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Aspects of expressive strength reduction in British English and Castilian Spanish: a corpus-based analysis

Villar Conde, Natalia

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UNIVERSIDADE DE SANTIAGO DE COMPOSTEL A Facultade de Filoloxía Departamento de Filoloxía Inglesa Aspects of Expressive Strength Reduction in British English and Castilian Spanish: A corpus-based analysis PhD dissertation submitted by Natali a Villar Conde and supervised by Teresa Fanego Lema 2009 Visto e prace, a directora A doutoranda Teresa Fanego Lema Natalia Villar Conde TABLE OF CONTENTS Acknowledgements ............................................................................................................ 3 LIST OF TABLES .......................................................................................................... 5 LIST OF FIGURES ........................................................................................................ 7 1. Introduction ................................................................................................................ 9 2. Survey of earlier research ........................................................................................ 23 2.1 Language, culture and thought ......................................................................... 23 2.2 English and Spanish in context ......................................................................... 30 2.3 Expressive strength reduction ........................................................................... 37 2.3.1 Theoretical considerations .......................................................................... 37 2.3.2 Expressive strength reduction in ge neral and in genres different from press reportage, press edit orial and academic prose ........................................ 47 2.3.3 Expressive strength reduction in academic prose .................................... 52 2.3.4 Expressive strength reduction in press reportage and press editorial ... 56 3. Variables and methodology ..................................................................................... 61 3.1 Characteristics of the variables as a group ...................................................... 61 3.2 Characterisation of each variable ..................................................................... 75 3.2.1 Variable 1 (‘I think’) ................................................................................... 75 3.2.2 Variable 2 (‘it seems’) ................................................................................. 76 3.2.3 Variable 3 (‘probably’) ............................................................................... 78 3.2.4 Variable 4 (‘they say’) ................................................................................. 82 3.2.5 Variable 5 (‘as they say’) ............................................................................ 83 3.3 Methodology ........................................................................................................ 85 4. The corpus ................................................................................................................. 89 5. Analysis .................................................................................................................... 101 5.1 Introduction ...................................................................................................... 101 5.1.1 The variables as a set: similarities and differences ................................ 102 5.1.2 Our expected contribution to the characterisation of English and Spanish authorial stance .................................................................................... 107 5.1.3 Methodology ............................................................................................... 109 5.2 The variables as a group in English and Spanish .......................................... 112 5.3 The variables individually in English and Spanish ....................................... 114 5.3.1 Variable 1 (‘I think’) ................................................................................. 117 5.3.2 Variable 2 (‘it seems’) ............................................................................... 123 5.3.3 Variable 3 (‘probably’) ............................................................................. 131 5.3.4 Variable 4 (‘they say’) ............................................................................... 139 5.3.5 Variable 5 (‘as they say’) .......................................................................... 145 5.4 The variables as a group in Englis h and Spanish press reportage, press editorial and academic prose: an overview .......................................................... 151 2 5.5 The individual variables in Englis h and Spanish press reportage, press editorial and academic prose ................................................................................. 157 5.5.1 Variable 1 (‘I think’) ................................................................................. 162 5.5.2 Variable 2 (‘it seems’) ............................................................................... 174 5.5.3 Variable 3 (‘probably’) ............................................................................. 184 5.5.4 Variable 4 (‘they say’) ............................................................................... 197 5.5.5 Variable 5 (‘as they say’) .......................................................................... 216 5.6 English and Spanish press reportage, p ress editorial and acade mic prose in terms of sentence-level expressive stren gth reduction: a profile for each genre and language as regards the ‘I think’, ‘i t seems’, ‘probably’, ‘they say’ and ‘as they say’ variables .................................................................................................. 225 6. Concluding remarks and suggestions for further resea rch ................................ 241 APPENDIX I: THE CORPUS OF TEXTS .............................................................. 247 APPENDIX II: SOURCES OF T EXTS IN THE CORP US ................................... 645 APPENDIX III: EXAMPLES OF VARI ABLES AND EXCLUDED STRUCTURES ........................................................................................................... 673 APPENDIX IV: NUMBER OF EXAMPLES OF VARIABLES PER TEXT, SAMPLE, GENRE AND LANGUAGE ................................................................... 737 References ................................................................................................................... 743 RESUMO EN GA LEGO ........................................................................................... 755 Acknowledgements I am m ost indebted to my supervisor, Professor Teresa Fa nego, for invaluable help and guidance at all stages. Thanks are also due to Juan Carlos Ac uña Fariña and Ignacio Palacios Martínez for their very useful comments on my initial thesis (TIT). For comm ents on m y MA dissertation, I thank Francisco Xavier Fe rnández Polo, María Sol López Martínez, Ignacio Palacios Martínez and María José R odríguez Espiñeira. I m ust also thank Milagros Fernández Pérez for bibliogr aphical and methodological guidance. For generous financial support, I am grat eful to the University of Santiago de Compostela (travel grant November 2002) a nd the Autonomous Gove rnm ent of Galicia (PGIDT01PXI20404PR 2001-2004; PhD grants October 1998-September 2000, February 2001-September 2002). Last but not least, my gratitude goes to m y parents, sister and boyfriend, for their endless patience, support and encouragement. LIST OF TABLES T ABLE 2.1: O PPOSITE PAIR S OF PHILOSOPHICO - CULTURAL PRINCIP LES (Hernández Sacristán 1999:86) .................................................................................................... p. 28 T ABLE 4.1 S AMPLES I N THE SUBCATEGORIES OF E NGLISH PRESS REPORTAGE ...... p. 96 T ABLE 5.1 O BSERV ED FREQU ENCIES , EXPECTED FREQUENCIE S AND DE VIANCE S OF VARIABL ES IN E NGLISH AND S PANISH .................................................................... p. 118 T ABLE 5.2 O BSERV ED FREQU ENCIES , EXPECTED FREQUENCIE S AND DE VIANCE S OF THE GROUP OF VAR IABLES IN E NGLISH AND S PANI SH PRESS RE PORT AGE , PR ESS EDITORIAL AND ACADEMIC PROS E .......................................................................... p. 152 T ABLE 5.3 O BSERV ED FREQU ENCIES , EXPECTED FREQUENCIE S AND DE VIANCE S OF VARIABL ES IN E NG LISH AND S PANISH PRESS REPORTAGE , PRESS EDITORIAL AND ACADEMIC PROSE .................................................................................................... p. 158 T ABLE 5.4 V ARIABLES IN E NGLISH AND S PANISH PRESS REPORTAGE , PRESS E DITORIAL AND ACADEMIC PROS E , IN DESCENDING ORDER OF FREQUENCY ........................... p. 224 T ABLE 5.5 V ARIABLES IN E NGLISH AND S PANISH , IN DESCEN DING ORDE R OF FREQUENCY ............................................................................................................. p. 235 LIST OF FIGURES Figure 2.1 Visual perception and con ceptualisation, Langacker (1999:205) ..... p. 44 Figure 5.1 The group of variables in English and Spanish ................................ p. 113 Figure 5.2 Expressive strength reduc tion in speech versus writing .................. p. 113 Figure 5.3.A Breakdown for th e variables in English ........................................ p. 115 Figure 5.3.B Breakdown for the variables in Spanish ........................................ p. 115 Figure 5.4 Comparative figures for th e variables in English and Spanish ...... p. 116 Figure 5.5 Tense of variable 1, I think, in English .............................................. p. 120 Figure 5.6.A Position of variable 1, I think, relative to modulated object, in English .................................................................................................................................. p. 120 Figure 5.6.B Position of variable 1, I think, relative to modulated object, in Spanish .................................................................................................................................. p. 123 Figure 5.7 Tense of variable 2, it seems, in English ............................................ p. 126 Figure 5.8.A Position of variable 2, it se ems, relative to modulated object, in English .................................................................................................................... p. 127 Figure 5.8.B Position of variable 2, it se ems, relative to modulated object, in Spanish .................................................................................................................... p. 131 Figure 5.9.A Position of variable 3, probab ly, relative to modulated object, in English .................................................................................................................... p. 135 Figure 5.9.B Position of variable 3, probab ly, relative to modulated object, in Spanish .................................................................................................................... p. 138 Figure 5.10 Tense of variable 4, they say, in English ......................................... p. 141 Figure 5.11.A Position of variable 4, they say, relative to modulated object, in English .................................................................................................................... p. 142 Figure 5.11.B Position of variable 4, they say, relative to modulated object, in Spanish .................................................................................................................... p. 144 Figure 5.12.A Position of variable 5, as they say, relative to modulated object, in English .................................................................................................................... p. 148 Figure 5.12.B Position of variable 5, as th ey say, relative to modulated object, in Spanish .................................................................................................................... p. 151 Figure 5.13.A The variables per genre in English .............................................. p. 151 Figure 5.13.B The variables per genre in Spanish .............................................. p. 152 Figure 5.14.A1 Variables in English press reportage ......................................... p. 159 Figure 5.14.A2 Variables in English press editorial ........................................... p. 159 Figure 5.14.A3 Variables in English academic prose ......................................... p. 159 Figure 5.14.B1 Variables in Spanish press reportage ........................................ p. 160 Chapter 1. Introduction 14 target questions of copyright or legal accountab ility for a text , or of freedom of speech. Not being centred on authorship fro m the point of view of literary language, it will not target the relationship between auth or and narrator, or au thority in the world of fiction. Not being centred on authority as a moral question, it will not target the opposition between sincerity and lying. This is not to say that there is an active determination not to consider those aspects, that they cannot b ear some kind of relationship to the topic or that they cannot turn out to be of some relevance, only that the focus is not on them. The focus is on how, in terms of frequency, form and function, five optional clause/sentence-level linguistic struct ures expressive of the process of vision/conceptualisation/communication ch allenge authorial comm itment to the message. The preceding comments make it clear how certain aspects, not being linguistic aspects proper, fall beyond the scope of th e present study. There are also some linguistic aspects which fall beyond the scope of the present study too. First, this is not a study on clause modality. Thus, it w ill not review the contrast between e.g. interrogative and declarative clauses. Neither is this a study on the modals, so it will not be concerned with th e contrast between e.g. pos sibility and proba bility or volitionality and obligatoriness as expressed by modal verbs. Further, this is not a study of clause mood. In this way, it will not tackle the contrast between e.g. the indicative and the subjunctive or the imperative and the conditio nal. Finally, neithe r is this a study on emphasis. Thus, it will n ot focus on devices used to highlight the form or content of the message. Again, those aspects might turn ou t of relevance and be according l y dealt with, but they are not central to the topic. With the general and sp ecific objectives clarified, and the topic well delim ited, let us consider the framew ork used. This is a study in contrastive (also called cross- cultural ) pragmatics 8 . As a study in pragmatics, it will consider language in use or, what amounts to the sam e thing, language in context. As a study in contrastive pragmatics, it will contrast British E nglish and Castilian Span ish, and, within the se two, the genres of press reportage, pres s editorial and academic prose. Fu rthermore, there will also be som e discussion of the three subgen res conforming press editorial, namely 8 For the conce p tual characterisation of pragmatics a nd specifically contrastiv e pragmatics as well as for analyses developed in t he latter framework, see Wi erzbicka (2003[ 1991]) and H ernández Sacristán (1999); also chapter 2. Chapter 1. Introduction 15 institutional editorial, personal ed ito rial, and letters to the editor . The gist of the work is a corpus-based analysis scrutinising the oc currences of five linguistic variables, commenting on quantitative and qualitative asp ects of the variables’ use -bas ically aspects of frequency, form and function- from a comparative and contrastive perspective. Let us consider some basic questions about the va riables, methodology and corpus. In this thesis, the unit of analysis is the linguistic va riable. Five linguistic variables are distinguished. They modify a clause or a sentence . Because they can modify a whole sentence, they can be called superordinate 9 . They are optional , in the sense that their absence would not be consid ered incorrect or explained through ellipsis or something of the sort by trad itio nal gramm a r. They function at clause/sentence-level . This means that the variable and the clause/s entence modified by the variable form part of one and the same clause or sentence. They allude to some aspect of the process of vision/conceptualisa tion/communication . And they limit authorial commitment to the information and/or opinion expressed in the cl ause/sen tence they modify. Those are, in brief, the c haracteristics that the f i ve variable s share. What follows off ers a brief definition of each variable (an in -depth discussion will be offered in sections 3.1-3.2): -Variable 1 is a lso called the ‘I thin k’ variable, because the expression epitomising it is I think . With varia ble 1 (‘I think’) th e add resser self-r efers through a first person subject pronoun + predicator, as in I think Peter is righ t . See 3.1 and 3.2.1. It must be noted tha t in this thesis predicator is “the function of a verb phrase in a larger construction (so that in I saw the film , say, saw is predicator and the film object)” (Huddleston 1984:9). In keeping predicator distinct from verb , a syntactic function the form er, a form, syntactic class or p art of speech the latter, this thesis aligns its elf with Huddleston (1984:9, 18-20, 62, 177, 183). -Variable 2 is also called the ‘it seem s’ variable, becaus e the ex pression epitomising it is it seems . Variable 2 (‘it seem s’) involve s the use of a cl ause with third 9 This part icular use of superordination is bo rrowed fro m Quirk et al. (1991[19 85]:613). Howeve r, in this context the su perordination is to b e understood at the lev el of pragmatics rath er than grammar. Th us, a variable can be subordinate in terms of grammar but, having a sentence in its sco pe, it will still be superordin ate to that senten ce. This thesis will a lso make use of the opposition superord inate/subordinate in terms of grammar. Chapter 1. Introduction 16 person singular reference in a formally impersonal or passive structure, as in it seems Peter is right . See 3.1 and 3.2.2. -Variable 3 is also called the ‘proba bly’ variable, because the expression epitomising it is probably . Variable 3 (‘probably’) consis ts of an adverbial expression alluding to circumstances contraveni ng certainty or universality, as in Peter is probably right . See 3.1 and 3.2.3. -Variable 4 is also called the ‘they sa y’ variable, because the expression epitomising it is they sa y . With variable 4 (‘the y say’) the addresser refers to a third party through a third person subject noun phras e with human reference + predicator, as in they say Peter is right . See 3.1 and 3.2.4. -Variable 5 is also called the ‘as they say ’ variable, because the expression epitomising it is as they say . This variable involves an elem ent marking subordinate status and third person human reference, as in as they say , Peter is rig ht . See 3.1 and 3.2.5. It will have been noticed that a v erb is essential in all variables exc ept for variable 3 (‘probably’). Trad itional grammar te lls us that verbs convey actions, states and processes, and the role of verbs in variables 1 (‘I th ink’), 2 (‘it seems’), 4 (‘they say’) and 5 (‘as they say’) would thus be co nsistent with the role of the process of vision/conceptualisation/communication in the reduction of expressive strength. As for variable 3 (‘probably’), most of the structures conforming it correspond to adverbial expressions conveying doubt or l ack of it. These expression s are in turn epitom ised by modal adverbs , using Huddleston and Pullum’s (2002) term inology 10 . A minor subgroup is conformed by adverbial expressions such as honestly or sincerely , which suggest that the propositional c ontent of the modified clause /sentence is the product of an individual process of thought or communi cation. Notice as well that the adverb sincerely , for instance, is pragmatically e quivalent to the non-finite clause speaking sincerely , or that honestly is pragm atically equivalent to speaking honestly 11 . The 10 This category is broadly equi valent to the Spani sh categor y of adverbios de dud a or adverbios mod a les . The form er terminol ogy is used in Lázaro Carreter (1968[1 953]) s.v. adver bio , the latter in Kovacci (1999: 707). 11 On the relationship between sen tence-level, au thorial responsibilit y-lowering adverbials and metal anguage, see, for Engl ish, Greenbaum (1969:section 4. 4) and Quirk et al. (1991[1985]:sectio ns 8.124-8.126), and, for Spanish, Kovacci (1999:subsection 11.5.2). Chapter 1. Introduction 17 versions involving speaking constitute expressions explic itly marking the process of communication. With s i ncerely , honestly or probably in isolation the process can still be intuitively f elt. From all the above it will have becom e clear that this study does not intend to analyse exhaustively all the possib le linguis tic ways of limiting authorial commitment to information/opinion in the three genres under analys is in British English and Castilian Spanish. Apart from the five variab les selected here, othe r strategies available in the two languages under discussion can be us ed to m odify a clause or sentence with an authorial responsibility-lim iting effect. But those other strategies do not focus upo n the process of vision/conceptualisation/language in the sa m e way. These strategies include the introduction of a m odal verb into an otherwise unm odalised predicator, the selection of certain clause moods (especially in the case of Spanish, cf. Ferrari and Gallardo 1999, and Haverkate 2004) or the use of a passive clause where the author is not explicitly marked as against an active clause involving self-refe rence (especi ally in the case of English, cf. Hernández Sacristán 1995). Furthermore, responsibility -limiting structures can m odify structures whose le vels are higher or lower than the clause/ sentence. For instance, one can limit one’s commitment to a whole text by concluding the text with at least, that’s my in tuition , or by beginning the text with this is what happened if we are to trust the witness . Or one can lim it the commitment to an adjective using quite in teresting instead of interesting , or, instead of deceptive , very deceptive . Leaving out of the focus structures other than the five ling uistic variables will allow for an important degree of detail in the analysis. Including in the focus no less than the five variables will expe ctedly increase the number of relevant findings in the compare-and-con trast approach. It seems interesting now to go over the methodology that will be employed. This has three axes, nam ely the comparative and contrastive perspective, the examination of quantita tive and qualitative aspects, and the corpus . A com pare-and- contrast approach will b e adopted, which means that data will be considered in co ntext. The comparison and co ntrast will be centred on the five variables, the three genres and the two languages. Thus, th e anal ysis will establish relevant points of comparis on regarding the presen ce of all the variables per genre and language and the presence of each individual variable per gen re and langua ge. The comparison and contrast will b e Chapter 1. Introduction 18 complemented by considering different variants of one and the sam e variable. This is especially, but by no m eans exclusively, the case with variable 5 (‘as th ey say’), which has two variants, one involving a verb, as in as Mary says , and the other not involving a verb, as in according to Mary . Another aspect in which the comparison and contrast will be complemented is by also considering linguistic structures o ther than the five variables chosen, genres other than press reportage, press editorial and academ ic prose, and languages other than English and Spanish. The analysis will be qua ntitative and quali tative. The quantitative aspect will be based on the attested nu mber of occurrences of the variables. From this number we will obtain frequencies and s tatistical tests which de term ine the statistical sign ificance of the frequencies. Specifically, the