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Optimal Management of Pinus radiata Silvopastoral Systems Established on Abandoned Agricultural Land in Galicia (North-Western Spain)

Pasalodos Tato, María; Pukkala, Timo; Rigueiro Rodríguez, Antonio; Fernández Núñez, Esther; Mosquera Losada, María Rosa

Abstract

Timber production has been the main objective in forest production in Galicia for a long time. Nevertheless, factors such as fire risk and the need to obtain non-timber benefits make other production alternatives like silvopastoral systems worth of consideration. Integration of grazing in the production system not only diversifies products and benefits, but also decreases fire risk by enhancing fuel control. Nonetheless, few studies have examined the economic profitability of these systems. This article analyses the economics of silvopastoral systems established on abandoned agricultural soils afforested with Pinus radiata D. Don. Different tree planting densities, discounting rates, grass values and fire risk scenarios were analysed. The technique employed is based on the combination of an optimization algorithm and a simulator of stand growth and grass yield. The most profitable schedules were obtained with initial stand densities of 1500 trees per hectare. However, with high unit values of pasture production (high value of grass), schedules with an initial stand density of 500 trees per hectare were the most profitable. When the risk of fire was included in the analyses, silvopastoral systems were always more profitable than timber production systems. With an assumption that grazing reduces fire risk thinnings should be done earlier and heavier to reduce the expected losses due to fire and to promote grass production. This lengthens the pasture period. In general, rotation lengt

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831 www.me la. i/sil a ennica · ISSN 0037-5330 The Finnish Socie y o Fo es Science · The Finnish Fo es Resea ch Ins i u e SI LV A FE N N I C A Sil a Fennica 43(5) esea ch a icles Op imal Managemen o Pinus adia a Sil opas o al Sys ems Es ablished on Abandoned Ag icul u al Land in Galicia (No h-Wes e n Spain) Ma ía Pasalodos-Ta o, Timo Pukkala, An onio Riguei o-Rod íguez, Es he Fe nández-Núñez and Ma ía Rosa Mosque a-Losada Pasalodos-Ta o, M., Pukkala, T., Riguei o-Rod íguez, A., Fe nández-Núñez, E. & Mosque a-Losada, M.R. 2009. Op imal managemen o Pinus adia a sil opas o al sys ems es ablished on abandoned ag icul u al land in Galicia (no h-wes e n Spain). Sil a Fennica 43(5): 831–845. Timbe p oduc ion has been he main objec i e in o es p oduc ion in Galicia o a long ime. Ne e heless, ac o s such as i e isk and he need o ob ain non- imbe bene i s make o he p oduc ion al e na i es like sil opas o al sys ems wo h o conside a ion. In eg a ion o g azing in he p oduc ion sys em no only di e si ies p oduc s and bene i s, bu also dec eases i e isk by enhancing uel con ol. None heless, ew s udies ha e examined he economic p o i abili y o hese sys ems. This a icle analyses he economics o sil opas o al sys ems es ablished on abandoned ag icul u al soils a o es ed wi h Pinus adia a D. Don. Di e en ee plan ing densi ies, discoun ing a es, g ass alues and i e isk scena ios we e analysed. The echnique employed is based on he combina ion o an op imiza ion algo i hm and a simula o o s and g ow h and g ass yield. The mos p o i able schedules we e ob ained wi h ini ial s and densi ies o 1500 ees pe hec a e. Howe e , wi h high uni alues o pas u e p oduc ion (high alue o g ass), schedules wi h an ini ial s