PubMed: 22039456] 57. Wilkinson H, on behalf of the Trustees and Medical Advisers. Saving mothers’ lives. Reviewing maternal deaths to make motherhood safer: 2006–2008. BJOG. 2011; 118:1402–03. [PubMed: 21906238] 58. Rahimy MC, Gangbo A, Adjou R, Deguenon C, Goussanou S, Alihonou E. Effect of active prenatal management on pregnancy outcome in sickle cell disease in an African setting. Blood. 2000; 96:1685–89. [PubMed: 10961864] 59. Nevis IF, Reitsma A, Dominic A, et al. Pregnancy outcomes in women with chronic kidney disease: a systematic review. Clin J Am Soc Nephrol. 2011; 6:2587–98. [PubMed: 21940842] 60. Gilbert WM, Young AL, Danielsen B. Pregnancy outcomes in women with chronic hypertension: a population-based study. J Reprod Med. 2007; 52:1046–51. [PubMed: 18161404] 61. Brar SS, Khan SS, Sandhu GK, et al. Incidence, mortality, and racial differences in peripartum cardiomyopathy. Am J Cardiol. 2007; 100:302–04. [PubMed: 17631087] 62. Goland S, Modi K, Bitar F, et al. Clinical profile and predictors of complications in peripartum cardiomyopathy. J Card Fail. 2009; 15:645–50. [PubMed: 19786252] 63. Sliwa K, Fett J, Elkayam U. Peripartum cardiomyopathy. Lancet. 2006; 368:687–93. [PubMed: 16920474] 64. Maman AFO-B, Tomta K, Ahouangbévi S, Chobli M. Deaths associated with anaesthesia in Togo, West Africa. Trop Doct. 2005; 35:220–22. [PubMed: 16354475] 65. The Antiretroviral Therapy in Lower Income Countries (ART-LINC) Collaboration and ART Cohort Collaboration (ART-CC) groups. Mortality of HIV-1-infected patients in the first year of antiretroviral therapy: comparison between low-income and high-income countries. Lancet. 2006; 367:817–24. [PubMed: 16530575] 66. Murray CJL, Ortblad KF, Guinovart C, et al. Global, regional, and national incidence and death for HIV, tuberculosis, and malaria during 1990-2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013. Lancet. submitted. 67. World Health Organization Maximizing Positive Synergies Collaborative Group. An assessment of interactions between global health initiatives and country health systems. Lancet. 2009; 373:2137– 69. [PubMed: 19541040] 68. Colbourn T, Lewycka S, Nambiar B, Anwar I, Phoya A, Mhango C. Maternal mortality in Malawi, 1977–2012. BMJ Open. 2013; 3:e004150. Kassebaum et al. Page 34 Lancet. Author manuscript; available in PMC 2014 December 04. Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts
69. Wang H, Dwyer-Lindgren L, Lofgren KT, et al. Age-specific and sex-specific mortality in 187 countries, 1970–2010: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010. Lancet. 2012; 380:2071–94. [PubMed: 23245603] 70. Yusuf HR, Akhter HH, Rahman MH, Chowdhury ME, Rochat RW. Injury-related deaths among women aged 10–50 years in Bangladesh, 1996–97. Lancet. 2000; 355:1220–24. [PubMed: 10770304] 71. Gissler M, Berg C, Bouvier-Colle M-H, Buekens P. Injury deaths, suicides and homicides associated with pregnancy, Finland 1987-2000. Eur J Public Health. 2005; 15:459–63. [PubMed: 16051655] 72. Shahidullah M. The sisterhood method of estimating maternal mortality: the Matlab experience. Stud Fam Plann. 1995; 26:101–06. [PubMed: 7618193] 73. Hill K, Thomas K, AbouZahr C, et al. Estimates of maternal mortality worldwide between 1990 and 2005: an assessment of available data. Lancet. 2007; 370:1311–19. [PubMed: 17933645] 74. Conroy AL, McDonald CR, Kain KC. Malaria in pregnancy: diagnosing infection and identifying fetal risk. Expert Rev Anti Infect Ther. 2012; 10:1331–42. [PubMed: 23241190] Kassebaum et al. Page 35 Lancet. Author manuscript; available in PMC 2014 December 04. Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts
Panel: Research in context Our analysis continues a body of analytical work into levels and trends in maternal mortality that began with Hogan and colleagues’ report4 and was followed by that by Lozano and colleagues5 and the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010 (GBD 2010).16 With each subsequent study, there have been important advances in the data available for analysis and the methods of analysis. Lozano and colleagues5 moved from one preferred regression model, as used by Hogan and colleagues and the UN measurement efforts,6,20 to an ensemble of multiple models developed through rigorous out-of-sample predictive validity testing. The maternal mortality analysis included in GBD 2010 extended the analysis in two important ways: maternal mortality was assessed with all other causes of death subject to the constraint that sum of individual causes of death equalled the demographic assessment of all-cause mortality in each age group of reproductive-age women, and it included estimates of the major causes of maternal mortality. In our study, in addition to 2421 site-years of new data, several important methodological innovations improve the estimation of maternal mortality. First, we have analysed sibling history data for the fraction of reproductive-age deaths that are related to pregnancy by calendar year for each 5-year age group of mothers, pooling data from several surveys when events for the same calendar year were recorded. Second, we have substantially revised the approach to understand the effect of HIV on maternal mortality. We did a systematic review and used relative risks from cohort studies to accurately assign a fairly small fraction of HIV-related deaths during pregnancy or the puerperium to be maternal deaths. Third, we have quantified other direct maternal causes, indirect maternal causes, and late maternal death for the first time. Fourth, we have analysed previous reports and other sources about the timing of maternal deaths to provide guidance on when most deaths occur. Our data and improved methods have led to a different understanding of the evolution of global maternal deaths with important implications for target setting in the post-MDG era. Kassebaum et al. Page 36 Lancet. Author manuscript; available in PMC 2014 December 04. Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts
Figure 1. Definitions of maternal death ICD-10=International Classification of Diseases, version 10. *During labour and up to 24 h after delivery. †Between 24 h and 6 weeks after delivery. ‡Between 6 weeks and 1 year after delivery. Kassebaum et al. Page 37 Lancet. Author manuscript; available in PMC 2014 December 04. Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts
Figure 2. Forest plot of the relative risk of death during pregnancy for women with HIV infection compared with women without HIV infection Weights are from random effects analysis. Size of the triangles is proportional to the weighting of each study in the meta-analysis. UI=uncertainty interval. Kassebaum et al. Page 38 Lancet. Author manuscript; available in PMC 2014 December 04. Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts
Figure 3. Global maternal deaths (A) and annualised rate of change in maternal mortality ratio (B), 1990–2013 Shaded areas show 95% uncertainty intervals. Kassebaum et al. Page 39 Lancet. Author manuscript; available in PMC 2014 December 04. Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts
