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Data Field-Based K-Means Clustering for Spatio-Temporal Seismicity Analysis and Hazard Assessment

Shang, Xueyi; Li, Xibing; Morales Esteban, Antonio; Asencio Cortés, G.; Wang, Zewei

Abstract

Microseismic sensing taking advantage of sensors can remotely monitor seismic activities and evaluate seismic hazard. Compared with experts’ seismic event clusters, clustering algorithms are more objective, and they can handle many seismic events. Many methods have been proposed for seismic event clustering and the K-means clustering technique has become the most famous one. However, K-means can be affected by noise events (large location error events) and initial cluster centers. In this paper, a data field-based K-means clustering methodology is proposed for seismicity analysis. The application of synthetic data and real seismic data have shown its effectiveness in removing noise events as well as finding good initial cluster centers. Furthermore, we introduced the time parameter into the K-means clustering process and applied it to seismic events obtained from the Chinese Yongshaba mine. The results show that the time-event location distance and data field-based K-means clustering can divide seismic events by both space and time, which provides a new insight for seismicity analysis compared with event location distance and data field-based K-means clustering. The Krzanowski-Lai (KL) index obtains a maximum value when the number of clusters is five: the energy index (EI) shows that clusters C1, C3 and C5 have very critical periods. In conclusion, the time-event location distance, and the data field-based K-means clustering can provide an effective methodology for seismicity analysis and hazard assessment. In addition, further study can be done by considering time-event location-magnitude distances.

Full text

emo e sensing A icle Da a Field-Based K-Means Clus e ing o Spa io-Tempo al Seismici y Analysis and Haza d Assessmen Xueyi Shang 1, Xibing Li 1,*, An onio Mo ales-Es eban 2, Gualbe o Asencio-Co és3ID and Zewei Wang 4 1School o Resou ces and Sa e y Enginee ing, Cen al Sou h Uni e si y, Changsha 410083, China; [email p o ec ed] 2 Depa men o Building S uc u es and Geo echnical Enginee ing, Uni e si y o Se ille, 41004 Se illa, Spain; [email p o ec ed] 3Depa men o Compu e Science, Pablo de Ola ide Uni e si y o Se ille, 41013 Se illa, Spain; [email p o ec ed] 4School o Ea hquake Sciences and Enginee ing, Sysu, Sun Ya -Sen Uni e si y, Guangzhou 510275, China; wangzw[email p o ec ed] *Co espondence: [email p o ec ed]; Tel.: +61-041-129-4835 Recei ed: 22 Janua y 2018; Accep ed: 14 Ma ch 2018; Published: 15 Ma ch 2018 Abs ac : Mic oseismic sensing aking ad an age o senso s can emo ely moni o seismic ac i i ies and e alua e seismic haza d. Compa ed wi h expe s’ seismic e en clus e s, clus e ing algo i hms a e mo e objec i e, and hey can handle many seismic e en s. Many me hods ha e been p oposed o seismic e en clus e ing and he K-means clus e ing echnique has become he mos amous one. Howe e , K-means can be a ec ed by noise e en s (la ge loca ion e o e en s) and ini ial clus e cen e s. In his pape , a da a ield-based K-means clus e ing me hodology is p oposed o seismici y analysis. The applica ion o syn he ic da a and eal seismic da a ha e shown i s e ec i eness in emo ing noise e en s as well as inding good ini ial clus e cen e s. Fu he mo e, we in oduced he ime pa ame e in o he K-means clus e ing p ocess and applied i o seismic e en s ob ained om he Chinese Yongshaba mine. The esul s show ha he ime-e en loca ion dis ance and da a ield-based K-means clus e ing can di ide seismic e en s by bo h space and ime, which p o ides a new insigh o seismici y analysis compa ed wi h e en loca ion dis ance and da a ield-based K-means clus e ing. The K zanowski-Lai (KL) index ob ains a maximum alue when he numbe o clus e s is i e: he ene gy index (EI) shows ha clus e s C1, C3 and C5 ha e e y c i ical pe iods. In conclusion, he ime-e en loca ion dis ance, and he da a ield-based K-means clus e ing can p o ide an e ec i e me hodology o seismici y analysis and haza d assessmen . In addi ion, u he s udy can be done by conside ing ime-e en loca ion-magni ude dis ances. Keywo ds: seismici y analysis; haza d assessmen ; spa io- empo al analysis; da a ield; K-means clus e ; ime-e en loca ion dis ance 1. In oduc ion Seismic e en clus e ing p o ides an e ec i e way o unde s and he unde lying in o ma ion (such as geological s uc u e in e p e a ion and seismic haza d assessmen ; a de ailed use o seismic e en clus e s is shown in Sec ion 2) o mic oseismic e en s [ 1 , 2 ]. This ask can be conduc ed by expe s, ollowing a wo-s ep clus e ing p ocess: selec ing he ime pe iod conce ned and di iding seismic e en s in o clus e s isually by e en loca ions. Howe e , expe s’ clus e s a e subjec i e, non-quan i a i e and ha e ouble handling a la ge numbe o seismic e en s [ 3 ]. Mo i a ed by his, a ious clus e ing algo i hms ha e been p oposed o seismici y analysis (e.g., K-means clus e , Remo e Sens. 2018,10, 461; doi:10.3390/ s10030461 www.mdpi.com/jou nal/ emo esensing Remo e Sens. 2018,10, 461 2 o 22 hie a chical