statistical test s will take the form of the chi-square, or χ 2 , test, and, whenever appropriate , the so-called Yates’ corr ection (for details on the statistics employed, see 5.1). The use of the ch i-square test is certa inly essen tial in a study such as this thesis, an in-depth study involving five variable s, three genres and two languages. On the other hand, while th e relevance of data would hardly be appreciated without the quantitative approach, the analysis w ould not be complete in the absence of a qualitative approach. Thus, the occurrences of variables will be examined in terms of m eaning, form and function, an d matched, whenever appropriate, against invented examples or against de finitions, classifications or ot her relevant concepts in the linguistic literature. The third axis of the methodology is the co rpus. The corpus-based analysis is frequent in pragmatics. The reason for the predom inance of the corpus-based analysis in pragmatics, hence its selecti on here, is that the intention is to study language in actual use rather than potential grammatical struct ures, and corpora reflect actual linguistic usage in real comm unicative events. Furtherm ore, typically a corpus is structured, in other words, it consists of ordered and coherent samples of language which are classified, something essential for the research er when handling the texts. The corpus in the present study 12 com p rises some 180,000 words of authentic material, with som e 30,000 per genre and language. Th e corpus is representative of standard written British English and standard written Castilian Spanish, as the samples belong to press 12 For an i n-depth discussio n of the c orpus, see chapt er 4. Chapter 1. Introduction 19 reportage, press editorial and acad emic prose 13 . The English section of the corpus has been taken from the FLOB corpus, a corpus of written British English from 1991 which has been published in CD format. Com piling th e English section of the corpus for this thesis has involved a partly random, partly conscious selection of samples from the FLOB corpus. By far the most dem a nding as pect in the compilation of the corpus f or this thesis, in terms of tim e and effort, has been the compilation of the Spanish section. At the time of starting work f or this thes is, there was no organised corpus of written Castilian Spanish with the required size in which one could access the whole texts; to the best of my knowledge, this continues to be the case today 14 . Thus, for the Spanish section of the corpus I started from scratch and, from authentic m aterial in the Internet and in paper format, selected samples which m irror the samples of the English section in genre and topic and transcribed them. In this way I com piled and organised a 180,000-word corpus of standard written Britis h English and standard written Castilian Spanish, making it an ‘ordered and coheren t mass of language which is classified’ for its handling in linguistic researc h. The corpus for th is thesis is given as appendix I (the samples them selves) and appendix II (informati on on the samples, such as text title or year of publication ). This thesis will thus enable othe r researchers to work on the 90,000 words of authentic material in Span ish or to work cr oss-linguistically by comparing them to the parallel 90,000 words of authentic material in English. Earlier preliminary pilot studies for this thesis were conducted in Villar Conde (2001, 2002). There I analysed aspects of expressive st rength reduction in spoken British English, Castilian Spanish and Gali cian, with more than 9,000 words per language. That research showed that their common Indo-European origin and their location in Western Europe does not precl ude British English, Castilia n Spanish and Galician from presenting differences in communicative patterns suggestive of a cultural distance logically stemming from varied contextual aspects. In Villar Conde (2002:261), I concluded that 13 Inadequat e generalisati ons from corpora are complained against in Biber ( 1988:sections 3.1-3. 4 and 1995:27 and 37). The corpu s for this thesis comprises standard written British Eng lish and standard written Castilian Span ish and that is wh at the corpus re presents, so the corpus is not meant to represen t (spoken and written) Eng lish and Spanish in general. 14 Note in this conn ection that the CREA , a database of spok en and written Span ish carried ou t by the Spanish R oyal Academy of Langua ge, is not a cor pus proper; see sect ion 3 .3. Chapter 1. Introduction 20 [e]xpressive strength reduction through the use of perception/episte mic verbs in first person singular subject reference appears to be pote ntiated in British English in direct response to the values of individualism, non- interference in others’ affairs and veiled self-exposure, whilst such a linguistic device is not so reinforced in Spanish and in Galician, where the values of collectiv ism, solidarity and affectivity seem to have a greater influence. Formality seems to run parallel to the rejection of the variable in English, with professionalism similarly discar ding the variable in the three languages. This conclusion concerns one additional language apart from the two languages under analysis in this thesis. Furt hermore, it concerns linguistic st ructures which in this thesis only partly conform variable 1 (‘I think’). Ho wever, this conclusion already points to how philosophical principles and sociocultural values ( e.g. individualism versus collectivism) as well as linguistic aspects ( e.g. form al versus familiar language) interact in linguistic expression, and specifically in expressive strength reduction as brought about by the marking of the vision/conceptualisa tion process. In this thesis, I have left out Galician because of the add e d difficulty of com piling large corpor a for the three languages. To conclude this intro duction, let us outline the way in which this thesis is structured . This introductory chap ter is follo wed by a chapter containing a survey of earlier research. Section 2.1 of this chapte r explores the relationship between language, culture and thought, reconciling cogn itivism a nd pragm atics in a comprehensive view of language. Section 2.2 goes over features of th e English and Spanish languages-cultures. The chapter is closed by section 2.3, whic h surveys expressive strength reduction. Chapter 3 deals with the va riables and methodology. Secti on 3.1 offers an in-depth discussion of the features shared by the five variables, while an in -depth discussion of the features of each individual variable is offered in sec tion 3.2. Section 3.3 outlines the foundations for the methodology. Chapter 4 cons iders the corpus. Chapter 5 offers the analysis. This begins with the introductory section 5.1, which sketches the similarities and differences between the five variables, th e expected contribution of the analys is to the linguistic literature, and the methodol ogical underpinnings. Sections 5.2 and 5.3 respectively analyse the variables as a group a nd the individual variables in the English and Spanish sections of the corpus. S ections 5.4 and 5.5 respectively analyse the variables as a group and the in dividual variables in Englis h and Spanish press reportage, press editorial and academic prose. Section 5.6 offers a profile of English and Spanish Chapter 1. Introduction 21 press reportage, press editorial an d academic prose in terms of the five variab les. Chapter 6, the final major chapter, offers som e concluding remarks and suggestions for further research. It is followed by four a ppendices. Appendix I contains the corpus. Appendix II gives relevant data about each individual sample in the corpus. Appendix III lists all the occurren ces of variables, accompanied by comments on borderline cases and by comments on som e potential examples of variables which for varied reason s are not real examples. Appendix IV offers the number of occurrences of variables per text, sample, genre and language. Finally, the Re ference section closes the dissertation. 2. Survey of earlier research As was implied in the introducti on, this thesis considers la nguage as an entity defined by culture, context and pragmatics, attitude, point of view and cognitivism . Thus, the first section in the curren t surv ey will consist of an overvie w of the relationship between language, culture and thought. Within this gen e ral framework, section 2.2 will trace a profile of English and Spanish in context, considering the gramm atical as well as the interpersonal com ponent of language. The next section will survey the idea of expressive strength reduction, and will be organised into f our subsections. Subsection 2.3.1 will explore the idea of expressive streng th reductio n in theory, connecting it to the concepts of modality , hedging, stance, and subjectivity. Subsection 2.3.2 will d eal with findings concerning expressive streng th reduction in general and in genres different from those conforming the cor pus for this thesis. Subsection 2.3.3 will examine expressive strength reduction in one of the three genres m aking up our corpus, academic prose. As will be seen, academ ic prose, in English and in other languages, has been a favourite in studies related to expressive stre ngth reduction. The two other genres making up our corpus, press reportage a nd press editorial, belong to the written press, and to expressive strength reduc tion in the written press will be devoted subsection 2.3.4. 2.1 Language, culture and thought Languages are the best mirror of the hum an mind. Leibniz (1949:368) Chapter 2. Survey of earlier research 30 responsibility for the truth value of the expres sion or commits him sel f to a certain act in the future. Due to this important role of responsibility at the le vel of the individual, commisive and representative sp eech acts are partic ularly associated with the last p air of opposites 17 . It should be noticed that the group of values commented upon is only a sample, though enough to illustrate the interrelationship of linguistic and sociocultural patterns. 2.2 English and Spanish in context While general descriptions of the English language in context, whether or not within the compare-and-contrast approach, can easily be found, this is no t the case with the pragmatics of Spanish. Calvo Pérez’s (1994 ) introductory study to Spanish pragm atics is highly theoretical and does not focu s upon the connection between linguistic structures and philosophical principles and sociocultural values. A number of studies (Haverkate, Mulder and Fraile Maldonado (ed.) 1998, Garcés Conejos et al. (ed.) 2004) explore, with different orie ntations, very specific aspects of the Spanish language- culture. However, we h ave to agree with López García (2000:21) that “[e]stamos aún lejos de poder redactar una gramática pragm á tica del español”. Let us review the main ideas about the English and Spanish languages in connection with philosophical maxim s and sociocultural values. It seems relevant to begin by considering a frequently m entioned opposition, the opposition between individualism and colle ctivism (W ierzbicka 2003[1991], 2006, Scollon and Scollon 2001[1995], Jandt 1998, Hernández Sacristán 1999, Sifianou 2005). Jandt (1998:214-215) explains that individualistic cultures do not tend to particularly take in to account the concep t of group action in th eir objectives, whilst collectivist cultu res consider tackling their ta sks m ore collectively. Furthermore, an individualistic community has less interpers onal cohesion. Great Britain figures as a highly individualistic country in the list provided by Jandt. This would be consistent with the read iness of the British English a ddresser to individualise linguistic expression 17 As Perkins (1983:23, note 6, and 24, no te 10) indicates, Searle (1979) replaces representative by assertive , whilst the most common deno mination is assert ion . Chapter 2. Survey of earlier research 31 tracing it back to him/hersel f as a perceptual subject (cf. subsection 2.3.1 below). More specifically, in the list of countries presented by Jandt (1998:215) as a table entitled “Level of Individualis m, by Culture”, the heading “High” is ascribe d to the United States, Australia, Great Britain, Canada, th e Netherlands, New Zeal and, Italy, Belgium, and Denmark. The heading “Low (collectiv ist)” is given to Venezu ela, Colombia, Pakistan, Peru, Taiwan, Thailand, Singapore, Chile and Hong Kong. Notice the weight of English in the former group and the weight of Spanish in the latter. Individualism as well as democracy, lib eralism, non-interf erence in others’ affairs, and Locke and Hume’s rationalism app ear to be essential in the shaping of th e English language (W ierzbicka 1997:chapter 3, 2006). Freedom from imposition, avoidance of flat im perative sentences, pers onal autonomy and not tellin g others what to do are identified in Wierzbicka (200 6:12) as concerns of Anglo culture 18 . Besides, on pp. 173-174 she describes the “cultural emphasis on personal autonom y” as “characteristic of modern Anglo society and reflected in m a ny ways in modern English” and as not so representative of the Spanis h-speaking world. Furthermore, on p. 187 she refers to “the m odern Anglo ethos of “ noninterference, ” “nonimposition,” and “negative freedom”” and to “the rights of the addresse e as an autonomous and free individual”. On pp. 199-201 she discusses the ce ntrality of such id eas in the Anglo culture versus the Japanese or Russian cultures. Another Anglo idea pointed out in Wierzbic ka (2006) is “that it is natural for people to want to know all sorts of things and that in princi ple people have the right to have their questions answered (except for so-called personal questions, which shouldn’t be asked in the first place [...])” (p. 191). Re lated to this is her reference to the m ode rn Anglo culture’s “emphasis on empiricism , pe rsonal opinion, and antidogmaticism” (p. 224) and to “the tradition of British em pirici sm, of the emphasis on pers onal experience, on the limitations of one’s knowledge, and on tolerance for diverse points of view and respect for everyone’s “personal opini on.”” (p. 226). Furthermore, on p. 229 she 18 Wierzbicka (2006) uses the expression Angl o English t o refer t o the olde r varieties of En glish, shari ng a cultural co re, and correspondi ng to the comm onest sense of English as a noun. It must also be noted that Wierzbick a (2006) quo tes many authors who illu strate the extended view th at there is no single En glish culture and language (cf. especia lly chapter 1 ). To the authors she quotes we may add Hollid ay, Hyde and Kullman (2004), who on p. 86 explicitly q uestion the approp riateness of the idea of an ‘Anglo culture’. I t hink Wierzbicka (1997, 2006) makes it crysta l clear that there is an Eng lish cultur e and language and that the co ncept is rel evant in l inguist ics. Chapter 2. Survey of earlier research 32 alludes to “the development of an elaborate system of epistemic phrases reflecting the intellectual and socia l legacy of the British Enlightenment”. Epistemic ph rases such as I think (cf . our variable 1), it seems , it is probable (cf. our variable 2) and epistemic adverbs such as probably (cf. our variable 3) are found to be characteristic of Eng lish language-culture, for their abundance and importance (Holmes 1982, 1983, Perkins 1983, Biber a nd F inegan 1988, 1989, Aijmer 1997, 1998, Nuyts 2001, Hoye 2005, Wierzbicka 2006). On the other hand, the abundance and importance of epistem ic phrases such as I think in the English language seem s to be better illustrated in the oral mode (Kärkkäinen 2003, 2007, W i erzbicka 2006). Another relevant finding is the relative lack of emoti on in the English coding of human relationships (W ierzbicka 1997:chapte r 2, 2006). Wierzbicka (2006:47) points out that [l]inguistic evidence suggests that there are probably several cultural scripts in Angl o culture that caution, in one way or other, about em otions. [...] I will suggest one particular cultural script, focused on the e xpression of opinions. Roughly speaking, this script says that if one wants to express an opinion about something, it is good to do it in a calm, cool fashion. On p. 50 she further clarifies: The [Anglo culture] script cautioning agains t “heat” in the expression of opinions is linked, logically, with a num b er of other scr ipts concerning opinions: that they should be rational, that they should have been a rrived at by thinking and considering various possibilities, that one should be open-m inded ab out them, and that one should not under any circumstances try to impose them on other people. We can contrast the popular be lief in the passionate char acter of Latin cultures in general and of Spanish culture in particular. Though Spanish is not part of the co mparison, W ierzbicka (2003[1991]) sheds light on the expression of opinions in Englis h language-culture with a host of second terms of comparison. The connection be tween cultural context and discursive Chapter 2. Survey of earlier research 33 organisation is pointed out by Fern ández Pérez (1999:28) as follows: [L]os entornos antropológi co-culturales aparec en ligados a planteamientos discursivos peculiares, sin duda debido a los parámetros de interacción y de expectativas propios de los contextos idiomáticos. Se dice, así, que el inglés elabora sus mensajes en torno a “opinion-oriented” donde otras lenguas orga nizan la información “truth-oriented”; cuando el inglés comenta I guess it’s t rue (‘supongo que es verdad’), el polaco dice to prawda (‘es verdad’). This quotation refers us to Wierzbicka ( 2003[1991]), where the two sentences appear as part of a large group of examples having to do with the issue of st rength in expression. Wierzbicka (2003[1991]:chapter 2) shows how the English language is oriented towards opinion in the presentation of ideas. This is related to the gre at value that the Anglo-Saxon culture places upon the principle of non-interference in others’ affairs. Trying to avoid the imposition of one’s point s of view upon the addressee, the Anglo- Saxon addresser does not want to present ideas as ‘truth’. Behind is a long trad ition of democracy and lib eralism according to which the assum ption exists of equality among human beings, an equality which should be re flected in tolerance for d i fferences. The “opinion-oriented” style characteristic of the Anglo-Saxon cultu re is especially perceived in the sphere of opinions precisely. The sphere of opinions is dealt with in subsection 3 .4 of W ierzbicka (2003[1991]:chapter 2). A contrast is establ ished between the force normally carried by opinions in Polish and the trend towards m odul ation in English. Th e strength typical in the expression of opinions in Polish is refl ected, for instance, in the use of the wo rd prawda ‘truth’ in tags where the a ddresser, having just expressed a personal point of view, asks for confirm ation from the addressee. The literal English equiv alents of such expressions of opinion come acro ss as particu larly strange: ?She is nice, right? , ??She is terrific, right? (p. 42). This formula for requiring confirmation is also used in Polish after the descrip tion of measurable aspects, as in the Polish equivalent of the English sentence She is Italian, right? (same page). On the othe r hand, the use of introductory structures intended to diminish strength in th e presentation of ideas is common in English and uncommon in Polish. Besides, for som e examples of such introductory structures in English there is no counterpart in Polish. This holds for the peculiar use in Chapter 2. Survey of earlier research 34 Australian English of I r eckon or in American English of I g uess , structures which tend to be removed in translations in to Polish. Another contrast consists of the common occurrence in English, while in Polish such expressions tend to be avoided, of rather , sort of and similar hedges in the m anifestation of opinions and evaluations, illustra ting again the importance of the pr inciple of non-interference. Wierzbicka refers us to Drazdauskiene (1981), another contrastive study which attributes to English this tendency to avoi d the open expression of opinion, in this case as compared to Lithuanian. The Lithuanian author ass erts that expressions such as I think , I believe or I don’t think are far m ore usual in E nglish than in Lithuanian. In section 5 of the same chapte r 2, and following Geertz (1976[1960]), Wierzbicka (2003[1991]) m entions another c ontrast affecting the Anglo-Saxon culture, in this case compared to the Javanese culture . This latter favours the hiding of truth and what is popularly called in English beating about the bush . This constitutes a contrast with Anglo-Saxon culture. Wierzbic ka (2003[1991]:100-102) expands these reflections, pointing to the Javanese speaker’s rejection of the linguistic expression of what he/she feels, wants, thinks and knows. The avoidanc e of the explicit acknowledgement of one’s ideas is also pres ent in the Japanese culture, although with an important difference. The Japanese speaker relies on the listene r’s ability to discern ideas expressed im plicitly, whilst the Javane se speaker voluntarily h ides what he/she thinks, following the rule of concealm ent characteristic of traditional philosophy. Geertz (1976[1960]:238-241) -i n a chapter entitled “The General Dimensions of Prijaji Belief”- points out the d eep union in the Javanese philosophy of the concepts of feeling and meaning . In this particular cosm ovisi on, feeling comprises touch, taste and emotion and is ultim ately a way of understa nding. Furthermore, this culture places great emphasis on ex ercising se lf-control with one’s inner feelings (I would like to introduce here a contrast with Western Eu ropean philosophy, which typically connects the idea of f eeling with the idea of the extern al m anifestation of emotions). All this exercises an influence on t he conversational topic, as i llustrated by the follo wing quotation from Geertz (1976[1960]:240): When Pak Ardjo (my landlord, whose house ha d been robbed in his absence) got back Chapter 2. Survey of earlier research 35 home after the robbery, he didn’t say anything to Bu Ardjo about i t for quite a while. In fact, when I came in, just after he returned , he was talking to a railroad friend and said there had been a lot going on here too, but he just ignored this and went on talking about other subjects. . . . Later he told me he had resigned him s elf about the theft; had convinced himself by saying, ‘If it ’s gone, it’s gone, and that’s all there is to it.’ Being upset wouldn’t bring the bike back, nor would getting angry at his wife. . . . He said h e had kept himself from being upset abou t it all”. The Javanese cosmovision favours not onl y the omission of certain subject matters, but also a peculiar way of conveying ideas through strategies that show a linguistic and cultural overlap. When the Javanese speaker avoids expressing what he/she thinks, the intention is to pre vent hi s/her true ideas and feelings from bringing about the listener’s reaction du ring the course of the conv ersation. However, if the speaker expects som ething from the listener, in some way or other this must be communicated; otherwise, the risk that th e speaker’s expectations will go unfulfilled will be high. Geertz recalls two anecdotes in order to clarify how communication is made possible. The first anecdote is about a man who wanted to divorce his wife, but did not want to tell her so. He kindled an existing conf lict between his wife and his mother until the former, unable to stand the situation any longer, asked for a divorce. The second anecdote is about a woman who wa nted to convince her husband that they should move. She m a naged to make him find several written notes m entioning the uncomfortable state in which the family lived -notes that rem ain ed anonymous despite the man’s desperate efforts to di scover their origin-. In the end, he took the initiative for them to m ove. Another relevant study mentioned by W i er zbicka is Eades (1982). Again, the Anglo-Saxon culture appears as more direct th an the second term of comparison, in this case the South-East Queensland Abo riginal society. Let us examine Eades (1982) directly. Af ter extensive field work, this author concludes that, in the context of the S outh-East Queensland A boriginal society, information must be conveyed in the course of conversation, with strict limits on the use of questions. More specifically, informa tion-seeking m ust begin with a statement related to the data sou ght, after which th e speaker mu st wait until these answers spontaneously arise in the di alogue. Besides, the availa bility of information is Chapter 2. Survey of earlier research 36 determined by social stratifica tion, with access to certain data restricted to certain so cial groups. As regards information-seeking, then, the Anglo-Saxon culture would be the ‘strong’ term as com pared to the South-Ea st Queensland Aborigin al society. The former encourages the use of questions in all ty pes of information-seeking situa tions, which results in the omnipresence of tests, qu estionnaires and intervie ws. In this sense, the questioning nature of Anglo-Saxon judici al processes poses a real problem for Aborigines. When Aborigines are involved in Anglo-Saxon judicial processes, they find themselves in a completely str ange situation and the experience tends to f ail due to a lack of cooperation. Going back to Wierzbicka (2003[1991]:cha pter 2), on page 63 she signals that studies such as Eades (19 82), Sansom (1980) or Abrahams (1976) show that Anglo- Saxon cultural norm s (as compared with Aust ralian Aboriginal norms, or with black American norms) encourage ‘directness’ in seeking information from the addressee. Evidently, the Anglo-Saxon principle of non-interference, which accounts for the heavy restrictions on the use of the imperative, doesn’t extend to questions (I don’t m e an ‘personal questions’, but questions in gene ral) - presumably, because information is seen in Anglo-Saxon culture as a free and public good. In fact, the restrictions on the use of the imperative seem to be com p ensated by a tremendous expansion of interrogative devices. We see how the same culture, in this case the Anglo-Saxon culture, may be seen as particularly ‘direct’ and strong with rega rd to the communicativ e patterns present in other communities ( the Javanese, the Japanese, Australian Aborigines, and black Americans), and particularly ‘indirect’ if the second term of comparison is a culture such as the Polish or Lithuanian cultures. Th is points to the importance o f examining in detail the linguistic devices to be analysed. Thus, attention should be paid to aspects such as type of expression, frequency, function and value. Labels such as direct and indirect should be handled cautiously, and their dependence on external elements adequately considered. On the other ha nd, such reservations about the use of descriptive labels do not imply that com paris on is to be avoided. Quite on the contrary, contrastive pragm atics can be highly revealing, but the intrin sic value of each culture is never to be forgotten. Chapter 2. Survey of earlier research 37 Similar reservations to those about the refe rence to a ‘direct’ or ‘indirect’ culture are pointed out by Wierzbicka (2003[1991]:61-62) about the re ference to a ‘direct’ or ‘indirect’ style. She p oints out the importa nce of context when using labels such as direct speech or indirect sp eech , connecting this idea with Hollos and Beeman (1978:353-354). If we directly consult Hollos and Beeman (1978:353-354) we find the reflection that there is a ‘cultural communicative style’ which operat es in the issuing of directives -a kind of qualitative contour for this particular set of related communicative acts which is distinct for different societies. Knowledge of the na ture of this ‘cultural communicative sty le’ tells us quite a bit about the societies in which they are active. We expect that the sty le of interaction which persons use in order to make their wants and desires understood bears a direct re lationship to general sets of expectations and values within the society. Thus, directive would be another label which shoul d be handled cautiously, with due contextualisation. On the other hand, despite all nuances re su lting from the compare-and-contrast approach, in the litera ture there is a widespread associ ation of the English language with understatement and hedges. W i erzbicka (2006:section 2.3) mentions a number of bibliographical references which app eared at different points in the 20 th century, the most recent of which is Huebler (1983). W e can add numerous others. This leads u s to the idea of hedging, m itigation and modality, and, specifically, the reduction of expressive strength. 2.3 Expressive strength reduction 2.3.1 Theoretical considerations The introduction to the present disse rtation contrasted the expression elephants cannot fly with I think elephants cannot fly , and Peter is wrong with Peter is probably wrong . Chapter 2. Survey of earlier research 38 It introduce d the idea that the ‘expanded’ versions show less commitm ent on the part of the addresser. The addition of optional structures which formally involve autho r ial commitm ent is identified here with an avoi dance or weakening of such commitment (cf. Halliday 1994[1985]:89, Hyland 1998:44-45 and 75, Murph y 2004:209). As anticipated in the introduction to this thesis, the addresser’s respon sibility for the reflections he/she manifests will be iden tified with a strong de gree of expressive strength. In this way, the gr eater the number of strategies the addresser introduces to diminish the strength of the discourse, th e less responsibility will be attributed to him/her. There is here a connection with the ideas of epistemic m odality, hedging, stance, and subjectivity. The expressive strength reduction achieve d by the use of each of the five variables in the present thesis is closely connected to the idea of hedging. The five variables correspond, to a certain extent, to he dges in the common se nse of the word in the literature. The co rrespondence is, however, not complete, as in the five variables the explicit expression of convict ion plays a certain role whic h would typically be excluded from the technical sense of hedging (Hyland 1998:5). On the other hand, countless linguistic strategies not subsumed under the five variables m ay be used as hedges (Hyland 1998:45). Hyland (1998:1) defines hedging as “any linguistic m eans used to indicate either a) a lack of complete commitment to the tr uth value of an accom panying proposition, or b) a desire not to express that commitment cat egorically”. On p. 3 he further explains that “hedging is one pa rt of epistemic moda lity; it indica tes an unwillingness to make an explicit and complete commitment to the truth o f propositions”. The relationship between a lack of commit ment on the part of the addresser and epistemic modality is pointe d out by Lyons (1977). Ind eed, m any authors continue to quote Lyons (1977) in that regard (as in many others concerning semantics; cf. also the summary in Lyons 1981). Lyons (1977:792) expl ains that “any utterance in which the speaker explicitly qualifies his commitm ent to the truth of the proposition expressed by the sentence he utters [...] is an epis temically modal, or modalised sentence” ( apud Hyland 1998:2). Chapter 2. Survey of earlier research 39 Modality concerns the addresser’ s standpoint (Lyons 1977:452, Halliday 1994[1985]:75, Hyland 1998:44). Hyland (1998:44) explains that essentially modality is concerned with the addresser’s “standpoint, judging the truth of statements in term s of possibility, probability or certainty. In e ssence modality qualifies th e categorical”. According to Perkins (1983:8), m odality “can be understoo d in terms of the possible worlds in which [events and propos itions] can be conceived of as being real or true”. Perkins (1983:87) explains that modality “i s fun damentally a relationship between a set of circumstances and a proposition/event relative to a cert ain set of laws”. As Perkins (1983:10) points out, “the nu mber of m odalities one decides upon is to some extent a matter of different ways of slicing the sam e cak e”. Perkins (1983) divides m odality into three block s, namely epistemic m odalities, deontic modalities, and dynamic m odalities. Epistemic m odalities relate to truth, knowledge and belief. The laws determining the occurren ce of this type of modalities are rational laws. Deontic modalities relate to obligation and perm issi on as determined by authority (both legal and institutional authority as well as a more personal authority related to socia l status). The laws determining the occurre nce of this type of modalities are social laws. Dynamic modalities relate to physical necessity and possib ility. For Perkins (1983), likelihood and boulomaic (also called volitio nal) modalities are subsum ed under the concept of dynamic modalities. The laws determ ining the occurrence of dynamic modalities are natural laws (for boulom aic m oda lities, specifically psycho logical laws). Other authors divide the ‘cake’ of m odality into two main pieces, namely epistemic modality and deontic m odality ( e.g. Lyons 1977; Palm er 1990[1979], Hyland 1998). Hyland (1998:44) explains that epistemic m odality “expresses the speaker’s opinion or belief concerning the truth of what is said”, while deontic modality “indicates his or her observations about the necessity or obligation to perform particular actions”. Hyland (1998:44-45) explains that epistem ic modality refers to items used to display confidence, or lack of confidence, in the truth of propositional information. Hedging is one aspect of epistemic modality, concerned with personal judgements based on a lack of knowledge. It therefore possesses two important pr operties: ‘non factivity’ (L yons, 1977: 795) and subjectivity (Perkins, 1983: 68). Chapter 2. Survey of earlier research 46 of the viewer. This alternative distribu tion considerably lessens the asym metry on which the subjectivity/objectivity binomial is based. For instance, the occurren ce of the first person singular subject pronoun in English, I , may be located in the middle point of a gradation as follows: the foca lised elem ent in the canonical case (externa l to speaker) is highly objective; the representati on of the speaker through the pronoun I is somewhere between objective and subjective; the im plicit presence of the speaker in the m essage is highly subjective (with high s ubjectivity being equated to expressive strength and the complete commitment of the speaker to the message) (cf. Langacker 1999:389, note 7). To illustrate this, let us consid er again the following examples: 1. The concern of Robert Hughes is appr opriate and completely legitimate. 2. I think the concern of Robe rt Hughes is appropriate and completely legitim ate. The focalised elem ent in the canonical case, externa l to speaker, is illus t rated in example 1. This ex ample cons ists of opinion with third person singular reference, opinion which, in terms of the conceptual pr ocess, is highly obj ective. Example 2 focalises on two elements, ‘I think’ and ‘the concern of Robert Hughes is appropriate and completely leg i timate’. Because it focalis es o n ‘I think’, it is not the canonical case. In this exa mple, “I think” is halfway be tween subjective a nd objective in terms of the conceptual process. It is sub jective to the extent that it represen ts the conceptualiser (equivalent to the viewer and to th e addresser). It is objective to the extent that it is explicitly expressed in the me ssage and is thus part of th e linguistic object which is presented to addressees. The subjectivity pol e is illustrated by the im plicit presence of the conceptualiser in ex ample 1. In this exam ple, the el ement ‘I think’ is not exposed, it is not expressed, it is not a li nguistic object. Ho wever, the el ement is implicitly present. Certainly, in this example the idea that the concern of Robert Hughes is appropriate and completely legitim ate will be interpreted by addressees as the personal opinion of the Chapter 2. Survey of earlier research 47 addresser, so the elem ent ‘I th ink’ is virtually present. Th is virtual pres ence of this element in exam ple 1 places this element at the subjectivity pole. The relevance of Langacker’s (1999) reflec tions for this th esis is best seen as regards variable 1 (cf. B enveniste 1971: 10 and 228, Villar Conde 2002, and subsection 3.2.1 below), a variable which directly invol ves authorial self-reference. In this connection, it is important to note that Spanish yo is tonic and optional in contrast to English I , which tends to be unstressed and ob ligatory. But Spanish verb inflection provides for the subjective-objective intermed iate position of the speaker through the verb ending ( e.g. Spanish piens o). Thus, the two languages are able to reduce expressive strength thro ugh the use of a perc eption/epistemic/speech verb in first person singular reference, whether th is is done through a first person singu lar subject pronoun + predicator or through a pred icator itself containing the first person singular subject reference. Different variants may be f ound for the two languages: for instance, the emphatic in clusion of the (typ ically omitted) subject in Sp an ish. On the other hand, all the variable s of this thesis expo se the ‘gla sses’ with which the idea ex pressed is seen, diminishing in som e way or other the a ddresser’s responsibil ity for the m essage, i.e. , the expressive strength of the message. Having su rveyed the relevan t ideas in Langacker (1999), let us examine relevant findin gs on expressive strength reduction. 2.3.2 Expressive strength reduction in genera l and in genres different from press reportage, press editorial and academic prose This subsection examines previous findings on linguistic expressions which form part of or are related to the variables, in general and in genres other than the three genres conforming the corpus for this thesis -press reportage, press editorial and academic prose, see chapter 4-. The definition of the five linguistic variables which will be the object of analysis can be found in chapter 3. Biber et al. (1999:chapter 12) search for gramma tical m arkers of stance. Their corpus of British and Am erican English has a spoken section consisting of conversation and a written section divided into newspape r language, academic prose and fiction (cf. Chapter 2. Survey of earlier research 48 the division of the written language corpus for this thesis into press reportage, press editorial and academ ic prose). The gramma tical stru ctures they examine include adverbials (cf. variable 3, ‘probably’), clauses governing complem ent clauses (cf. especially variables 1, ‘ I think’, and 2, ‘it se ems’), what they term semi-modals and modals , and evaluative structures such as amazing . Biber et al. (1999:979) find that “[s]tance markers are considerably more co mmon in conversation than in the written registers”, and that “[a]t the sam e time, stance m arkers are surprisingly common in the written registers”. On the same page they observe that written texts lack “the high personal involvement of conversation, where it is always topical to talk about oneself ”, due to which “it is not surprising that stance markers are used m ost frequently in this register”. In terms of frequency in speech, it seem s interesting to refer to a couple of findings from an earlier stage of the present research. In m y 2001 essay I analysed six variables broadly corresponding to variables 1 (‘ I think’), 2 (‘it seems’) and 3 (‘probably’) in this thesis 24 . The corpus contained some nine thousand five hundred words of spoken British English, some nine thousand of spoken Castilian Spanish, and some nine thousand of spoken Galician 25 . Using normalised frequencies 26 , there were 574 examples of variables per 90,000 words in English, and 484 in Spanish. On the basis of frequencies and speaking genera lly, Spanish was stronger than English, although Galician was yet stronge r. On the other hand, variable 1 (‘I think’) yielded 292 examples per 90,000 words in English, and 168 in Spanish. Variable 2 (‘it seems’) yielded 47 examples per 90,000 words in Engl ish, and 49 in Spanish. And variable 3 (‘probably’) yielded 226 examples per 90,000 words in English, and 266 in Spanish. Another relevant idea c oncerns implicitness, explic itness and ambiguity in the attribution of stance. The author of a message m ay attr ibute stance to him/herself and/or to others. Biber et al. (1999:976-978) explain that stance-marking linguistic expressions controlling a complement clause and involving first person reference, such 24 In this st udy, variables wi th ver b s of speec h were not incl uded. 25 The “Corpus Oral del Castellano”, accessible on the web (see References under Marcos Marín), contains 17 texts fr om a la rger corpus of Spanish t exts from the oral register. Some of them constituted the Spanish part of the corpus in Villar Conde (2001, 2002)-. For the Galician part I transcribed so me texts from the radio, used al ready transcribe d text s in Fernández Rei and He rmida Gulías (ed. ) (1996), and adapted a few transcrib ed texts in Vá zquez-Monx ardín Fern ández (ed.) (1997). 26 On normal ised frequencies, see e.g. Fanego (1 996:11 4, note 13). Chapter 2. Survey of earlier research 49 as I think (cf. variable 1, ‘I think’) or it seems to me (cf. variable 2, ‘it seems’), explicitly attribute s tance to the author, stance-marking passive verbs in extraposed constructions such as it has been suggested (also forming part of variable 2) are ambiguous as to whose stance is at stake, and stance ad verbials, wher e variable 3 (‘probably’) belongs, and the expression it seems not accompanied by to me , attribute stance to the author implicitly. In this connection, Holmes (1982:27, 1988:43) classifies it seems to me as a personalised pattern and it seems as an impersonalised pa ttern. Turning back to Biber et al. ’s (1999:chapter 12) classificati on, they point out that with phrases such as they say (cf. variable 4) the author attri butes stance to others explicitly. Using their classification for two ty pes of linguistic expres sions they do not consider, with the verbless variant of variable 5 ( e.g. with the phrase according to them ), the author would attribute stance to others explicitly, and the vari ant with a verb of varia ble 5 ( e.g. the phrase as they say ) would sim ultaneously attribute stance to the author implicitly and to others explicitly (although in Spanish even the variant with a verb would commonly only serve for the explicit at tribution of stance to others). Truly, human reference in the third person is not specialised in signalling the stance of the author. This is consistent with the reduced pres ence of linguistic expr essions involv ing human reference in the third person in studies of authorial stance ( e.g. Biber and Finegan 1988, 1989, Biber et al. 1999:chapter 12, Nuyts 200 1, Kärkkäinen 2003). Not with authorial stance but at leas t with stance is connected the reference to other people in the third person in Biber et al. (1999:976). Another relevant idea concerns position in the sentence. Very generally, the literature connects the marki ng of authorial stance to se ntence-initial position. The convenience to give shape to authorial stan ce as soon as possible in the message in order to let addressees know as soon as possibl e the frame in which the message is to be understood has been noted by e.g. Biber et al. (1999:chapter 12) and Nuyts (2001). On the other ha nd, final position for ep istemic expressions has been noted in Kärkkäinen (2003) as not very exceptional in (Am e rican) English speech, in connection with essential characteristics of the oral discourse, among others spontaneity. And there is also the question of m obility. Numerous aut hors highlight th e mobility o f adverbs as an advantage in signalling authorial stance ( e.g. Hyland 1998:134-135, Nuyts 2001:57, Kärkkäinen 2003:46). A supero rdinate clause such as I thin k or I would have thought is Chapter 2. Survey of earlier research 50 not as easy to m ove as an adverb. The superordinate clause must appear before its complem ent when the complem entiser that is present. When the superordinate clause appears in the middle of its com plement, the superordinate clause m ust be isolated by pauses in speech and by commas in writing, and some authors would consider it an adverbial ( e.g. Biber et al. 1999:chapter 12). The m obility of adverbs and adver b phrases has been considered an advantage in th e introduction of epistemic stance in the sense that it allows one to combine a genera l perspective on the whole sentence with a certain focus upon specific constituents of the sentence (on the ambivalence of adverbs to modulate a sentence and part of it, see Quirk et al. 1991[1985]:583-584). Another advantage of the mobility of adve rbs and ad verb phrases is that it facilitates the organisation of information in the sentence (th e relative positions of given and new information, Nuyts 2001:chapter 2). Other relevant ideas arise from consider ation s of Spanish grammar. In the exhaustive, contemporary gramm ar of Span ish by Bosque and Demonte (ed.) (1999a, b and c), there are some references to structur es to a certain extent corresponding to some of our variables, references typically a ssociating those struc tures with epistemic modality. In the section more concerned wi th textual analysis, the first section in Bosque and Demonte (ed.) (1999c), entitled Entre la orac ión y el discurso , we find the expressions desde luego , por supuesto , claro and sin duda (a ll of them forming part of variable 3, ‘probably’) analysed as “m arcadores del discurso”, specifically in the chapter by Martín Zorraquino and Portolés Lázaro (1999). “Marcadores del discurso” are defined as “unidades lingüísticas inva riables [cuyo cometido es ] el de guiar, de acuerdo con sus distintas propiedad es morfos intácticas, semánticas y pragm áticas, las inferencias que se realizan en la comunicac ión” (Martín Zorraquino and Portolés Lázaro 1999:4057). These authors consider desde luego , por supuesto , claro and sin duda specifically as “m arcadores conversaciona les”, m ore specifically “de modalidad epistémica”, and still m ore specifically “de ev idencia (II)”, this latter label referring to particles which, besides expressing ev idence, “admiten la com binación con que para reiterar un m iembro del discurso p recedente ( claro que lo sabe; desde luego que sí; por supuesto que lo ha dicho, etc.)” (p. 4149). Chapter 2. Survey of earlier research 51 Martín Zorraquino and Portolés Lázaro (1999:4146) point to an equivalence between “marcadores co nversacionales de m odalidad epistém ica” and other structures, offering the following examples for com parison and contrast: 3. Juan, claro , vendrá el lunes. [cf. our variable 3, ‘probably’] 4. Confirmo que Juan vendrá el lunes. [c f. our variable 1, ‘I think’] 5. Está claro que Juan vendrá el lunes. [c f. our variable 2, ‘it seems’] The connection between their “m arcadores c onversacionales de modalidad epistém ica” and the expression of authorial stance in terms of avoidance of comm it ment is reinforced when they connect their ‘convers ational markers of epis temic modality’ to structures such as en mi opinión (f orming part of our variable 3, ‘probably’), pointing out that through these “el hablante com promete su responsabilid ad en la verdad de lo dicho” (p. 4159, note 113). Besides en mi opinión , a linguistic structure which they do not classify as a conversational marker of epistemic modality but which they nevertheless bring into cons ideration when analysing conversational markers of epistemic modality, and which also forms part of our variable 3, is al parecer . On p. 4160 they explain the following: Un médico, después de examinar a una paci ente que ha acudido ansiosa a su consulta, le puede decir, por ejemplo, una de las dos frases siguientes: a. Señora, está Ud. embarazada. b. Señora, al parecer, está Ud. embarazada. Con la primera frase, el médico comprome te su responsabilidad sobre lo dicho. Con la segunda, da a entender que necesita más pruebas para dar un diagnóstico seguro. This subsection cannot be closed without mentioning som e findings concerning the function of variable 1. Variab le 1 is the ‘I think’ variable, as the expression epitomising it is I th ink , although this variable comprises either a first person singular or plural pronoun + a verb of vision/conceptu alisation/communication. In fiction writing Chapter 2. Survey of earlier research 52 in English, Aijmer (1998) finds that the phrase I think may be used to convey the meaning of subjective opinion, subjective ev aluation, or hedge or belief evidential, meanings which are not delim ited by clearcu t boundaries. More im portant than this general observation for the analysis in this th esis are two other findings. A use to fram e the author’s curren t personal perspective has been identifi ed specifically for the phrase I think in American conversational English by Kärkkäinen (2003), among a num ber of other uses. A sim ilar framing role is identif ied for the u se of verbs of cognition in first person singular in the present tense by N uyts (2001:39), for spoken and written Dutch, German and English 27 . 