Figure 4. Global maternal mortality ratio in 1990 and 2013, by age Shaded areas show 95% uncertainty intervals. Kassebaum et al. Page 40 Lancet. Author manuscript; available in PMC 2014 December 04. Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts
Figure 5. Change in MMR between 1990 and 2013, by region MMR=maternal mortality ratio. Kassebaum et al. Page 41 Lancet. Author manuscript; available in PMC 2014 December 04. Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts
Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts Kassebaum et al. Page 48 Maternal mortality ratio (per 100 000 livebirths) Number of maternal deaths Annualised rate of change in maternal mortality ratio (%) 1990 2003 2013 1990 2003 2013 1990–2003 2003–13 1990–2013 Mongolia 180·2 (137·4 to 233·0) 96·3 (74·6 to 122·7) 51·3 (34·2 to 72·3) 108 (82 to 139) 50 (39 to 63) 33 (22 to 46) −4·8% (−7·5 to −2·1) −6·4% (−10·7 to −2·1) −5·5% (−7·5 to −3·6) Tajikistan 74·6 (65·3 to 86·4) 49·4 (42·2 to 57·8) 30·4 (22·2 to 39·3) 154 (135 to 178) 98 (84 to 115) 82 (60 to 106) −3·2% (−4·9 to −1·6) −4·9% (−8·2 to −1·9) −3·9% (−5·4 to −2·7) Turkmenistan 72·9 (63·2 to 83·1) 61·2 (41·1 to 83·7) 38·2 (22·9 to 55·5) 91 (79 to 103) 64 (43 to 88) 42 (25 to 61) −1·4% (−4·6 to 1·3) −4·8% (−9·7 to −0·1) −2·9% (−5·0 to −1·1) Uzbekistan 50·7 (45·4 to 56·8) 42·4 (36·6 to 48·9) 30·5 (21·0 to 42·6) 353 (315 to 395) 249 (215 to 287) 187 (129 to 262) −1·4% (−2·8 to −0·1) −3·4% (−6·8 to 0·4) −2·3% (−3·9 to −0·7) East Asia 139·5 (113·1 to 167·1) 63·9 (58·1 to 69·7) 18·2 (15·0 to 21·3) 31 690 (25 695 to 37 974) 11 084 (10 075 to 12 080) 3534 (2925 to 4135) −6·0% (−7·6 to −4·3) −12·6% (−14·5 to −107) −8·9% (−10·1 to −7·6) China 141·7 (114·4 to 170·8) 64·1 (58·2 to 70·1) 17·2 (14·0 to 20·3) 31 042 (25 074 to 37 428) 10 652 (9667 to 11 643) 3233 (2633 to 3815) −6·1% (−7·8 to −4·3) −13·2% (−15·2 to −11·1) −9·2% (−10·4 to −7·8) North Korea 136·3 (70·2 to 226·7) 100·5 (67·8 to 144·1) 77·4 (48·3 to 111·9) 546 (281 to 908) 386 (260 to 554) 275 (172 to 398) −2·2% (−6·5 to 2·5) −2·6% (−7·4 to 2·5) −2·4% (−5·6 to 1·1) Taiwan (Province of China) 24·9 (17·3 to 33·8) 13·5 (10·1 to 17·8) 7·9 (6·1 to 10·2) 102 (71 to 138) 46 (34 to 60) 26 (20 to 33) −4·7% (−7·7 to −1·8) −5·3% (−9·0 to −1·7) −5·0% (−6·6 to −3·2) South Asia 480·4 (407·4 to 558·3) 399·7 (345·8 to 467·6) 310·6 (252·4 to 383·4) 174 416 (147 914 to 202 689) 142 624 (123 413 to 166 876) 107 827 (87 629 to 133 087) −1·4% (−3·0 to 0·3) −2·6% (−5·1 to 0·0) −1·9% (−3·0 to −0·8) Afghanistan 501·0 (324·4 to 739·0) 716·3 (441·3 to 1123·4) 885·0 (508·7 to 1445·1) 3261 (2112 to 4811) 7726 (4760 to 12 117) 8794 (5055 to 14 360) 2·7% (−0·6 to 5·8) 2·1% (−1·8 to 5·4) 2·4% (0·1 to 4·7) Bangladesh 551·9 (436·4 to 659·5) 333·1 (250·9 to 427·6) 242·7 (171·2 to 326·9) 20 669 (16 345 to 24 701) 11 327 (8532 to 14 541) 7737 (5459 to 10 422) −3·9% (−6·4 to −1·3) −3·2% (−7·0 to 0·8) −3·6% (−5·1 to −1·9) Bhutan 551·7 (275·0 to 846·5) 411·2 (204·9 to 651·7) 277·4 (136·7 to 469·2) 106 (53 to 162) 59 (30 to 94) 40 (20 to 68) −2·3% (−6·4 to 1·5) −4·0% (−8·1 to 0·9) −3·0% (−5·8 to 0·2) India 480·8 (384·9 to 583·6) 382·0 (315·3 to 472·8) 281·8 (207·0 to 371·2) 128 695 (103 026 to 156 193) 100 014 (82 553 to 123 801) 71 792 (52 723 to 94 564) −1·8% (−4·0 to 0·6) −3·1% (−6·6 to 0·3) −2·3% (−3·9 to −0·8) Nepal 417·4 (295·9 to 540·8) 365·0 (262·6 to 464·3) 272·3 (190·9 to 363·5) 3012 (2136 to 3903) 2623 (1886 to 3336) 1588 (1113 to 2119) −1·0% (−3·6 to 1·5) −3·0% (−6·0 to −0·1) −1·9% (−3·7 to 0·1) Pakistan 423·9 (317·2 to 521·6) 486·5 (360·7 to 595·6) 400·6 (233·0 to 560·8) 18 673 (13 973 to 22 976) 20 875 (15 477 to 17 876 (10 397 to 1·1% (−1·6 to 3·7) −2·1% (−7·7 to 2·4) −0·3% (−2·9 to 1·8) Lancet. Author manuscript; available in PMC 2014 December 04.
Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts Kassebaum et al. Page 49 Maternal mortality ratio (per 100 000 livebirths) Number of maternal deaths Annualised rate of change in maternal mortality ratio (%) 1990 2003 2013 1990 2003 2013 1990–2003 2003–13 1990–2013 25 557) 25 026) Southeast Asia 295·0 (247·5 to 353·4) 217·4 (180·8 to 266·3) 154·9 (124·2 to 192·9) 35 339 (29 644 to 42 340) 25 637 (21 327 to 31 404) 18 028 (14 456 to 22 444) −2·3% (−3·6 to −1·1) −3·4% (−5·4 to −1·6) −2·8% (−4·0 to −1·8) Cambodia 355·9 (290·5 to 415·7) 399·0 (277·9 to 486·8) 220·9 (155·6 to 286·5) 1290 (1053 to 1507) 1355 (944 to 1654) 862 (607 to 1118) 0·8% (−1·8 to 2·8) −5·9% (−9·3 to −2·9) −2·1% (−3·6 to −0·6) Indonesia 368·3 (311·6 to 432·9) 262·0 (224·3 to 308·2) 199·3 (149·4 to 257·4) 16 519 (13 975 to 19 416) 12 734 (10 902 to 14 982) 9352 7010 to 12 079) −2·6% (−4·2 to −1·0) −2·8% (−6·1 to 0·0) −2·7% (−4·3 to −1·4) Laos 514·4 (276·7 to 767·0) 490·7 (251·3 to 779·6) 303·8 (154·7 to 521·5) 942 (506 to 1404) 814 (417 to 1293) 543 (277 to 932) −0·4% (−4·1 to 2·7) −4·8% (−8·3 to −1·1) −2·3% (−4·7 to 0·3) Malaysia 101·6 (84·3 to 120·3) 78·4 (70·7 to 87·5) 55·7 (43·1 to 70·6) 522 (433 to 617) 364 (328 to 406) 291 (226 to 369) −2·0% (−3·5 to −0·4) −3·5% (−6·0 to −0·8) −2·6% (−3·9 to −1·3) Maldives 292·3 (240·8 to 355·1) 95·4 (78·7 to 111·6) 51·8 (38·6 to 67·0) 23 (19 to 28) 6 (5 to 7) 4 (3 to 5) −8·6% (−10·3 to −6·7) −6·2% (−9·5 to −3·0) −7·5% (−9·1 to −6·0) Myanmar 897·3 (513·3 to 1460·4) 645·6 (332·2 to 1145·2) 390·9 (196·3 to 731·7) 9465 (5414 to 15 405) 6108 (3144 to 10 835) 3531 (1773 to 6609) −2·6% (−6·1 to 0·6) −5·1% (−8·8 to −1·0) −3·7% (−6·0 to −0·9) Philippines 116·3 (103·4 to 130·2) 81·5 (72·0 to 91·5) 80·9 (54·9 to 115·0) 2374 (2112 to 2658) 1876 (1657 to 2105) 1959 (1328 to 2784) −2·7% (−3·9 to −1·5) −0·2% (−4·3 to 3·5) −1·6% (−3·3 to −0·1) Sri Lanka 73·6 (61·8 to 89·0) 47·9 (38·9 to 56·7) 30·9 (20·7 to 43·4) 257 (216 to 311) 178 (144 to 211) 116 (77 to 162) −3·3% (−5·3 to −1·7) −4·5% (−8·6 to −0·6) −3·8% (−5·9 to −2·1) Thailand 42·6 (36·1 to 50·3) 89·6 (75·9 to 104·4) 69·5 (47·3 to 98·7) 456 (386 to 538) 766 (648 to 892) 481 (328 to 684) 5·7% (3·8 to 7·5) −2·7% (−6·6 to 1·4) 2·1% (0·3 to 3·9) Timor-Leste 632·8 (490·8 to 781·3) 430·2 (361·6 to 498·6) 223·4 (175·5 to 275·9) 215 (167 to 266) 156 (131 to 181) 89 (70 to 110) −2·9% (−4·9 to −0·9) −6·6% (−9·0 to −4·2) −4·5% (−6·0 to −3·1) Vietnam 174·5 (124·5 to 239·1) 88·5 (59·4 to 122·0) 56·6 (34·1 to 89·5) 3275 (2337 to 4487) 1281 (860 to 1766) 800 (482 to 1265) −5·2% (−8·3 to −2·2) −4·6% (−9·1 to 0·0) −5·0% (−7·5 to −2·3) Australasia 8·1 (7·1 to 9·2) 5·9 (5·2 to 6·7) 5·5 (4·5 to 6·6) 26 (22 to 29) 19 (17 to 22) 21 (17 to 25) −2·4% (−3·7 to −1·0) −0·7% (−2·7 to 1·3) −1·7% (−2·6 to −0·6) Australia 7·0 (6·0 to 8·2) 5·1 (4·4 to 6·0) 4·8 (3·7 to 5·9) 18 (16 to 21) 14 (12 to 16) 15 (12 to 18) −2·5% (−4·1 to −0·8) −0·7% (−3·2 to 2·0) −1·7% (−3·0 to −0·5) New Zealand 12·6 (10·3 to 15·2) 9·4 (7·9 to 11·3) 9·3 (7·2 to 12·1) 7 (6 to 9) 6 (5 to 7) 6 (4 to 7) −2·2% (−4·2 to −0·3) −0·1% (−3·0 to 2·7) −1·3% (−2·8 to 0·1) Lancet. Author manuscript; available in PMC 2014 December 04.
Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts Kassebaum et al. Page 50 Maternal mortality ratio (per 100 000 livebirths) Number of maternal deaths Annualised rate of change in maternal mortality ratio (%) 1990 2003 2013 1990 2003 2013 1990–2003 2003–13 1990–2013 Caribbean 208·3 (165·9 to 248·8) 213·1 (161·4 to 272·2) 150·0 (110·1 to 206·7) 1664 (1325 to 1987) 1602 (1214 to 2047) 1075 (788 to 1480) 0·1% (−1·5 to 1·7) −3·5% (−6·1 to −1·0) −1·5% (−2·6 to −0·1) Antigua and Barbuda 54·4 (40·1 to 69·4) 50·8 (40·1 to 64·2) 42·0 (27·9 to 62·3) 1 (1 to 1) 1 (1 to 1) 1 (0 to 1) −0·5% (−3·2 to 2·1) −2·0% (−6·4 to 2·7) −1·2% (−3·1 to 1·1) Barbados 69·4 (54·8 to 87·4) 62·3 (50·4 to 75·0) 49·9 (34·3 to 70·7) 3 (2 to 4) 2 (2 to 3) 2 (1 to 3) −0·8% (−3·0 to 1·4) −2·3% (−6·2 to 1·7) −1·5% (−3·2 to 0·4) Belize 32·1 (26·2 to 39·5) 42·5 (34·9 to 51·6) 55·5 (37·6 to 78·9) 2 (2 to 3) 3 (2 to 4) 4 (3 to 6) 2·2% (0·1 to 4·2) 2·5% (−1·4 to 6·3) 2·3% (0·3 to 4·1) Cuba 71·1 (59·6 to 87·0) 60·6 (52·4 to 70·2) 39·8 (31·5 to 49·5) 123 (103 to 150) 82 (71 to 95) 44 (35 to 54) −1·2% (−3·0 to 0·4) −4·3% (−6·9 to −1·6) −2·5% (−3·8 to −1·2) Dominica 50·2 (39·2 to 65·9) 41·4 (32·4 to 52·2) 36·1 (23·2 to 52·7) 1 (1 to 1) 1 (0 to 1) 0 (0 to 1) −1·5% (−4·2 to 1·0) −1·5% (−5·9 to 2·6) −1·5% (−3·6 to 0·6) Dominican Republic 73·8 (62·8 to 85·8) 60·5 (52·2 to 69·8) 40·8 (28·9 to 55·8) 164 (139 to 191) 138 (119 to 159) 90 (64 to 124) −1·5% (−2·9 to 0·0) −4·1% (−7·6 to −0·8) −2·6% (−4·2 to −1·1) Grenada 47·7 (37·6 to 62·4) 62·5 (50·6 to 76·6) 56·7 (41·0 to 76·9) 1 (1 to 2) 1 (1 to 1) 1 (1 to 2) 2·1% (−0·2 to 4·5) −1·1% (−4·7 to 2·4) 0·7% (−1·0 to 2·4) Guyana 118·8 (98·5 to 142·0) 138·9 (111·4 to 169·2) 118·1 (75·8 to 179·4) 21 (17 to 25) 25 (20 to 30) 20 (13 to 30) 1·2% (−1·0 to 3·3) −1·8% (−6·1 to 2·4) −0·1% (−2·1 to 2·0) Haiti 492·4 (363·4 to 619·7) 495·7 (351·1 to 662·0) 333·0 (219·1 to 480·1) 1290 (952 to 1624) 1289 (913 to 1722) 868 (571 to 1251) 0·0% (−2·0 to 2·1) −4·0% (−7·2 to −1·0) −1·7% (−3·2 to −0·1) Jamaica 44·0 (32·4 to 58·1) 59·4 (48·6 to 71·2) 44·7 (29·7 to 66·0) 27 (20 to 36) 33 (27 to 40) 23 (15 to 34) 2·3% (−0·2 to 5·0) −3·0% (−7·0 to 1·2) 0·0% (−2·0 to 2·1) Saint Lucia 52·0 (40·8 to 68·7) 44·4 (35·5 to 54·3) 41·0 (28·0 to 58·8) 2 (2 to 3) 1 (1 to 2) 1 (1 to 2) −1·2% (−3·9 to 1·3) −0·9% (−4·6 to 3·2) −1·1% (−3·1 to 0·7) Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 45·2 (33·3 to 60·8) 65·7 (54·0 to 81·7) 60·1 (43·7 to 80·8) 1 (1 to 2) 1 (1 to 2) 1 (1 to 1) 2·9% (0·2 to 5·7) −1·0% (−4·6 to 2·3) 1·2% (−0·7 to 3·2) Suriname 76·8 (62·3 to 93·2) 88·2 (71·3 to 106·5) 65·2 (44·2 to 91·3) 7 (6 to 9) 9 (7 to 11) 6 (4 to 9) 1·1% (−1·1 to 3·2) −3·1% (−7·6 to 1·0) −0·8% (−2·6 to 1·1) The Bahamas 63·1 (48·0 to 84·0) 71·8 (57·5 to 90·2) 60·3 (38·8 to 91·2) 4 (3 to 5) 4 (3 to 5) 4 (2 to 5) 1·0% (−1·7 to 3·5) −1·9% (−6·5 to 2·4) −0·3% (−2·4 to 2·1) Trinidad and Tobago 72·3 (61·5 to 84·3) 64·4 (54·1 to 75·8) 49·7 (36·4 to 65·6) 17 (14 to 20) 13 (11 to 15) 10 (7 to 13) −0·9% (−2·6 to 0·9) −2·7% (−5·8 to 0·5) −1·7% (−3·1 to −0·2) Central Europe 48·9 (45·4 to 53·0) 15·4 (14·1 to 16·5) 8·8 (7·5 to 10·1) 790 (734 to 856) 189 (173 to 203) 112 (95 to 128) −8·9% (−9·7 to −8·2) −5·6% (−7·1 to −4·1) −7·4% (−8·2 to −6·8) Albania 35·3 (29·5 to 41·6) 13·2 (10·8 to 16·1) 7·3 (4·9 to 10·2) 30 (25 to 35) 6 (5 to 8) 3 (2 to 4) −7·6% (−9·7 to −5·5) −6·1% (−10·4 to −2·2) −6·9% (−8·7 to −5·2) Lancet. Author manuscript; available in PMC 2014 December 04.
Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts Kassebaum et al. Page 51 Maternal mortality ratio (per 100 000 livebirths) Number of maternal deaths Annualised rate of change in maternal mortality ratio (%) 1990 2003 2013 1990 2003 2013 1990–2003 2003–13 1990–2013 Bosnia and Herzegovina 38·8 (31·2 to 47·0) 20·4 (14·8 to 27·6) 11·0 (7·7 to 15·3) 23 (19 to 28) 7 (5 to 9) 4 (3 to 5) −5·0% (−7·8 to −2·3) −6·3% (−10·1 to −2·5) −5·5% (−7·2 to −3·8) Bulgaria 44·3 (38·8 to 50·7) 29·2 (24·9 to 33·7) 14·8 (12·0 to 18·2) 43 (37 to 49) 22 (18 to 25) 11 (9 to 13) −3·2% (−4·8 to −1·7) −6·8% (−9·0 to −4·5) −4·8% (−5·7 to −3·8) Croatia 16·9 (14·1 to 20·1) 12·7 (10·5 to 14·9) 9·9 (7·9 to 12·3) 9 (7 to 11) 5 (4 to 6) 4 (3 to 5) −2·2% (−4·0 to −0·5) −2·5% (−4·9 to 0·0) −2·3% (−3·6 to −1·1) Czech Republic 18·1 (15·2 to 21·4) 7·0 (5·8 to 8·4) 5·3 (4·1 to 6·7) 22 (18 to 26) 7 (6 to 9) 6 (5 to 8) −7·3% (−9·2 to −5·4) −2·8% (−5·6 to −0·2) −5·3% (−6·6 to −4·1) Hungary 19·0 (16·0 to 22·5) 9·2 (7·6 to 11·0) 8·5 (6·3 to 10·7) 24 (20 to 28) 9 (7 to 11) 9 (6 to 11) −5·6% (−7·5 to −3·7) −0·8% (−3·7 to 1·9) −3·5% (−4·9 to −2·3) Macedonia 25·1 (20·1 to 31·3) 17·7 (14·7 to 21·0) 10·5 (8·2 to 13·3) 9 (7 to 11) 4 (4 to 5) 2 (2 to 3) −2·7% (−4·8 to −0·6) −5·2% (−7·6 to −2·4) −3·8% (−5·3 to −2·3) Montenegro 15·9 (104 to 23·0) 18·6 (14·0 to 24·0) 12·3 (8·6 to 17·3) 1 (1 to 2) 1 (1 to 2) 1 (1 to 1) 1·3% (−2·2 to 4·7) −4·2% (−7·8 to −0·2) −1·1% (−3·3 to 1·1) Poland 34·0 (30·3 to 38·2) 8·6 (7·4 to 9·9) 4·8 (3·8 to 6·1) 179 (159 to 201) 33 (28 to 37) 20 (16 to 26) −10·6% (−12·0 to −9·3) −5·8% (−8·5 to −3·4) −8·5% (−9·6 to −7·4) Romania 152·1 (137·4 to 169·5) 31·6 (27·9 to 35·5) 15·9 (12·2 to 19·9) 414 (374 to 462) 73 (65 to 82) 37 (28 to 46) −12·1% (−13·3 to −10·9) −6·9% (−9·6 to −4·3) −9·8% (−11·1 to −8·7) Serbia 15·8 (11·0 to 22·9) 12·1 (10·1 to 14·2) 10·6 (8·5 to 13·0) 22 (15 to 32) 13 (11 to 16) 10 (8 to 12) −2·0% (−5·1 to 1·0) −1·3% (−3·8 to 1·2) −1·7% (−3·6 to 0·1) Slovakia 15·9 (12·7 to 19·5) 9·5 (8·0 to 11·1) 6·2 (4·8 to 7·9) 12 (10 to 15) 5 (4 to 6) 4 (3 to 5) −4·0% (−6·1 to −2·0) −4·3% (−7·1 to −1·6) −4·1% (−5·5 to −2·8) Slovenia 12·9 (10·6 to 15·7) 11·0 (8·8 to 13·3) 7·4 (5·5 to 9·8) 3 (2 to 3) 2 (2 to 3) 2 (1 to 2) −1·2% (−3·2 to 0·8) −4·1% (−7·3 to −0·8) −2·5% (−3·9 to −1·0) Eastern Europe 60·1 (54·3 to 65·7) 36·3 (32·8 to 40·4) 17·6 (14·4 to 20·6) 1566 (1415 to 1714) 812 (733 to 904) 433 (354 to 507) −3·9% (−4·9 to −2·8) −7·3% (−9·4 to −5·4) −5·3% (−6·1 to −4·6) Belarus 40·5 (35·1 to 46·3) 25·0 (20·8 to 30·0) 10·6 (7·7 to 13·9) 53 (46 to 60) 25 (20 to 30) 11 (8 to 15) −3·7% (−5·4 to −1·9) −8·7% (−11·9 to −5·5) −5·9% (−7·2 to −4·5) Estonia 45·1 (37·4 to 54·1) 17·7 (14·7 to 21·5) 7·1 (4·9 to 9·5) 8 (7 to 10) 3 (2 to 3) 1 (1 to 1) −7·2% (−9·2 to −5·3) −9·2% (−12·7 to −5·8) −8·1% (−9·9 to −6·6) Latvia 49·7 (42·2 to 58·1) 20·8 (17·1 to 24·5) 8·5 (6·2 to 11·1) 16 (13 to 18) 5 (4 to 6) 2 (1 to 3) −6·7% (−8·5 to −5·0) −9·0% (−12·3 to −6·3) −7·7% (−9·2 to −6·4) Lithuania 29·6 (24·9 to 34·9) 13·7 (11·5 to 16·3) 6·1 (4·6 to 7·8) 15 (13 to 18) 5 (4 to 5) 2 (2 to 3) −5·9% (−7·7 to −4·0) −8·2% (−11·1 to −5·2) −6·9% (−8·3 to −5·6) Moldova 68·9 (59·7 to 79·6) 34·7 (28·5 to 41·3) 21·8 (16·0 to 28·2) 50 (43 to 57) 16 (13 to 19) 9 (7 to 12) −5·3% (−7·2 to −3·4) −4·7% (−7·7 to −1·8) −5·0% (−6·6 to −3·7) Lancet. Author manuscript; available in PMC 2014 December 04.
Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts Kassebaum et al. Page 52 Maternal mortality ratio (per 100 000 livebirths) Number of maternal deaths Annualised rate of change in maternal mortality ratio (%) 1990 2003 2013 1990 2003 2013 1990–2003 2003–13 1990–2013 Russia 64·9 (57·7 to 72·6) 36·9 (32·5 to 42·0) 16·8 (13·5 to 20·2) 1099 (976 to 1229) 575 (507 to 655) 291 (234 to 351) −4·4% (−5·7 to −2·9) −7·9% (−10·5 to −5·6) −5·9% (−6·8 to −5·0) Ukraine 53·3 (46·3 to 60·8) 39·6 (34·5 to 45·4) 23·1 (17·5 to 29·2) 326 (283 to 372) 184 (161 to 211) 116 (88 to 147) −2·3% (−3·7 to −0·8) −5·4% (−8·4 to −2·7) −3·7% (−4·9 to −2·5) Western Europe 12·7 (11·7 to 13·8) 8·1 (7·3 to 8·6) 6·3 (5·3 to 7·1) 565 (522 to 615) 365 (330 to 390) 288 (243 to 326) −3·5% (−4·2 to −2·9) −2·5% (−3·8 to −1·4) −3·1% (−3·8 to −2·5) Andorra 5·5 (3·1 to 9·0) 3·1 (1·9 to 4·9) 3·0 (1·6 to 4·8) 0 (0 to 0) 0 (0 to 0) 0 (0 to 0) −4·4% (−9·2 to 0·1) −0·6% (−6·3 to 5·6) −2·7% (−5·9 to 0·2) Austria 10·3 (8·5 to 12·2) 5·0 (4·0 to 6·0) 3·2 (2·3 to 4·0) 9 (8 to 11) 4 (3 to 5) 3 (2 to 3) −5·6% (−7·5 to −3·6) −4·5% (−7·4 to −1·8) −5·1% (−6·5 to −3·8) Belgium 11·3 (9·4 to 13·3) 8·4 (6·9 to 10·1) 6·7 (5·0 to 8·6) 14 (12 to 16) 10 (8 to 12) 9 (7 to 11) −2·2% (−4·0 to −0·5) −2·3% (−5·2 to 0·5) −2·3% (−3·6 to −1·0) Cyprus 13·3 (9·6 to 17·7) 8·7 (6·7 to 11·0) 6·1 (4·4 to 8·1) 2 (1 to 3) 1 (1 to 1) 1 (1 to 1) −3·2% (−6·0 to −0·4) −3·6% (−7·4 to 0·1) −3·4% (−5·2 to −1·6) Denmark 7·4 (6·2 to 9·1) 5·8 (4·7 to 7·1) 4·8 (3·4 to 6·2) 5 (4 to 6) 4 (3 to 5) 3 (2 to 4) −1·9% (−4·4 to 0·1) −2·1% (−5·0 to 0·7) −2·0% (−3·7 to −0·5) Finland 7·2 (5·9 to 8·8) 6·4 (5·3 to 7·6) 3·9 (3·0 to 5·0) 5 (4 to 6) 4 (3 to 4) 