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An investigation of indoor thermal environments and thermal comfort in naturally ventilated educational buildings

Hoz Torres, María Luisa de la; Aguilar Aguilera, Antonio Jesús; Ruiz Padillo, Diego Pablo; Martínez Aires, María Dolores

Abstract

Indoor thermal conditions are essential in educational buildings. The health and well-being of students can be affected by a poor thermal environment, which also has a clear impact on building energy consumption. In this context, the indoor thermal environment in naturally ventilated university classrooms is explored in this study during a complete academic year. A monitoring campaign and a questionnaire survey were conducted simultaneously in higher education buildings in Spain. A total of 2115 sets of data were collected. Thermal sensation prediction indices (predicted mean vote, extended predicted mean vote and adaptive predicted mean vote) were applied to evaluate student’s thermal perception and their prediction accuracy was assessed. Additionally, two machine-learning models, based on Artificial neural network (ANN) and random forest (RF) algorithms, were formulated to predict occupants’ thermal sensation. The obtained results evidenced that the proposed ANN and RF models outperform traditional indices. Finally, it is also proposed an adaptive thermal comfort model. The results obtained suggest that students have a greater adaptive capacity to changes in environmental conditions than suggested by the ASHRAE-55 adaptive model and that they preferred an environment with lower temperatures than those suggested by the EN-16798 adaptive model.

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Journal of Building Engineering 84 (2024) 108677 Available online 29 January 2024 2352-7102/© 2024 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/). An investigation of indoor thermal environments and thermal comfort in naturally ventilated educational buildings María Luisa de la Hoz-Torres a , Antonio J. Aguilar a , * , Diego P. Ruiz b , Mª Dolores Martínez-Aires a a Department of Building Construction, University of Granada, Granada, Spain b Department of Applied Physics, University of Granada, Granada, Spain ARTICLE INFO Keywords: Educational buildings Built environment Thermal comfort Machine learning Natural ventilation Adaptive model ABSTRACT Indoor thermal conditions are essential in educational buildings. The health and well-being of students can be affected by a poor thermal environment, which also has a clear impact on building energy consumption. In this context, the indoor thermal environment in naturally ventilated university classrooms is explored in this study during a complete academic year. A monitoring campaign and a questionnaire survey were conducted simultaneously in higher education buildings in Spain. A total of 2115 sets of data were collected. Thermal sensation prediction indices (predicted mean vote, extended predicted mean vote and adaptive predicted mean vote) were applied to evaluate student’s thermal perception and their prediction accuracy was assessed. Additionally, two machine-learning models, based on Artificial neural network (ANN) and random forest (RF) algorithms, were formulated to predict occupants’ thermal sensation. The obtained results evidenced that the proposed ANN and RF models outperform traditional indices. Finally, it is also proposed an adaptive thermal comfort model. The results obtained suggest that students have a greater adaptive capacity to changes in environmental conditions than suggested by the ASHRAE-55 adaptive model and that they preferred an environment with lower temperatures than those suggested by the EN-16798 adaptive model. List of abbreviations ANN Artificial Neural Network aPMV Adaptive Predicted Mean Vote ASHRAE American Society of Heating, Refrigerating and Air-Conditioning Engineers ePMV Extended Predictive Mean Vote IEQ Indoor Environmental Quality N Number of data NV Natural ventilation MSE Mean Square Error MAE Mean Absolute Error PMV Predictive Mean Model * Corresponding author. E-mail address: [email protected] (A.J. Aguilar). Contents lists available at ScienceDirect Journal of Building Engineering journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/jobe https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jobe.2024.108677 Received 24 November 2023; Received in revised form 19 January 2024; Accepted 28 January 2024 Journal of Building Engineering 84 (2024) 108677 2 RF Random forests RH Relative Humidity RH in Indoor Relative Humidity RH out Outdoor Relative Humidity T comf Comfort temperature T in-op Indoor Operative Temperature Tn Neutral temperature T out Outdoor temperature Trm Running mean temperature TSaV Thermal Satisfaction Vote TSV Thermal Sensation Vote V in Indoor air velocity V out Outdoor air velocity x Actual parameter value X Set of x Z Normalised data 1. Introduction People in modern society spend most of their time, around 80 %, indoors. This fact results in the indoor environmental quality (IEQ) influencing well-being and satisfaction of buildings occupants [1]. In fact, this influence was even higher during the COVID-19 and confinement periods. Different environmental parameters, such as relative humidity (RH), air temperature, radiant temperature and air velocity are related to the indoor thermal environment [2]. Heating, ventilation and air conditioning systems in buildings can be used to influence these parameters and create a more comfortable environment, but they also have a high impact on the buildings’ energy demand. In fact, at least 50 % of energy consumption in buildings is used for space heating [3]. In this context, it is necessary to analyse the thermal perception of buildings occupants to improve the sustainability of buildings by reducing their energy demand and achieve suitable indoor environmental conditions. Numerous studies have analysed indoor thermal conditions in different types of buildings, such as offices [4–7], educational buildings [8–15] or residential buildings [16–20]. The thermal comfort is defined by the American Society of Heating, Refrigerating and Air-Conditioning Engineers (ASHRAE) as that condition of mind that expresses satisfaction with the thermal environment [1]. Both, the static heat balance model and