and densi y o 500 ees pe hec a e we e he mos p o i able. When he isk o i e was included in he analyses, sil opas o al sys ems we e always mo e p o i able han imbe p oduc ion sys ems. Wi h an assump ion ha g azing educes i e isk hinnings should be done ea lie and hea ie o educe he expec ed losses due o i e and o p omo e g ass p oduc ion. This leng hens he pas u e pe iod. In gene al, o a ion leng hs o sil opas o al sys ems we e sho e han in imbe p oduc ion. Keywo ds economic p o i abili y, op imiza ion, isk educ ion, sal age, simula ion Add esses Pasalodos: INIA, Ins i u o Nacional de In es igación y Tecnología Ag a ia y Alimen a ia. Mad id, Spain; Riguei o, Fe nández & Mosque a: Uni e si y o San iago de Compos ela, Lugo, Spain; Pukkala: Uni e si y o Eas Finland, Joensuu, Finland E-mail [email p o ec ed] Recei ed 5 Ap il 2009 Re ised 14 Sep embe 2009 Accep ed 13 No embe 2009 A ailable a h p://www.me la. i/sil a ennica/ ull/s 43/s 435831.pd 832 Sil a Fennica 43(5), 2009 esea ch a icles 1 In oduc ion The main use o Galician o es is imbe p o- duc ion. Many o es s a e managed o maximise biomass p oduc ion o pulp and boa d indus ies. S eady income om hese managemen egimes is hampe ed by bo h o es i es (Núñez Reguei a e al. 2003) and low imbe p ices. The e o e, he e is a need o sea ch o al e na i e egimes ha would make income-gene a ion less isky. Sil- opas o al sys ems could be an app op ia e al e - na i e. G azing has some imes been conside ed o p omo e i e damages because i e has been ca elessly employed by shephe ds o p omo e he g ow h o mo e pala able g ass species. Howe e , i p esc ibed i es a e excluded, g azing educes he isk o i e by diminishing he uel loads in he o es (Riguei o-Rod íguez e al. 2005). Ano he ad an age is he mul iplici y o p oduc s ha make sil opas o al sys ems economically sa e unde ma ke unce ain y han he adi ional imbe p oduc ion o ien ed o es y (Ande son and Sinclai 1993, Sha ow 1999). Fu he mo e, sil opas o al sys ems gene a e incomes much ea - lie (Sha ow 1999) han pu e imbe p oduc ion sys ems. Finally, sil opas o al sys ems imp o e accessibili y (Knowles 1991) and scenic alue o he landscapes, enhancing hei ec ea ional use (Rua k e al. 2003, Ala alapa i e al. 2004). Despi e he ad an ages showed by he imple- men a ion o sil opas o al sys ems, no much esea ch has ocused on he op imal design o hese sys ems. One o he e y ew examples is he s udy o Muchi i e al. (2002b), which op i- mized he managemen o an ag o o es y sys em composed o maize and G e illea obus a. This s udy is ocused on sil opas o al sys ems es ablished on abandoned ag icul u al lands. These lands a e e ile (s and dominan heigh s up o 30 me e s a 20 yea s o Pinus adia a D. Don). Acco dingly, his s udy analyses only good si es on which economically iable ag o o es y is possible (Hawke 1991). Pinus adia a has been he mos common ee species employed in sil- opas o al sys ems. The sys em is es ablished by plan ing ees and sowing g ass a he same ime. The e o e, he e is o age p oduc ion al eady in he i s yea sui able o ins ance o sheep g azing (Riguei o-Rod íguez e al. 2002). A s udy ca ied ou a he Depa men o C op P oduc ion a he Uni e si y o San iago de Compos ela (Spain) ound ha sil opas o al sys ems o his ype need an a ea o abou 200–300 hec a es o make hei implemen a ion p o i able. On his scale he man- agemen cos s o he sil opas o al sys em ( e e i- na y cos s, shephe d cos s and o he ela ed cos s) become a o dable. I has been claimed (Adams e al. 2001) ha he es ablishmen o coni e plan a- ions on his ype o e ains may dec ease soil e ili y in he Spanish