2 (2 to 3) −0·9% (−2·8 to 1·0) −5·0% (−7·6 to −2·3) −2·7% (−4·1 to −1·4) France 15·6 (13·5 to 17·7) 11·0 (9·3 to 12·6) 8·8 (6·9 to 11·0) 116 (100 to 132) 87 (74 to 100) 70 (55 to 88) −2·7% (−4·1 to −1·2) −2·2% (−4·5 to 0·2) −2·5% (−3·7 to −1·3) Germany 18·0 (15·9 to 20·4) 8·3 (7·1 to 9·6) 6·5 (5·0 to 7·9) 146 (129 to 165) 62 (52 to 71) 46 (36 to 56) −5·9% (−7·4 to −4·7) −2·5% (−4·6 to −0·5) −4·4% (−5·6 to −3·4) Greece 9·5 (8·0 to 11·1) 7·9 (6·6 to 9·3) 9·1 (7·2 to 11·3) 10 (8 to 11) 9 (7 to 11) 10 (8 to 12) −1·4% (−3·2 to 0·2) 1·4% (−1·0 to 4·0) −0·2% (−1·3 to 1·0) Iceland 7·1 (5·5 to 9·0) 4·2 (3·0 to 5·6) 2·4 (1·6 to 3·6) 0 (0 to 0) 0 (0 to 0) 0 (0 to 0) −4·1% (−7·1 to −1·1) −5·4% (−9·9 to −1·0) −4·7% (−6·9 to −2·6) Ireland 6·3 (5·2 to 7·6) 3·9 (3·1 to 4·7) 3·3 (2·3 to 4·4) 3 (3 to 4) 2 (2 to 3) 2 (2 to 3) −3·7% (−5·6 to −1·9) −1·7% (−5·0 to 1·7) −2·8% (−4·4 to −1·3) Israel 10·4 (8·8 to 12·5) 7·1 (5·9 to 8·5) 4·4 (3·2 to 5·5) 10 (9 to 12) 10 (8 to 12) 7 (5 to 9) −2·9% (−4·8 to −1·1) −4·9% (−8·2 to −2·2) −3·8% (−5·4 to −2·4) Italy 9·9 (8·6 to 11·4) 5·7 (4·7 to 6·7) 4·3 (3·2 to 5·5) 54 (47 to 63) 32 (27 to 38) 24 (18 to 32) −4·3% (−5·8 to −2·7) −2·8% (−5·7 to −0·2) −3·7% (−5·0 to −2·4) Luxembourg 5·0 (4·1 to 6·1) 7·0 (5·4 to 8·6) 6·1 (4·5 to 8·0) 0 (0 to 0) 0 (0 to 0) 0 (0 to 1) 2·6% (0·3 to 4·6) −1·5% (−4·7 to 2·0) 0·8% (−0·8 to 2·4) Malta 6·9 (5·5 to 8·4) 5·4 (4·2 to 6·9) 2·9 (2·0 to 3·9) 0 (0 to 1) 0 (0 to 0) 0 (0 to 0) −1·8% (−4·3 to 0·5) −6·5% (−10·4 to −2·8) −3·8% (−5·6 to −2·1) Lancet. Author manuscript; available in PMC 2014 December 04.
Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts Kassebaum et al. Page 53 Maternal mortality ratio (per 100 000 livebirths) Number of maternal deaths Annualised rate of change in maternal mortality ratio (%) 1990 2003 2013 1990 2003 2013 1990–2003 2003–13 1990–2013 Netherlands 11·7 (9·8 to 13·9) 10·8 (8·9 to 12·7) 6·7 (5·1 to 8·3) 23 (19 to 27) 22 (18 to 25) 12 (9 to 15) −0·6% (−2·3 to 1·0) −4·8% (−7·4 to −2·1) −2·5% (−3·7 to −1·3) Norway 5·9 (4·9 to 7·1) 6·3 (5·1 to 7·7) 4·5 (3·5 to 5·6) 4 (3 to 4) 4 (3 to 5) 3 (2 to 4) 0·5% (−1·4 to 2·5) −3·4% (−6·0 to −0·7) −1·2% (−2·4 to 0·1) Portugal 20·6 (17·7 to 24·1) 13·6 (11·5 to 16·0) 9·8 (7·7 to 12·2) 23 (20 to 27) 15 (13 to 17) 9 (7 to 11) −3·2% (−4·9 to −1·5) −3·3% (−6·0 to −0·8) −3·3% (−4·4 to −2·1) Spain 12·3 (10·7 to 14·3) 7·0 (6·0 to 8·2) 6·2 (4·8 to 7·6) 47 (41 to 54) 32 (28 to 37) 31 (24 to 38) −4·3% (−5·8 to −2·8) −1·4% (−3·8 to 1·2) −3·0% (−4·2 to −1·9) Sweden 7·0 (5·7 to 8·6) 4·9 (3·9 to 5·9) 3·7 (2·7 to 4·8) 8 (7 to 10) 5 (4 to 6) 4 (3 to 6) −2·7% (−4·9 to −0·7) −2·8% (−6·1 to 0·1) −2·7% (−4·5 to −1·3) Switzerland 6·7 (5·5 to 8·3) 5·8 (4·6 to 7·2) 3·9 (2·9 to 5·1) 5 (4 to 7) 4 (3 to 5) 3 (2 to 4) −1·1% (−3·4 to 1·1) −4·0% (−7·0 to −1·0) −2·3% (−4·1 to −0·9) UK 10·4 (9·4 to 11·1) 7·7 (7·0 to 8·3) 6·1 (5·2 to 6·9) 80 (73 to 86) 57 (52 to 62) 47 (40 to 54) −2·3% (−2·9 to −1·7) −2·4% (−3·8 to −1·0) −2·3% (−3·0 to −1·7) Andean Latin America 187·9 (169·5 to 208·7) 112·5 (99·7 to 125·1) 96·0 (75·3 to 117·2) 2249 (2028 to 2497) 1366 (1211 to 1520) 1164 (912 to 1421) −4·0% (−5·2 to −2·8) −1·6% (−4·0 to 0·6) −2·9% (−4·1 to −2·0) Bolivia 382·4 (312·1 to 458·1) 229·9 (178·7 to 281·9) 179·6 (110·4 to 257·2) 977 (798 to 1171) 616 (479 to 755) 499 (307 to 715) −3·9% (−6·3 to −1·7) −2·6% (−6·9 to 1·3) −3·4% (−5·6 to −1·5) Ecuador 142·7 (128·4 to 159·9) 86·0 (72·8 to 100·3) 84·6 (57·7 to 122·0) 430 (386 to 481) 282 (239 to 329) 282 (192 to 406) −3·9% (−5·4 to −2·4) −0·3% (−4·6 to 3·7) −2·3% (−4·1 to −0·7) Peru 131·5 (114·1 to 152·6) 75·7 (64·6 to 88·4) 63·7 (45·6 to 85·4) 842 (731 to 977) 468 (400 to 547) 383 (274 to 513) −4·3% (−5·9 to −2·6) −1·8% (−5·2 to 1·6) −3·2% (−4·8 to −1·7) Central Latin America 78·8 (74·9 to 82·3) 67·9 (63·7 to 72·6) 59·9 (53·8 to 66·7) 3884 (3690 to 4056) 3446 (3231 to 3683) 2950 (2649 to 3283) −1·1% (−1·6 to −0·7) −1·3% (−2·2 to −0·2) −1·2% (−1·6 to −0·7) Colombia 68·2 (60·7 to 76·7) 77·1 (67·2 to 87·7) 62·9 (44·1 to 85·2) 633 (563 to 712) 725 (632 to 824) 577 (405 to 782) 0·9% (−0·3 to 2·2) −2·2% (−5·6 to 1·2) −0·4% (−1·9 to 1·0) Costa Rica 314 (26·9 to 36·0) 36·3 (31·7 to 41·5) 24·9 (20·1 to 30·3) 25 (22 to 29) 28 (24 to 31) 19 (15 to 23) 1·2% (−0·3 to 2·7) −3·8% (−6·0 to −1·5) −1·0% (−2·0 to 0·1) El Salvador 105·5 (90·2 to 120·4) 57·5 (49·2 to 66·5) 65·8 (44·3 to 91·6) 181 (155 to 206) 77 (66 to 89) 86 (58 to 119) −4·7% (−6·3 to −3·1) 1·2% (−2·6 to 4·9) −2·1% (−3·8 to −0·4) Guatemala 112·8 (101·0 to 126·2) 91·8 (81·2 to 104·2) 86·7 (65·8 to 110·8) 409 (367 to 458) 400 (353 to 454) 423 (321 to 541) −1·6% (−2·8 to −0·4) −0·6% (−3·5 to 2·0) −1·2% (−2·4 to 0·0) Honduras 153·1 (90·5 to 190·4) 119·5 (48·5 to 191·2) 72·0 (35·5 to 123·0) 295 (175 to 367) 238 (97 to 381) 153 (75 to 260) −2·1% (−6·4 to 1·5) −5·1% (−10·5 to 0·2) −3·4% (−5·8 to −1·1) Mexico 73·8 (70·4 to 77·1) 57·9 (55·0 to 60·5) 54·0 (50·3 to 58·2) 1774 (1691 1429 (1357 1224 (1139 −1·9% (−2·3 to −1·5) −0·7% (−1·5 to 0·1) −1·4% (−1·7 to −1·0) Lancet. Author manuscript; available in PMC 2014 December 04.
Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts Kassebaum et al. Page 54 Maternal mortality ratio (per 100 000 livebirths) Number of maternal deaths Annualised rate of change in maternal mortality ratio (%) 1990 2003 2013 1990 2003 2013 1990–2003 2003–13 1990–2013 to 1851) to 1493) to 1320) Nicaragua 94·5 (81·2 to 109·4) 87·8 (76·7 to 101·0) 63·5 (49·0 to 80·0) 148 (127 to 171) 126 (110 to 145) 90 (69 to 113) −0·6% (−2·1 to 1·0) −3·3% (−6·2 to −0·7) −1·8% (−3·0 to −0·5) Panama 62·3 (53·0 to 72·7) 66·2 (57·2 to 76·3) 55·2 (40·6 to 73·2) 42 (35 to 49) 50 (44 to 58) 42 (31 to 56) 0·5% (−1·1 to 2·2) −1·9% (−5·1 to 1·3) −0·6% (−1·9 to 0·8) Venezuela 66·6 (59·6 to 73·5) 62·0 (56·3 to 68·7) 54·7 (42·8 to 68·6) 377 (337 to 415) 373 (339 to 413) 336 (263 to 421) −0·5% (−1·6 to 0·5) −1·3% (−3·8 to 1·2) −0·9% (−2·0 to 0·2) Southern Latin America 55·5 (51·1 to 60·2) 51·2 (46·3 to 55·8) 44·2 (37·3 to 51·3) 603 (555 to 653) 513 (465 to 560) 445 (376 to 518) −0·6% (−1·6 to 0·2) −1·5% (−3·3 to 0·3) −1·0% (−1·8 to −0·2) Argentina 60·2 (54·9 to 66·0) 63·3 (57·0 to 69·7) 54·7 (45·3 to 64·6) 434 (396 to 476) 440 (396 to 484) 387 (320 to 456) 0·4% (−0·7 to 1·4) −1·5% (−3·5 to 0·5) −0·4% (−1·3 to 0·4) Chile 47·8 (42·3 to 54·3) 22·0 (19·3 to 25·0) 18·7 (14·7 to 23·2) 146 (130 to 166) 56 (49 to 64) 47 (37 to 58) −6·0% (−7·4 to −4·6) −1·7% (−4·2 to 0·9) −4·1% (−5·2 to −3·0) Uruguay 38·7 (32·8 to 45·3) 32·5 (27·4 to 38·1) 22·9 (17·3 to 29·4) 23 (19 to 27) 17 (15 to 20) 12 (9 to 15) −1·4% (−3·0 to 0·3) −3·6% (−6·5 to −0·7) −2·3% (−3·6 to −1·0) Tropical Latin America 75·9 (68·0 to 84·6) 68·3 (60·9 to 75·6) 60·6 (47·5 to 75·6) 2818 (2522 to 3139) 2445 (2182 to 2708) 1969 (1542 to 2457) −0·8% (−1·9 to 0·2) −1·2% (−3·9 to 1·3) −1·0% (−2·2 to 0·1) Brazil 73·1 (65·0 to 82·0) 66·0 (58·4 to 73·7) 58·7 (45·8 to 73·5) 2609 (2320 to 2925) 2265 (2003 to 2530) 1813 (1414 to 2267) −0·8% (−1·9 to 0·3) −1·2% (−4·0 to 1·4) −1·0% (−2·2 to 0·2) Paraguay 145·6 (130·2 to 162·4) 119·8 (107·3 to 134·0) 95·2 (71·6 to 126·9) 209 (187 to 233) 181 (162 to 202) 156 (117 to 208) −1·5% (−2·7 to −0·3) −2·4% (−5·3 to 1·0) −1·9% (−3·2 to −0·5) North Africa and Middle East 131·0 (115·4 to 147·8) 101·8 (85·1 to 121·3) 78·1 (63·1 to 97·6) 13 106 (11 543 to 14 783) 10 370 (8672 to 12 351) 8907 (7204 to 11 135) −2·0% (−3·2 to −0·9) −2·7% (−4·3 to −1·0) −2·3% (−3·2 to −1·3) Algeria 126·1 (87·0 to 170·4) 81·0 (59·8 to 107·0) 51·5 (37·2 to 70·1) 949 (655 to 1283) 575 (424 to 759) 470 (340 to 641) −3·4% (−6·5 to 0·1) −4·5% (−8·6 to −0·5) −3·9% (−5·8 to −2·0) Bahrain 55·4 (40·7 to 73·4) 32·7 (24·9 to 41·9) 21·4 (15·5 to 29·0) 7 (5 to 10) 5 (4 to 6) 4 (3 to 6) −4·0% (−6·9 to −1·1) −4·3% (−8·0 to 0·1) −4·2% (−6·1 to −2·2) Egypt 83·7 (69·9 to 100·1) 44·8 (39·1 to 51·9) 32·6 (24·5 to 42·3) 1385 (1157 to 1656) 765 (668 to 888) 619 (465 to 803) −4·8% (−6·5 to −3·0) −3·2% (−6·2 to −0·3) −4·1% (−5·5 to −2·8) Iran 40·1 (27·0 to 57·2) 26·6 (21·9 to 31·6) 13·5 (9·4 to 18·3) 651 (439 to 929) 333 (275 to 396) 197 (137 to 266) −3·1% (−6·2 to 0·2) −6·9% (−10·9 to −3·1) −4·7% (−7·0 to −2·6) Iraq 110·6 (68·7 to 157·0) 88·0 (62·0 to 126·8) 65·8 (40·4 to 110·7) 736 (457 to 1045) 816 (574 to 1175) 695 (427 to 1170) −1·7% (−5·6 to 2·5) −3·1% (−8·1 to 2·3) −2·3% (−4·8 to 0·7) Lancet. Author manuscript; available in PMC 2014 December 04.
Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts Kassebaum et al. Page 55 Maternal mortality ratio (per 100 000 livebirths) Number of maternal deaths Annualised rate of change in maternal mortality ratio (%) 1990 2003 2013 1990 2003 2013 1990–2003 2003–13 1990–2013 Jordan 102·2 (79·1 to 128·7) 60·2 (46·2 to 78·8) 29·8 (20·3 to 41·4) 112 (87 to 141) 92 (71 to 120) 57 (39 to 79) −4·1% (−6·9 to −1·3) −7·1% (−11·8 to −2·2) −5·4% (−7·2 to −3·5) Kuwait 17·8 (14·4 to 21·6) 11·4 (9·6 to 13·6) 9·5 (7·5 to 12·0) 6 (5 to 7) 5 (5 to 7) 7 (5 to 8) −3·4% (−5·4 to −1·4) −1·8% (−4·4 to 0·8) −2·7% (−4·0 to −1·4) Lebanon 101·4 (74·8 to 135·1) 42·4 (30·8 to 56·8) 18·1 (11·9 to 26·0) 65 (48 to 87) 23 (16 to 30) 12 (8 to 17) −6·7% (−9·5 to −3·9) −8·6% (−12·7 to −4·9) −7·5% (−9·7 to −5·5) Libya 41·8 (25·7 to 64·6) 30·7 (22·8 to 40·5) 27·0 (18·0 to 40·5) 46 (28 to 71) 37 (27 to 49) 33 (22 to 50) −2·3% (−6·0 to 1·6) −1·4% (−6·5 to 3·7) −1·9% (−4·5 to 0·8) Morocco 279·5 (236·0 to 338·9) 98·3 (75·2 to 120·8) 63·9 (45·1 to 85·8) 1971 (1664 to 2390) 603 (462 to 741) 472 (334 to 635) −8·1% (−10·2 to −6·0) −4·4% (−7·5 to −1·3) −6·5% (−8·1 to −5·0) Oman 47·0 (26·7 to 76·6) 20·4 (14·2 to 29·4) 12·8 (8·4 to 20·6) 30 (17 to 49) 11 (7 to 15) 9 (6 to 15) −6·3% (−10·8 to −1·7) −4·8% (−10·8 to 1·2) −5·6% (−8·5 to −2·8) Palestine 21·1 (12·3 to 34·3) 11·3 (8·7 to 14·4) 9·0 (5·5 to 13·2) 22 (13 to 35) 13 (10 to 17) 12 (7 to 17) −4·6% (−9·0 to −0·4) −2·5% (−7·5 to 2·3) −3·7% (−6·8 to −0·7) Qatar 50·4 (36·2 to 69·8) 38·9 (29·6 to 50·1) 18·7 (12·4 to 27·2) 5 (4 to 7) 4 (3 to 6) 4 (3 to 6) −2·0% (−5·1 to 1·0) −7·4% (−12·2 to −2·8) −4·3% (−6·6 to −2·2) Saudi Arabia 15·7 (9·1 to 25·2) 9·3 (7·6 to 11·1) 7·0 (5·2 to 9·2) 88 (51 to 140) 49 (41 to 59) 38 (28 to 50) −3·8% (−7·9 to 0·6) −2·8% (−6·2 to 0·5) −3·4% (−5·8 to −0·8) Sudan 407·8 (304·2 to 502·9) 356·5 (237·6 to 478·8) 275·2 (181·1 to 377·5) 3558 (2654 to 4388) 4193 (2794 to 5631) 3528 (2322 to 4840) −1·1% (−3·5 to 1·1) −2·6% (−5·4 to 0·2) −1·8% (−3·3 to −0·2) Syria 120·5 (86·0 to 158·8) 64·8 (49·1 to 80·9) 44·1 (31·1 to 60·3) 513 (367 to 676) 309 (235 to 386) 229 (161 to 313) −4·7% (−7·7 to −1·8) −3·9% (−7·7 to 0·1) −4·4% (−6·4 to −2·4) Tunisia 62·2 (44·4 to 82·7) 28·5 (18·4 to 42·3) 19·0 (11·6 to 28·5) 124 (88 to 164) 48 (31 to 72) 35 (21 to 53) −6·1% (−9·7 to −2·4) −4·1% (−9·1 to 0·7) −5·2% (−7·6 to −3·0) Turkey 48·5 (34·7 to 65·2) 23·1 (17·1 to 30·9) 15·0 (10·7 to 19·9) 664 (475 to 893) 304 (226 to 408) 188 (134 to 250) −5·7% (−8·9 to −2·6) −4·3% (−8·4 to −0·1) −5·1% (−6·9 to −3·2) United Arab Emirates 55·8 (31·0 to 112·1) 21·6 (14·1 to 33·7) 12·8 (7·7 to 21·4) 23 (13 to 47) 12 (8 to 18) 17 (10 to 29) −7·1% (−11·9 to −2·4) −5·3% (−10·2 to 1·0) −6·3% (−9·5 to −3·0) Yemen 342·6 (182·1 to 519·2) 322·2 (182·7 to 524·9) 308·8 (168·6 to 555·4) 2151 (1143 to 3260) 2172 (1232 to 3538) 2279 (1244 to 4099) −0·5% (−3·5 to 2·7) −0·5% (−3·8 to 3·3) −0·5% (−2·8 to 2·2) High-income North America 11·9 (10·7 to 13·3) 17·0 (15·1 to 18·8) 17·6 (14·3 to 21·6) 555 (499 to 621) 784 (697 to 867) 829 (672 to 1016) 2·7% (1·5 to 3·8) 0·3% (−1·8 to 2·6) 1·7% (0·7 to 2·6) Canada 7·1 (6·0 to 8·3) 9·2 (7·6 to 10·7) 8·2 (6·3 to 10·3) 28 (24 to 33) 32 (27 to 37) 33 (25 to 42) 2·0% (0·2 to 3·6) −1·2% (−3·7 to 1·3) 0·6% (−0·7 to 1·9) USA 12·4 (11·1 to 13·9) 17·6 (15·7 to 19·5) 18·5 (14·8 to 22·9) 527 (472 to 592) 752 (669 to 833) 796 (638 to 985) 2·7% (1·4 to 3·8) 0·5% (−1·8 to 2·8) 1·7% (0·8 to 2·7) Lancet. Author manuscript; available in PMC 2014 December 04.
Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts Kassebaum et al. Page 56 Maternal mortality ratio (per 100 000 livebirths) Number of maternal deaths Annualised rate of change in maternal mortality ratio (%) 1990 2003 2013 1990 2003 2013 1990–2003 2003–13 1990–2013 Oceania 599·9 (365·3 to 972·5) 577·8 (331·4 to 976·3) 494·1 (264·4 to 849·3) 1234 (752 to 2001) 1461 (838 to 2469) 1325 (709 to 2278) −0·3% (−3·3 to 2·7) −1·6% (−5·2 to 2·4) −0·9% (−3·2 to 1·7) Federated States of Micronesia 170·3 (82·9 to 310·8) 130·5 (66·6 to 235·5) 87·9 (44·7 to 154·5) 6 (3 to 10) 4 (2 to 7) 2 (1 to 4) −2·0% (−6·0 to 2·0) −3·9% (−8·5 to 0·7) −2·9% (−5·6 to 0·0) Fiji 109·6 (68·4 to 165·2) 100·8 (72·0 to 135·5) 68·2 (43·7 to 102·8) 24 (15 to 36) 19 (14 to 26) 12 (8 to 18) −0·6% (−4·4 to 3·6) −4·0% (−9·0 to 0·8) −2·1% (−4·9 to 0·7) Kiribati 213·3 (153·9 to 296·9) 142·4 (97·1 to 216·5) 100·9 (57·4 to 169·1) 6 (4 to 8) 3 (2 to 5) 2 (1 to 4) −3·2% (−7·1 to 0·8) −3·6% (−9·0 to 1·8) −3·4% (−6·2 to −0·6) Marshall Islands 74·7 (46·2 to 111·8) 109·4 (66·3 to 167·8) 95·6 (51·9 to 164·9) 2 (1 to 2) 2 (1 to 3) 2 (1 to 3) 2·9% (−1·6 to 7·4) −1·5% (−7·8 to 5·1) 1·0% (−2·0 to 4·0) Papua New Guinea 765·9 (456·7 to 1255·9) 702·6 (396·4 to 1197·8) 594·2 (312·7 to 1030·8) 1148 (684 to 1882) 1382 (779 to 2355) 1260 (663 to 2187) −0·7% (−3·8 to 2·4) −1·7% (−5·4 to 2·3) −1·1% (−3·6 to 1·5) Samoa 61·1 (36·2 to 99·7) 51·2 (32·5 to 76·3) 41·4 (26·9 to 62·8) 3 (2 to 5) 3 (2 to 4) 2 (1 to 3) −1·3% (−6·0 to 3·3) −2·1% (−7·0 to 3·3) −1·6% (−4·6 to 1·1) Solomon Islands 254·0 (127·4 to 454·4) 214·5 (112·5 to 379·3) 183·0 (95·9 to 338·5) 32 (16 to 56) 34 (18 to 60) 32 (17 to 