2.3.3 Expressive strength reduction in academic prose A very large number of authors exam in e the use of hedges in academic prose 28 . This is logical given the central role of hedging in that genre. Ken Hyland is probably the author who has produced a greater number of works on hedging in scientific writing in English. Hyland (1998) analyses the use of hedges in a corpus of 26 research articles in the field of cell and molecular biology totall ing 75,000 words. The articles “appeared in 6 mainstream, professional, refe reed international journa ls published in the Netherlands (4), USA (1) and France (1) between 1988 and 1993” and they “were written in English by scientists affiliated to institutions in 11 countries, princ i pally the US and UK” (p. 96). He distinguishes five types of lexical hedges, namely lexical verbs, adverbs, adjectives, modal verbs and modal nouns. For le xical verbs (cf. variab les 1, ‘I think’, 4, ‘they say’, and 5, ‘as they say’, in this thes is) the frequency per thousand words is 4.9. For adverbs (cf. variable 3, ‘p robably’) the frequency is 4.4. For adjectives (cf. variable 2, ‘it seems’, com prising structures such as it is obvious ) it is 3.9. For modal verbs it is 3.5 and for modal nouns it is 1.1. The frequency for the five types of lexical hedges all 27 Nuyts ( 2001) uses a corpus for D u tch and German and const ructed exampl es for English. 28 As discussed above, hedges are part of epis temic m odality. For an analysis of expressions of deontic modality in academic prose, see G iltrow (2005). Both epi ste mic and deontic modality in academic prose are dealt with by Piq ué-Angordans, Posteguillo and Andreu -Besó (2002). On the other hand , hedging in academic spoken E nglish is dealt w ith in Poos a nd Simpson (2002). Chapter 2. Survey of earlier research 53 together is 17.8. He also di stinguishes three types of st rategic hedges, namely the reference to limiting conditions, the referen ce to a m odel, theory or method, and the admission to a lack of knowledge. The three of these together have a frequency of 3.1. Hyland (1998:119) explains that “[e] pistem ic lexical verbs such as suggest , indicate , and predict [...] represent the m ost transpar ent means of coding the subjectivity of the epistemic source and are generally used to hed ge either commitment or assertiveness”. On p. 130 he indicates th at the relative frequencies of adjectives, adverbs and nouns make up about a half of the to tal for the five types of lexical hedges. On the same page he explains that “epistem ic adjectives and nouns are more frequent in writing than speech with adverbs and adjectiv es particularly prevalent in the RA data”. One fifth of the lexical hedges in his corpus are adjectiv es, “with the most frequent items being (un) likely and possible (each 3.1 per 10,000 words), most (2.3), and consistent with (2.0). All these items serve to reduce the writer’s categorical commitment” (pp. 130-131). As for epistemic adverbs, “while most forms are closely related to equivalen t adjectival fo rms, it is the adverbs which predom inate in the corpus” (p. 134). On pp. 134-135 he signals that the mobility of adverbs provides the addresser with the opportunity to thematise the modality of the sen t ence by placing the adverb at the beginning or to inser t the modality intrasententially. On hedging in scientific writing in E nglish, Hyland (1998) makes clear three basic ideas: 1) Hedging in sc ientific writing in English is extremely frequent and varied 29 ; the expression of new knowl edge tends to be hedged, so, if a statement is not hedged, it tends to present know ledge already established and accepted by the scientific community. This explains the relative lack of hedging devices in textbooks (for which cf. also McCabe 2004 and Parkinson and Ad endorff 2005). 2) It may focus upon the propositional content (as with approximators such as almost or about ) or upon the relationship between the propositional content and the author (as with phrases such as I believe ). 3) It has an epistem i c dimension, be ing used to signal a lack of com plete 29 On p. 246 he notes the follo wing: The rich variet y of hedging devices i n Engli sh demonstrates t he importa nce of this funct ion and is perhaps related to the predominan ce of Englis h as the language of published academic discourse. Biology research articles are massively hedged. Hedg es represent about one word in every 50 in the corpus, i n creasing t o one every 36 in discussi ons. This is a fre quency much highe r than many ot her linguisti c features which rece ive more attent ion in ap plied linguist ics and in ESP peda gogy and is a figure which s uggests that hedging m u st be treated with due serious ness. Chapter 2. Survey of earlier research 54 certainty, and a rethorical and social dimens ion, being used to show a deference towards the addressees and the s cientific community in general (the author does not want new knowledge to be imposed, so the principle of non-interference is again relevant) 30 . After a rigorous and detailed corpus-b ased analysis of hedges in English scientific writing, Hyland (1998: 246) concludes the following: Interpersonally , hedges are employed to acknowledge the reader’s right to refute claims by marking statements as provisional until accepted by peers. Institutionally , they assist writers in creating an appropriate professional persona, demonstrating a commitment to the norms of a fraternity of scientists in which deference, debate, a shared approach to truth values, and resp ect for the views of others are valued communicative principles. More recently, Hyland (2004a) explores what he identifies as the con stituents of persuasion in academic writing, n amely citation (cf. variab les 4, ‘they say’, and 5, ‘as they say’, in this the sis), inter action, and se l f-mention (cf. variable 1, ‘I think’). It is interesting to note in this connection that the reduction of the strength of a linguistic expression may paradoxically be used to re inforce conviction on the idea expressed, in other words, to persuade. The perspective of non-native speaker s of English is considered by some authors. Figueiredo Silva (2004) considers th e difficulties of L2 learners in Portugal to identify hedging in English academic writi ng. De Rezende and He mais’ (2004) analysis of hedging in articles in the area of Health Studies suggest s a greater variety and amount of hedges in the English used by Brazilians than by English native sp eakers. Hewings and Hewings (2002) compare a corpus of di ssertations by nonnatives and a corpus of journal articles from Business S t udies. Considering structures such as it is interesting to note that... , they note more strength in the co rpus of dissertations by nonnatives. 30 Both Hyland’s (19 98) corpus and my corpu s cons ist of written tex ts. For the relevance of “face relationships”, “pattern s of politeness” and “rhetorical strategies” in written texts, see Scollon and Scollo n (2001[1995]:10 1-104). Contrast as well th e disregard for “p oliteness strategies” and the favou ring of intensifying rath er than h edging devices in criticis m in sc ience pointed ou t by Lewin (2005a), and the observation b y Lewin (2005b) that authors do no t mention politeness as a gen eral motivation for hedging . For a development o f Hyland’s ideas about in terper sonal relati onships i n academ ic writing, see Hyla nd (2004a, 2004b, 20 08). On interper sonality in co nnection with hedging, see White (2003) -more theoretical - and Abdi (2002), who not es that writers in the social sciences use interpersonal metadiscourse more frequently than those in the natural sciences. Chapter 2. Survey of earlier research 55 Donohue (2006) notices a wide range of moda l forms in British and North-Am erican economic forecasting, which are rarely used by Dutch economists producing forecasts in English. Considering hedges, booste rs, contrastive disc ourse markers and consecutive discourse markers, Mendiluce Ca brera (2005) points to a possible process of negative transfer when Spanish authors wr ite their biom edical research papers in English. These studies point to a close link between English academic prose and hedging particularly hard to master from the non-native perspective. The exception seems to be the favouring of hedging in Engl ish by Brazilians as com pared to English natives, as reported by De Rezende and Hemais (2004). Numerous studies com p are and contrast English with other languages. Salager- Meyer and Alcaraz Ariza (2007) analyse book re views in medical journals in English, French and Spanish. They suggest that Span ish reviews are m ore cr itical than English and French reviews. They also note a tendency in French reviews to attribute faults personally to the author, versus a tendency in English and S panish reviews to attribute faults to the book or chapter. Kong (2006) notes a less frequent use of m itigators in research articles in Chinese ve rsus English. Again, it is English that appears as more oriented towards expressive strength reduction. A diachronic perspective is adopted in Salager-Meyer, Alcaraz Ariza and Zambrano (2002, 2003) and Alcaraz Ariza and Sa lager-Meyer (2003). Salager-Meyer, Alcaraz Ariza and Zambrano (2002, 2003) analyse a corpus of Spanish, French and English medical articles published betw een 1930 and 1995. Though in general they note that Spanish and French academ ic prose is more passionate and blunt than English, they also find a marked progression of Spanish prose towards the indirectness of English. Alcaraz Ariza and Salager-Meyer (200 3) analyse critical comments in m edical papers in Spanish published between 1930 and 1999 and they note the influence upon Spanish of the typically Anglo-Saxon indire ctness since about 1990 as the “cutting off” period 31 . 31 Alread y in 1995 , in a study contra sting English, Sp anish an d German as r egards social d eixis and courtesy in scientific texts, Hern ández Sacristán (1 995) poi nted out that massi ve translation from English into Span ish was altering the Spanish norm. For in stance, noun phrases functio ning as subject such as este libro were enteri ng translations of E nglish scienti fic te xts, where a ‘m odesty plural’ -k nown in gramm ars of English as editorial “we” (Herná ndez Sacristán 1999: 105)- woul d be more natural in Spanish. On the oth er hand, in Hernández Sacristán’ s (1995:480- 481) word s, Chapter 3. Variables and methodology 62 1. He is staying with his aunt because th e College food is wretched and th e rooms aren’t heated. 2. The College food is wretched and the rooms aren’t heated. In example 1, we could have “his friends sa y”, an exam ple of variable 4 (‘they say’), modulating the clause “the College food is wretched” (which is not a sentence) as follows: 3. He is staying with his aunt because the College food, his friends say , is wretched, and the rooms aren’t heated. We could also find “His friends say” modula ting the whole utteran ce in example 1, that is to say, modulating a structure which is at the same tim e a clause and a (complex) sentence, as follows: 4. His friends say he is staying with his aunt b ecause the College food is wretch ed and the room s aren’t heated. And we could find “His friends say” modulati ng the entire utteran ce in exam ple 2, that is to say, modulating a stru cture which is a (compound) sent ence but not a clause, as follows: 5. His friends say the College food is wretched and the rooms aren’t heated. It can never be forgotten that we are thi nking not only in gram m atical but also in pragmatic term s. This justifies that we re fer to “the College f ood is wretched and the Chapter 3. Variables and methodology 63 rooms aren’t heated ” in example 5 as a sentence even thou gh the introduction of the variable “His friends say” in that example carries with it the creation of a new sentence. The clause or sentence modulated by a variable is declar ative, expressing information and/or opinion. It involves an affirm ed or negated proposition. In othe r words, it is a positive or negative statem ent. It cannot be a desire or an outburst of emotion as typical of exclamatory clauses, an order, request or other va rian t of addressee-oriented text as t ypical of imperative clauses, or a question as typical of interrogative clauses. The exclusion of inte rrogatives affects both direct and indirect ones. The presence of question marks (<¿> , <?>) in the clause or sentence which constitutes the modulated object of a structur e is a sign that the clause/sentence is a direct interrogative and hence the structure is not considered a variable. Indirect interrogatives are understood as Suñer’s (1999) PIV (short for preguntas indirectas verdaderas , that is to say, true indir ect interr ogatives, which introduce a question, as in Peter wondered where they had gone ) and PII (short for preguntas indirectas impropias , that is to say, untrue indirect in terrogatives, which in troduce a proposition despite being formally interrogative, as in Peter knew where they had gone ). Interrogatives are not recognised b ecause they act as a questioning technique and the interest here is in the ques tioning of ideas that is brought about by the variables rather than in ideas which are question ed previ ous to the inclusion of the variables. The subject of the clause or sentence m odulated by the variable can be elided. Thus, there is an example of variable 3 (‘probably’) in 6: 6. [The College food is good and] will probably be better next year. In Spanish, the subject can also be absent because it is simply not necessary (in the Spanish norm zero subjects can be perfectly na tural) or be cause the clause/sen tence is impersonal with unspecified subject reference and the verb in the third person plural (on this construction, see Fernández Soriano and T áboas Baylín 1999:subsection 27.2.2.2). Thus, there is an example of variable 4 (‘they say’) in 7: Chapter 3. Variables and methodology 64 7. El presidente explicó que habían atacado la sede del partido. The predicator can never be elided or ot herwise absent. Furthermore, it must be tensed or, if non-tensed, the English base form when it is a present subjunctive that is not formulaic. In other words, it ca nnot consist exclus ively of infinitive ( amar ), present participle ( amando ) or past participle ( amado ) for Spanish, or of the base form (unless it is a present subjunctive that is not formulaic), the - ing f o r m o r t h e - en form/past participle for English. The label base form is understood here as in Huddleston (1984:section 2.4), to cover both the infinitive form and the so-called pres ent subjunctive ( e.g. I insist that he come ), but not the simple present form. The label subjunctive is understood as in Quirk et al. (1991[1985]:sections 3.59-3.62). The recognition of the p r esent subjunctive f or English can be jus tified on three grounds. First, it is “reasonable to say that where the base form can be analysed either as an indicative or as a subjunctive, ther e is a neutralization of the two moods: Our decision is that the schools remain closed ” -this neu tralisation holds in m a ny cases, though there are the exceptions corresponding to the third person si ngular and to the peculiar grammar of the verb be - (Quirk et al. 1991[1985]:157). Second, “[t]he subjunctive in modern English is generall y an optional and stylistically somewhat marked variant of othe r constructi ons” (Quirk et al. 1991[1985]:155). Third, this dissertation considers the Spanis h subjunctive. Note as well in this connection that the English past subjunctive is recognised because its form is a tensed form, namely the past tense ( e.g. took ; Huddleston 1984:section 2.4). The English formulaic present subjunctive is not recognised b ecause it ca rries the force “of an expression of will” (Quirk et al. 1991[1985]:158). To sum up, the clause/sentence which constitutes the m odulated object of a variable is declarative, its subject can be absent under certain circum stances, and its predicator cannot be absent a nd has to be tensed or the E nglish present subjunctive that is not formulaic. When the modulated object of a variable consists of two or m ore coordinated clauses, the requirement of being declarative will be fulfilled by all of them , and the requirements on subject and predicator by at least one of them. Thus, there is an Chapter 3. Variables and methodology 65 example of variable 4 (‘they say’) in “Queremos cantar y bailar.”, dijeron (the sequence of clauses modulated by the variable is declarative, and the clause “Queremos cantar” fulfils the requirements on subject and predicator), but no example in “Estoy enfadado, y ¿qué pasa si lo estoy?”, dijo (the second coordina ted clause is not declarative). It must be noted that this holds fo r a modulated object which consis ts of a sequence of coordinated clause s. If the modulated object contains su ch a sequence and some extra com ponent which is superordinate to the sequence, attention will be paid not to the sequence, but to the superordina t e elem ent, which will have to fulfil the requirements on clause type and on subject an d predicator summarised in the previous paragraph. Thus, in “María dijo cuántos vendrían y a qué hora llegarían”, explicó Pedro , the sequence of (untrue indirect) inte rrog ative clauses “cuántos vendrían y a qué hora llegarían” entails the exclusion of “María dijo” as a variable, but not the exclusion of “explicó Pedro”. When the modulated object of a variable consists of a sequence of clauses separated by commas and forming a textua l quotation between inverted comm as, t he requirements on c l ause type and on subjec t and predicator will be fulfilled by the topmost superordin ate clause if there is one, or by every clause in the sequence if they are at the sam e level. Thus, there is no variable in “Confiad en Mí, Yo he vencido el mundo”, nos dice nuestro amado Señor. (lines 110-111 of sample SB09, Spanish press editorial, letters to the editor -on the corpus, see the next chapter-), because “Confiad en Mí” is an imperative clause and is not subordinate to th e clause w hich fulfils the requirements, “Yo he vencido el mundo”. It m ust be not ed that this holds for a modulated object which consists of a sequence of clauses separated by comm as and forming a textual quotation between invert ed commas. If the modulated object contains such a sequence and some extra component which is superordinat e to the sequence, attention w ill be paid not to the sequ ence, but to the superordinat e element, which will have to fulfil the requirements on clause t ype and on subject and predicator summarised above. Thus, in “La presidenta dijo ‘confíen en el Gobierno, abandonen la desconfianza’”, explica el diario , the sequence of imperative clauses “confíen en el Gobierno, abandonen la desconfianz a” entails the exclusion of “La presidenta dijo” as a variable, but not the exclusi on of “explica el diario”. Chapter 3. Variables and methodology 66 Always thinking in terms of grammar and of pragmatics, we can conceive of a structure formed by the following four com p one nts: a variab le, elements having a grammatical function in the clau se to which the variable di rectly belongs and which are not superordinate to or independent of the variable and its modulated object -these are not always present-, the connective introduci ng the modulated object -this is not always present-, and the modulated object. In other words, we can consider today Mary to ld me she was happy as a structure, which is made up of a variable (“Mary to ld”), the extra elements “today” and “m e”, and the variable ’s modulated object “she was happy”. Or we can consider the president said that things were changing as a structure, form ed by a variable (“the presiden t said”), the connective introducing the modulated object (“that”) , and the modulated object (“things were changing”). In term s of grammar and pragmatics, we can conceive of this structure as a clause or a sentence. This structu re must fulfil the requirements on clau se type summed up above, to the exception that it can be an untrue indirect interro gativ e. In other words, it is a declarative structure or an untrue indirect interrogative (for details see the explanation above). On the other hand, the only connective recogni sed to introduce the modulated object is E nglish that or Spanish (de) que (never used with the subordinate variable 5, ‘as they say’, or, in English, with variable 3, ‘probably’). This thesis takes the variable, the connective, and the clause/sentence modulated by the variable as three different elements (contrast the view of the connective as part of the s ubordinate clause it introduces in Huddleston 1984:section 5.6). A variable cannot be contained in a direct in terrogative or in a true indirect interrogative . Variables 1 (‘I think’) and 4 (‘they say’) and the variant with a ve rb of variable 5 (‘as they say’ ) mu st fulfil the requirements on subject and predicator summed up above. The impersonal variable 2 (‘it seems’) must fulfil the requirements on predicator summed up above, and it and se in this variable can be elided. A variable can occur before, in the middle of or after its m o dulated object. In I claim he is wrong , the variable precedes its m odulate d object, and would be analysed as a superordinate clause b y e.g. Quirk et al. (1991[1985]). In he, I claim , is wrong , the variable is in the middle of its m odulated object. Quirk et al. (1991[1985]) analyse it as a subordinate clause, specifi cally a comment clause, func tioning as disjunct, and a Chapter 3. Variables and methodology 67 similar view is taken by Biber et al. (1999:chapter 12). Its pos ition but especially its parenthetical condition would t ypically m a ke the variable also be considered as a subordinate clause in he is wrong, I claim . For its combined gr ammatical and pragmatic focus, this thesis takes variables 1 (‘I think’ ), 2 (‘it seem s’) and 4 (‘they say’) in the three positions as supero rdinate. This homogeneous treatm ent is not incompatible w ith recognising different values. Hernández Sacristán (1999:115-116) explains that posposición de una marca de discurso referido, como la que observamos en la oración La victoria será nuestra, dijo el entrenador puede servir para realzar su función de valoración connotativa y contribuye a d estacar su carácter de elemento modalizador del resto del enunciado. La posposición del verbo de lengua obstaculiza en español la percepción unitaria de una estructura sintáctica en la que las palabras refe ridas se entienden como el objeto directo de un verbo de lengua. En esta situación (Cf. Li 1986: 34-35) la marca de discurso referido cobrar ía funciones muy parecidas a la de lo s denominados evidenciales. The analysis will take into ac count the dif ferent positions of variables and th eir significance. Two or more variables cannot have as th eir m odulated object the same linguistic material. Thus, there is no vari able in utte rances such as he considers but (he) does not admit that the problem will not be solved , or I consider but he does not admit that the problem will not be solved . This does not mean that the modulated object of a given variable cannot form part of the m odulated object of another. In fact, we will