A lan ic egion due o a pH educ ion. This impo e ishmen o soil e ili y leads o a change in he ype o unde s o ey eg- e a ion, om he baceous ege a ion wi h low uel loads owa ds mo e in lammable sh ub communi- ies (Riguei o-Rod íguez e al. 2005, Mosque a- Losada e al. 2006). The e o e, i seems e en mo e impo an o keep he he baceous s a um a he unde s o ey le el by g azing in o de o educe he isk o i e as long as possible. Fo he op imal managemen o sil opas o al sys ems, he in luence o ees on pas u e p o- duc ion mus be known. The key ac o o he success o he sys em is o achie e a comp omise be ween he wo sou ces o economic bene i . G azing is possible when he ee canopy allows ligh o each he unde s o ey laye . Canopy co e is commonly used o se he limi s o pas u e p oduc ion (Knowles e al. 1998). Li - e a u e sugges s ha canopy co e s highe han 50% d as ically dec ease he pas u e p oduc ion (Riguei o-Rod íguez e al. 1998). O he s ud- ies sugges a maximum canopy co e o 70% (Knowles e al. 1998). Also g een c own leng hs (Pe ci al and Knowles 1983, 1988), ho izon al p ojec ion o he c owns (Sibbald e al. 1994) o s and densi y (Pea son e al. 1995, Bu ne and B aue 2003, Rozados-Lo enzo e al. 2007) a e a iables ha ha e been used o p edic pas u e p oduc ion. Canopy co e is di icul o measu e in he ield and p edic in simula ions. G een c own leng h and ho izon al p ojec ion o he c owns a e also p oblema ic because hey a e no measu ed in no mal in en o ies. S and den- si y (numbe o ees pe hec a e) is no a good p edic o nei he because, by i sel , i does no gi e enough in o ma ion abou compe i ion in he s and. The e o e, we decided o model he dependence o pas u e p oduc ion on s and basal a ea and si e index, which a e easily ob ained 833 Pasalodos-Ta o, Pukkala, Riguei o-Rod íguez, Fe nández-Nùñez and Mosque a-Losada Op imal Managemen o Pinus adia a Sil opas o al… om egula in en o ies. Using his model wi h a g ow h and yield model o ee s and dynam- ics, we we e able o calcula e he p o i abili y o he sys em. The aim was o s udy how he eco- nomic p o i abili y and op imal managemen o sil opas o al sys ems es ablished on abandoned ag icul u al e ains depend on si e quali y, g ass alue and plan ing densi y o ees. The e ec o i e isk on he p o i abili y o he sil opas o al sys ems was also s udied. Mo eo e , we analysed he e ec s o an assump ion ha g azing educes i e isk by diminishing uel loads and p omo ing less in lammable species. The analyses o he s udy a e di ided in o h ee pa s: e ec o (I) s and densi y and g ass p ice, (II) i e isk and (III) he in luence o g azing on i e isk, on he economic p o i abili y and op imal managemen o sil opas o al sys ems. 2 Ma e ial and Me hods 2.1 Simula ion o he T ee S and Dynamics Sil opas o al sys ems ha e h ee componen s, ee s and, o age and li es ock. We used he model o Cas edo-Do ado e al. (2007) o e en-aged P. adia a s ands in Galicia o simula e s and de elopmen in di e en managemen sched- ules. In his model, he ini ial s and condi ions a e de ined by h ee s a e a iables: numbe o ees pe hec a e, s and basal a ea and dominan heigh . The model uses h ee ansi ion unc ions o p ojec each s a e a iable o a gi en ime pe iod. I also includes a unc ion o p edic ing he ini ial s and basal a ea when no in en o y da a a e a ailable. Once he s a e a iables a e known o a speci ic momen , a dis ibu ion unc ion is used o es ima e he numbe o ees in each diame e class by eco e ing he pa ame e s o he Weibull unc ion, using he momen s o he i s and second o de o he dis ibu ion. By using a heigh -diame e unc ion o es ima e he heigh o he