the thermal adaptive model, are the two approaches used to assess indoor thermal comfort. The Predicted Mean Model (PMV) is among the most widely used static heat models [2]. It is based on the heat balance of the human body in a given environment and was developed by Fanger in 1970, from experimental tests conducted in climatic chambers. This model states that the indoor environmental conditions (air temperature, radiant temperature, air velocity and relative humidity) and personal parameters (clothing insulation and metabolic rate) can be used to evaluate the occupants’ thermal sensation [2]. However, the PMV model ignores factors such as social and cultural aspects, and occupant adaptation. Previous studies have pointed out that static models, such as PMV, predict occupants’ thermal sensation effectively in uniformly controlled stationary conditions (e.g., air-conditioned (AC) buildings), but the results are not accurate when this model is applied to naturally ventilated (NV) buildings [21,22]. Humphreys [23] found that the discrepancy between the actual mean vote and the PMV increased for higher activity levels and heavier clothing, whereas accurate values were obtained when the PMV model was applied in laboratory studies using light clothing and sedentary activities. Clothing insulation influences occupants’ thermal perception and varies significantly between seasons [24]. Cheung et al. [25] analysed the ASHRAE Global Database II and found that the PMV-PPD model accuracy was only 34. Thus, several studies have proposed new indexes to relate these factors to the heat balance model, to improve the accuracy of the PMV model. Fanger and Toftum proposed the extended Predicted Mean Vote (ePMV) using an expectancy factor [26]. The adaptive Predictive Mean Vote (aPMV) was proposed by Yao et al. [27] including an ‘adaptive factor’, by using the black box method to explore the relationship between field and laboratory results. In addition, other models were proposed to overcome this limitation in naturally ventilated buildings and to achieve a closer approximation between the predicted thermal sensation vote (TSV) and the actual TSV. In this context, the approach proposed by previous studies was the adaptive thermal comfort model [22], which relates outdoor or indoor air temperature and thermal sensations by a linear regression equation. International and national thermal standards have adopted this model (e.g., ASHRAE-55 [1] and EN 16798–1:2019 [28]). This model is a method of evaluating thermal environments with NV and considers the different occupants’ adaptation to NV conditions, including physiological, psychological, and behavioural adaptations [29]. Nevertheless, it is worth mentioning that not all occupants of a building may have the same individual characteristics and these factors influence the thermal perception [30]. The significance of individual differences in the preferred/neutral/comfort temperature was explore by Wang et al. [31] and a strong influence of these differences on thermal comfort was found. Not only individual variables such as age or gender, but also the sensitivity to climate change adaptation (e.g., geographical location, social, psychological, and cultural habit, etc.) influence occupants’ thermal perception [32]. The assessment of indoor thermal conditions in educational buildings is especially relevant. Students and teachers spend long M.L. de la Hoz-Torres et al. Journal of Building Engineering 84 (2024) 108677 3 periods of time in classrooms, and their health and performance may be impaired by a poor quality of the thermal environment. Studies on indoor environmental conditions in educational buildings are essential to understand the perception and behaviour of students in different environments, as well as to identify gaps to improve building performance and occupants’ well-being and productivity [33]. The thermal environment was found to be the most important factor for achieving overall satisfaction with the indoor environment according to the literature survey conducted by Frontczak and Wargocki [34]. In this line, a significant correlation between the subjective perceptions of students and the quality of the indoor environmental conditions was found by Corgnati, Filippi and Viazzo [35] in their field study about thermal, acoustic, visual and air quality parameters in classrooms. In this context, and given the importance of indoor environmental conditions, new thermal comfort models have been developed based on new approaches and techniques in recent years. The evolution of machine learning algorithms provides potential resources that can be used to predict parameters that depend on multiple variables. The outstanding advantages offered by these algorithms have resulted in them being applied in different research areas. Both Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and the Random Forest (RF) are types of machine learning algorithms widely used to predict non-linear relationships between independent and dependent variables. The use of ANN to develop thermal comfort models was proposed by Chan and Chau [36] for predict thermal sensation in urban parks. A new model based on ANN was proposed by Mahgoub et al. [37] to predict standard effective temperature for outdoor environments. ANN algorithms were also used by Wu et al. [38] to formulate a predictive model of thermal comfort in some regions of China. Li et al. [39] proposed a thermal sensation model for a personalised conditioning system in office buildings using the RF classification algorithm. Wang et al. [40] applied the RF algorithm to predict older people’s thermal sensation in aged/care homes. Chaudhuri et al. [41] proposed an RF-based thermal comfort model from gender-specific physiological parameters collected in a typical office room in the Nanyang Technological University (Singapore). Regarding educational buildings, models developed in other spaces (such as public urban areas, residential buildings, or mechanically ventilated buildings) are not suitable for direct application to NV higher educational buildings because of their characteristics (e.g., high density of individuals, NV protocols and the type of activity performed the occupants have a greater degree of freedom to take adaptive actions compared with other educational stages). To