clus e ing, and sel -o ganizing map (SOM)), among which K-means clus e ing echnique is he mos well-known one. Ye , K-means canno emo e noise e en s (which ha e ela i ely la ge e en loca ion e o s) and i uses andom ini ial clus e cen e s (which ha e a la ge in luence on clus e esul s). In addi ion, no K-means clus e ing-based me hodologies p e iously applied o his p oblem ha e conside ed ime pa ame e s. In ac , seismic e en s a e no only ela ed o he e en loca ion bu also o he e en ime [1]. In his wo k, a da a ield-based K-means clus e ing me hodology has been p oposed o spa io- empo al seismici y analysis. This me hod uses a da a ield-based h eshold alue o emo e noises and a new dis ance-based me hod o selec good ini ial clus e cen e s o K-means. Fu he mo e, we in oduced he ime-e en loca ion dis ance in o he K-means clus e ing p ocess, which p o ides a spa io- empo al insigh in o he seismici y analysis. The eal seismic da a applica ion shows i s e ec i eness in seismic haza d assessmen . In addi ion, we compa ed i s pe o mance wi h classical K-means clus e , hie a chical clus e ing and SOM clus e ing. The es o his pape is o ganized as ollows. In Sec ion 2, ela ed wo ks abou seismic e en clus e ing a e in oduced. Then, in Sec ion 3, he da a ield heo y is b ie ly illus a ed, and he da a ield-based algo i hm is p oposed o be e selec K-means ini ial clus e cen e s. In Sec ion 4, he p oposed da a ield-based K-means clus e ing was applied o 1210 mic oseismic e en s ob ained om he Chinese Yongshaba mine and he ene gy index (EI) is selec ed o assess seismic haza d o he clus e ing zones. The applica ion de ail e ec and compa isons wi h classical K-means clus e , hie a chical clus e ing and SOM clus e ing a e discussed in Sec ion 5. Finally, b ie conclusions o he wo k and u u e wo k a e shown in Sec ion 6. 2. Rela ed Wo ks Seismic e en clus e ing using clus e ing algo i hms has been s udied since he 1990s, and he K-means clus e ing algo i hm has become he mos amous one. K-means is a ha d-pa i ioning algo i hm p oposed by Ha igan and Wong [ 4 ]. I s a s wi h K andomly selec ed ini ial clus e cen e s and uses an i e a i e p ocess un il no da a poin changes he clus e assigna ions. Bu on e al. [ 5 ] and Wea he ill and Bu on [ 6 , 7 ] p oposed a line-sou ce K-means clus e ing echnique o be e iden i y ini ial clus e cen e s and hey applied i o cap u e he seismic spa ial a ia ion, in e p e he aul ype and analyze he p obabilis ic seismic haza d in he Ja a island and he Aegean egion. Ramdani e al. [ 8 ] ook ad an age o he inal K-Means clus e cen e s o ind subduc ion e idence benea h he Gib al a A c and he Andean egions. Rehman e al. [ 9 ] u ilizes he K-means algo i hm o iden i y he ea hquake spa ial di e ences and es ima e seismic haza d and isk in Pakis an. Mo ales-Es eban e al. [ 10 ] p oposed an e icien adap i e Mahalanobis-based K-means algo i hm and his has been applied o s udy he seismic ca alogues o C oa ia and he Ibe ian Peninsula. Shang e al. [ 11 ] p oposed a K zanowski–Lai and Silhoue e combined index o selec he op imum numbe o clus e s o K-means and hey in e p e ed he geological s uc u e in he Chinese Yongshaba mine. The K-means clus e is use ul o a la ge da ase clus e , and some s udies ha e been done o educe he e ec o ini ial clus e cen e s. Ne e heless, he abo e-men ioned me hods ha e no conside ed he ime pa ame e and he e ec o noise e en s. Hie a chical clus e ing is also widely used in seismici y pa i ioning. I is based on he co e idea ha an e en is mo e ela ed o a nea one han o a a e en , and i connec s e en s in o clus e s based on a p ese dis ance. Hie a chical clus e ing does no need o se a clus e numbe (jus selec a p ese dis ance) and i can clus e e en s in o di e en shapes. Wa dlaw e al. [ 12 ], F ohlich and Da is [ 13 ], Da is and F ohlich [ 14 ], Hudyma and Po in [ 15 ], and Hashemi and Mehdizadeh [ 16 ] used hie a chical clus e ing (single-link analysis) o s udy ea hquake ca alogues and seismic ac i i ies. No wi hs anding, hie a chical clus e ing has a endency o o m seismic e en s in o linea g oups [ 13 ] and he e may be many clus e s ha jus ha e ew e en s (see he discussion). Ano he commonly used seismic e en clus e me hod is he SOM [ 17 ]. The SOM con e s high dimension inpu space in o a low-dimension ( ypically wo-dimensional), which has a e y good isualizing image. Zamani and Hashemi [ 3 ] compa ed hie a chical clus e ing (Wa d’s me hod) and Remo e Sens. 2018,10, 461 3 o 22 SOM clus e ing wi h an applica ion o seismic zoning in I an. Mo eo e , Zamani e al. [ 18 ] applied he SOM o clus e ing ec onic zoning in I an. The same me hod was es ed in Zamani e al. [ 19 ], in which Wilk’s Lambda c i e ion was used o selec an op imum numbe o clus e s. Moja ab e al. [ 20 ] discussed he e ec o SOM inpu pa ame e s and p oposed a combined model o selec a clus e numbe o I an seismici y analysis. Besheli e al. [ 21 ] pe o med a K-means clus e ing along wi h a SOM on an I anian o eshock da abase and hey ound a o eshock zone which has a e y close ela ion wi h la ge ea hquakes. None heless, esea ch esul s [ 11 , 22 ] ha e shown ha he SOM clus e ing may only be alid o high seismic ac i i y a eas, while o low seismic ac i i y zones i