a e age ee in each diame e class, and a ape unc ion, he o al and me chan able s and olume a e calcula ed. The model o he dominan heigh de elop- men is as ollows: HH T T 21 2 1 1 1006738 1006738 =−− −−      − exp( .) exp( .) .. ./755 12 44 1 +X (1) wi h, XHL HL L 111 11 2 1 1 21 755 1 755 41244 =++ +−⋅ ((ln.) (ln.).) (2) LT 11 1006738=−−ln(exp( .)) (3) whe e H1 is he dominan heigh (m) a age T1 (yea s), and H2 is dominan heigh a age T2. Reduc ion in he numbe o ees pe hec a e (na u al mo ali y) is p edic ed wi h: NN TT 21 0 3161 100 100 103161 1 053 1 053 21 =+− −−− − (..) ./. (4) whe e N2 is he numbe o ees pe hec a e a age T2 and N1 is he numbe o ees pe hec a e a age T1. The ollowing unc ion was used o basal a ea ini ializa ion: GSIN =−      −− + exp. . exp. . 4 331 114 3 276 1 1391 0 03594 44 331 114 3 0 03594 0 923 .. . . SI N T −                  −33             (5) whe e G is s and basal a ea (m2ha–1) a age T (yea s), N is he numbe o ees pe hec a e and SI is he si e index (m), es ima ed using Eq. 1 a a e e ence age o 20 yea s. The unc ion o basal a ea p ojec ion is: GY YT 21 12 0 9233 276 1 1391= () −− + () () − expexp ./ . (6) YT TG T 11 0 9233 1 0 9233 1 1 09 1 2 276 1 4 1391 = −+ () + ⋅ −. . . .ln 2233 1 0 9233 1 2 276 1+− () ()         .ln . TG (7) whe e G2 is he s and basal a ea (m2 ha–1) a a gi en p ojec ion age T2, and G1 is s and basal a ea (m2 ha–1) a age T1. The equa ion o p edic - ing he a i hme ic mean diame e , o be used o de i e he diame e dis ibu ion wi h he pa am- e e eco e y app oach, is: 834 Sil a Fennica 43(5), 2009 esea ch a icles dd T NSI g =− −+ +     exp.. .. 0 1449 19 76 1 0 0001345 0 03264     (8) whe e d is he a i hme ic mean diame e (cm) and dg he quad a ic mean diame e (cm), dGN g=×40000 // π (9) The equa ion o p edic ing he heigh o a ep e- sen a i e ee in each 1-cm diame e class is: hH d = + − () − − − 13 13 1 1 0 9339 0 9339 0 9339 0 06614 . .exp . .. . eexp. /. −           0 06614 109339 D (10) whe e h is he o al ee heigh (m), d is diame e a b eas heigh (cm), and D and H a e, espec- i ely, dominan diame e and dominan heigh o he s and. Bo h uni o m and low hinnings can be simu- la ed as in e media e ea men s. Uni o m hin- nings emo e an equal pe cen age o ees om e e y diame e class. When a low hinning is simula ed, he emaining numbe o ees in diame e class i (ni) is calcula ed ollowing he dis ibu ion independen app oach p oposed by Alde (1979): nNLFdFd ii L i L =−    −be o e (()() //1 1 1 (11) whe e Nbe o e is he o al numbe o ees pe hec a e be o e low hinning, L is low- hinning in ensi y exp essed as one minus he p opo - ion o emo ed ees (1–N emo ed/Nbe o e) and F(di) is he cumula i e equency dis ibu ion a diame e di. The ape model p oposed by Fang e al. (2000) i ed o P. adia a by Cas edo e al. (2007) was used o calcula e he s em olume o ees ex ac ed in hinning ope a ions o clea cu ings. The ollowing op diame e s we e used: 35, 18 and 7 cm. The imbe asso men s he e o e co - esponded o he ollowing o e -ba k s em diame- e s: (I) d ≥ 35 cm; (II) 35 cm > d ≥ 18 cm; and (III) 18 cm > d ≥ 7 cm. The ollowing minimum piece leng hs we e assumed in his s udy: (I) 3.0 m; (II) 2.5 m; and (III) 1.0 m. I he piece was sho e , he olume was mo ed o he nex (wi h a smalle minimum op diame e ) imbe asso men . 