date, few studies have focused on the development of adaptive thermal comfort models in Mediterranean university classrooms [15] and, given that thermal acceptability ranges vary from one climatic region to another, the innovation of this study includes the proposal of an adaptive thermal comfort model. In addition, Fard et al. [42] conducted a systematic review of the use of machine learning techniques in thermal comfort studies and concluded that future studies need to focus on educational buildings and NV buildings. Nevertheless, since there is a wide variety of building types and climates, comfort temperature assessments from machine learning based models is not yet fully developed [43]. Hence, more research to evaluate the performance of models for occupant thermal sensation assessment is still needed in educational buildings and the present study aims to fill this research gap. The main objectives of this study are: (i) to analyse the thermal environment of NV classrooms; (ii) to formulate models to predict TSV evaluation in NV educational buildings using ANN and RF machine learning algorithms; (iii) to investigate the prediction accuracy of traditional thermal sensation models (PMV, ePMV and aPMV) when applied to these scenarios, and compare their performance with the proposed machine learning models; and (iv) to develop an adaptive thermal comfort model to evaluate students’ thermal sensation. For this purpose, a field measurement campaign was conducted over an academic year, and objective and subjective data were collected from educational buildings in Southern Spain. The proposed models aim to constitute a tool to complement the evaluation of TSV and to manage indoor environments in educational buildings, as well as contribute to the knowledge of thermal conditions in these buildings. Fig. 1. The average monthly temperatures (green line), the average maximum temperatures (red line), the average minimum temperatures (blue line) and the average relative humidity (blue bars), by month, for the period 2012–2023 [44]. M.L. de la Hoz-Torres et al. Journal of Building Engineering 84 (2024) 108677 4 2. Materials and methods This section describes the design of the experimental setup, the data collection process, the method used to build the machine learning-based models to predict the TSV, and the static and adaptive thermal comfort models used to assess indoor environmental conditions. 2.1. Data collection A field measurement campaign was defined to gather relevant data in order to develop thermal comfort models and test their performance. This data collection process was conducted in higher education buildings of Campus Fuentenueva, located in Granada (Spain). The climate in this city is classified as ‘Csa’, according to the K¨ oppen–Geiger climate classification. It is characterized by cold long winters and very hot short summers. The temperature usually ranging between 0 and 34 ◦C (rarely drops below −4 ◦C or rises above 38 ◦C). Extreme temperatures can be reached in summer (44 ◦C) and in winter (-4 ◦C). The annual average RH value is 58 %, with lower average values in the summer months (41 %). Fig. 1 shows, by month, the average of RH value, the average temperature values, the average maximum temperature values, and the average minimum temperature values, for the period 2012–2023 [44]. The Csa climate dominates most of Spain, covering the south, the northeast, and the Balearic Islands; it also reaches a small part of the Canary Islands [45]. All of the buildings selected in this study, like the majority of all educational buildings in Europe [46], are NV (through doors and windows). The field study was conducted during the academic year 2021/2022 (September to June). The field measurements and questionnaire survey were conducted in classrooms of the Fuentenueva Campus. The buildings characteristics are shown in Table 1. All the classrooms have similar characteristics: they are all NV and have heating systems (radiators) but do not have cooling systems. The radiators are placed under the windows of the classrooms. The collected data were measured in a total of 30 classrooms. The location of Fuentenueva Campus is shown in Fig. 2. The measurement campaign consisted of a sensor measurement campaign survey conducted simultaneously with a paper-based questionnaire to collect subjective thermal perceptions from buildings’ occupants and indoor thermal parameters. This process followed the recommendations defined in the ISO 28802:2012 [47] standard. The questionnaire included questions about building occupants’ demographic data (i.e., age and gender) as well as the clothing that they were wearing during the survey (respondents selected their clothes from a checklist) based on ISO 7730 standard. The clothing insulation values were calculated based on the participants’ responses. Additionally, occupants were also asked to indicate their thermal satisfaction vote (TSaV) using a 7-point Likert scale (from −3 for ‘very dissatisfied’ to 3 for ‘very satisfied’) and their TSV (from −3 for ‘cold’ to 3 for ‘hot’). The survey respondents were university students who had been seated in classrooms for at least 2 h. The sensors were installed in the classroom 15 min before the lesson started. Fig. 3 shows the layout of sensors’ location. Subsequently, the questionnaires were distributed to all students in the classroom 15 min before the end of the lesson. Students They were asked to complete the questionnaire during the last 15 min of the lecture or class. This procedure aims to minimise disruption to the class activity and to eliminate the influences of prior activities on TSVs [13,48]. Fig. 4 shows the survey scheme used in this study. Table 2 shows the instruments used to collect the indoor environmental variables of the classrooms. These variables included RH, indoor air temperature, radiant temperature, and air velocity. The instruments were located at the front, middle and end positions of the classrooms. Regarding the radiant temperature and air velocity, the sensors were place in the middle of the classrooms. The sensors’ locations followed the recommendations stated in ASHRAE 55–2020 [1] and ISO 7726:2002 [49], were located 0.6 m above the floor level, separated by at least 1.0 m from the surrounding surfaces and away from any heating or cooling