may ha e bad clus e esul s. Fu he mo e, he SOM clus e ing may ha e discon inuous zones, which makes i ha d o in e p e clus e esul s [11,22]. Some o he clus e me hods a e p oposed o seismici y analysis. Ansa i e al. [ 23 ], Beni ez e al. [ 24 ] and Monem and Hashemy [ 25 ] used uzzy clus e s, including Ga h-Ge a clus e ing, p oposed Ga h-Ge a clus e ing, uzzy c-means clus e ing and Gus a son-Kessel (GK) clus e ing, o s udy seismic spa ial pa e n ecogni ion in I an, sou h-wes Colombia and he Ghaz in canal i iga ion ne wo k. The uzzy clus e s can be used o a la ge da ase clus e ; howe e , i s clus e esul is sensi i e o he ini ial clus e cen e s. Mukhopadhyay e al. [ 26 ] used a poin densi y clus e ing o gain insigh in o subduc ion kinema ics and seismic po en iali y. Geo goulas e al. [ 1 ] modi ied a densi y-based clus e ing (DBC) algo i hm and hen used a hie a chical agglome a i e scheme o seismic clus e ing. Nanda and Panda [ 27 ] p oposed wo DBC algo i hms and compa ed hem wi h he DBSCAN (densi y-based spa ial clus e ing o applica ions wi h noise). DBC can emo e noise e en s, ye when he densi y a ies much, i usually ob ains bad clus e esul s. Ma ínez-Ál a ez e al. [ 22 ] used a T iGen-based clus e ing algo i hm [ 28 , 29 ] o seismic zoning in he Ibe ian Peninsula. A compa ison o using di e en seismic clus e s can be ound in [11,30,31]. Only a ew o he abo e in es iga ions ha e conside ed he ime ac o . Ne e heless, he ime pa ame e can play an impo an ole in seismic e en clus e s. The commonly used clus e ing echniques conside ing a ime pa ame e a e he ime-e en loca ion and ime-e en loca ion-magni ude dis ance-based clus e s. F ohlich and Da is [ 13 ] and Da is and F ohlich [ 14 ] sugges ed equalizing he ime and space in e als using a scaling cons an and in oduced he ime-e en loca ion dis ance by lij =qdij2+ (a ij)2 , whe e d ij and ij a e he e en loca ion dis ance and ime in e al espec i ely. Then, hey used he hie a chical clus e o seismic e en clus e s. Baiesi and Paczuski [ 32 ] de ined he ime–e en loca ion-magni ude dis ance be ween e en iand jby nij =C ijlijd 10 −bmi , whe e d is he ac al dimension o epicen e s, bis he Gu enbe g–Rich e b- alue and mi is he e en magni ude. A single link me hod was used in his wo k o he seismic e en clus e . Zaliapin e al. [ 33 ] and Zaliapin and Ben-Zion [ 34 – 38 ] de ined he nij by magni ude-no malized ime componen Tij and space componen Rij ( Tij = ij 10 −qbmi and Rij =lijd 10 −pbmi , whe e q+p= 1). E en jis clus e ed o he main e en ii i sa is ies he ollowing condi ions: Tij <T0 , Rij <R0 and mj<mi . I is clea ha no ime pa ame e has been applied in K-means clus e ing. In his wo k, we jus in oduced he ime-e en loca ion dis ance in o a K-means clus e ing algo i hm. Fu he s udy can be done by using a ime-e en loca ion-magni ude dis ance. 3. P elimina y S udies and he P oposed Me hod In i s place, o p o e he limi a ions o he K-means echnique, a b ie s udy wi h syn he ic da a was pe o med in Sec ion 3.1. Nex , he da a ield heo y is in oduced in Sec ion 3.2. Then, he da a ield-based K-means clus e ing p ocedu e is p oposed in Sec ion 3.3. Finally, an applica ion es o da a ield-based K-means clus e ing is shown in Sec ion 3.4. Remo e Sens. 2018,10, 461 4 o 22 3.1. K-Means Clus e ing P elimina y S udy The classical K-means algo i hm is based on he ollowing s eps: ake a da ase o poin s ( x1 , x2 , . . . , xn ), andomly selec Kpoin s om he da a se as he ini ial clus e cen e s and alloca e each poin xi o he nea es cen e poin . Then, i calcula es he mean o each pa ame e espec i ely o each g oup o make up a se o new upda ed clus e cen e s. This p ocedu e is epea ed un il no poin s change hei clus e o he numbe o i e a ions eaches a p ese maximum. The mos widely used dis ance is he Euclidean unc ion and his was chosen o his wo k. The Euclidean dis ance be ween e en xi and xj is de ined in Equa ion (1). Then, he mean o he widely used clus e ing c i e ion-sum o Euclidean dis ance (SED) is used o e alua e he clus e pe o mance. We called his he MSED index. (The numbe o undenoised and denoised e en s is di e en , so we used he MSED ins ead o he SED o e alua e he clus e ing pe o mance). MSED is de ined in Equa ion (2), he smalle he MSED index o clus e s he be e he clus e ing esul s. dij = u u p ∑ l=1 (xi,l−xj,l)2(1) MSED =1 n K ∑ k=1 ∑ xi∈Ck u u p ∑ l=1 (xi,l−mk,l)2(2) whe e dij is he dis ance be ween e en xi and xj ,pis he dimension o he pa ame e s, C k is he k h clus e , Kis he clus e numbe , mkis he clus e cen e o Ck, and nis he numbe o clus e e en s. F om he p inciple o K-means clus e ing, we know ha he algo i hm may be a ec ed by he ini ial clus e cen e s. To p o e his issue, a syn he ic wo-dimension da ase wi h ou well-di e enced clus e s is used o es he e ec o K-means ini ial clus e cen e s (Figu e 1a). The algo i hm was es ed 15 imes by using andomly gene a ed ini ial clus e cen e s (using K= 4 o all he expe imen s) and hei MSED indexes a e shown in Figu e 1b. I is clea ha he K-means clus e ing can be hea ily a ec ed by he ini ial clus e cen e s: he MSED index a ies om 0.100 o 0.192. The K-means clus e ing esul s o six ypical MSED alues a e shown in Figu e 1c–h. I is clea ly seen ha o high MSED