2.2 Simula ion o G ass P oduc ion Pas u e p oduc ion is highly dependen on he s and de elopmen since pas u e p oduc ion is only possible when he canopy allows ligh o each he unde s o ey le el. Si e and s and cha - ac e is ics we e used as p edic o s o i a model o he pas u e p oduc ion. We used da a om an expe imen in Cas o de Ribe as de Lea (Lugo) ha consis ed o he measu emen o ees and pas u e p oduc ion in a sil opas o al sys em du ing se en yea s since ee plan ing (see Mos- que a-Losada e al. (2006) and Fe nández-Núñez e al. (2007)). The ial has plo s o di e en si e quali y and wo di e en plan ing densi ies (833 and 2500 ees ha–1). The pas u e was a mix u e o Lolium pe enne L., Dac ylis glome a a L., T i- olium epens and T i olium p a ense. The i ed eg ession model is as ollows: ln .. .g assSIG () =− +−125009 012 (12) whe e g ass is he annual g ass p oduc ion (d y mass) ( ha–1), SI is si e index o Pinus adia a s and (m) (dominan heigh a he e e ence age o 20 yea s) and G is he basal a ea (m2 ha–1) o he ee s and. The R2 o he equa ion is 0.425. This equa ion shows ha he highe he basal a ea is, he smalle he g ass p oduc ion becomes (Fig.1). Be e si es p oduce mo e g ass, as expec ed. The pas u e was conside ed o gene a e income only when he g ass yield was highe han 0.3 ha–1. This is he minimum amoun equi ed o eeding one sheep pe hec a e pe yea (da a p o ided by 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Basal a ea (m 2 ha –1 ) G ass p oduc ion ( ha –1 a –1 ) SI 35 SI 30 SI 25 SI 20 FIELD DATA Fig. 1. Dependence o g ass p oduc ion on s and basal a ea o di e en si e indices. 835 Pasalodos-Ta o, Pukkala, Riguei o-Rod íguez, Fe nández-Nùñez and Mosque a-Losada Op imal Managemen o Pinus adia a Sil opas o al… he Depa men o C op P oduc ion o San iago de Compos ela). 2.3 S udy Cases The e ec o s and densi y and uni alue o pas- u e p oduc ion was es ed wi h wo si e indices o adia a pine, namely 29 and 25 me e s a 20 yea s. These si e indices a e ypical o sil o- pas o al sys ems. The s udied plan ing densi ies anged om he spa ses o he denses s ockings used in o es y p ac ise in he egion: 500, 1500 and 2500 ees ha–1. Two si e indices wi h h ee plan ing densi ies esul ed in six di e en ini ial s ands. In e e y s and we es ed di e en numbe o hinnings (0–2) and di e en uni alue o pas- u e p oduc ion. The e enues om pas u e come om he animals ed by he g ass. G ass p oduc- ion was con e ed in o ed li es ock (lamb and sheep) o calcula e he income using da a o he Depa men o C op P oduc ion a he Uni e si y o San iago de Compos ela. The da a indica e ha one on o g ass can eed h ee sheeps. Taking in o accoun ha each sheep deli e s 1.6 lambs pe yea on an a e age, one on o g ass gene a es an annual income o abou 200 € when silage making and all he ela ed cos s such as e e ina y, shep- he d and silage a e conside ed. This is called as he uni alue o pas u e p oduc ion. This alue was a ied o see he e ec o ma ke luc ua ions; he used uni alues o pas u e p oduc ion we e 100, 200 and 400 € –1. Fi e isk was assumed o ha e wo componen s: p obabili y o occu ence and damage. We es ed ou di e en p obabili ies o occu ence: 0, 1, 3 and 5%. When i e akes place we assumed ha i ends he o a ion p ema u ely and only a pa o he g owing s ock olume can be ha es ed (sal aged). The p opo ion o sal aged imbe desc ibes he second componen o isk: damage (sal age a e = 1 – damage a e). The p opo ion o imbe ha can be sal aged depended on he mean ee diame e (Pasalodos-Ta o e al. 2009b) (Fig. 2): s d =−1092. (13) whe e d is he diame e a b eas heigh measu ed in cm. In addi ion o loosing a pa o imbe in i e, he sal aged imbe was dep ecia ed by 25% (A enas and Izquie do 2007). This p ice educ ion o sal aged imbe was used in all op imisa ions. The op imiza ions we e done o one si e index (29 me e s) and wo di e en s and densi ies (500 and 1500 ees ha–1). G azing may educe i e isk by educing