sometimes find that a variab le and its modul ated object constitute the modulated object of another variable (see chap ter 5 and appendi x III). In probably, the girls think the house is beautifu l , the modulated object of probably would be the girls think the hou se is beautiful , and the modulated object of the girls think would be the house is beautiful . The same happens with the girls probably think the house is beautiful . In structures of the type of it is thought more than it is admitted that he has not been fair , Peter thinks more than he admits that he has not been fair or I think more than Peter admits that he has not been fair , there is one example of variable per structure, namely “it is thought”, “P eter thinks” and “I think”. In contrast, in (certainly improbable) structures of the type of it is more thought (than (it was) Chapter 3. Variables and methodology 68 admitted/yesterday) that he has not been fair , there is no variable. This is consistent with the exclusion of it is more evident (than he is ready to admit) , it is as true as it was obvious/predictable/yesterday and the like. For the exclu s ion of these structures, see subsection 3.2.2. As anticipated in chapter 1 and surveyed in subsectio n 2.3.1, this thesis assum es a parallelism between the process of vision, the process of conceptualisation and the process of communication. This set of parallel processes reflects itself in the variables. The verbal component of the v ariables is accordingly very im portant, which is especially the case with variab les 1 (‘I think’), 2 (‘it seems’) and 4 (‘they say’) and the variant with a verb of variab le 5 ( ‘as they say’). What follows considers a number of verbs . These are the only verbs recognised for va riables 1 (‘I think’), 4 (‘they say ’) and 5 (‘as they say’), most of th e verbs recognised for the reflex ive passive in variable 2 (‘it seems’) in Spanish, and, excluding be aware/certain/sure , estar seguro and ser consciente , most of the verbs recognised for the passive construction in variable 2 (this variable is peculiar in its impersonal reference and involves another verb in the passive and in the Spanish refl exive passive as well as some additio nal constructions, for which see subsection 3.2.2). The verbs allude to the process of vision, conceptualisation and/or communication. The central verbs agai nst which others have been matched to decide if they qualify are see , think and say . The verb must entail support for the idea expressed, and not, per se , its rejection ( know is included but ignore is not, and so on) or mere doubt (thus, doubt is not inclu ded). This is so even if the subject of the process can reject the idea expressed in the modulated object (as in I do not think that he was wrong ) or exhibit some doubt about it (as in they suspect he was wrong ). Verbs which allude to the pr ocess of vision can refer to different ways of seeing, and include English note (= ‘notice’ or ‘make someone notice’), notice , observe , perceive and see , and Spanish advertir (= ‘notar’ o r ‘hacer notar’), notar , observar , percibir and ver . Verbs which allude to the proc ess of conceptualis ation can ref er to different ways of thinking, including the strong versions alluding to knowing, and with the possibility of a certain concessive nuance. For English, they include accept (if there is no denotation of action), acknowledge , admit , assume (= ‘suppose’), be aware , be Chapter 3. Variables and methodology 69 certain , believe , be sure (Nuyts 2001:68 defines I am sure (of it) (that...) as a strongly idiomatised construction to e xpress a subjective evaluation), concede , consider , estimate (if there is no denotation of calculation), fee l , find (= ‘consider’), know , opine , realise (= ‘be aware’), reckon (if there is no denotation of calculation), recognise , suppose , suspect and think . For Spanish, they include aceptar (if there is no denotation of action), admitir , considerar , creer , encontrar (= ‘considerar’), estar seguro , estimar (if there is no denotation of calculation), opinar , pensar , reconocer , saber , sentir ( ≠ ‘lamentar’), ser consciente , sospechar and suponer . Verbs which allude to the process of communication can refer to different ways of communicating, though always from the point of view of the addresser rather than the addresse e ( write is included but read is not, and so on). Fo r English, they inclu d e announce , argue , assure , claim , comment , confess , confirm , declare , discover (= ‘make known’), explain , express , imply , indicate , make (it) clear , mention , point out , proclaim , profess , propose (if there is no denotation of action), report , say , suggest (if there is no denotation of action), tell and write . For Spanish, they include aclarar , advertir (= ‘hacer notar ’), afirmar , anunciar , apuntar (not in apuntar a ; = ‘indicar’), argumentar , asegurar , aseverar , comentar , comunicar , confesar , confirmar , contar , decir , declarar , dejar claro , descubrir (= ‘hacer saber’), es cribir , explicar , expresar , hablar , indicar , informar , manifestar , mencionar , proclamar , proponer (if there is no denotation of action), señalar and sugerir (if there is no denotation of action). Some verbs in the preceding classifica tion may easily be placed in a different group. For instance, recognise has been placed among the verbs which allude to the process of conceptualisation, but it may be consid ered to allude to communication as well. This is quite logical, given that th is th esis assumes a parallelism between the processes of vision, conceptualisation a nd communication. Thus, strict boundaries between the three groups of verbs are not to be assumed. On the other hand, the verbs in the list of 13 semantic prim es in Wierzbicka (1992:10) are say , want , feel , think , and know , and there are “som e words -such as see - which are probably not elementary but which are reasonably close to the level of primitives” (pp. 34-35). Wierzbicka (2006) increases the num ber of semantic primes to “s ixty or so” (p. 17), and offers a table -very similar to the one in W ierzbicka (1997:26 )- of semantic prim es which includes, classified as “m ental/experiential predicates”, think , know , want , feel , see , and hear , Chapter 3. Variables and methodology 70 and, classified as “speech”, say , words , and true (p. 18). Let us note that see , think , and say , essential in the variables in this thesis, are also significant in term s of communication world-wide accordin g to Wi erzbicka’s (2006:17-18) classification. These are the lists of English and Span ish verbs, considering the three groups (vision, thought, and co mmunication) together: ENGLISH: accept [if there is no den otation of action] acknowledge admit announce argue assume [if it means ‘supposing’] assure be aware be certain believe be sure claim comment concede confess confirm consider declare discover [if it means ‘making som eone know’] estimate [if there is no de notation of calculation] explain express feel find [if it means ‘considering’] imply indicate know make (it) clear mention note [not if it means ‘noting down’] notice observe opine perceive point out proclaim profess propose [if there is no denotation of action] realise [if it means ‘being aware’; no t if it means ‘becoming aware’] Chapter 3. Variables and methodology 71 reckon [if there is no denotation of calculation] recognise report say see suggest [if there is no denotation of action] suppose suspect tell think write SPANISH: aceptar [if there is no denotation of action] aclarar admitir advertir [if it means ‘notici ng’ or ‘m aking someone notice’] afirmar anunciar apuntar [not in apuntar a ; if it means ‘indicating’] argumentar asegurar aseverar comentar comunicar confesar confirmar considerar contar creer decir declarar dejar claro descubrir [if it means ‘making som e one know’] encontrar [if it means ‘considering’] escribir estar seguro estimar [if there is no denotation of calculation] explicar expresar hablar indicar inform ar manifestar mencionar notar observar opinar Chapter 3. Variables and methodology 78 as complement of th e adjective, and with duda , in which the m odulated object is a complement of the noun. 3.2.3 Variable 3 (‘probably’) Variable 3 (‘probably’) focuses on the pr ocess of vision/concep tualisation/language through a disjunct. Disjunc ts are described by Quirk et al. (1991[1985]:chapter 8). Let us survey this description before the char acterisation of the variable is com pleted. Quirk et al. (1991[1985]:613) indicate that disj uncts “have a superior role as compared with the sen t ence elements; th ey ar e syntactically more detached and in so me respects ‘superordin ate’, in that they s eem to have a scope that extends over the sentence as a whole”. There are style disjunc ts and content or att itudinal disjuncts, the larger class. Style disjuncts “convey the speaker’s comment on the style and form of what he is saying, defining in some way under what conditi ons he is speaking as the ‘authority’ f or the utterance”. Content di s j uncts “make observations on the actual content of the utterance and its truth c onditions”. Style disjuncts can convey the addresser’s comment as rega rds m odality and manner ( e.g. truthfully , bluntly , if I may say so ) or as regards re spect ( e.g. in broad terms , personally ). Content disjuncts can make an observation as regards the degree of or conditions for the truth of the content ( e.g. really , certainly , if he’d listened ) or as regards a value judgem e nt of the content ( e.g. understandably , wisely , to everyone’s surprise ) (Quirk et al. 1991[1985]:615). In brief, disjuncts can be divided as follows: -style disjuncts: modality and m anne r, respect -content disjuncts: (degr ee of or conditions for) truth, value judgement Let us note that Quirk et al. ’s (1991[1985]:chapter 8) cont ent disjuncts of truth and content disjuncts of value judgement are respectively Gree nbaum and Quirk’s (1990:181-184) content disjuncts of certainty and conten t disjuncts of evaluation. Examples of sentences with a m oda lity and manner style disjunct are “ Frankly , I am tired” or “ Brie fly , there is nothing more I can do about it”. The use of respect style Chapter 3. Variables and methodology 79 disjuncts is illustrated by sentences such as “She was strictly out of order in adjourning the meeting at that point” or “ Person ally , I find the music too arid” (pp. 615-616). Content disjuncts of truth present a comment on the truth value of what is said, expressing the extent to which, and the conditions under which, the speaker be lieves that what he says is true. Her e belong the great classes of hypothetical clauses on which closely reasoned discourse depends. (p. 620) Apart from other realisations such as clau ses, content disjuncts of truth can (and are prototypically) realised by adverbs. Adverb s functioning as content disjuncts of truth can be divided into three groups: those expressi ng conviction, be it as a direct statement ( e.g. undeniably ) or as an appeal to general perception ( e.g. evidently ); those expressing some degree of doubt ( e.g. apparently or doubtless ), and finally those indic ating the sense in which the addresser judges the idea expressed as true or false ( e.g. actually or really ). For content disjuncts of value judgement, Quirk et al. (1991[1985]:chapter 8) also focus on adverbs. In this way, these disjuncts can be divide d into two groups. On the one hand, there are those which express a global judgement about what is being expressed and which normally also apply the same judgem ent si multaneously to the subject of the clause, as in “‘ Rightly , Mrs Jensen consulted her lawyer’. [She was right and her action was right]”. On the other ha nd, there are those with which the clause subject is not a specific targ et of the judgement, as in “‘ Remarkably , Mrs Jensen consulted her lawyer’. [Her action was rema rkable; the speaker is not suggesting that Mrs Jensen was remarkable]”. See pp. 620-622. In this thesis the labe l disjunct encompasses the concep t in English grammar which has been surveyed in the pr eceding comments and its counterpart in Spa nish grammar (called comentario oracional periférico in Alcina Franch and Blecua (1994[1975]). For an in-depth analysis of disjuncts, see Greenbaum (1969:81-229). Variable 3 has the form of an adverb phrase or an equivalent p repositional phrase, noun phrase or clause. If its gramma tical function is considered from the point Chapter 3. Variables and methodology 80 of view of Quirk et al. (1991[1985]:chapter 8), the variable can be said to function in one of the following four ways: 1) as a content disjunct of degree of truth expressing conviction by appealing to general perception or expr essing some degree of doubt 2) as a content disjunct of va lue judgem ent pointing to evidence 3) as a modality and m anner style disjunct pointing to sincerity 4) as a respect style disjunct pointing to the p resent addresser’s perspective In English, variable 3 adopts one of the following four forms: 1) respect style disjuncts in my/our opinion , from my/our point of view 2) modality and m anner style disjuncts frankly , honestly , sincerely , truly , truthfully or variants in the p atterns in all frankness , to be frank , to speak frankly , speaking frankly or frankly speaking 3) content disjuncts alleg edly , almost certainly , almost surely , apparently , as far as I/we know , to be sure , certainly , clearly , of course , without doubt , doubtless , evidently , indubitably , that I/we know , like ly , maybe , no doubt , obviously , perhaps , possibly , presumably , probably , seemingly , supposedly , surely , undoubtedly 4) if it is possible, most , quite or very + an adverb in 2 or 3, e.g. very clearly (impossible with e.g. maybe ) Silver (2003), who questions the distinction between hedges or dim inishers and boosters or emphasisers, analyses the adverb evidently as a hedge-booster. On the other hand, the table of semantic primes in W i erzbicka (2006:18) includes, classified as “logical concepts”, not , maybe , can , because , and if (cf. the role of see , think and say in Wierzbicka’s 2006:17-18 classification, rem a rked in the survey of variables’ verbs in section 3.1 above). In Spanish, the alternatives are the following four: 1) en mi/nuestra opinión , desde mi/nuestro punto de vista 2) francamente , honestamente , sinceramente or variants in the patterns con (toda) franqueza , para ser franco/-a/-os/-as , siendo franco/-a/-os/-as , hablando francamente or francamente hablando Chapter 3. Variables and methodology 81 3) a buen seguro , aparentemente , casi seguramente , casi seguro , claramente , claro , sin duda , evidentemente , indudablemente , desde luego , sin lugar a dudas , a lo mejor , obviamente , al parecer , posiblemente , presumiblemente , presuntamente , probablemente , quizá(s) , seguramente , seguro , supuestamente , por supuesto , tal vez , que yo sepa , que nosotros/-as sepamos 4) if it is possible, bastante or muy + an adverb in 2 or 3, e.g. muy claramente , or the synthetic superlative of an adverb in 2 or 3, e.g. clarís imamente Although there is not a one-to-one correspondence, the variety of forms recognised for variable 3 matches the variet y of forms recognised for the variables in which the verbal com ponent is essential, the o ther four variables. For instance, we can take from my point of view , frankly , allegedly and probably as counterparts of, respectively, see , acknowledge , say and suppose (as in I see -an exam ple of variable 1-, it is seen -variable 2-, they see -variable 4-, or as they see -variable 5-). In the structures which involve personal reference ( e.g. in my opinion or siendo sinceros ), the personal reference must be to the pr esent addresser or add ressers in one of the following three ways: 1) first person singul ar reference to the present addresser (a single addresser), 2) first pe rson plural reference to th e present addresser (a single addresser), in the form of an editorial we , and 3) first person pl ural reference to the present addressers (a group of addressers). The addresser(s ) m ay be actual or recovered through quotation. Cf. the remarks on first pers on reference in variable 1 (‘I think’) in subsection 3.2.1. These structures are howev er a minority, and certainly not central examples of the variab le. Therefore, in this thesis variable 3 (‘probably’) is said to lack a personal reference, the same as it is sa id to lack a ten se despite the exceptional presence of tense in as far as I/we know , that I/we know and que yo sepa , que nosotros/- as sepamos . The ambivalence of a structure which may be a disjunct and an em phasising subjunct to modulate a part of a clause or sentence and the entire clause or sentence (Quirk et al. 1991[1985]:583-584) w ill not cause its exclusion . Certainly will be exclu ded when there are no clear signs that it is no t a pure emphasiser equivalent to ciertamen te . According to Wierzbicka (2006:257), certainly “is only a marginal mem ber of the class [of epistemic adverbs] (if it belongs to it at Chapter 3. Variables and methodology 82 all)”. See Wierzbicka (2006:section 8.7), ap tly entitled “The “Uncertain” Status of Certainly ”. Frankly and honestly will be excluded if there are c lear signs that the adverb is exclusively an item subj unct with subject-orientation, as in for once, they have frankly admitted their mistakes (Quirk et al. 1991[1985]:572-574). Likely will be excluded in the construction subject + be likely to + b a s e f o r m o f v e r b u n l e s s t h e r e a r e clear signs that it is an adverb. Minim iser possibly , operating upon can or could in nonassertive clauses (Quirk et al. 1991[1985]:600), is excluded. Admittedly , conceivably and personally are not recognised. Wierzbicka (2006:323, note 20) points out that admittedly “is not epis temic” and that “it presents the statement as an adm ission, but it doesn ’t weaken in any way the force of the assertion”. As for conceivably , she (2006:277) notes that it “nearly always co-occurs with the words might , may , or could ”. Wierzbicka (2006:222) calls the personally of ““Personally, I f ind Stilton too strong,” “Persona lly, I find it ridiculous,” and so f orth” a delimiter . The structure variable + modulated object conveys the addresser’s present, total or partial, recognition of the idea expressed in the modulated object. 3.2.4 Variable 4 (‘they say’) Variable 4 (‘they say’) f ocuses on someone different from the present addresser(s) and addressee(s) as the subject of the proce ss of vision/conceptualisation/language and on the process itself. This is achieved through reference to a person or several people different from the present addresser(s) and addressee(s) with a third person singular or plural subject + the predicator of that subj ect or the predicator exclusively (on om iss ion of the subject, see 3.1). They say and dicen are prototypical ex amples. Thematic alternatives ( e.g. he has thought - thought he has , está segura - segura está ) are considered. The addresser(s) may be actual or recove red through quotation. If a structure with third person reference refers to the presen t addresser(s) it will be excluded. A well-known case in point is Julius Caesar’s self-reference in the th ird person in his account of the conquest of Gaul (see e.g. García Yebra and Escolar Chapter 3. Variables and methodology 83 Sobrino (ed.) 1986:8-9). The use of thir d person for self-reference seems to be relatively co mmon in the mass m edia of the late 20 th and early 21 st centuries. Jacobs (1999:220) notes that “it is a characteristic feature of the production format of press releases that self-refere ncing is almost ex clusively realized in the third pe rson, in particular through the use of the organization’ s proper name”. News in newspapers are sometim es attributed to a third person who is in fact the author of the final text or of a previous version of it (on the complexity of authorship and authority in the written press, see Scollon 1998:chapter 6). The struct ure “writes Robert Cole” in lines 62-63 of sample EA16 of our co rpus is illustrative of this and has accordingl y been excluded (on the corpus see the next chapter). For t hose samples of the corpus belonging to the category press reportage and to the su bcategory institutional e ditorial, noun phrases with reference exclusively to the newspap er to wh ich the text belongs are considered by this thesis to involve self-r eference. The reason is that writers of news and institutional editorials are supposed to represent the stan ce of the newspaper for which they work. Thus, in texts belonging to press reportage or institution al editorial, structures such as “this newspaper said” or “The Times reporte d” do not qualify if “this newspaper” or “The Times” refer to th e newspaper to which the text belongs. As will be mentione d in the next subsection, all these restrictions on th ird person reference to self-refer also hold for variable 5 (‘as they say’). The structure variable + modulated object conveys a third party’s assumption of the idea expressed in the modulated object if th e variable’s verb is in the affirmative (as in he said the situation was changing ). If the verb is in the negativ e, the struc ture indicates the recognition of a l ack of such assumption (as in he did not say the situation was changing ). The modulated object functions as direct object of the variable’s predicator, except for examples with be aware/certain/sure , estar seguro , and ser consciente , in which the modulated object functions as complem ent of the adjective. 3.2.5 Variable 5 (‘as they say’) Chapter 3. Variables and methodology 84 Variable 5 (‘as they say’) focuses on som eone different from the present addresser(s) and addressee(s) as the subj ect of the process of vision/ conceptualisation/language and on the process itself. This is achieved through reference to a person or several people different from the present a ddresser(s) and addr essee(s) with one of the following two subordinate structures: 1) a subordinating conjunction + a th ird person singular or plural subject with human reference + the predicator of that subj ect or the conjunction and the predicator exclusively (on omi ssion of the subject, see 3.1), or 2) a preposition or a fixed prepositional expre ssion ( e.g. according to or from the point of view of ) + a noun phrase with third person singular or plural , human reference or a fixed prepositional expression containing a possessive determiner w ith the possessor being a third person human referent (as in from his/Peter’s point of view ). Altern ative 1 is the variant with a verb of variable 5, and as they say and como dicen are prototypical exam ples. Alternative 2 is th e verbless variant of variable 5, and according to them and según ellos are prototypical exam ples. Thematic alternatives ( e.g. como ellos dicen - como dicen ellos ) are considered. The addresser(s) m ay be actual or recovere d through quotation. In English, the variant with a verb of variable 5 adopts the form as + subject + predicator if the subj ect is not elided or as + predicator if it is. The predicator is a verb from the list given in section 3.1 (for make (it) clear , only the version without it ). As Peter says is an example of the variant with a ve rb. The verbless va riant adopts one of the following three f orms: 1) according to + noun phrase, e.g. according to Peter 2) in the eyes/opinion/words of + noun phrase, in his/her/their or Saxon genitive + eyes/opinion/words , e.g. in the opinion of Peter or in his/Peter’s opinion 3) from the point of view of + noun phrase, from his/her/their or Saxon genitive + point of view , e.g. from the point of view of Peter or from his/Pe ter’s point of view In Spanish, the variant w ith a verb adopts the form según or (tal/tal y) como + subject + predicator or según or (tal/tal y) como + predicator. The predicator is a verb from the list given in section 3.1. Como dice Pedro is an exam ple of the variant with a verb. The verbless variant adopts one of the following six forms: 1) a juicio de + noun phrase ( e.g. a juicio de Pedro ), a su juicio Chapter 3. Variables and methodology 85 2) a los ojos de + noun phrase ( e.g. a los ojos de Pedro ), a sus ojos 3) en la opinión de + noun phrase ( e.g. en la opinión de Pedro ), en su opinión 4) en/con palabras de + noun phrase ( e.g. con palabras de Pedro ), en/con sus palabras 5) desde el punto de vista de + noun phrase ( e.g. desde el punto de vista de Pedro ), desde su punto de vista 6) según + noun phrase ( e.g. según Pedro ) It is to be noted th at the expression verbless variant m ust not be taken to an extreme. The noun phrase in this va riant m ay contain a verb phrase ( e.g. in according to those who went on strike ). If a structure with third person reference re fers to the present addresse r(s), it will be excluded (for the way this circum stance is understood, s ee subsection 3.2.4). Como quien dice is a fixed expressi on at a great dis t ance from the prototypical expression which gives name to this variable, as they say , and has according l y been excluded. The structure variable + modulated object conveys a third party’s assumption of the idea expressed in the modulated object. 