alues, qui e a lo o close e en s a e in di e en clus e s (Figu e 1c,h); o ela i ely high MSED alues, many close e en s a e in di e en clus e s (Figu e 1d,g); while o low MSED alues, he K-means clus e has good esul s (Figu e 1e, ). In conclusion, he lowe he MSED index, he be e he clus e ing esul . The e o e, he e is a high need o op imize he K-means ini ial clus e cen e s. Fu he mo e, he e a e some noise e en s placed in in e -clus e egions, which should be emo ed be o e clus e ing. Remo e Sens. 2018,10, 461 5 o 22 Remo e Sens. 2018, 10, x FOR PEER REVIEW 5 o 22 Figu e 1. K-means clus e ing esul s using di e en ini ial clus e cen e s o a ypical da ase . The colo ed ci cles a e he e en s and he same colo ed e en s co espond o a same clus e . (a) Da ase ; (b) MSED indexes o di e en andomly selec ed ini ial clus e cen e s (K = 4); (c–h) The clus e esul s o execu ions 2nd, 3 d, 4 h, 9 h, 11 h and 12 h o he K-means clus e ing p ocess (K = 4). Figu e 1. K-means clus e ing esul s using di e en ini ial clus e cen e s o a ypical da ase . The colo ed ci cles a e he e en s and he same colo ed e en s co espond o a same clus e . ( a ) Da ase ; ( b )MSED indexes o di e en andomly selec ed ini ial clus e cen e s (K= 4); ( c – h ) The clus e esul s o execu ions 2nd, 3 d, 4 h, 9 h, 11 h and 12 h o he K-means clus e ing p ocess (K= 4). Remo e Sens. 2018,10, 461 6 o 22 3.2. Da a Field Theo y Mo i a ed by physical ield heo y, Wang e al. [ 39 ] p oposed a da a ield heo y o desc ibe he in e ac ion among a se o e en s. The po en ial alue (scala ield s eng h) o e en xi in he global da a ield is de ined as: ϕ(xi) = n ∑ j=1 mj×K(kxi−xjk σ)(3) whe e mj is he mass o e en xj ,K(x) is he uni po en ial unc ion, kxi−xjk ep esen s he dis ance be ween e en xiand e en xj, and σis he impac ac o . The mj is se o 1, o all he j alues, and he commonly used unc ion K(β) = e−β2 is selec ed. Then, he po en ial alue in he global da a ield o e en xi can be w i en as in Equa ion (4), whe e kxi−xjkwas de ined by he Euclidean unc ion. ϕ(xi) = n ∑ j=1 e−(kxi−xjk/σ)2= n ∑ j=1 e−( p ∑ l=1 (xi,l−xj,l)2/σ2)(4) The impac ac o con ols he in e ac ed dis ance be ween e en s and i s alue can ha e a hea y impac on po en ial alues. The ela ionship be ween he in e ac ed dis ance and he po en ial alue o Equa ion (4) is shown in Figu e 2a. I is easy o see ha he longe he dis ance be ween e en s he lowe he po en ial alue o a same impac ac o , and he highe he impac ac o he la ge he po en ial alue o a same in e ac ed dis ance. In o he wo ds, o a low impac ac o , he e will be many local maximum po en ial alues; while o a la ge impac ac o , he e will be ew local maximum po en ial alues. Some esea ch [ 39 , 40 ] has used po en ial en opy o ob ain an op imum impac ac o , and he minimum po en ial en opy co esponds o he op imum impac ac o . The po en ial en opy is de ined as in [39]: H=− n ∑ i=1 ϕ(xi) Zlogϕ(xi) Z(5) whe e Z=n ∑ i=1 ϕ(xi), 0 ≤H≤log(n). The po en ial en opy using di e en impac ac o s is shown in Figu e 2b. The po en ial en opy has a minimum alue when σ= 0.028. Then, he po en ial alue is calcula ed o each e en using Equa ion (4). The con ou map o po en ial alue is shown in Figu e 2c. I is easy o see ha he po en ial alue con ou has a good ag eemen wi h he da ase densi y. Po en ial alue may p o ide a good way o clus e ing (e.g., Figu e 2c): a po en ial h eshold alue can be used o di ide he da ase in o small da ase s. No wi hs anding, o an i egula da ase , i is di icul o p oduce adequa e clus e s based on a po en ial h eshold alue (e.g., Figu es 5a and 6). The e o e, ins ead o using a po en ial alue o clus e seismic e en s, we jus applied po en ial h eshold alues o emo e noise e en s and be e selec ed K-means ini ial clus e cen e s. Remo e Sens. 2018,10, 461 7 o 22 Remo e Sens. 2018, 10, x FOR PEER REVIEW 7 o 22 Figu e 2. Da a ield applica ion (a–c) and K-means clus e ing esul s based on he da a ield (d– ); (a) Po en ial alues based on di e en impac ac o s; (b) Rela ionship be ween po en ial en opy and he impac ac o ; (c) Con ou map o po en ial alues ( 0.028 σ =); (d) The MSED indexes based on di e en po en ial h eshold alues p o ϕ , whe e Min, O1, O2, …., O7 a e he minimum, i s , second, …, and se en h oc iles o po en ial alues, espec i ely; (e) The da a ield-based K-means clus e ing esul s using undenoised da a when he po en ial h eshold alue p o ϕ is equal o he second oc ile; ( ) The da a ield-based K-means clus e ing esul s wi h 7.5% da a emo ed and p o ϕ is equal o he second oc ile. Figu e 2. Da a ield applica ion ( a – c ) and K-means clus e ing esul s based on he da a ield ( d – ); ( a ) Po en ial alues based on di e en impac ac o s; ( b ) Rela ionship be ween po en ial en opy and he impac ac o ; ( c ) Con ou map o po en ial alues ( σ= 0.028); ( d ) The MSED indexes based on di e en po en ial h eshold alues ϕpo , whe e Min, O 1 ,O 2 , . . . ., O 7 a e he minimum, i s , second, . . . , and se en h oc iles o po en ial alues, espec i ely; ( e ) The da a ield-based K-means clus e ing esul s using undenoised da a when he po en ial h eshold alue ϕpo is equal o he second oc ile; ( ) The da a ield-based K-means clus e ing esul s wi h 7.5% da a emo ed and ϕpo is equal o he second oc