uel loads and p omo ing less in lammable species (Riguei o-Rod íguez e al. 2005, Riguei o- Rod íguez e al. 2009). E en hough he li e a u e has men ioned his e ec widely (Blackmo e and Vi ousek 2000, Elmo e and Asne 2003, Casal e al. 2009) i is di icul o ind quan i a i e in o ma- ion on i . The e o e, we used se e al educ ion ac o s, namely 25, 50, 75 and 100% o educe he p obabili y o i e occu ence in e e y g az- ing yea (g ass yield ≥ 0.3 ha–1). Two di e en s and densi ies (500 and 1500 ees ha–1), one si e index (29 me e s) and wo di e en p obabili ies o i e occu ence (1 and 5%) we e employed o analyse he e ec o he educ ion in i e isk due o g azing. 2.4 Objec i e Func ion Soil expec a ion alue (SEV) calcula ed wi h 3% discoun ing a e was used as he objec i e a i- able. The SEV was calcula ed as he ne p esen alue (NPV) o all u u e ne incomes: SEV NPV R = −+ 11 1() (14) 0 20 40 60 80 100 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Diame e a b eas heigh (cm) Sal age p opo ion (%) Fig. 2. Dependence o he sal age p opo ion o he b eas heigh diame e . 836 Sil a Fennica 43(5), 2009 esea ch a icles whe e NPV is he ne p esen alue o one o a- ion, is he discoun ing a e and R is he o a ion leng h (yea s). The exp ession o he NPV is: NPV IICC Rwgwg =+−− + () = ∑ 01 (15) Whe e Iw and Ig a e he incomes and Cw and Cg a e he cos s de i ed om imbe and pas u e p oduc ion in yea , espec i ely (see Tables 1 and 2). The incomes om imbe p oduc ion (Iw ) we e calcula ed om: Isn P w jkj k k j J =⋅      == ∑∑ 1 3 1 (16) whe e s is he p opo ion o sal age calcula ed om Eq. 13 (s = 1 i he e is no i e), J is he numbe o diame e classes, nj is he numbe o ees in diame e class j, Pk is he uni p ice o imbe asso men k and kj is he olume o asso men k o a ee in diame e class j. The ollowing oad side imbe p ices we e used: 90 € m–3 o g ade I, 50 € m–3 o g ade II and 18 € m–3 o g ade III (see Pasalodos-Ta o e al. 2009a, b). The uni p ice was educed by 25% when i e ended he o a ion. The cos s o he sil opas o al sys em (bo h Cw and Cg ) depended on si e index (Table 1). Timbe p oduc ion cos s we e di e en when he e was no g azing (Table 2). Regene a ion cos (Tables 1 and 2) was assumed o be a linea unc ion o he numbe o plan ed ees pe hec a e wi h he cons an pa ep esen ing he cos o si e p epa a- ion and he a iable pa ep esen ing he plan ing cos pe ee. In sil opas o al sys ems he egen- e a ion cos is highe because o an addi ional cos o indi idual ee p o ec o s o a oid he damages ha sheeps can cause on he seedlings. The ee ha es ing cos was calcula ed om (based on Amb osio e al. 2000): HCos ECos VFCos S =+ ⋅+ ⋅+78 33 167 0 30477 0 972 (.)/ .. ν              (17) whe e HCos is ha es ing cos (€ ha–1), ECos is en y cos (€ ha–1), V is he o al ha es ed olume (m3 ha–1), FCos is o wa ding cos (€ m–3), S is slope (%), and ν is he mean olume o ha es ed ees (m3). I was assumed ha he en y cos o mo ing he machine y o he o es (ECos ) is 200 € ha–1. The o wa ding cos was assumed o be 5 € m–3 and he slope was aken as 20%. 2.5 In eg a ing Fi e Risk in o Objec i e Func ion In o de o include i e isk in he calcula ion o SEV we used he app oach de eloped by B igh and P ice (2000). The me hod consis s o he sum o all possible ou comes, weigh ed by hei p ob- abili ies. The exp ession o he expec ed SEV was (see Pasalodos-Ta o e al. 2009a, b): Table 1. Yea s and cos s o ending ope a ions o sil- opas o al sys ems. N is he numbe o plan ed ees pe hec a e. Yea Ope a ion Cos (€/ha) SI = 25 m 0 T ee plan ing+p o ec o s 500+2.2 N 0 G ass sowing 100 6 T ee p uning 200 12 T ee p uning 200 SI = 29 m 0 