sources. A 1-min interval was selected to record all the parameters (from the beginning to the end of each lecture or class). The outdoor environmental parameters were obtained from a meteorological station located close to the buildings under study. The State Meteorological Agency of Spain (AEMET) [44] provided these data. The meteorological weather station was equipped with sensors for measuring air velocity (Anemometer THIES Compact, measurement ranged from 0.5 to 65.0 m/s) and temperature and relative humidity (TH THIES Compact, measurement ranged from −40 to 70 ◦C and from 0.2 to 100.0 %, respectively). A total of 2293 responses were collected from the questionnaire survey, together with the indoor/outdoor measurement data. Before processing and analysing these data, the questionnaires were checked for incompleteness or clear inconsistencies and 178 were discarded due to incompleteness, finally resulting in a total of 2115 sets of data. 2.2. Static predictive thermal comfort models The PMV, ePMV and aPMV were applied in this study. Regarding the PMV model, it was applied according to the ISO 7730 [2]. The PMV model is based in a 7-point Likert scale (from −3 to +3) and is calculated from four factors related to the thermal environment (i. e., air temperature, RH, mean radiant temperature and air velocity) and two factors related to the human body (i.e., metabolic rate and Table 1 Surveyed building characteristics. Building Type of building components Structure Ventilation systems Type of windows Wall Ceiling Floor B1 Ceramic tile Registrable suspended ceiling Natural stone Concrete frame NV Aluminium glazed windows B2 Gypsum plaster Registrable suspended ceiling Terrazzo Concrete frame NV Aluminium glazed windows B3 Gypsum plaster Registrable suspended ceiling Terrazzo Concrete frame NV Aluminium glazed windows M.L. de la Hoz-Torres et al. Journal of Building Engineering 84 (2024) 108677 5 Fig. 2. Location of buildings surveyed in the Fuentenueva Campus. Fig. 3. Example of the layout of the sensors’ location in the classrooms. Fig. 4. Survey scheme. Table 2 Equipment used in the field study. Parameter Instrument Range Accuracy Air temperature FHAD 46-C41A AHLBORN −20 to +80 ◦C Typical ±0.2 K at 5–60 ◦C Maximum ±0.4 K at 5–60 ◦C Maximum ±0.7 K at −20 to +80 ◦C Radiant temperature FPA805GTS AHLBORN −50 to 200 ◦C 0.1 ◦C RH FHAD 46-C41A AHLBORN 0–98 % RH ±2.0 % RH in range from 10 to 90 % RH Air velocity HD403TS2 Delta OHM® 0.1–5.0 m/s ±0.03 m/s +3 % f.s M.L. de la Hoz-Torres et al. Journal of Building Engineering 84 (2024) 108677 6 clothing insulation). Since students were seated during the lectures when the field measurements were carried out, a metabolic rate of 1.2 met was selected. The data collected during the field measurements and questionnaire surveys were used to predict students’ thermal sensation based on PMV. In addition, the revised PMV methods, ePMV and aPMV, were also applied in this study. The ePMV is derived by multiplying an expectancy factor to the PMV, as calculated using Eq. (1). ePMV =e•PMV (1) where e stands for the expectancy factor. According to Fanger and Toftum [26], the value of e for free-running buildings is assumed to vary according to the length of the warm season, in a year, and the comparison with other AC buildings in the same region. Table 3 shows the expectancy factor for each climate zone, according to Fanger and Toftum [26]. The aPMV was also applied and the adaptive coefficient that reflects the adaptive behaviour of occupants to PMV was calculated [27]. The aPMV is calculated using Eq. (2). aPMV =PMV 1+λ•PMV (2) where λ is the adaptive coefficient, which is calculated using the least square method and following the methods defined by Yao et al. [27], using Eq. (3): λ=∑ n i=1(1 PMVi−1 TSVi) n(3) where n is the total number of data collected. 2.3. Adaptive thermal comfort models The adaptive comfort models implemented in ASHRAE-55:2020 and EN 16798–1:2019 are alternatives to the heat balance methods for the assessment of indoor thermal conditions in NV buildings. These models are based on the relationship between the thermal sensation and the indoor temperature and the running mean temperature (T rm ). The T rm is determined based on Eq. (4): Trm =(Ted−1+0.8Ted−2+0.6Ted−3+0.5Ted−4+0.4Ted−5+0.3Ted−6+0.2Ted−7) 3.8(4) where Ted−j is the average daily outdoor air temperature of the previous j-th day. As observed in Eq. (4), as time progresses, Ted−j become less significant. In addition, comfort temperature was also estimated based on the Griffiths method, according to Eq. (5): Tcomf =Tair (0−TSV) G(5) where Tcomf is the comfort temperature (◦C), Tair is the indoor air temperature (◦C) and G is the Griffiths constant. In this study, G has been assumed to be 0.50 in the analysis, since this value was widely used in thermal comfort field studies [9,50–52]. The model defined in ASHRAE 55:2020 was used to assess the indoor thermal environment. The acceptance range in the adaptive model is established based on the PMV model. According to this standard, a predicted percentage of dissatisfaction of 20 % corresponds to a PMV range between −0.85 and 0.85. A predicted percentage of dissatisfaction of 10 % corresponds to a range of −0.5 <PMV <0.5. According to ASHRAE 55, the upper and lower limits of 80 % and 90 % acceptance ranges are calculated using the equations shown in Table 4. EN 16798–1:2020 also implements the adaptive thermal comfort model. However, this standard defines different categories (I, II and III), according to the indoor temperature and the T rm . The upper and lower limits which define each category are shown in Table 5. Additionally, comfort ranges and an adaptive thermal comfort model were also proposed in this study, based on the data collected. 