59) −1·3% (−5·2 to 2·7) −1·6% (−6·0 to 3·2) −1·4% (−4·5 to 1·6) Tonga 188·1 (118·8 to 286·9) 143·3 (108·8 to 185·6) 111·2 (68·2 to 172·2) 6 (4 to 9) 4 (3 to 5) 3 (2 to 5) −2·0% (−6·0 to 1·8) −2·7% (−7·8 to 2·3) −2·3% (−5·0 to 0·4) Vanuatu 176·3 (83·5 to 329·7) 174·8 (88·2 to 333·0) 139·2 (72·3 to 257·6) 10 (5 to 18) 10 (5 to 20) 9 (5 to 17) −0·1% (−4·2 to 4·1) −2·2% (−6·6 to 2·4) −1·0% (−4·0 to 2·2) Central sub-Saharan Africa 456·3 (366·2 to 546·7) 419·1 (341·2 to 499·8) 353·1 (279·9 to 434·1) 12 178 (9773 to 14 591) 15 191 (12 369 to 18 118) 15 355 (12 174 to 18 880) −0·7% (−2·2 to 0·8) −1·7% (−3·8 to 0·3) −1·1% (−2·3 to 0·1) Angola 510·6 (324·9 to 747·3) 451·1 (308·9 to 657·8) 310·1 (198·3 to 472·2) 2976 (1894 to 4356) 3672 (2515 to 5355) 3032 (1939 to 4618) −0·9% (−3·7 to 1·8) −3·8% (−7·1 to −0·5) −2·2% (−4·0 to 0·0) Central African Republic 788·7 (576·4 to 1020·1) 999·4 (636·2 to 1415·6) 910·5 (578·3 to 1293·2) 973 (711 to 1258) 1473 (937 to 2086) 1459 (926 to 2072) 1·8% (−0·7 to 3·9) −0·9% (−3·8 to 1·7) 0·6% (−1·0 to 2·0) Congo 397·2 (275·6 to 545·1) 482·8 (322·1 to 673·7) 287·3 (189·6 to 427·1) 379 (263 to 519) 678 (452 to 946) 494 (326 to 735) 1·5% (−1·1 to 3·9) −5·2% (−8·5 to −2·0) −1·4% (−3·4 to 0·4) DR Congo 420·1 (323·5 to 521·5) 369·5 (295·0 to 451·4) 342·3 (251·4 to 446·7) 7616 (5865 to 9455) 9069 (7241 to 11 081) 10 125 (7437 to 13 213) −1·0% (−3·1 to 1·3) −0·8% (−3·7 to 1·8) −0·9% (−2·6 to 0·7) Equatorial Guinea 599·9 (376·2 to 897·0) 487·3 (280·4 to 736·7) 369·6 (199·8 to 620·0) 109 (68 to 163) 110 (63 to 166) 100 (54 to 168) −1·6% (−5·4 to 2·3) −2·9% (−6·9 to 1·4) −2·2% (−4·9 to 0·9) Gabon 345·7 (265·2 to 438·6) 413·0 (301·0 to 541·8) 267·3 (184·1 to 370·3) 126 (96 to 159) 189 (138 to 248) 144 (99 to 199) 1·3% (−1·3 to 4·0) −4·4% (−7·9 to −1·3) −1·2% (−2·9 to 0·6) Lancet. Author manuscript; available in PMC 2014 December 04.
Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts Europe PMC Funders Author Manuscripts Kassebaum et al. Page 57 Maternal mortality ratio (per 100 000 livebirths) Number of maternal deaths Annualised rate of change in maternal mortality ratio (%) 1990 2003 2013 1990 2003 2013 1990–2003 2003–13 1990–2013 Eastern sub-Saharan Africa 511·7 (461·5 to 562·3) 564·7 (490·8 to 640·0) 387·2 (331·5 to 453·0) 45 250 (40 808 to 49 719) 65 050 (56 537 to 73 735) 52 269 (44747 to 61 144) 0·7% (−0·3 to 1·9) −3·8% (−5·1 to −2·4) −1·2% (−1·8 to −0·6) Burundi 757·1 (560·5 to 977·3) 712·3 (538·5 to 899·9) 370·8 (240·4 to 504·3) 2122 (1571 to 2739) 2240 (1693 to 2830) 1683 (1091 to 2289) −0·5% (−3·0 to 1·9) −6·6% (−10·2 to −3·7) −3·1% (−5·1 to −1·4) Comoros 527·4 (319·7 to 830·5) 383·0 (219·8 to 646·7) 329·2 (171·9 to 584·5) 82 (50 to 130) 88 (50 to 148) 85 (45 to 152) −2·5% (−6·0 to 1·1) −1·7% (−6·6 to 2·6) −2·2% (−4·9 to 0·7) Djibouti 526·3 (334·8 to 788·7) 629·3 (405·3 to 962·4) 523·5 (329·8 to 821·8) 124 (79 to 186) 138 (89 to 211) 123 (77 to 193) 1·4% (−1·9 to 4−6) −1·9% (−5·2 to 1·5) 0·0% (−2·2 to 2·2) Eritrea 614·2 (493·7 to 747·0) 679·9 (475·9 to 902·1) 566·0 (351·2 to 817·7) 949 (763 to 1154) 1241 (868 to 1646) 1313 (814 to 1896) 0·7% (−1·8 to 3·1) −1·9% (−5·1 to 0·9) −0·4% (−2·3 to 1·3) Ethiopia 708·0 (600·4 to 815·0) 657·8 (486·3 to 839·6) 497·4 (371·5 to 648·8) 16 740 (14 197 to 19 271) 18 941 (14 001 to 24 173) 15 234 (11 378 to 19 871) −0·6% (−3·1 to 1·4) −2·8% (−5·2 to −0·2) −1·6% (−2·8 to −0·3) Kenya 315·5 (250·1 to 382·2) 559·2 (375·0 to 773·0) 277·2 (175·4 to 414·1) 3047 (2416 to 3692) 7628 (5115 to 10 543) 4361 (2759 to 6514) 4·3% (1·3 to 7·4) −7·1% (−10·8 to −3·9) −0·6% (−2·6 to 1·4) Madagascar 314·0 (246·9 to 375·5) 378·0 (255·9 to 480·7) 297·7 (174·3 to 448·6) 1723 (1355 to 2061) 2610 (1766 to 3319) 2455 (1438 to 3699) 1·4% (−1·0 to 3·4) −2·6% (−6·4 to 1·6) −0·3% (−2·3 to 1·5) Malawi 550·3 (440·5 to 669·6) 815·3 (567·4 to 1111·1) 334·7 (224·5 to 465·1) 2627 (2103 to 3197) 4542 (3161 to 6189) 2260 (1516 to 3140) 3·0% (0·7 to 5·3) −8·9% (−12·5 to −6·1) −2·2% (−3·8 to −0·6) Mauritius 66·8 (56·8 to 79·1) 55·9 (47·8 to 65·8) 43·7 (34·4 to 54·7) 15 (13 to 18) 10 (8 to 12) 6 (5 to 8) −1·4% (−3·0 to 0·4) −2·5% (−5·1 to 0·0) −1·9% (−3·0 to −0·6) Mozambique 363·4 (262·6 to 463·2) 250·0 (184·3 to 322·0) 248·7 (151·4 to 365·4) 2190 (1583 to 2791) 2339 (1724 to 3012) 2574 (1567 to 3783) −2·9% (−5·7 to 0·2) −0·2% (−3·9 to 3·0) −1·7% (−4·0 to 0·5) Rwanda 656·1 (528·6 to 791·5) 612·6 (477·4 to 766·5) 291·0 (189·9 to 400·7) 2021 (1628 to 2438) 2142 (1669 to 2680) 1185 (773 to 1631) −0·5% (−2·6 to 1·6) −7·6% (−11·6 to −4·0) −3·6% (−5·6 to −1·9) Seychelles 21·2 (16·4 to 26·7) 14·9 (11·6 to 18·9) 15·7 (12·2 to 20·7) 0 (0 to 0) 0 (0 to 0) 0 (0 to 0) −2·7% (−5·0 to −0·2) 0·5% (−2·8 to 4·0) −1·3% (−2·8 to 0·3) Somalia 486·9 (276·2 to 766·6) 422·4 (264·4 to 706·2) 407·7 (247·4 to 684·2) 1574 (893 to 2479) 1673 (1047 to 2797) 1903 (1155 to 3194) −1·1% (−4·2 to 1·9) −0·4% (−3·5 to 2·9) −0·8% (−2·8 to 1·6) South Sudan 763·8 (432·8 to 1129·7) 872·9 (602·8 to 1172·3) 956·8 (685·1 to 1262·8) 2138 (1211 to 3162) 2718 (1877 to 3650) 3912 (2801 to 5163) 1·2% (−2·3 to 4·9) 0·9% (−2·5 to 4·8) 1·1% (−1·2 to 3·8) Lancet. Author manuscript; available in PMC 2014 December 04.