T ee plan ing+p o ec o s 500+2.2 N 0 G ass sowing 100 5 T ee p uning 200 10 T ee p uning 200 Table 2. Yea s and cos s o ending ope a ions o a imbe -p oduc ion schedule. N is he numbe o plan ed ees pe hec a e. Yea Ope a ion Cos (€/ha) SI = 25 m 0 T ee plan ing 500+1 N 2 Cleaning 150 4 Cleaning 150 6 T ee p uning 200 12 T ee p uning 200 SI = 29 m 0 T ee plan ing 500+1 N 2 Cleaning 150 4 Cleaning 150 5 T ee p uning 200 10 T ee p uning 200 837 Pasalodos-Ta o, Pukkala, Riguei o-Rod íguez, Fe nández-Nùñez and Mosque a-Losada Op imal Managemen o Pinus adia a Sil opas o al… SEV NPV p p i s R R R = −+     ++ ()    = − ∑ 111 0 1 ()              (18) whe e p is he p obabili y ha he s and bu ns in yea and su i es he p e ious yea s, i.e., p = (1 – p i e) p i e, whe e p i e is he annual p ob- abili y o i e occu ence, and pR pR = (1 – p i e)R is he p obabili y ha he e is no i e be o e he o a ion age. NPV i s is calcula ed om: NPVpNPVpNPV i s R R R =⋅+⋅ = − ∑ 0 1 (19) whe e NPV is he ne p esen alue i i e hi s he s and a age and ends he o a ion p ema u ely, and NPVR is he ne p esen alue i he e is no i e du ing he o a ion (R). A hinning in ensi y highe han 30% was assumed o make he s and sensi i e o wind h ow and snow b eakage (Cas edo-Do ado e al. 2009). The e o e, a penal y unc ion was added o he SEV o he managemen schedule as a means o a oid oo hea y hinnings. The objec i e unc ion (OF) which was maximized in op imiza ion was he e o e OF SEVPenal ym m M =− = ∑1 (20) wi h Penal y H HH m m m m = ≤ − −>     030 10000 30 100 30 30 i i % %%  (21) whe e H%m is hinning in ensi y in pe cen o emo ed s and basal a ea in hinning m and M is he numbe o hinnings. The penal y unc ion implies ha he penal y o ha es ing oo much a a ime inc eases om 0 o 10 000 € ha–1 when he hinning pe cen age inc eases om 30 o 100. 2.6 Decision Va iables Decision a iables such as he numbe and in en- si y o hinnings, and o a ion leng h de ine he managemen schedule. Op imizing a managemen schedule is equal o inding op imal alues o decision a iables. Due o he ac ha he numbe o hinnings is no a con inuous a iable schedules ha ha e a di e en numbe o hinnings mus be ea ed as di e en op imiza ion p oblems. In his s udy managemen schedules we e op imized wi h 0, 1 and 2 hinnings, which a e all easible op ions o Pinus adia a sil opas o al sys em. The simula ed hinnings we e combina ions o uni o m and low hinning. The e o e he manage- men egime was de ined by he numbe o hin- nings and he ollowing decision a iables: Fo hinnings: – S and age a he i s hinning and numbe o yea s be ween he i s and he second hinning. – Pe cen age o uni o m hinning (% o numbe o ees) – Pe cen age o low hinning (% o ees emo ed a e uni o m hinning) Fo inal elling – Numbe o yea s since he las hinning The numbe o op imized decision a iables was he e o e 3 × M + 1 whe e M is he numbe o hinnings. 2.7 Op imisa ion Me hod The op imisa ion algo i hm used was he di ec sea ch me hod o Hooke and Jee es (1961). This me hod uses a o m o coo dina e op imiza ion and does no equi e explici e alua ion o any pa ial de i a i e o he objec i e unc ion. The di ec sea ch me hod compa es each new ial solu ion wi h he bes ob ained up o ha ime. The sea ch has wo componen s, he explo a o y sea ch and he pa e n sea ch. Fo a gi en base poin , he explo a o y sea ch examines poin s a ound ha base poin in he di ec ion o he coo dina e axes (decision a iables). The pa - e n sea ch mo es he base poin in he di ec ion de ined by he gi en (cu en ) base poin and he bes poin ound in explo a o y sea ch. 838 Sil a Fennica 43(5), 2009 esea ch a icles 3 Resul