2.4. Supervised learning algorithms and model development process Both ANN and RF are machine learning algorithms widely used in different areas. Regarding the ANN algorithm, the basic structural architecture includes the sequence of an input layer, a hidden layer and an output layer. Although the structure of a neural network may comprise more than one hidden layer, ANN theory states that any complex nonlinear function can be approximated by a Table 3 Expectancy factor according to the climate zone [26]. Climate zone Expectancy factor Temperate zone 0.7 Hot summer - warm winter zone 0.7 Hot summer – cold winter zone 0.8 Cold zone 0.8 Severe cold zone 0.9 M.L. de la Hoz-Torres et al. Journal of Building Engineering 84 (2024) 108677 7 three-layer neural network [53] in the first instance. In this study, an ANN model based on a single hidden layer was selected to generate the TSV model. Regarding the ANN hyperparameters, the Levenberg-Marquardt back propagation algorithm and the Sigmoid activation function was used to train the ANN model. Equation (6) was used to determine the optimal number of neurons in the hidden layers [54–56]. Nh=2•Ni+1(6) where Ni is the number of neurons in the input layer and Nh is the number of neurons in the hidden layer. In addition, since previous studies pointed out that ANN with one hidden layer can approximate the most nonlinear function with finite discontinuities at high accuracy when the number of neurons is high enough [57], this structure was selected in this study. The RF algorithm is also a popular machine learning technique because of its interpretability and ease of use [58]. It is a nonparametric statistical method which was introduced by Breiman [59] and operates by building a multitude of decision trees. It is implemented to solve regression and classification problems and has been widely applied to a wide range of prediction problems. In this study, the RF hyperparameters were tuned to optimise the performance of the proposed model. The number of trees and the maximum depth of trees was 100 and 12, respectively. The bootstrap method was used for random feature selection. The variable importance and error are determined using the out-of-bag data (i.e., the omitted values from each bootstrap sample) [59]. Both algorithms were used to developed TSV models. As mentioned in Section 1, thermal perception is influenced by different factors, so the same factors used as input in the PMV have been used as input to develop the models. These parameters are the indoor air temperature (T in-air ), indoor radiant temperature (T in-rad ), indoor relative humidity (RH in ), indoor air velocity (V in ), and the clothing insulation of each participant. The output parameter of the models is the TSV prediction. The input data were normalised within a uniform range to prevent both, premature saturation of hidden neurons and larger numbers from overriding smaller numbers [60]. Since some variables can be very large numbers (e.g., RH ranged from 14.0 to 94.0 %) compared to others with very small values (e.g., clothing insulation ranged from 0.18 to 1.18 clo), this process guarantees the comparability of the data. If data without normalisation were used to feed the proposed models, they would be wrongly trained because its weights could not represent the input and output relations. The weights changed, based on the ‘height’ of the derivation of the neuron activation functions and, for the case of very large or very small input values of logistic functions, it behaves in the same way: constantly equal to zero [60,61]. Eq. (7) shows the used normalised method. Z=x−min (x) max(X) − min (x)(7) where Z is the normalised data (ranging from 0 to 1), x is the actual parameter value, X is the set of x, max(X)is the maximum value of X and min (X)is the minimum value of X. Regarding the output variable, the 7-point TSV collected during the survey campaign was used. A continuous TSV output was selected to build the models. Regarding the training and validation of the models, the data set values were segmented (80 % training and 20 % testing) and used to formulate models for predicting the TSV. 2.5. Methods for evaluating the prediction accuracy For the evaluation of the performance of each model, the actual TSV values from the questionnaire were compared with the predicted TSV values of each model. For this purpose, the mean absolute error (MAE) and the mean square error (MSE) were used. Eq. (8) and Eq. (9) were used to estimate the MSE and MAE, respectively. Table 4 Upper and lower limits defined in the ASHRAE-55 adaptive thermal comfort model. Category Limit Equation Comfort Comfort equation ΘO=0.31 trm +17.8 90 % Upper limit ΘO=0.31 trm +20.3 Lower limit ΘO=0.31 trm +15.3 80 % Upper limit ΘO=0.31 trm +21.3 Lower limit ΘO=0.31 trm +14.3 Table 5 Upper and lower limits defined in EN 16798–1:2020 for each category. Category Limit Equation Comfort Comfort equation ΘO=0.33 trm +18.8 I Upper limit ΘO=0.33 trm +18.8+2 Lower limit ΘO=0.33 trm +18.8−3 II Upper limit ΘO=0.33 trm +18.8+3 Lower limit ΘO=0.33 trm +18.8−4 III Upper limit ΘO=0.33 trm +18.8+4 Lower limit ΘO=0.33 trm +18.8−5 M.L. de la Hoz-Torres et al. Journal of Building Engineering 84 (2024) 108677 8 MSE =1 N∑ n 1 (Oi−Pi)2(8) MAE =1 N∑ n 1 |Oi−Pi|(9) where N is the number of data, Oi is the observed TSV value and Pi is the predicted TSV. 3. Results and discussion After the initial checking of the surveys, a total of 2115 questionnaire responses (1267 from male students and 848 from female students) were collected from the field measurement campaign and used in this study. A statistical summary of the students’ characteristics is shown in Table 6. 86 % of respondents were aged between 18 and 25. This rate is similar to the values published by the University of Granada in the statistics report for the academic year 2021 (85.6 %) [62]. 3.1. Analysis of the environmental data obtained from the field campaign A summary of the obtained values from the measured environmental parameters are shown in Tables 7 and 8. The outdoor variables showed a wider range of values than the indoor variables. The mean value for outdoor temperature (T out ), T rm , outdoor temperature measured at 6 a.m. (T 6am ) were 14.5 ◦C, 13.8 ◦C, and 8.4 ◦C, respectively. While the outdoor relative humidity (RH out ) and outdoor air velocity (V out ) were 56.7 % and 4.0 m/s. In contrast, the mean value for indoor air temperature (T in-air ), indoor radiant temperature (T in-air ), operative temperature (T op ) was 20.8 ◦C, 21.1 ◦C and 21.0 ◦C, respectively. The indoor relative humidity (RH in ) and indoor air velocity (V in ) were 38.8 % and 0.013 m/s. Among the measured outdoor parameters, the greatest deviation was found in RH and air temperature, with 19.4 % and 7.5 ◦C, while among the measured indoor parameters was found in RH and air temperature, with 7.2 % and 4.1 ◦C, respectively. Table A1 in Appendix A shows a summary of the outdoor and indoor environmental parameters recorded during the field measurement campaign by season. During the coldest season (winter) a mean outdoor temperature value of 9.8 ◦C (±4.5 ◦C) was observed, with RH values between 40.8 and 91.0 % (the mean value was 63.9 % ±17.1 %). While the mean operative temperature was 17.8 ◦C (±2.1 ◦C), with an average minimum temperature value of 14.6 ◦C and the indoor RH ranged between 32.5 and 47.8 % (39.0 ±4.4 %). In contrast, during the warmest season (summer), a mean outdoor temperature value of 23.1 (±4.8 ◦C) was observed, with a maximum average value of 33.0 ◦C, while the RH ranged between 21.3 and 58.0 %. The average operative temperature value was 26.1 ◦C (±2.1 ◦C), with an average maximum temperature value of 29.2 ◦C. The indoor RH ranged from 23.5 to 46.0 %. 