3.3 Methodology The methodology em ployed to analyse the variab les rests on three characteristics of the analysis. The analysis is com parative and contrastive, quantitative and qualitative, and based on a corpus. Let us briefl y survey these characteristics. The analysis adopts the compare-and- contrast approach. Com parison and contrast are based on the examination of fi ve variables (see 3.1-3.2) in three genres, press reportage, press editorial and academ ic prose, in two linguistic codes, British English and Castilian Spanish. If the anal ysis had considered a single variable, say variable 1 (‘I think’), in a genre in a language, say E nglish press editori al, comparison Chapter 3. Variables and methodology 86 and contrast would have been very limited. Truly, one could always use the findings of earlier research and the lingui st’s intuition as a second te rm of comparison to better understand and explain the findings of such an anal ysis. In fact this is also done in this thesis, only that it is onl y a part of the focus of th e com parative and contrastive perspective. In our group of variables, ge nres and languages, the exam ination of each member of the group is expected to contribut e not only to characterise that memb er but also other members of the group. In other words, exam ining, e.g. , variable 1 (‘I think’) in English press editoria l is expected to cont ribute to understand the use of that variable in that genre in English, but also the use of that variab le in Eng lish press reportage or English academic prose, the use, in the sam e genre of English press editorial, of variable 2 (‘it seems’), and so on and so forth. Let us note that such an in-depth comparative perspective, which is gained at the expense of complexity, is particularly useful not only in terms of the qualita tive component of th e analysis, but also quantitatively. The quantitative part of the analysis in this thes is m a kes use of chi-s quare tests and Yates’ correction, statistica l tests which are essential to understand the value of different linguistic features in different populations (see 5.1.3). These tests could not have been applied to just the number of occurrences of variable 1 (‘I thi nk’) in English press editorial. At the late 20 th and early 21 st centuries, many studies point out the advantages of the compare-and-contrast approach. C onnor (1996:5-6) points out the im portance of the compare-and-contrast approach in the study of cross-cultural particulars and universals. Aijmer (1998:277) notes that the contrastive or com parative perspective in language studies “makes it possible to dig d eeper and to ask new questions about the relationship between languages with the aim of sharpening our conceptions of cross- linguistic correspondences and adding to our knowledge of the languages compared”. Wierzbicka (2006:295) notes that “[w]ithout a c ontrastive perspective, there is always a danger that we will seek to exp lain language-par ticular phenom ena in terms of universalist explanations”. Moreover, the studies by Wierzbicka (2003[1991], 1992, 1997, 2006) are constant reminders of the co nvenience of the compare-and-contrast approach to the study of linguistic and cultural systems if the re searcher is to avoid ethnocentrism, and the com pare-and-contrast approach is connected to the avoidance of ethnocentrism and its opposite exotism in He rnández Sacristán (1999:block I). The convenience of combining the contrastive analys is of languages with that of varieties Chapter 3. Variables and methodology 87 within languages is pointed out and examin ed in Hernández Sacr istán (1999:section 2.7 of block II). There is an important quantitative com ponent in the analysis. This involves frequency counts but also the use of statistica l tests. Absolute nu m bers, percentages and proportions, and statistical si gnificance are all considered, so as to achieve two important elem ents: 1) an in-depth, objectiv e description of data , and 2) scientific validity. There is also in the analysis an important qualitative com ponent. This involves interpretation of findi ngs in connection with the fi ndings of earlier research (see chapter 2) and with any idea which seem s relevant to understand and explain them. The inadequacy of an analysis which is only quantitative in a study of this nature is especially shown when deali ng with polysem y, ambiguity and the existence of different values of a given linguistic form. Let us c onsider, in this connect ion, an example. In subsection 3.2.3 we saw that this thesis recognises frankly as an exam ple of variable 3 (‘probably’) if it fulfils some requirem e nts, among them to function as a disjunct, but does not recognise it if it is exclusively an item subjunct with subject orientation. Counting the occurrences of frankly in the corpus would not per se be very illustrative of how frankly behaves in term s of clause/senten ce-level expressive strength reduction expositive of the addresser’s stance. Reading the corpus m anually to examine this item in context, counting the occurrences wh ich qualify, and exam ining the way they function is. On the limitations of an analysis that is purely quantitative, cf. Wierzbicka (1997:145, 2006:262) -in connection with, resp ectively, a given polysem ous Russia n word, and epistemic adverbs and polysemy-, and Fagan and Martín Martín (2002-2003) -for the limitations of a quantitative approach to academic criticism -. The analysis in this thesis is based on a corpus. The corpus-based analysis is common in studies of this natu re. The advantage is that a corpus offers an organised body of authentic material esse ntial to support conclusions, and in this way intuitions can be checked against, and interpretations based on, real samples of language in use. The disadvantage is that an adequate corpus is not always available. This has been the case with the corpus for this thesis. The English section consists of samples from a published corpus of English, the FLOB corpus , but I have had to elaborate the Spanish section. The pilot studies by Villar Conde (2001, 2002) analysed English, Spanish and Galician speech, based on a corpus of some 9,000 words per language. The texts of the Chapter 4. The corpus 94 The corpus selected is gi ven as appendix I. It consists of m ore than 180,000 words. Half of the corpus is in English and the other half in Spanish. The English section represents British English and the Span ish section represents Castilian Spanish. There are three written genres per language, with more than 30,000 words per genre per language. The genres are press reportage , press editorial and academic prose. The extension of some 180,000 words, with some 30,000 per genre per language, responds to the necessity to keep a balance between the m anageability of texts for their close reading and the validity of statistical findings. The inclusion of two languages, English and Spanish, greatly contributes to the com parative perspective. The choice of British English and Castilian Spanish brings about the consideration of two European standards. Besides, the th ree genres chosen are representative of the standard in the two languages, and ar e often considered of spec ial im portance in specialist studies. Thus, the importance of essays a nd the press for analysis is pointed out by Scollon and Scollon (2001[1995]:101). Ga rrett and Bell (1998:3-4) mention the importance of the m edi a and of news. Bell (1998:65) states that “[n]ews is a major register of language. Understanding how it works is im portant to understanding the functioning of language in society”. On the importance of newspapers, cf. Dafouz Milne (2003:34-35). W i th regard to science, Halliday (1993:132) points out that “[i]f we examine the discourse of science we can becom e more aware of the ideology that is enshrined in the way sc ientific language c onstrues the world”. Besides, Wierzbicka (2006:29) notes “the central role of science in modern Anglo culture”. Each of the three genres selected cont ains divisions. The genre/category of Press reportage is divid ed into the subcateg ories Political, Sports, Society, Financial, and Cultural. Press editorial is divi ded into Institutional Editorial, Personal Editoria l 33 , and Letters to the Editor. On the other ha nd, both Press reportage and Press editorial are classified as National Daily, National Sunda y, Provincial Daily, and Provincial W eekly. Academic prose is divided into Natural sc iences, Medicine, Mathem atics, Psychology, 33 Murphy ( 2004:206) indi cates that “Biber does not classify opinion ar ticles as a text type or genre, althoug h perha p s his term personal edi torials (1988: 1 95) indicates som ething simi lar”. Murphy (200 4) considers opinion articles as a subgenre of m edia di scourse. Daf ouz Milne (2003: 34) indicates t hat opinio n articles are “a s u bgenre of persuasive texts (van Dij k 1988), th eir final aim being t o convince the audience by means of logical (i .e. textua l metadiscours e) and emotional st rategies (i .e. interperso nal metadiscourse)”, and th at they are “normally writte n by experts on a particu lar topic and, unlike editorials, are sign ed, which means that au thorship is known to the reader ”. Chapter 4. The corpus 95 Sociology, Demography, Linguistics, Educa tion, Politics, Law, Philosophy, History, Literary criticism, Art, and Technology and engineering. The English part of the corpus is taken from the FLOB corpus, a corpus of British English whose texts date from the year 1991. The FLOB corpus is offered as part of the ICAME CD-ROM (see Hofla nd, Lindebjerg and Thunestvedt 1999). For FLOB’s category J “Science” I have preferred to use the label academic prose instead, so as to reflect that this catego ry includes not only hard sciences ( e.g. mathem atics) but a variety of other subcategories, as indicated in the previous paragraph. The FLOB corpus does not explicitly dist inguish subcategories within the press reportage category. However, the FLOB cor pus is designed to match the LOB corpus, a corpus of British English whose texts date from the year 1961, and the LOB corpus explicitly distinguishes six subcategories within press reportage, which are easily recognised in the same category in the FLOB. Five of those subcategories constitute the press reportage categor y of the corpus in this thesis (the already mentioned Political, Sports, Society, Financial, and Cultural). The one that is left out is Spot news. Spot news has been left out mainly because it cons titutes an extremely peculiar typ e of press reportage. Its briefness makes its internal st ructure very dif ferent from the other five subcategories. Furthermore, it does not seem to have a cl ear equivalent in the Spanish press. Note that in the two-m illion word sample of the Spanish corpus CUMBRE (Sánchez, Cantos and Sim ón 2001), there are equivale nts to th e LOB and FLOB subcategories Political, Sports, Society, Financial, and Cultur al, but not to Spot news. For a corpus-based study of Spot news, see Bell (1998). From the samples in the FLOB, I sele cted, consciously and randomly in due proportions, 45 samples to m a ke up the English section of the corpus for this thesis. Each sample is about 2,000 words long (each sample ends with the complete sentence in which the 2,000 th word is contained), and the English section of the corpus is thus about 90,000 words long. The number of sam ples in the subcategories of press reportage is given in Table 4.1. In the category of press editorial, the subcateg ories, institutional editorial, personal editorial, a nd letters to the editor, have five samples each. In academic prose there is one sam ple per subcategory, that is to say, one sample per field (for the list of subcateg ories/fields see above). Chapter 4. The corpus 96 T ABLE 4.1 S AMPLES I N THE SUBCATEGORIES OF E NGLISH PRESS REPORTAGE Subcategory Samples National Daily Political 3 National Daily Sports 1 National Daily Society 1 National Daily Financial 1 National Daily Cultural 1 National Sunday Political 1 National Sunday Sports 1 National Sunday Financial 1 Provincial Daily Political 2 Provincial Daily Sports 1 Provincial Daily Cultural 1 Provincial Weekly Society 1 The Spanish section of the corpus is based on the English section. As anticipated in chapter 1 and explained in s ection 3.3, rather than se lecting samples from an existing corpus, I had to create a Spanish corpus and then incorporate it into the corpus for this thesis. Sadly enough, at the beginning of the third m illennium there were no available Spanish corpora proper, but databas es which only allowed access to brief extracts of texts for the work with concordances and the like. For the categories press reportage and pre ss editorial, I elaborated the Spanish samples f rom texts in the Interne t (the Inte rnet is also the sour ce for Obiedat’s 2006 corpus of news stories). Texts in English press reportage and editorial date back to 1991; the corresponding samples in Spanish date from 1997, 2001 and 2002. The selection of newspapers has tried to match, in sofar as this was possible, the newspapers in the English part. Thus, ABC , El Mundo , El País , Hispanidad and La Razón digital were considered n ational daily newspapers ; La Estrella Digital , Hispanidad and La Chapter 4. The corpus 97 Razón digital were selected as national Sunday (the latter two have qualified as both daily and Sunday due to the scarcity of Sp anish national newspapers available in the Internet to m atch the English ones; Hispanidad did not appear neither on Sundays exclusively nor daily, and La Razón digital appeared daily); Canarias 7 , El Comer cio , El Diario Montañés , El Norte de Castilla , Hoy , Diario Ideal , La Rioja , La Verdad and La Vanguardia were selected as provincial daily; and El Periódico and Sur de Málaga were selected as provincial weekly. The division of press reportage into political, sports, society, financial and cultural, and the division of press editorial into institutional editorial, personal ed itorial and letters to the editor, have also been matched in Spanish. For the category of academic prose, I elaborated the Spanish sam ples fro m printed books and journals available in my university, the Universi ty of Santiago de Compostela. Texts in English academ ic prose date back to 1991; the corresponding samples in Spanish dat e from 1991, 1992, 1993, 1994, 1997, 1998, 1999, 2000, 2001 and 2002. There is a Spanish sa mple in each subcategory ( i.e. in each field) of academic prose m atching the corresponding English sample in that subcategory. As mentioned above, the entire corpus of this thesis is offered as appendix I. The transcription conventions of the English section are those found in the FLOB corpus with the following codes to provide contextual information: <#FLOB:\> FLOB category ( e.g. <#FLOB:A02\> <p_> begin paragraph <p/> end paragraph <h_> begin headline <h/> end headline <h|> one word headline <quote_> begin quotation <quote/> end quotation <quote|> one word quotation <tf_> begin typeface change <tf/> end typeface change <tf|> one word typeface change <*_><*/> begin/end unusable character <*_>e-circ<*/> ê <foreign_> begin foreign words <foreign/> end foreign words <foreign|> one foreign word <O_> begin omission Chapter 4. The corpus 98 <O/> end omission <?_>-<?/> ambiguous hyphen (line-break) <}_><-|><+|><}/> misspelling <&_><&/> begin/end editorial comment <&|> "sic!" comment <sp_><sp/> begin/end superscript <sb_><sb/> begin/end subscript The first code in this list uses le tter A for the category of press reportage (as in <#FLOB:A02\>, meaning sam ple 2 of press re portage), B for press editorial, and J for academic prose. It m ust be noted that this and all other codes in the list are used only in the transcription in appendix I. Quotations from the E nglish section of the corpus elsewhere in this thesis leave these c odes out, show misspellings in the form “managers[-m angers]”, and identify samples of press reportage, press editorial and academic prose as respectively EA, EB and EJ (for instance, sample 2 of English press reportage is sample EA02). In the Spanis h section, in the transcription given in appendix I, each Spanish samp le is preceded by the code name between the signs < >, e.g. <SA01>. In appendix I as well as elsewher e in this thesis, Spanish samples of press reportage, press editorial and academ ic prose are respectively identif ied as SA, SB and SJ. Relevant contextual information in th e Spanish section is directly reproduced (for instance, I use bold type or italics whenever th ese appear in the original) or referred to by an editorial comment between square brac kets. Misspellings in the Spanish part adopt the form “entendim iento[-entendiento]” or, when two or three words are wrongly represented in the orig inal as a single wo rd, the form “que reunió[2-que(reunió]” or “para el alumno[3-paraelalum no]”. Quotations of examples from the corpus will reproduce any st retch of linguistic material which appears in the m i ddle of the variable and/or its m odulated object, even though such linguistic material is superordinate to or independ ent of the variable and its modulated object. This is done to avoid the cumbersome us e of ellipsis. Thus, with “the girls think” as variable and “the house is beautiful” as modulated object, quotations could take the form the girls, in contrast, think the house is beautiful , the girls probably think the house is beautiful or the girls admittedly think the house is beautiful . Any other material which is superordinate to or independent of th e variable and its Chapter 4. The corpus 99 modulated object will either not be quoted or, f or the purp oses of providing contextual clues, be quoted between square brackets. Appendix II, “Sources of texts in the corpus ”, identifies every text and sample in the corpus, including th e code name of each sample ( e.g. “EA01” for sam ple 01 of category A -press reportage- in Englis h) and information about category and subcategory, title, date and place of publica tion, author, th e specifi c pages occupied by the sample in the original source, the spec ific lin es occupied by each text in the transcription of the sample in appendix I, the exact num ber of words of the sample, and typographical errors and expr essions marked as “sic”. A better understanding of the corpus and its composition can be gained by consulting appendices I and II. However, it should have become clear that the way the corpus has been elaborated is random and non-random in due proportions. We saw above that purely random selection is not appr opriate in pragmatics even if it may be in other branches of linguistics such as phone tics. On the other hand, a too conscious selection of samples m i ght distort the corpus and hence the analys is. Starting from a corpus that is already published and widely used by researchers, the FLOB, favours the intended representativeness of our corpus. From that star ting point, conscious choices of samples have taken into account relevant as pects of type of text and context, these latter concerning sex of author (s) (there exists th e cliché that women’ s language is less blunt than men’s -for a scie ntific view, see Holm es 1995-), individual authorship as against co-authorship (an indi vidual author might feel le ss comfortable using self- reference than a group of authors), and so on. When no justif ication existed to consciously shift from one text to another, chance alone has come into play. We are now in a position to proceed to the analysis. 5. Analysis 5.1 Introduction This chapter offers the analysis of data, ba sed on the corpus of English and Spanish. The object of analysis are the five linguistic variables select ed for the study, variable 1 (‘I think’), variable 2 (‘it se ems’), variable 3 (‘probably’), variable 4 (‘they say’) and variable 5 (‘as they say’). These linguistic stru ctures function at clause/s entence-level for reduction of expressive strength. They ar e all optional and they occur in declarative sentences, never as part of an interrogati ve, exclam ative or imperative sentence. In expressive strength reduction othe r structures m ay play a role ( e.g. grammatically obligatory structures or interrogative sentences ), but these fall outside the scope of the present analysis. Examples of each of the five variables cho sen follow here: 1. This perspective is expressed too, I believe , in radically different meanings and uses of ‘primitivism ’. (lines 185-187, sample EJ65, English academ ic prose, art; example of variab le 1, ‘I think’) 2. It is thought the Lloyd’s authorities would like to see the number of syndicates and members’ agencies reduced to produ ce a more stream lined, better equipped market. (lines 94-96, sample EA25, English press reportage, fina ncial; variable 2, ‘it seem s’) 3. They may, of course , decide on som eone other th an Mr Gorbachev (lines 151- 152, sample EB01, English press editorial , institutional editorial; variable 3, ‘probably’) 4. El ministro de Hacienda señaló que “no se puede cu estionar ninguna ley que apruebe el Parlamento” (lines 16-17, sam ple SA01, Spanish press reportage, political; var iable 4, ‘they say’) Chapter 5. Analysis 102 5. como dice Lucrecio , nada nace si no es por la m u erte de algo (line 123, sample SJ60, Spanish academic prose, literary criticism ; variable 5, ‘as they say’) To better understand the way expressive st rength reduction is affected by the five variables chosen, it is important to bear in mind the differences between them as well as the similarities by which they constitute a hom ogeneous set. The fi rst subsection in the present introduction of the anal ysis explores, th erefore, the similarities and differences between the variables. 5.1.1 The variables as a set: similarities and differences There is a clear parallelism be tween our five variables. Cf. the following exam ple of variable 1 (‘I think’): 6. I think we were in the position of genera ls persuading Napol eon to leave the field of battle at Waterloo (lines 19- 20, sam ple EA02, English press reportage, political) Using variables 2 (‘it seems’), 3 (‘probabl y’), 4 (‘they say’) and 5 (‘as they say’) instead, we would have respectively examples 7, 8, 9 and 10 as follows: 7. It can be said/It must be acknowledged we were in the pos ition of generals persuading Napoleon to leave the field of battle at Waterloo 8. From my point of view/Honestly , we were in the position of generals persuading Napoleon to leave the field of battle at W aterloo 9. People can well say /Ma ny people will think we were in the position of generals persuading Napoleon to leave the field of battle at Waterloo Chapter 5. Analysis 103 10. As many people will be thinking , we were in the position of generals persuading Napoleon to leave the field of battle at W aterloo And similar parallelisms may be traced fo r Spanish. The very first example of a variable found in the Spanish part of th e corpus is variable 4 (‘they say’): 11. en las que Juan José Ibarretxe anunció que el País Vasco pagará este año un Cupo al Estado de 151.000 millones de pesetas (907,53 m illones de euros) (lines 9-12, sample SA01, Spanish pr ess reportage, political) It is not difficult to im agine alternatives with exam ples of variables 1 (‘I think ’), 2 (‘it seems’), 3 (‘probably’) and 5 (‘as they say ’), respectively exemplified in 12, 13, 14 and 15: 12. he anunciado/anuncio que el País Vasco pagará ... 