s 3.1 P o i abili y o Sil opas o al Sys ems A e unning he op imisa ion o he six di e - en ini ial s ands (2 si e indices wi h 3 plan ing densi ies) wi h h ee di e en hinning schedules (0, 1 and 2 hinnings), we chose ha numbe o hinnings ha ga e he maximum SEV. The op imal schedules had one hinning wi h ini ial densi y 500 ees ha–1 and wo hinnings wi h he o he plan ing densi ies wi h bo h si e indices (25 and 29 m). Sil opas o al sys em was always mo e p o i able han me e imbe p oduc ion, plan ing densi y 1500 ees ha–1 being he mos p o i able (Fig. 3). SI 25 m SI 29 m e enues om g ass e enues om imbe 500 ees ha –1 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 no g ass 100 200 400 Uni alue o pas u e p oduc ion (€ –1 ) Uni alue o pas u e p oduc ion (€ –1 ) Uni alue o pas u e p oduc ion (€ –1 ) Uni alue o pas u e p oduc ion (€ –1 ) Uni alue o pas u e p oduc ion (€ –1 ) Uni alue o pas u e p oduc ion (€ –1 ) SEV (€ ha –1 ) SEV (€ ha –1 ) SEV (€ ha –1 ) SEV (€ ha –1 ) SEV (€ ha –1 ) SEV (€ ha –1 ) -30000 -20000 -10000 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 no g ass 100 200 400 1500 ees ha –1 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 no g ass 100 200 400 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 no g ass 100 200 400 2500 ees ha –1 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 no g ass 100 200 400 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 no g ass 100 200 400 Fig. 3. Soil expec a ion alue o he op imal sil opas o al schedules o di e en ini ial s and densi ies when di e en g ass p ices a e conside ed. 839 Pasalodos-Ta o, Pukkala, Riguei o-Rod íguez, Fe nández-Nùñez and Mosque a-Losada Op imal Managemen o Pinus adia a Sil opas o al… The es ablishmen o pas u e imp o ed p o i a- bili y mos wi h he lowes densi y, 500 ees ha–1. The imp o emen was up o 50% wi h a uni alue o pas u e p oduc ion o 200 € –1. SEV imp o ed 15% wi h plan ing densi y 1500 ees pe hec a e and 4–7 % wi h 2500 ees pe hec a e. The op imal o a ion leng hs wi hou pas u e we e 40 and 42 yea s, espec i ely, o plan ing densi ies 500 and 1500 ees pe hec a e in si e index 25 m, and 38 yea s o bo h densi ies in si e index 29 m. In gene al, o a ion leng hs dec eased wi h he inclusion o pas u e. This dec ease was mo e no iceable wi h lowe plan ing densi ies (Fig. 4). 500 ees ha –1 1500 ees ha –1 Basal a ea G ass p oduc ion 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 0 10 20 30 40 Age (yea s) Basal a ea (m 2 ha –1 ) Basal a ea (m 2 ha –1 ) Basal a ea (m 2 ha –1 ) Basal a ea (m 2 ha –1 ) Basal a ea (m 2 ha –1 ) G ass p oduc ion ( ha –1 ) G ass p oduc ion ( ha –1 ) G ass p oduc ion ( ha –1 ) G ass p oduc ion ( ha –1 ) G ass p oduc ion ( ha –1 ) G ass p oduc ion ( ha –1 ) Basal a ea (m 2 ha –1 ) 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 0 10 20 30 40 Age (yea s) 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 0 10 20 30 40 Age (yea s) 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 0 10 20 30 40 Age (yea s) 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 Uni alue o g ass p oduc ion 400 € –1 Uni alue o g ass p oduc ion 200 € –1 Uni alue o g ass p oduc ion 100 € –1 0 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09 0.1 0 1 2 3 4 5 Age (yea s) 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 0 10 20 30 40 Age (yea s) 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 Fig. 4. De elopmen o s and basal a ea and annual g ass yield in he op imal managemen schedule o di e en sil opas o al sys ems o di e en s and densi ies and uni alue o g ass p oduc ion when si e index is 29 me e s.