3.2. Analysis of the subjective thermal evaluations obtained from the questionnaire survey Fig. 5a shows the TSV relative frequency for binned data at 2 ◦C intervals. As shown in this bar graph, 86 % and 85 % of the students voted ‘slightly warm’, ‘neutral’ or ‘slightly cool’ (i.e., −1 ≤TSV ≤ +1) at the ranges 22–24 ◦C and 24–26 ◦C, respectively. This percentage is reduced to less than 75 % at temperatures below 22 ◦C. In fact, at temperatures below 18 ◦C, more than 50 % of the students voted that the thermal environment was ‘cool’ or ‘cold’ (TSV <−1). In contrast, the percentage of students who voted that the indoor environment was ‘warm’ or ‘hot’ (TSV >+1) when the operative temperature was 26–28 ◦C was 20 %, increasing to over 50 % when the temperature exceeded 28 ◦C. Regarding thermal satisfaction, Fig. 5b shows the TSaVs reported by the students. The lowest percentage of dissatisfaction was obtained when the operative temperature was 24–26 ◦C, increasing to 28 % in the temperature ranges of 22–24 ◦C and 26–28 ◦C. Dissatisfaction percentages above 50 % were found for temperatures outside these ranges (Top <22 ◦C and Top >28 ◦C). The relationship between the outdoor and indoor thermal environment and the subjective responses obtained from the questionnaire survey was also explored. The Spearman test was carried out to identify significant correlations. Table 9 shows the results obtained. Significantly strong correlations (i.e., ρ <−0.5 or ρ >+0.5) are marked in bold. A strong correlation ( ρ =0.568) was found between TSaV and TSV. Regarding the students’ clothing insulation, a negative correlation was found between this variable and the TSV ( ρ =-0.523), as well as with the indoor temperatures (T in-air , T in-ra and T op ) and outdoor temperatures (T out , T 6am and T rm ). Significant correlations were also found between TSV and indoor and outdoor temperatures, but they were positive in this case. As for correlations between indoor environmental variables, only positive correlations were found between the temperatures (T in-air , T in-ra and T op ). In addition, negative correlations were found between indoor temperatures and RH out and positive ones with the outdoor temperatures T 6am and T out . Among the outdoor environmental variables, significant positive correlations were found between temperatures (T out , T rm and T 6am ), but only a strong negative correlation between T out and RH out ( ρ = − 0.836). Table 6 Participants’ characteristics. Number of respondents, N (%) Gender Male 1267 (59 %) Female 848 (41 %) Age 18–24 1822 (86 %) 25–30 247 (12 %) +30 46 (2 %) M.L. de la Hoz-Torres et al. Journal of Building Engineering 84 (2024) 108677 9 The clothing insulation variations with T op are shown in Fig. 6a. In addition, the relationship between clothing insulation and T 6am is shown in Fig. 7b, since ASHRAE 55 proposed a clothing insulation prediction model based on this environmental parameter. To easily discriminate data trends, the average values of clothing insulation are also plotted against each of these environmental variables in Figs. 6b and 7b, respectively. As mentioned before, a negative correlation is confirmed between clothing insulation and both, T op and T 6am . Figs. 6 and 7 show that occupants adjusted their clothing patterns: they wear lighter clothing when the thermal conditions become warmer. The adaptive effect of changes of clothing on T op and T 6am evidenced the capacity of adaption of the occupants to the thermal environment. The regressions shown in Fig. 6b and 7b provide high R 2 values (0.65 and 0.64, respectively). The relationship between operative temperature and the level of clothing insulation in Mediterranean university classrooms has also been explored in previous studies. The studies conducted by Lamberti et al. [15] and Torriani et al. [63] found similar results to those obtained in this study (both studies reported R 2 values of 0.34 for the regression between the two variables). 3.3. Neutral temperature and comfort range evaluation The responses obtained were analysed and compared with the indoor operative temperature, to identify when the indoor thermal environment was neutral (i.e., respondents did not feel cold or hot, TSV =0). Fig. 8a and b shows the linear regression of TSV and mean TSV against indoor operative temperature, respectively. The slope of the linear regression determines the sensitivity of occupants to indoor temperature. In this study, the obtained neutral temperature was 23.0 ◦C. The comfort temperature (Fig. 9) was also calculated, based on the Griffith method, and a value of 22.1 ±2.91 ◦C was obtained. As can be seen, the values of the neutral temperature and the Griffith temperature are close (only with a difference of 0.9 ◦C). Previous studies in classrooms in the Mediterranean region have also explored neutral temperature based on questionnaire surveys. Aparicio et al. [64] found that, in primary schools, a neutral temperature was observed at average indoor temperatures of 24–27 ◦C. Aguilar et al. [65] conducted a field study during the cold season and found that neutral temperature was 23.8 ◦C. Lamberti et al. [15] conducted a field study in NV university classrooms in Italy (Mediterranean climate) and France (Continental climate) and found the neutral temperature to be 23.6 ◦C in Italy and 20.5 ◦C in France. Torriani et al. [63] compared thermal comfort at various school stages Table 7 Summary