13. es obvio/parece que el País Vasco pagará ... 14. obviamente/al parecer el País Vasco pagará ... 15. según Juan José Ibarretxe/según afirmó Juan José Ibarretxe , el País Vasco pagará ... This symmetry results from the overall eff ect of each of the five variables upon authorial stance. The shared value of the fi ve variables to modulate ideas by introducing some kind of nuance on authorial comm i tment co-e xis ts, however, with the s emantic, grammatical and pragmatic differences between the variables. Since Ferdinand de Saussure we know that the meaning of a li nguistic elem ent is relative to the language system, and thus the meaning of the different variab les is not to be taken as identical. For instance, I am sure does not denote the same degree of certainty as surely . And, Chapter 5. Analysis 110 in other words, the value of χ 2 (= chi-square). When the table has one colum n and two rows, two columns and one row, or two colum n s and two rows, the test is said to have one degree of freedom . For any other table, the degr ees of freedom of the test are obtained by the formula (number of colum ns minus 1) · (number of rows minus 1). Yates’ correction is an extra calculation on the chi-square test recommended by some statisticians when there is one degree of f reedom. The value of the test s tatistic is checked in some tables or through certain com puter programmes so as to know whether the test is significant for the corresponding degr ees of freedom . When there is less than 5% probability that the distri bution of data is due to chan ce, the results are no rmally considered to be statistically sign ifican t. The three commonest significant values employed in statis tics are less than 5% pr obability, less than 1% probability and less than 0.1% probability. The chi-square test tells us whethe r there is a rela tionship between variables which is not due to chance. It does not tell us anything about the nature of that relationship, that is, it does not tell us that the occurrence of a given variable A predicts the occurrence of a given vari able B or the other way round, or it does not tell us about the reasons, linguistic or ot herwise, for the distribution of variables. Thus, it is important to complement the quantitative anal ysis with the qualitative analysis, a s is done here. On the other hand, apart from i ndicating whether a certain distribution of linguistic features is (statistic ally) significant or not, in thos e cases in which it is, the deviance contributed by each cell in the tabl e can be of interest. In other words, conclusions from a significant value of chi-square may be complemented by conclusions on the basis of the peculiarly high or low value of the deviance that a given cell ( i.e. a given linguistic feature in a population) contributes to the total deviance. Crystal and Davy in their seminal 1969 anal ysis point out that they m ake their statements of frequency [...] using such qua ntifiers as ‘r arely’, ‘co mmonly’, ‘often’, ‘very often’, and so on. This range of a dverbials in English cuts up a continuum of frequency very clearly, with very little overlap, and is readily intelligible. It should not be forgotten, however, that any statements of relative frequency in these terms can be referred if necessary to the precise statistical situation which underlies them. They are not simply impressions: the distinction between ‘often’ and ‘very often’, for example, has ultimately an objective numerical basis. (Crystal and Davy 1969:22) Chapter 5. Analysis 111 In accordance with this, throughout the rest of the chapter frequencies of occurren ce will be classified according to the following sca le: FOR THE VARIABLES INDIVIDUA LLY IN ENGLISH AND SPANI SH: -A frequency up to 20 is very low -From 21 up to 40 it is low -From 41 up to 50 it is moderate -From 51 up to 60 it is medium / middle/intermediate -From 61 up to 70 it is considerable -From 71 up to 80 it is high -From 81 up to 100 it is very high -From 200 onwards it is disproportionately high FOR THE VARIABLES AS A GROUP IN ENGLISH AND SPANISH PRE SS REPORTAGE, PRESS EDITORIAL AND ACADEMIC PROSE: -A frequency up to 60 is very low -From 61 up to 100 it is low -From 101 up to 140 it is m oderate -From 141 up to 180 it is m e dium/middle/intermediate -From 181 up to 220 it is considerable -From 221 up to 260 it is high -From 261 up to 320 it is very high FOR THE VARIABLES INDIVIDUALLY IN ENGLIS H AND SPANISH PRESS REPORTAGE, PRESS EDITORIAL AND ACADEMIC PROSE: -A frequency up to 10 is very low -From 11 up to 15 it is low Chapter 5. Analysis 112 -From 16 up to 20 it is moderate -From 21 up to 25 it is medium / middle/intermediate -From 26 up to 30 it is considerable -From 31 up to 40 it is high -From 41 up to 50 it is very high -64 is extremely high -177 and 181 are disp roportionately high The next section analyses the variables as a group in English and Spanish. Section 5.3 analyses each individu al variable in English and Spanish. The variables as a group in each genre in English and Spanish are analysed in sect ion 5.4. Section 5.5 analyses each individual variable in each ge nre in English and Spanish. To conclude the analysis, section 5.6 offers a profile for each genre in English and Spanish regard ing the five variables, and for each language regarding the three gen res and the five variables. 5.2 The variables as a group in English and Spanish To begin with, let us consider the group of variables in English and Spanish. There are 489 examples of variables in the English se ction of our corpus and 467 in the Spanish section. See Figure 5.1. Let us remember that the English and Spanish sections of the corpus have the same size (about 90,000 words each section). Thus , in principle it would seem that the English language is slightly more oriented towards clause/sentence-level expressive strength reduction than the Spanish langua ge. On the other ha nd, without Yates’ correction, the significance of the chi-square test is 0.477, a nd with the correction it is 0.497. In other words, with and without Yates’ correction, the chi-square test indicates that there is 40 odds per cent probability that the distribu tion of examples in the two Chapter 5. Analysis 113 languages responds to chance, so the value of the test statistic with one degree of freedom is not significant. Indeed, it appear s that English and Spanish are closer to each other in clause/sen tence-level expressive strength reduction as co mpared to the results for speech which I obtained in an ear lier stage of research in 2001 and 2002 (see chapter 2). Figure 5.2 offers the freque ncies per 90,000 words corresponding to the examples found in Villar Conde (2001, 2002) and to the exam ples in this thesis (normalised frequencies for Villar Conde 2001, 2002, which analysed speech, observ ed frequencies for this thesis analysing written language). F i gu r e 5.1 T h e gr ou p of var i ab l e s i n E n gl i s h an d Sp an i s h 489 467 0 100 200 300 400 500 nu m b er of exam p l e s En gl i s h Span i sh Fi g u r e 5.2 E xp r e s s i ve s tr e n g t h r e duc t i o n i n s pe e c h v e r s u s w r it in g 574 484 489 467 0 200 400 600 800 Eng l i s h S p a ni s h exam p l es i n 90,000 w ord s speech wr i t i n g Chapter 5. Analysis 114 It should be remembered that the frequencies for 2001 are normalised from frequencies in collections of samples total ling more than 9,000 wo rds. Assum ing that normalised and observed frequencies in 90,000 words were com parable, on the basis of the data reflected in Figure 5.2, changing fr om speech to writing brings about a sharp decrease in streng th reduction in English and an almost im perceptible decline in Spanish. This might seem surprising, given that th is thesis adds two new variables - variables 4 (‘they say’) and 5 (‘as they say’)- and extend s the definition of the old variables involving a predicator by including the possibility th at the predicator consists of a verb of speech. However, my 2001 study revealed that formality inhibits expressive strength reduction in spee ch. And the corpus in this th esis consists of formal written language. The form ality of the th ree written genres, press re portage, press editorial and academ ic prose, thus seems to be reducing the incid ence of expressive strength reduction in th e data examined. Besides, it also seem s to have made English and Spanish sim ilar in terms of the inciden ce of the variables as a group. In speech, English had alm ost 600 examples and Spanish almost 500. In writing , English has almost 500 and Spanish slightly below this. In chapter 2 above we drew attention to Biber et al. ’s (1999:chapter 12) finding that, in English, stance markers are consider ably more common in conversation than in the written registers, and that, at the s ame time, stance m arkers are surprisingly common in the written registers. Th ese findings are consistent with the findings for English in my 2001 study and in this thesis. In contra st, in Spanish, the decrease from almost 500 examples per 90,000 words in speech to about 470 in writing (see Figure 5.2) suggests that in this language clause/sentence-le vel expressive strength reduction is not particularly associated with speech nor with writing. More light is shed on clause/sentenc e-level expressive strength reduction in the English and Spanish languages in the analysis of each indiv idual variable. This is done in the section that f ollows. 5.3 The variables individually in English and Spanish Chapter 5. Analysis 115 The analysis becom es more complex when exam ining the incidence of each of the five variables. To perceive the relative weight of the five variables in English, Figure 5.3.A presents the number of exam ples of each va riable in English. Figure 5.3.B, in turn, presents the number of exam ples of each variable in Spanish. Figure 5.4 shows the same information as Figures 5.3.A and B, but in a different format, so as to facilitate comparison of the variable s in the tw o languages. F i gu r e 5.3.A B r e akd ow n for th e var i ab l e s i n E n gl i s h I t h i n k; 56 i t seem s; 58 pr obabl y ; 77 t h ey s ay ; 278 as t h ey say ; 2 0 F i gu r e 5.3.B B r e ak d ow n f or t h e var i ab l e s i n S p an i s h I t h i n k; 43 i t seem s; 64 pr obabl y ; 62 t h ey sa y ; 231 as t h ey say ; 6 7 Chapter 5. Analysis 116 Fi g u r e 5.4 C om p ar ati ve f i g u r es f o r t h e v a r i a b l es i n E ng l i s h a nd S pa ni s h 56 58 77 278 20 43 64 62 231 67 0 100 200 300 v ar i abl e 1, I th i n k v a r ia b le 2 , it see m s va r i a b l e 3 , pr obabl y va r i a b l e 4 , th e y s a y va r i a b l e 5 , as t h ey say number of exampl e s En gl i s h Span i sh The application of the chi-s quare test to the data in Figure 5.4 reveals that there is less than 0.1% probab ility that the di stribution is due to chance. In other words, the distribution of the five variable s in the English and Spanish sections of the corpus is not random but m eaningful. It will be re membered that the chi-square test per se does not explain the reasons, the consequences, or the nature of the relationship between a given linguistic variable ( e.g. variable 1, ‘I think’ ) and a given population ( e.g. the Eng lish language). On the other hand, when considering the reason s, consequences, nature of relationships and so on, it is important to consider th e contrast between the observed frequency and the expected frequency of each variable in each population, and especially the deviance of each variable in each population. An expected frequency is supposed to stand for the frequency that would be obtained if only chance w ere intervening in the presence of that variable in that population. The deviance is a measure of the difference between the expect ed frequency of a variable in a population and the observed frequency of that variable in that population. Thus, a particularly high deviance of a variable in a population m ay be suggestiv e of a specia l relationship between that variable and that population in the co ntext of all the data under consideration in the corresponding chi-squa re test. Metaphorically, the deviance contributed by each variable in ea ch population to the total deviance 36 can be thought of 36 Remember that the total devian ce is the sum of the deviances of each linguistic variable in each population , and that the value o f the total devian ce is the valu e of chi-square. A sufficiently hig h total Chapter 5. Analysis 117 in terms of the relative cont ribu tion of each member of a group of friends who write a book together. If, for instance, five pe ople write a 600-page book on mammals, it can be assumed that this group of people has m ade a significant contributi on to literature on mammals. On the other hand, if 412 pages ha ve been contributed by a m e mber of the group, 100 pages by another member, 50 pages by another, 20 by another, and 18 by another, we may be interested in knowing who has contribute d what so as to understand the role of each friend in the final achievemen t. This is the reason f or giving not only observed frequencies but also expected fr equencies and deviances for this and subsequent chi-square tests 37 . Observed frequencies, expected freque ncies and deviances of variables in English and Spanish are given in Table 5.1. 5.3.1 Variable 1 (‘I think’) in English and Spanish In English the observed frequency of variable 1 (‘I think’), 56, is the second lowest, though it is more than five poi nts above the expected freque ncy. The ‘I think’ variable can be said to occupy a m iddle position in the English section of the corpus. Its intermediate frequency of 56 examples is far from the very low frequency of variable 5 (‘as they say’) and from the high frequencies of the ‘probably’ and ‘they say’ variables. At the same time, its frequency is sim ilar to that of variable 2 (‘it seems’), though the frequency of the ‘it seems’ variab le is m ore than four points belo w expected. The intermediate frequency of 56 examples of va riable 1 (‘I think’) in English can a lso be contrasted with the moderate frequency of 43 of the same variable in Spanish. In Spanish this variab le has the lowest observe d frequency, which is more than five points below the expected frequ ency. deviance, that is, a sufficien tly high value of chi-sq uare, will indicate statistical significance. The critical point from which a value of chi-sq uare is statistically significant is fou nd in tables in book s on statistics (see e.g. Woods, Fletch er and Hug hes 1986:301, Dav is 1990:84, or Oak es 1998:266), o r automaticall y calculate d by com puter progr a mm es. 37 This has not been done for the prev ious chi-sq uare test (applied to th e group of variab les in English and Spanish) because it indicated that the distribu tion was not statistically significant. As will be seen , the remaining chi-square tests all indicate that the res u lts are statistically significant. Chapter 5. Analysis 118 T ABLE 5.1 O BSERV ED FREQU ENCIES , EXPECTED FREQUENCIE S AND DEVIANCE S OF VARIABL ES IN E NGLISH AND S PANISH English Spanish observed frequency 56 43 expected frequency 50.639 48.361 variable 1, ‘I think’ deviance 0.568 0.594 observed frequency 58 64 expected frequency 62.404 59.596 variable 2, ‘it seems’ deviance 0.311 0.325 observed frequency 77 62 expected frequency 71.099 67.901 variable 3, ‘probably’ deviance 0.490 0.513 observed frequency 278 231 expected frequency 260.357 248.643 variable 4, ‘they say’ deviance 1.196 1.252 observed frequency 20 67 expected frequency 44.501 42.499 variable 5, ‘as they say’ deviance 13.490 14.125 The introduction of the ‘I th ink’ variable in written English commonly serves to frame the modulated object as a personal opin ion, be it that of the writer(s) or of someone else being quoted 38 . Cf.: 22. [Reports that the company failed to wa rn consumers until se veral hours after the fault was detected should be investigated urgently, added Mr Hughes. Sir John said:] “I think the concern of Robert Hughes is appropriate and com pletely legitimate. [I intend to speak to him as soon as possible. We have nothing to hide.”] (lines 146-151, sample EA02, Eng lish press reportage, political; the 38 On some occasions , the linguistic structure conforming a varia b le ( e.g. I think or probab ly ) forms part of a quotatio n, a circumstance whi ch is to be dist in guis hed from the fact that the variable introd uces quoted speech/thought. In “I s a id Mary is happy”, Peter remarked , the expression I said , besides introducing quoted sp eech ( Mary is happy ) is itself contai ned in a qu otation. In every o ne is surprised that I said “I am not guilty” , the expression I said merely introduces quoted s peech ( I am not guilty ) but is not contained in a quotation. It is importan t to bear in mind this distinction in the an alysis. Chapter 5. Analysis 119 variable and its modulated object are cont ained in the journalist’s quotation of a former Member of Parliament, Sir John; the variable involves Sir John’s self- reference) 23. I SUPPOSE nothing will stem the tide of r ubbish which is written every tim e a new opinion poll comes out (lines 38- 39, sam ple EB05, English press editorial, personal editorial; emphasis in origina l; the variable involves the journalist’s self-reference) 24. I think we can envisage two situations in which the assum ption would be false (lines 95-96, sam ple EJ51, English academic prose, philosophy; the variab le involves the scientis t’s self-reference) The variable tends to present an opinion currently held by the addresser(s). This is conveniently reflected in the overwhelming num ber of examples in the simple present . From the total of 56 exam ples , 41 are in the sim ple present 39 , ten in the sim ple past, one in the present perfect, one in the past conditional, one in the will future (although with shall ), one in the present perfect continuous, and one in the present continuous. These data are summarised in Figure 5.5. In chapter 2 we saw that Nuyts (2001) identified a sim ilar function for cognitive verbs in first person singular in the simple presen t. We also saw that Kärkkäinen (2003) identified a similar function for the phrase I think in American conversational English. Nuyts (2001), Kärkkäinen (2003) and this thesis coin cide in identifying this function, to frame the present perspective of the addresser. On the othe r hand, this thes is finds an important variant of this function, nam ely framing the present perspective of a quoted addresser, as in example 22. Consistently with the m arking of aut horial stance, most examples have the predicator in the affirmative (47). The predom inance of affirmative clauses in the marking of the author’s stan ce is also pointed out in Nuyts (2001) and Kärkkäinen 39 I count as sim ple present the examples “I have t o say” and “I must first confess”, which c ontain modals . Here and he nceforward, modal is a general label encompassing the English verb s ca n, could, may , mi ght , should , must , nee d , ough t to , used to , be t o , have got to , have to , be able to , be goi ng to , carry on/keep ( on)/go on + - ing participle, fa il to , need to and want to . T he verbs shall and will / ’ll are considered as fu ture auxiliaries, an d would as a condition al auxiliary. Chapter 5. Analysis 126 Here a scientific ide a is qualified by the example of variable 2 it can be said , that is, by the passive of a communication verb modified by a m odal. At the same time, both that qualification and the scientific idea are to be understood un der the constraints im posed by the adverbial in general . From the six categ ories of stance adverbials in Biber and Finegan (1988), this belongs to the “ generally adverbials (expressing approximation, generalization, typical or usua l case)” (p. 7). Thus, in En glish variable 2 often gets involved in qualifications of statements with a certain com plexity, whether this affects the variable, its near co-text, or both. In terms of tense, th e patterns observed for variable 1 (‘ I think’) in English highly coincide with th ose of variable 2 (‘it seem s’) in English. For variable 2 (‘it seems’) there are 43 examples with the sim ple present (again incl uding exam ples with modals, as in it can be said ), seven with the simple past (including an example with used to ), and eight with other tenses (four w ith the present perfect, three with the conditional -one with would and two with could -, and one with the will future). These data are summarised in Figure 5.7. F i gu r e 5.7 T e n s e of var i ab l e 2, i t s e e m s , i n E n gl i s h si m p l e p r e s e n t; 43 si m p l e p ast; 7 ot h er s; 8 Most examples have the predicator of the variable in the affir mative. Specifically, 54 examples have the predicato r in the affirmative, and four have the predicator in the negative. Chapter 5. Analysis 127 Most examples, an ab solute majority, have the v ariable preceding its modulated object. Specifically, in 52 examples the vari able precedes its modulated object, in five the variable intervenes, and in one the variable follows . See Figure 5.8.A. Fi g u r e 5.8.A P os i ti on of var i ab l e 2, i t s e e m s , r e l at i ve to m od u l ate d ob j e ct , i n E n gl i s h pr ecedi n g ; 52 in t e r v e n in g ; 5 fo llo w in g; 1 In terms of tense, po larity, and positio n relative to th e modulated object, in written English variable 2 (‘it seem s’) coinci des with variable 1 (‘I think’), in the prevalence of the simple present, the a ffirmative, and the position preceding the modulated object. Thus, in written English variable 2 (‘it seems’) cons titutes an altern ative to variable 1 (‘I think’) when the author wants to fram e a current perspective, with the important difference that the current perspectiv e need not be his/her own. With the verb seem and with be clear and synonyms in the simple present the perspectiv e is norm ally the author’s; in other cas es, it may be the auth or’s, it m ay be others’, or it m ay be shared by the author and others, or it may even be ambiguous. Som etimes the perspective is clearly that of other peopl e who surface in an agent by -phrase, as in exam ple 29. Despite the variety of perspectives masked under the im personality of variable 2 (‘it seems’), this variable has a characteristic effect of apparent ob jectivity absent in variable 1 (‘I think ’). Notice that only thr ee examples of the ‘it seem s’ variable are of the variable + to me/us type. Two of these involve the construction it seems to me , Chapter 5. Analysis 128 which Holmes (1982:27, 1988:43) labelled personalised pattern. These two present the author’s perspective. The ot her involves the co nstruction it has been poi nted out to me . This implies external support for the m odulated object. Nevertheless, ev en in this latter example the tonicity of to me som ehow focalises on the au thor. The three exam ples are then exceptional in sligh tly counterbalanci ng the prototypical objectiv ity inherent in the form of variable 2 (‘it seems’). In my earlier research on speech (Villar Conde 2001), English yielded 47 examples of variable 2 norm alised per 90,000 words (although the En glish section of the corpus comprised about 9,600 words), as against 58 in written English in this thesis. Whilst, as we saw in 5.3.1, the frequency of va riable 1 (‘I think’), when shifting from spoken to written English, considerably de creases, the frequency of variable 2 (‘it seems’) does not decrease, and in fact increases slightly. The ‘it seems’ variable is a relatively common device in both spoken and wr itten English, slightly more so in the latter, serving addressers to present ideas with an appearance of objectivity. On the other hand, this variable in written English has the smalles t contribution to the total deviance for any of the five variables in any of the two languages, and its observed frequency of 58 examples is below expect ed, as opposed to a very similar observed frequency of 56 examples of variable 1 (‘I thin k’) in written English which is above expected. This has to do with the conside r able observed frequenc y of variable 2 (‘it seems’) in written Spanish, 64 examples. In spoken Spanish there were 49 examples of this variable per 