ile. Remo e Sens. 2018,10, 461 8 o 22 3.3. Da a Field-Based K-Means Clus e ing P ocedu e The da a ield-based K-means clus e ing akes ad an age o he e en wi h high po en ial alue being mo e likely o be an ini ial clus e cen e and ha he dis ance be ween ini ial clus e cen e s should ha e a la ge dis ance. The e is a low e en densi y a ound he noise e en s and hey ha e la ge dis ances o mos e en s, which usually implies small po en ial alues. Then, a h eshold alue ϕ h can be se o emo e noise e en s. The low diag am o he da a ield-based K-means clus e ing p ocess is shown in Figu e 3con aining he ollowing s eps: S ep 1: Inpu da ase Uda ase (xi∈Uda ase ,i= 1, 2, . . . , nda ase ,nda ase =n). S ep 2: Selec he impac ac o o he da a ield by he impac ac o -po en ial en opy cu e calcula ed by Equa ion (5) and calcula e he po en ial alue ϕ (x i ) o each e en in Uda ase using Equa ion (4). S ep 3: Remo e noise e en s and ob ain a new da ase Uda ase -noise ( xj∈Uda ase -noise ,j= 1, 2, . . . ,n da ase -noise ,n da ase -noise ≤ n): I a po en ial alue is smalle han a p ede ined h eshold alue ϕ h , hen i s co esponding e en is ma ked as a noise e en and i is o be emo ed om he da ase Uda ase . I he e a e no noise e en s, hen he e is no need o do S ep 3 o a ϕ h ha is smalle han he minimum po en ial alue can be se o do S ep 3. ϕ h = Min-0.1 is used in his pape o no denoising, whe e Min-0.1 means he minimum po en ial alue minus 0.1. S ep 4: Selec K-means ini ial clus e cen e s based on he po en ial alue and a maximum dis ance-based algo i hm. (4-1) Selec possible ini ial clus e cen e s Upo ( xk∈Upo ,k= 1, 2, . . . ,n po ,n po ≤ n) by choosing e en s which ha e po en ial alues la ge han a p ede ined h eshold alue ϕpo; (4-2) Selec K-means ini ial clus e cen e s based on a maximum dis ance-based algo i hm. The maximum dis ance-based algo i hm con ains he ollowing s eps: (4-2-1) The e en which has a maximum po en ial alue in Upo is se o he i s ini ial clus e cen e m1; (4-2-2) Calcula e he dis ances be ween m1 and each poin in Upo - m1 , and he la ges dis ance co esponding e en is se o he second ini ial clus e cen e m2; (4-2-3) Calcula e he dis ances be ween m1 , m2 and each poin in Upo - m1 - m2 , hen selec he smalles dis ance o ob ain he dis ance se Vsd . Fo example, o e en xi ( xi∈Upo - m1 - m2 ), he e a e wo dis ances ( m1 , xi ) and ( m2 , xi ), and he Min(( m1 , xi ), ( m2 , xi )) is se o Vi sd . Calcula e he smalle dis ance o each e en in Upo - m1 - m2 , hen he smalles dis ances make up he dis ance se Vsd . The poin wi h he la ges alue in Vsd co esponds o he hi d ini ial clus e cen e m3; (4-2-4) Repea S ep (4-2-3) o ob ain m4,m5, . . . , mK. S ep 5: Pe o m he K-means clus e ing o da ase Uda ase -noise using he m1 , m2 , . . . , mK as he ini ial clus e cen e s. S ep 6: Selec he op imum numbe o clus e s using he K zanowski-Lai (KL) index (see Sec ion 4.3.2) and in e p e he clus e ing esul s. Remo e Sens. 2018,10, 461 9 o 22 Remo e Sens. 2018, 10, x FOR PEER REVIEW 9 o 22 Figu e 3. The low diag am o he da a ield-based K-means clus e ing. 3.4. Applica ion Tes The ela ionship be ween he MSED index and he h eshold alue p o ϕ o da a ield-based K- means clus e ing using undenoised da a is shown in Figu e 2d, whe e O1, O2, …., O7 a e he i s , second, …, and se en h oc iles o po en ial alues, espec i ely. I is clea ha he da a ield-based K- means clus e ing usually ob ains a smalle MSED index han he classical K-means algo i hm. This indica es ha he da a ield-based K-means clus e ing ob ains be e clus e s han hose p oduced by Figu e 3. The low diag am o he da a ield-based K-means clus e ing. 3.4. Applica ion Tes The ela ionship be ween he MSED index and he h eshold alue ϕpo o da a ield-based K-means clus e ing using undenoised da a is shown in Figu e 2d, whe e O 1 ,O 2 , . . . ., O 7 a e he i s , second, . . . , and se en h oc iles o po en ial alues, espec i ely. I is clea ha he da a ield-based Remo e Sens. 2018,10, 461 16 o 22 Remo e Sens. 2018, 10, x FOR PEER REVIEW 16 o 22 Figu e 9. LogEI o he i e clus e s in Figu e 8a. 4.3.3. Seismici y Analysis (1) Ene gy index The commonly used s a is ical pa ame e -ene gy index (EI) is selec ed o e alua e mic oseismic ac i i y. EI is a pa ame e ela ed o he concen a ion and accumula ion o s ess in a ock mass [45], and i is de ined as he a io be ween he adia ed ene gy and he a e age ene gy (expec ed ene gy) o a gi en seismic momen M. An EI > 1 signi ies ha mo e ene gy has been eleased han expec ed, while an EI < 1 signi ies ha less ene gy has been eleased han expec ed. Resea ch has shown ha when an EI > 1 he ock mass is accumula ing s ess, and when he ock mass s a s o ail, he EI d ops below one [46]. The EI is de ined as in [47]: log ()10 cd M EE EI EM + == (8) whe e 2 2 4c c J E R F πρ = is he seismic adia ion ene gy, ρ is he ock densi y, is he wa e p opaga ion speed, c J is he in eg al o he squa ed g ound speed, Fc is he adia ion pa e n Figu e 9. LogEI o he i e clus e s in Figu e 8a. 4.3.3. Seismici y Analysis (1) Ene gy index The commonly used s a is ical pa ame e -ene gy index (EI) is selec ed o e alua e mic oseismic ac i i y. EI is a pa ame e ela ed o he concen a ion and accumula ion o s ess in a ock mass [ 45 ], and i is de ined as he a io be ween he adia ed ene gy and he a e age ene gy (expec ed ene gy) o a gi en seismic momen M. An EI > 1 signi ies ha mo e ene gy has been eleased han expec ed, while an EI < 1 signi ies ha less ene gy has been eleased han expec ed. Resea ch has shown ha when an EI > 1 he ock mass is accumula ing s ess, and when he ock mass s a s o ail, he EI d ops below one [46]. The EI is de ined as in [47]: EI =E E(M)=E 10c+dlog M(8) whe e E=4πρ R2Jc Fc2is he seismic adia ion ene gy, ρis he ock densi y, is he wa e p opaga ion speed, Jc is he in eg al o he squa ed g ound speed, F c is he adia ion pa e n pa ame e : o a P Remo e Sens. 2018,10, 461 17 o 22 wa e F c is 0.52, while o an S wa e F c is 0.63. E(M) is he a e age ene gy de i ed om he logE s. logM ela ion o a gi en momen M, and cand da e he eg ession cons an s. (2) Seismici y analysis o clus e s The leas squa es linea eg essions be ween log(ene gy) and log(momen ) o he i e clus e s o Figu e 8a a e shown in Figu e S2. Then, we calcula ed he EI h ough Equa ion (8) and he logEI o he i e clus e s a e shown in Figu e 9. Some esea ch [ 48 , 49 ] de ined he p edic i e pe iod and c i ical pe iod om he EI ime se ies: when he EI dec eases, his indica es ha pa s o he ock mass a e beginning o ha e an uns able s a us. This pe iod could be seen as a s ain-so ening s age. I is he beginning o po en ial damage and ega ded as a wa ning indica o . This pe iod is called a p edic i e pe iod. An inc easing EI means ha he ock mass is en e ing an uns able s a e, and his pe iod is called a c i ical pe iod. The quicke he EI dec eases, he la ge he isk o a big mic oseismic e en happening. So, when he EI dec eases sha ply, we can sugges he mine s o be ca e ul in he p edic i e pe iod and no wo k in he upcoming c i ical pe iod in he co esponding clus e a ea. Fo C1, he logEI has a sha p dec ease om 5 Ap il o 6 Ap il (a p edic i e pe iod)– he mine s should be ca e ul when mining in his a ea–and he logEI inc eases om 7 Ap il o 13 Ap il (a c i ical pe iod)– he mine s should no wo k in his a ea on hese days. Then, he e is a ela i ely small p edic i e pe iod ( om 13 Ap il o 14 Ap il) and a c i ical pe iod (15 Ap il). Fo C2, he logEI slowly dec eases om 23 Ap il o 27 Ap il (p edic i e pe iod), and he mine s should be ca e ul on 28 Ap il when mining. Fo C3, he logEI quickly dec eases on 10 Ap il (a p edic i e pe iod and special a en ion should be paid) and hen he logEI inc eases om 13 Ap il o 16 Ap il (a c i ical pe iod and he mine s should no wo k in his a ea). Fo C4, he logEI inc eases and dec eases al e na ely, which means he ock sys em eleases and abso bs ene gy s eadily and he e a e no p edic i e pe iods and c i ical pe iods. Fo C5, he e a e high logEI om 16 Ap il o 19 Ap il and he e is a sha p logEI dec easing om 25 Ap il o 28 Ap il (a p edic i e pe iod and he mine s should be e y ca e ul when mining), hen he logEI inc eases om 22 Ap il o 24 Ap il (a c i ical pe iod and he mine s should no wo k in his a ea). Though Figu e 8a shows ha C4 and C5 ha e a simila loca ion a ea, C5 has c i ical pe iods while C4 has no c i ical pe iods, which p o es ha he ime pa ame e can p o ide a new insigh o seismic clus e ing analysis. In conclusion, he e a e e y c i ical pe iods o C1, C3 and C5 when he mine s should no wo k. 5. Discussion This pape p oposed a da a ield-based K-means clus e ing me hodology o denoise noise e en s and selec ini ial clus e cen e s. Howe e , his can be a ec ed by he h eshold alue ϕpo , and i s pe o mance wi h espec o classical K-means clus e ing using denoised and undenoised e en s should be discussed. In addi ion, we also chose he commonly used hie a chical clus e ing and SOM clus e ing as compa isons. The MSED indexes o ime-e en loca ion dis ance and da a ield-based K-means clus e ing ( ϕpo = Min-0.1, Q1, Median and Q3, whe e Min, Q1, Median and Q3 co espond o he minimum, he i s qua ile, he second qua ile and he hi d qua ile o he po en ial alues, espec i ely), classical K-means clus e ing using denoised and undenoised e en s ( andomly selec ed ini ial clus e cen e s) and SOM clus e ing a e d awn in Figu e 10. Fo denoised e en clus e ing, his shows ha he MSED index o he da a ield-based K-means clus e ing is usually smalle han ha o he classical K-means clus e s. Fo a small clus e numbe (K= 2 and K= 3), he da a ield-based K-means ( ϕpo = Min-0.1, Q1 and Median) has a simila MSED index o he classical K-means. This is because he classical K-means clus e ing has a ela i ely good global sea ch o a small numbe o clus e s. The da a ield-based K-means clus e ing ( ϕpo =Q3) p oduces be e clus e esul s han he classical K-means algo i hm (K= 3 and K= 4). This is due o he highe po en ial alue e en being mo e likely o be a inal clus e cen e . Fo a ela i ely la ge clus e numbe (K= 5~7), he da a ield-based K-means clus e ing usually imp o es he classical K-means clus e ing, which p o es he e ec i eness o he da a ield-based algo i hm in selec ing ini ial clus e cen e s. Fo a la ge clus e Remo e Sens. 2018,10, 461 18 o 22 numbe (K= 8~10), he da a ield-based K-means clus e ing ( ϕpo =Q3) has a esul ha is nea ly as equal/bad as he classical K-means clus e ing. This is caused by he da a