of the measured outdoor environmental parameters. Parameter T out (◦C) T rm (◦C) T 6am (◦C) RH out (%) V out (m/s) Mean 14.5 13.8 8.4 56.7 4.0 Standard Deviation 7.5 6.9 6.1 19.4 4.7 Minimum 0.0 5.16 0.0 14.0 0.0 Maximum 36.5 28.2 25.6 94.0 23.0 Table 8 Summary of the measured indoor environmental parameters. Parameter T in-air (◦C) T in-rad (◦C) T op (◦C) RH in (%) V in (m/s) Mean 20.8 21.1 21.0 38.8 0.013 Standard Deviation 4.1 4.0 4,0 7.2 0.04 Minimum 14.1 14.7 14,5 19.6 <0.01 Maximum 29.2 29.6 29.3 54.0 0.22 Fig. 5. a) Distribution of TSV at different indoor temperatures. b) Distribution of thermal satisfaction vote at different indoor temperatures. * indicates that the percentage is less than 10 %. M.L. de la Hoz-Torres et al. Journal of Building Engineering 84 (2024) 108677 16 restrictive than the same limit of ASHARE 55. On the contrary, under warm outdoor environmental conditions, the lower limit of the 90 % comfort band is more restrictive than the ASHRAE 55 90 % lower limit comfort band. Consequently, the comfort band obtained in this study is narrower and the obtained limits have a steeper slope, evidencing a quicker adaptation of students to the environmental conditions. In terms of the 80 % comfort band, similar differences can be observed. Under cold environmental conditions, the lower limit of the proposed adaptive model is lower than the lower 80 % limit defined in ASHRAE 55, while the opposite case can be found for the upper 80 % limit when environmental conditions are warmer. The results obtained from the proposed model indicate that, when outdoor environmental conditions are warm (T rm >23.4 ◦C), even if the indoor temperature is warmer than that indicated by the ASHRAE-55 adaptive model, the percentage of dissatisfied Table 14 Band limit obtained for the proposed adaptive thermal comfort model. Category Limit Equation Central Comfort T c =0.384 T rm +16.252 90 % Upper band T c =0.384 T rm +18.212 Lower band T c =0.384 T rm +14.292 80 % Upper limit T c =0.384 T rm +19.572 Lower limit T c =0.384 T rm +12.932 *T c stands for comfort temperature and T rm stands for running mean temperature. Fig. 13. Linear regression of comfort temperature with running mean temperature. Fig. 14. a) Comparison of comfort bands obtained in this study and EN-16798 thermal acceptability limits. b) Comparison of comfort bands obtained in this study and those defined in ASHRAE-55. M.L. de la Hoz-Torres et al. Journal of Building Engineering 84 (2024) 108677 17 occupants will not exceed 20 %. Similarly, under cold outdoor environmental conditions (T rm <18.5 ◦C), the percentage of dissatisfied occupants will not exceed 20 %, even if temperatures are lower than those suggested by the ASHRAE adaptive thermal comfort model. Moreover, a comparison with existing studies has shown that few studies have focused on the development of adaptive thermal comfort models in Mediterranean university buildings. In this context, Lamberti et al. [15] explored the adaptation of Italian university classroom occupants during winter and the relationship found between neutral temperature and T rm is shown in (Eq. (10)). y=0.25 x+19.63 (10) This relationship (Eq. (10)) shows a lower slope than that found in this study (Table 14). Nevertheless, among the limitations point out by Lamberti et al. [15] is the narrow range of T rm collected in their study because it was only conducted during the winter season. This issue influences their findings. The thermal acceptability ranges of the adaptive thermal comfort models vary from one climate region to another and depend on the type of educational building (primary, secondary and university) [72]. In fact, Singh et al. [72] highlighted that university students have a greater degree of freedom to take adaptive actions. Therefore, the development of studies in different climatic zones is essential to generate reliable adaptive models, especially in the Mediterranean region where very few studies address this issue. Furthermore, in Spain, the current version of the RITE standard does not consider the adaptive thermal comfort model approach and does not differentiate between operating modes (NV, AC or MM) and types of buildings (residential, educational, etc.) Although the widely used EN 16798 and ASHRAE-55 standards include this approach, the adaptive capacity suggested in the models of both standards is lower than that found in this study. In this context, these findings are especially relevant for the management and maintenance of educational buildings. As mentioned in Section 1, the cooling/heating energy demand required to ensure a comfortable indoor environment accounts for a high percentage of the building’s energy consumption. Adapting the set point temperatures, based on the application of the proposed model, could reduce the heating and cooling energy demand in the cold season and warm season, respectively. More studies are needed where the research approach used in this study is applied to generate models that take into account the particular local conditions of each space. Finally, it should be noted that the field measurements were conducted during normal operation of the classrooms and students were free to adapt (they could choose their seat and open/close windows and doors). This study aims to analyse to proposed thermal comfort models, based on machine learning algorithms and the adaptative approach, which can be used as a reliable tool to assess indoor thermal conditions and maximize the number of comfortable occupants in higher educational buildings. Nevertheless, since individual factor (such as physical, psychological and behavioural) can influence the thermal experience of the students, future studies are needed to include these factors in the design of individual thermal comfort models based on machine learning. 4. Conclusions In this study, the indoor environmental conditions of NV classrooms in Southern Spain were investigated. A field measurement campaign, which included environmental measurements conducted simultaneously with a questionnaire survey, was carried out during the academic year 2021/2022 (September to June). The following conclusions can be drawn from the results obtained. - The field measurements revealed that, when indoor operative temperature was 24–26 ◦C, more than 80 % of the students rated indoor environment as ‘slightly cool’, ‘neutral’ or ‘slightly warm’ and less than 20 % of students were dissatisfied. The minimum 90 % and 80 % acceptability criterion were used to define the thermally acceptable zones. The neutral temperature obtained in this study was 23.0 ◦C and the comfort temperature ranges, determined assuming thermal comfort ratings of 90 % and 80 %, were 21.0–24.9 ◦C and 19.7–26.3 ◦C, respectively. The 80 % acceptability range obtained in this study is considerably wider than the indoor temperature range required in building design by the Spanish RITE standard. This fact shows the limitations of the Spanish regulation, which does not consider the adaptive behaviour of occupants in NV buildings and does not differentiate between the different mode of operation (NV, AC or MM) and the different uses of buildings (residential, educational, offices, etc.). - In terms thermal comfort, ML-based models provided higher accuracy than traditional statics methods (PMV, ePMV and aPMV).The comparison of the deviations of the thermal acceptability ranges evidenced that the traditional methods, in general, do not provide thermal acceptability limits close to those obtained from the actual TSVs. Comparison of these results with those obtained by applying the developed ANN model and RF model shows that the latter outperform the PMV, ePMV and aPMV. The proposed ML model can contribute to the knowledge of thermal conditions in NV higher educational buildings. - The proposed adaptive thermal comfort model and the obtained comfort temperature equation provide lower temperature values than the adaptive comfort model defined in the EN-16798 Standard. These results suggest that students preferred an environment with lower temperatures than those suggested by the EN-16798 adaptive model. In addition, the slope of the thermal comfort equation obtained in this study is steeper than that in the ASHRAE-55 adaptive comfort model. This fact evidences a greater adaptive capacity of students to changes in environmental conditions than what is suggested by the ASHRAE-55 adaptive comfort model. As a result, the proposed adaptive comfort model shows that, under warm thermal conditions, the upper 80 % thermal limit is higher; while under cooler conditions, the lower 80 % thermal comfort limit is lower. In summary, this research provides new information about the applicability of the static thermal comfort model in NV classrooms and compared their performance with newly proposed models, based on machine learning algorithms. From the obtained results and discussion, it can be concluded that the development of an ANN-model and RF-model to predict the TSV evaluation is a relevant tool to analyse indoor environmental conditions and assess their potential impact on the occupants of higher educational buildings. In addition, the developed adaptive thermal comfort model showed that: under warm environmental conditions (T rm >23.4 ◦C), 80 % of M.L. de la Hoz-Torres et al. Journal of Building Engineering 84 (2024) 108677 18 the occupants would still be thermally comfortable at temperatures above those suggested by the 80 % upper band limit defined in ASHRAE-55; for cold environmental conditions (T rm <18.5 ◦C) 80 % of occupants would still be thermally comfortable at temperatures below those suggested by the 80 % lower band limit defined in ASHRAE 55. The thermal requirements established in the Spanish regulations for the design of higher education buildings do not consider the adaptive approach and set more restrictive limits than those found in the proposed model. In this context, the application of the developed adaptive thermal comfort model in those temperature ranges would contribute to reduce the heating and cooling energy demand during the cold and warm season and, consequently, its application can contribute to making buildings more resilient, reducing energy consumption at the same time as ensuring suitable indoor environmental conditions. Funding information This publication is part of the I +D +i project PID2019-108761RB-I00, funded by MCIN/AEI/10.13039/501100011033. Antonio J. Aguilar wishes to acknowledge the support of the University of Granada under a post-doctoral research contract. María Luisa de la Hoz-Torres wishes to acknowledge the support of the Ministerio de Ciencia, Innovaci´ on y Universidades of Spain under a Margarita Salas post-doctoral contract funded by the European Union-NextGenerationEU. Funding for open access charge: Universidad de Granada / CBUA. CRediT authorship contribution statement María Luisa de la Hoz-Torres: Writing – original draft, Methodology, Investigation, Formal analysis, Data curation, Conceptualization. Antonio J. Aguilar: Writing – original draft, Methodology, Investigation, Formal analysis, Data curation, Conceptualization. Diego P. Ruiz: Writing – review & editing, Resources, Project administration, Funding acquisition, Conceptualization. Mª Dolores Martínez-Aires: Writing – review & editing, Resources, Project administration, Funding acquisition, Conceptualization. Declaration of competing interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper. Data availability The authors do not have permission to share data. APPENDIX A Table A1 Summary of the measured outdoor-indoor environmental parameters during measured campaign by season. Season Parameter Mean SD Min. Max. Autumn Outdoor T out (◦C) 11,70 6,30 2,10 30,30 RH out (%) 59,90 19,30 16,00 94,00 V out (m/s) 4,61 5,02 0,00 23,00 Indoor T op (◦C) 19,9 3,4 14,5 28,30 RH in (%) 38,4 6,7 19,6 50,10 V in (m/s) 0,04 0,04 0,00 0,19 Winter Outdoor T out (◦C) 9,80 4,50 0,00 15,00 RH out (%) 63,90 17,10 40,80 91,00 V out (m/s) 2,61 4,10 0,00 20,36 Indoor T op (◦C) 17,80 2,10 14,60 22,20 RH in (%) 39,00 4,40 32,50 47,80 V in (m/s) 0,01 0,02 0,00 0,08 Spring Outdoor T out (◦C) 19,50 6,50 9,00 36,50 RH out (%) 52,50 19,30 14,00 93,50 V out (m/s) 2,56 3,07 0,00 15,10 Indoor T op (◦C) 23,10 3,50 18,30 29,30 RH in (%) 41,40 8,80 21,30 54,00 V in (m/s) 0,04 0,03 0,01 0,11 Summer Outdoor T out (◦C) 23,10 4,80 18,30 33,00 RH out (%) 41,30 11,90 21,30 58,00 V out (m/s) 6,35 5,38 1,00 23,00 Indoor T op (◦C) 26,10 2,10 22,90 29,20 RH in (%) 35,00 7,60 23,50 46,00 V in (m/s) 0,08 0,07 0,01 0,22 M.L. de la Hoz-Torres et al. 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