ield densi y-based algo i hm using a h eshold alue ϕpo o selec high po en ial alue e en s. Ye , he low po en ial alue e en s may ha e use ul ini ial clus e cen e s o a la ge clus e numbe , which esul s in he andomly selec ed ini ial clus e cen e s a imes ha ing a be e clus e esul . The da a ield-based K-means clus e ( ϕpo =Q1 and ϕpo = Median) has a good clus e esul in gene al and a h eshold alue ϕpo be ween Q1 and he Median, and a clus e numbe smalle han 9 is sugges ed in he da a ield-based K-means clus e ing algo i hm. Remo e Sens. 2018, 10, x FOR PEER REVIEW 18 o 22 numbe (K = 8~10), he da a ield-based K-means clus e ing ( p o ϕ = Q3) has a esul ha is nea ly as equal/bad as he classical K-means clus e ing. This is caused by he da a ield densi y-based algo i hm using a h eshold alue p o ϕ o selec high po en ial alue e en s. Ye , he low po en ial alue e en s may ha e use ul ini ial clus e cen e s o a la ge clus e numbe , which esul s in he andomly selec ed ini ial clus e cen e s a imes ha ing a be e clus e esul . The da a ield-based K-means clus e ( p o ϕ = Q1 and p o ϕ = Median) has a good clus e esul in gene al and a h eshold alue p o ϕ be ween Q1 and he Median, and a clus e numbe smalle han 9 is sugges ed in he da a ield-based K-means clus e ing algo i hm. The classical K-means clus e ing using denoised e en s usually has a smalle MSED index han ha o classical K-means clus e ing using undenoised e en s. This is caused by he noise e en s being ela i ely a away om mos e en s (Figu e 11a). The SOM clus e ing has a e y la ge MSED index compa ed wi h K-means-based clus e s (Figu e 10). This is due o he SOM clus e s some imes mixing oge he (Figu e 11b). Fu he mo e, he mixed clus e s make i ha d o in e p e he clus e esul s. Fo he hie a chical clus e ing, we ied di e en clus e numbe s: o a small clus e numbe , 99% o seismic e en s a e in one clus e ; o 100 clus e s, 36% and 50% o e en s a e in wo clus e s; o 200 clus e s, 42% and 28% o e en s a e in wo clus e s; and o 400 clus e s, 25% and 12%, 5%, 7% o e en s a e in ou clus e s. Fo hese numbe s o clus e s, e e y o he clus e makes up less han 1%. This is b ough abou by he hie a chical clus e ing connec ing close e en s oge he . Al hough he e a e some a away e en s in he seismic da a, e e y e en will usually be di ided in o one clus e o se e al close e en s connec ed in o one clus e . The e o e, i is ha d o ob ain a ce ain numbe o clus e s which con ain a ela i ely la ge numbe o e en s, and he e a e many e en s ha will be ea ed as noises ( he clus e s wi h ew e en s). In conclusion, he da a ield-based K-means clus e ing can ha e a good clus e esul as well as a good in e p e a ion compa ed wi h he abo e discussed clus e s. Figu e 10. The MSED indexes o ime-e en loca ion dis ance and da a ield-based K-means clus e ing, classical K-means clus e ing using denoised and undenoised e en s and SOM clus e ing using denoised e en s. The Min, Q1, Median and Q3 co espond o he minimum, i s qua ile, second qua ile and hi d qua ile o po en ial alues, espec i ely. Figu e 10. The MSED indexes o ime-e en loca ion dis ance and da a ield-based K-means clus e ing, classical K-means clus e ing using denoised and undenoised e en s and SOM clus e ing using denoised e en s. The Min, Q1, Median and Q3 co espond o he minimum, i s qua ile, second qua ile and hi d qua ile o po en ial alues, espec i ely. The classical K-means clus e ing using denoised e en s usually has a smalle MSED index han ha o classical K-means clus e ing using undenoised e en s. This is caused by he noise e en s being ela i ely a away om mos e en s (Figu e 11a). The SOM clus e ing has a e y la ge MSED index compa ed wi h K-means-based clus e s (Figu e 10). This is due o he SOM clus e s some imes mixing oge he (Figu e 11b). Fu he mo e, he mixed clus e s make i ha d o in e p e he clus e esul s. Fo he hie a chical clus e ing, we ied di e en clus e numbe s: o a small clus e numbe , 99% o seismic e en s a e in one clus e ; o 100 clus e s, 36% and 50% o e en s a e in wo clus e s; o 200 clus e s, 42% and 28% o e en s a e in wo clus e s; and o 400 clus e s, 25% and 12%, 5%, 7% o e en s a e in ou clus e s. Fo hese numbe s o clus e s, e e y o he clus e makes up less han 1%. This is b ough abou by he hie a chical clus e ing connec ing close e en s oge he . Al hough he e a e some a away e en s in he seismic da a, e e y e en will usually be di ided in o one clus e o se e al close e en s connec ed in o one clus e . The e o e, i is ha d o ob ain a ce ain numbe o clus e s which con ain a ela i ely la ge numbe o e en s, and he e a e many e en s ha will be ea ed as noises ( he clus e s wi h ew e en s). In conclusion, he da a ield-based K-means clus e ing can ha e a good clus e esul as well as a good in e p e a ion compa ed wi h he abo e discussed clus e s. Remo e Sens. 2018,10, 461 19 o 22 Remo e Sens. 2018, 10, x FOR PEER REVIEW 19 o 22 Figu e 11. The ime-e en loca ion dis ance based clus e esul s (K = 5) o classical K-means using undenoised e en s and SOM clus e ing using denoised e en s. (a) Classical K-means using undenoised e en s; (b) SOM clus e ing using denoised e en s. 6. Conclusions In his pape , a da a ield-based K-means clus e ing me hod has been p oposed o spa io- empo al seismici y analysis. This me hod akes ad an age o a da a ield-based h eshold alue o emo e noises as well as a new dis ance-based algo i hm o ob ain good ini ial clus e cen e s o K- means. The me hod has been es ed by i s applica ion o mic oseismic e en s ob ained om he Chinese Yongshaba mine, which conside s bo h a ime pa ame e and loca ion pa ame e s. The KL index shows ha he me hod has he bes clus e ing esul when K = 5 and he EI shows ha C1, C3 and C5 ha e e y c i ical pe iods. C4 and C5 ha e simila clus e zones. Ne e heless, C4 has no c i ical pe iods, which p o es ha he ime-e en loca ion dis ance-based K-means clus e ing can p o ide a new way o seismici y analysis compa ed wi h e en loca ion dis ance-based K-means clus e ing. The da a ield-based K-means clus e ing usually achie es be e clus e esul s compa ed wi h classical K-means clus e ing when he h eshold alue po ϕ is be ween Q1 and he Median o he po en ial alues and he clus e numbe is smalle han 9. Compa isons wi h he classical K-means clus e ing, hie a chical clus e ing and SOM clus e ing show he e ec i eness o he p oposed clus e ing me hod. The po en ial alue-based denoising is e y applicable o o he da ase s, whe e e en s need o be di ided in o clus e ed and non-clus e ed e en s. Also, he po en ial alue can be used o show e en densi y. The p oposed maximum dis ance-based algo i hm can also p o ide good ini ial clus e cen e s o some o he clus e s, such as he FCM clus e . The e ec i eness o in oducing spa io- empo al dis ance in o K-means shows ha i may also be use ul in o he clus e algo i hms. Mo eo e , u he s udy can be done by in oducing ime-e en loca ion-magni ude dis ance in o he da a ield-based K-means clus e ing o seismici y analysis. Supplemen a y Ma e ials: The ollowing a e a ailable online a www.mdpi.com/link. Figu e S1: Seismic e en loca ions wi h 5%, 7.5%, 12.5% and 15% o da a emo ed. (a) Seismic e en loca ions wi h 5% o da a emo ed; Figu e 11. The ime-e en loca ion dis ance based clus e esul s (K= 5) o classical K-means using undenoised e en s and SOM clus e ing using denoised e en s. ( a ) Classical K-means using undenoised e en s; (b) SOM clus e ing using denoised e en s. 6. Conclusions In his pape , a da a ield-based K-means clus e ing me hod has been p oposed o spa io- empo al seismici y analysis. This me hod akes ad an age o a da a ield-based h eshold alue o emo e noises as well as a new dis ance-based algo i hm o ob ain good ini ial clus e cen e s o K-means. The me hod has been es ed by i s applica ion o mic oseismic e en s ob ained om he Chinese Yongshaba mine, which conside s bo h a ime pa ame e and loca ion pa ame e s. The KL index shows ha he me hod has he bes clus e ing esul when K= 5 and he EI shows ha C1, C3 and C5 ha e e y c i ical pe iods. C4 and C5 ha e simila clus e zones. Ne e heless, C4 has no c i ical pe iods, which p o es ha he ime-e en loca ion dis ance-based K-means clus e ing can p o ide a new way o seismici y analysis compa ed wi h e en loca ion dis ance-based K-means clus e ing. The da a ield-based K-means clus e ing usually achie es be e clus e esul s compa ed wi h classical K-means clus e ing when he h eshold alue ϕpo is be ween Q1 and he Median o he po en ial alues and he clus e numbe is smalle han 9. Compa isons wi h he classical K-means clus e ing, hie a chical clus e ing and SOM clus e ing show he e ec i eness o he p oposed clus e ing me hod. The po en ial alue-based denoising is e y applicable o o he da ase s, whe e e en s need o be di ided in o clus e ed and non-clus e ed e en s. Also, he po en ial alue can be used o show e en densi y. The p oposed maximum dis ance-based algo i hm can also p o ide good ini ial clus e cen e s o some o he clus e s, such as he FCM clus e . The e ec i eness o in oducing spa io- empo al dis ance in o K-means shows ha i may also be use ul in o he clus e algo i hms. Mo eo e , u he s udy can be done by in oducing ime-e en loca ion-magni ude dis ance in o he da a ield-based K-means clus e ing o seismici y analysis. Remo e Sens. 2018,10, 461 20 o 22 Supplemen a y Ma e ials: The ollowing a e a ailable online a www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/10/3/461/s1. Figu e S1: Seismic e en loca ions wi h 5%, 7.5%, 12.5% and 15% o da a emo ed. (a) Seismic e en loca ions wi h 5% o da a emo ed; (b) Seismic e en loca ions wi h 7.5% o da a emo ed; (c) Seismic e en loca ions wi h 12.5% o da a emo ed; (d) Seismic e en loca ions wi h 15% o da a emo ed. Figu e S2: Leas squa es linea eg ession be ween log(ene gy) and log(momen ) o he i e clus e s shown in Figu e 8a. Acknowledgmen s: The au ho s g a e ully acknowledge he inancial suppo o he Na ional Key Resea ch and De elopmen P og am o China (2016YFC0600706). The au ho s would also like o hank Dong Liu, Yongyong Zhou and Jing Yang o hei help. Au ho Con ibu ions: Xueyi Shang w o e he pape ; Xibing Li p o ided he o iginal idea and seismic da a; A. Mo ales-Es eban and Gualbe o Asencio-Co és modi ied he pape and ga e some use ul sugges ions; Zewei Wang w o e pa o he p og am code. Con lic s o In e es : The au ho s decla e no con lic o in e es . Re e ences 1. 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