90,000 words (a normalised frequency, as the Spanish section of the corpus comprised about 9,100 words). Equa ting normalised frequencies to observed frequencies, we can note that the increas e in the number of examples of variable 2 (‘it seems’) when shifting from speech to writi ng is slightly more pronounced for Spanish than for English (from 47 exam ples to 58 in English, from 49 to 64 in Spanish). In Spanish variable 2 (‘it se ems’) has two main uses. One is to present an idea currently he ld by the addresser(s ) as generally observable. It m ay be observable at a point along the certain ty scale below absolute certainty 40 or at the point of absolu te certainty/cla rity. Cf.: 40 Uncertaint y is considered to be i nvolved i n examples with a negat ed pre dicator “No es im posible”, “no será posible” a nd “No es seg uro”. For t h e form er two, versions with the predicator in the affirmative (“es imposible”, “s erá posible”) are also interpreted as i nvolving uncertainty. In contrast, affirmative “es Chapter 5. Analysis 129 31. Es probable que no pueda darse una respuesta única a estas preguntas (line 77, sample SJ36, Spanish academ ic prose, education) 32. se ve que han transcurrido diversas fases bien distintas (lines 97-98, sample SB06, Spanish press editoria l, personal editorial) The other main use of variable 2 (‘it seems ’) in Spanish is to present ideas held by one or more individuals different from the a ddresser(s), using the reflexive passive ( se + 3 rd person singular verb), the verb typically bei ng a verb of communicatio n. In this use of variable 2, the impersonality of the variable avoids the explicit mention as subject of the people whose views are given, though someti mes the sentence to which the variable belongs contains a reference to those people in the form of an agent phrase or a similar structure. Notice that the presentation of others’ ideas does not necess arily imply that the addresser rejects them. Cf.: 33. [Cuando] s e expresa , como lo ha hecho Jordi Pujol, que Cataluña vive el momento de autogobierno, en sentido político y también financiero, m á s importante de los últim os 300 años, [tengo que decir que algo tenemos que ver en ello, y algo tiene que ver también Pujo l en ello, pues ha c ontribuido mucho en la construcción del Estado de las Autonomías en Es paña”.] (lines 201-207, sample SA20, Spanish press reportage, po litica l; source of idea is expressed in “como lo ha hecho Jordi Pujol”; cont ext im plies author’s support for the modulated object) 34. [“No entiendo las declaraciones] en las que se dice que ayer hubo un atraco. [ Yo estuve jugando un partido y no en ningún atraco ”, declaró.] (lines 94-96, sample SA22, Spanish press reportage, sports; emphasis in original; context makes explicit author’s rejection of the m odulated object) seguro” does not i n volve unc ertainty. Let us point out the formal and se mantic equivale nce between “es seguro” and “está claro” and t he necessity in resear ch to arbitrarily div ide the languag e continuum. Chapter 5. Analysis 130 35. Se cuenta que, tras la confirm ación de su el ección en una legislatura, un alcalde de su circunscripción le rem itió a Madrid un elocuente y esc ueto telegrama que decía: ‘Don Natalio, colóquenos a todos’. [Un siglo después nos encontramos con una historia revivida.] (lines 95- 99, sample SB10, Spanish press editorial, letters to the editor; context implies author’s support for the modulated object) The boundary between examples of this s econd m ain use in which the source of information/opinion is not m entioned a nd the author’s suppo rt is implied ( e.g. exam ple 35) and examples of the first main use si gnalling that the information/opinion can be perceived at the po int of absolute certa inty/clarity ( e.g. 32) is not clearc ut. In the latter there is the interpretatio n that the author has a conception and that this will easily be shared by others, in the former there is the inter pretation that othe rs have a conception and that this is shared b y the author. This difference is a very subtle one and open to interpretation, but we must recall the non di screte nature of li nguistic features. Certainly, the two types of exam ples are bord erline cases in the two m ain uses of the variable. We can see that Spanish also plays with the formal impersonality of variable 2 (‘it seems’) to m ask different personal pers pectives. These perspectives tend to be important in the present situa tion of the addresser, as refl ected in the large proportion of examples in the pres ent ( amo ), 52 from the total of 64. One exam ple uses the future ( amaré ), and the remaining 11 use one of the many pasts available in Spanish grammar. Most examples have the predicator of the va riable in the affirm ative. Specifically, 58 examples have th e predicator in the affirma tive, as against only s ix in the negative. Most examples, an abso lute majority, have the variable preceding its modulated object , specifically 58 exam ples, as ag ainst only five in which the variable intervenes and o ne in which the variable follows it. See Figure 5.8.B. This dissertation does not distinguish a class of modal verbs for the Spanish language, and treats verbs like poder , querer , deber (de) , tener que and haber de as auxiliaries in verb periphrases (see section 3.1). This is not to deny that these verbs have special characteristics, especially in term s of meaning. Thus, in terms of Chapter 5. Analysis 131 modulation inside the variable itself, it can be mentioned that a few exam ple s of variable 2 (‘it seems’) in Spanish use poder and q uerer . Fi g u r e 5.8.B P os i ti on of var i ab l e 2, i t s e e m s , r e l at i ve to m od u l ate d ob j e ct , i n Sp an i s h pr ecedi n g ; 58 in t e r v e n in g ; 5 fo llo w in g; 1 Searching for exam ples in which the variable is accompanied by a pro noun in first person reference, that is to say, examples involving me , nos , a mí or a nosotros/nosotras , there is only one example of this type. This is the following: 36. menos duda me cabe , que la ascensión a la Silla de Pedro de Su Santidad Juan Pablo II, es definitivamente Obra y Si gno de la Divina Providencia (lines 117- 119, sample SB09, Spanish press edit orial, letters to the editor) This example can be considered to correspond to Holm es’s (1982:27, 1988:43) personalised patterns. However, the personalisation, i.e. the author ’s attribution of the opinion to himself, is som eho w softened by the fact that me is unstressed and that it is placed in the middle of the variable. 5.3.3 Variable 3 (‘probably’) in English and Spanish Chapter 5. Analysis 132 Variable 3 (‘probably’) ranks fourth in terms of its contribution to deviance. In English there are 77 examples, about six points above the expected frequency. T he 62 examples in Spanish are about si x points below expected. Variable 3 (‘probably’) is the second most frequent variable in English. Its frequency, 77 examples, is hi gh, and only exceeded by the frequency of variable 4 (‘they say’). In spoken English (Villa r Conde 2001) I found 226 examples per 90,000 words. Thus, equating normalised and obser ved frequencies, the inci dence of this variable in written English is low if compared to its incidenc e in spoken English. At the same tim e, the incidence of this variable in written English is high when compared to the same variable in written Spanish. From the 77 exam ples of variable 3 (‘probably’) in wr itten Eng lish, 73 correspond to content disjuncts, and the remain ing four to style disj uncts. This is the list of the co ntent disjuncts: - of course (20 times) - probably (nine tim es) - perhaps (nine tim es) - clearly (eight tim es) - apparently (seven times) - obviously (four tim es) - surely (three tim es) - undoubtedly (three times) - maybe (twice) - no doubt (twice) - presumably (twice) - almost certainly - without doubt Chapter 5. Analysis 133 - doubtless - allegedly The style disjuncts are truly (twice), in my opinion , and honestly . Most cases correspond to the autho r’s current views, presented as objects of gene ral perception, sometimes with a degree of uncertainty invol ved, as in 37, as ag ainst the clarity or absolute certainty implied in 38-39: 37. Officially, Mr Yeltsin will probably be a guest of the Senate, whose two party leaders have invited him to Washi ngton. (lines 145-146, sample EA20, English press reportage, political) 38. Some witnesses were undoubtedly concerned about thei r personal reputations. (lines 82-83, sample EJ56, English academ ic prose, history) 39. clearly there is little relationship b etween perform ance and pay in such cases (lines 126-127, sample EB10, English pre ss editorial, letters to the editor) The discussion of variable 3 considers that uncertainty is signalled by the variable whenever the adverbial express ion alludes to doubt in any degree except for the null degree indicated by English surely , no doubt , and so on, or by Spanish seguro , sin duda , and so on. Spanish seguramente and a buen seguro are nevertheless considered as expressions of uncertainty referring to so mething like ‘very proba bly’. The dividing line between expressio ns referring to ‘a gr eater or lesser degree of uncertainty’ and expressions referring to ‘(absolute) certainty’, if som e what arbitrary, is nevertheless useful and relevant for the analysis. In English and Spanish alike, variab le 3 (‘probably’) coincides with variable 1 (‘I think’) in that typically th e inclusion of the variable inherently implies au thorial support for the modulated object (see the comments on sim ilarities and differences between the variables in terms of pragm atics in 5.1.1, and the comments on implicit, explicit and ambiguous marking of stance in 2.3.2). On the other hand, variable 3 Chapter 5. Analysis 134 (‘probably’) differs from variable 1 (‘I thin k’) in several im portant respects. As opposed to variable 1 (‘I think ’), variable 3 (‘proba bly’) does not have a tense (contrast e.g. think/thought ), it lacks negation (except for adverbs with m orphological negation, such as undoubtedly , although this is not the negati ve version of anything like * doubtedly , and there is not anything like * not undoubtedly , not probably , or improbably, they are happy ; contrast e.g. I do not think/say ) and it does not formally focalise the author’s figure (contras t I ). The lack of tense a nd negation in variable 3 (‘probably’) is part of the ge neral implication that this vari able is modulating an idea currently adhered to. The absence of a formal focus upon the authorial figure is suitable for types of texts in which addresse rs do not want to figure prom inently, i.e. written texts. It will be remembered from subsection 2.3.2 that Biber et al. (1999:979) point out the involved nature of convers ation and argue that this ch aracteristic make s the use of stance markers m ore frequent in conversation th an in writing. Thus, to indica te that the idea expressed represents the author’s current stance, it is no wonder that written English favours variable 3 (‘probably’), with its high frequency of 77 examples, rather than variable 1 (‘I th ink’), with its interm ediate frequency of 56 examples. Truly, the syntactic potential of va riab le 1 (‘I think’), with the po ssibility of marking present, past and future and negation, is not particularly useful whenever the add r esser wants to frame an id ea as current authorial stan ce. In contrast, adverb s, which cannot mark present, past and future and which cannot be negated, are perfect ca ndidates to point to the addresser’s present support whilst at the same tim e not po inting to the addresser too much. Another difference between superordinat e clauses (conforming variable 1, ‘I think’) and adverb ials (conforming variable 3, ‘probab ly’) concern s mobility. As surveyed in subsections 2.3.2 and 2.3.3, nume rous authors draw attention to the mobility of adverbials as an advantage in the m arking of epistemic stance. Mobility might also be behind the high frequency of va riable 3 (‘probably’) in written English, which exceeds that of any other variable excep t for variable 4 (‘they say’). From the 77 examples of variable 3 (‘probably’) in Englis h, 53 have the variable in the middle of its modulated object, 23 have the variable pre ceding it, and one has the variable following it (see Figure 5.9.A). In other words, an abso lute majority have the variable in the middle of its m odulated object. In this regard this variable differs from variables 1 (‘I Chapter 5. Analysis 135 think’) and 2 (‘it seems’), in which a m ajority have the variable pr eceding its modulated object, as discussed in 5.3.1 and 5.3.2. Thus, although, as commented on in 2.3.2, the literature points out that th e m arking of stance, in gene ral or in writing, favours sentence-initial position, variab le 3 (‘probably’) in written English, taking advantage of its mobility, favours sentence-medial position, a nd secondarily sentence-initial position. On the other hand, in written English final pos ition is extremely ex ceptional for variable 3 (‘probably’), and also for any of the othe r variables. This can b e related to the convenience not to leave the marking of auth orial stance till th e end (which is not exactly the same as the convenience to give shape to authorial stance as soon as possible, commented on in 2.3.2), and to the possi bility of editing av ailable in writing as opposed to speech. Fi g u r e 5.9.A P os i ti on of var i ab l e 3, p r ob ab l y , r e l at i ve t o m od u l ate d ob j e ct, i n E n gl i s h precedi n g ; 2 3 in t e r v e n in g ; 5 3 fo llo w in g ; 1 In written Spanish, variable 3 (‘probabl y’) has the observed frequency of 62 examples, a considerable num ber, as against 77 examples in written English, a high number. Using a norm alised frequency, in Villar Conde (2001), Spanish speech yielded 266 examples per 90,000 words. Thus, also in Spanish the change from speech to writing dramatically decreases the frequency of the variable, although the decrease is much more pronounced in Spanish (from 226 ex am ples to 77 in English, from 266 to 62 in Spanish). Chapter 5. Analysis 142 past, and 94 ( i.e. 33.8%) are in the simple present 41 . Other tenses appear in the remaining 22 exam ples, i.e. 7.9%. These data are summarised in Figure 5.10. We see that variable 4 in English form ally presen ts a s t ance as exte rnal to the current perspective of the author not only by means of third person reference but also by a considerable use of the simple past. As for polarity, only four exam ples are in the negative. Given that negated predicato rs of this variable ideally convey what o ther people do not think or say, the weight of the af firmative is coherent with th e presentation of someone’s stance, even if it is not the autho r’s. Fi g u r e 5.11.A P os i ti on of var i ab l e 4, t h e y sa y , r e l at i ve to m od u l ate d ob j e ct, i n E n gl i s h pr ecedi n g ; 195 in t e r v e n in g ; 2 5 f ol l ow i n g ; 58 As happens with variables 1 (‘I think’) and 2 (‘it seems’), in English an absolute majority of exam ples of variable 4 (‘they sa y’) have the variable before its modulated object. On the other hand, this is the first time for a variable in a language that we find that the sentence-final p osition is important. In 195 examples the variable precedes its modulated object, in 25 the va riable intervenes, and in 58 the variable follows. See Figure 5.11.A. In terms of position, then, variable 4 in Englis h can be said to follow the trend of occupying sentence-in itial position in accordance with an interest in marking stance as soon as possible. However, with this variable stance is generally not the author’s but someone else’s. On the other hand, the sentence-final position ranks 41 Six examples in t h e simple present contain a moda l. One e xample in the sim ple past contains the predicator could not acce pt , which on the basis of context is interpreted as a p ast rather than a con ditional. Chapter 5. Analysis 143 second and is not infrequent. When the vari able is sentence-final, readers nevertheless know from the beginning of the message that the writer is presenting someone else’s perspective. This is known by signs of quotatio n, basically (but not exclusively) the use of inverted commas, for which cf.: 47. “My first reaction was one of amazemen t,” says chief executive Ian Parsons . (lines 174-175, sample EA25, Englis h press reportage, financial) We have seen that the author is formally presen ted as external to the message by means of the third person reference and the pr edominance of the s imple past. In this connection, the regular absence of the structure variable + ( to ) me/us should also be noticed. There are on ly five examples of this ty pe. These are examples with he tells me (twice), he assures me , he tells us and they to ld us . Variable 4 (‘they say’) in Spanish has 231 examples. As indicated above, this observed frequency is also classified as disproportionately high, although it is significantly lower than the frequency of this va riable in English. As for the type of use of this variable in Spanish, there is a ge neral coinciden ce with English, except for the aspect noted further below. As in English, this variable in Spanish presents a host of human perspectives external to the author in support of a current narration or argumentation. As in English, in Spanish this variety of points of view is coherently conveyed through a variety of pronouns and ot her noun phrases as subjects of a variety of lexical ve rbs. Similarly to what h appens in English, verbs are m ostly in the preterite ( amé ), though examples in the present ( amo ) are also common. Cf.: 48. “Eso de que ya he mos ganado la Liga y de que sólo pueden aspirar al segundo puesto no se lo creen ni ellos mis m os ”, dijo el centra l malagueño . (lines 104- 107, sample SA22, Spanish press reportage , sports; emphasis in original; a journalist illustrates a piece of news on sports through direct quo tation of a sportsman) Chapter 5. Analysis 144 49. Dice el maestro de toros Enrique Ponce que en la feria considerada la más grande el público del tendido número 7 está contento cuando te coge ese animal tan bello y español y te manda 20 m etros ‘pa’ arriba y con una brecha de no menos de 15 puntos de sutura. (lines 140-143, sample SB27, Spanish press editorial, le tters to the editor; a man begins a le tter to the e ditor by quoting a bullfighter to make his point in the cont ext of a criticism to the lack of support for a football team) Only two examples have the predicator negated. Thus, in Spanish and E nglish alike variable 4 definitely pref ers the affirm ative, which is formally consistent with th e wish to express what different people see/ think/say as opposed to what they do not. As in English, examples of variable 4 o ccur in all positions in the sentence, m ost commonly with the variable before the modul ated object. The va riable precedes its modulated object in 178 examples, intervenes in 15, and follows its m odulated object in 38. See Figure 5.11.B. The prevalence of th e sentence-initial position, even more pronounced than in English, shows that, although the stance at stake is a third party’s, the author prefers to set this stance as soon as possible. Signs of quotation help when the variable is sentence-final, which happe ns more infrequently than in English, although not exceptionally. Fi g u r e 5.11.B P os i ti on of var i ab l e 4, t h e y sa y , r e l at i ve to m od u l ate d ob j e ct , i n Sp an i s h pr ecedi n g ; 178 in t e r v e n in g ; 1 5 f ol l ow i n g ; 38 Chapter 5. Analysis 145 As regards examples in the pattern me or nos + variable, there is only one example of this typ e, an example with me dijo . Thus, in Spanish and English alike, the author’s figure is kept apart from the m e ssa ge, not only by not surf acing as subject, but also by not surfacing in the form of object pronouns. Despite this overall coincidence in us age between English and Spanish, Spanish authors sometimes employ complex structur es perfectly natural in Spanish (and unnatural in English) to introduce a personal flavour in instances of this variable (although there are only 11 examples of this ty pe). The author’s personal flavour is introduced in the modulated object in one of these exam ples, and in the variable itself (specifically in its subject) in the remaining ten, for which cf.: 50. El humor «lo adquieres con los años, es una distancia que tomas de las circunstancias para hacer re ír a la gente» dice la escritora Marina Mayoral, coordinadora de la antol ogía ‘La risa y la sonrisa’ , obra en clave de hum or , irónica e irreverente tanto en form a como en contenido . (lines 219-223, sam ple SA39, Spanish press reportage, cultural) Here the variable has a long and complex subject in which the journalist introduces evaluation (“irónica”, “irreverente”). In thes e 11 examples, the message can be said to combine Jakobson’s (1966[1960] em otive and re ferential functions . The author’s personal touch contributes the emotive f unction, while the referential function is contributed by the objective transmi ssion of data in the third person. 5.3.5 Variable 5 (‘as they say’) in English and Spanish In English, variable 5 (‘as they say’) has the very low observed frequency of 20 examples, as against a considerable observed f r equency of 67 exam pl es in Spanish. Variable 5 is the least frequent in English, while it ranks second in Spanish. As shown on Table 5.1, the two cells which most cont ribute to the total deviance are those Chapter 5. Analysis 146 corresponding to this variable. The expected frequencies of this variable in English and Spanish are the lowest, and in English an e xpected frequency of about 45 corresponds to 20 observed examples. The presence of variable 5 in English is really restricted. Particu larly striking is the difference between the 278 examples of variable 4 (‘they say’) and the 20 of variable 5 (‘as they say’) in English. Thus, whenever th e views of others are invoked, English definitely favours the use of the s uperordinate clauses conforming variable 4 (‘they say’) and leaves a very marginal ro le to the dependent structures conforming variable 5 (‘as they say’). In English, the addresser uses variable 5 (‘as they say’) mainly to present the views of others in the contex t of illustrating his/ her inform ation or opinion. Out of t he 20 examples, 11 (55%) are of the verbless vari ant, as in 51, and nine (45%) are of the variant with a verb, as in 52-54. The verbless variant per se lacks implica tions as to authorial commitment. Besides, most exam ples of this variant (seven) have very general human referents, w ith the noun phrase containing one or some or consisting of a generic plural. By a noun phr ase consisting of a generic pl ural I mean a plural noun phrase with general referen ce and no determiner. Cf.: 51. [Tehran is coping with the largest number of Kurdish refugees, and] according to Western diplom ats , seems in a dilemma about how to respond. ( lines 157-159, sample EA03, English pr ess reportage, political) The variant with a verb inhe rently implies author ial support for the m odulated object. Besides, most exam ples of this variant ha ve a very specific human referent. This variant is in the sim ple present in five exam ples and in the simple past in the remaining four examples, in both cases being used to bring into consideration a current perspective. Thus, even when a past is used in the variable, we can perceive the current relevance of the idea expressed. Cf.: Chapter 5. Analysis 147 52. As the all party Commons Sele ct Committee on Education noted last year, the pay scale needs restructuring. (lin es 140-141, sample EB02, English press editorial, ins titutional editorial) The authorial support implied by the variant with a verb is reinfor ced in two exam ples through an ‘embedded’ evaluation introduced by the author in the variable (“an em inent monetarist himself” in exam ple 53) and in the context (“so ri ghtly” in example 54): 53. Monetary policy is still too tight, as Tim Congdon, an eminent monetarist himself, points out . (lines 192-193, sam ple EB12, English press editorial, institutional editorial) 54. As Foreign Office Minister Douglas Hogg so r ightl y says , it is essential to capitalise on the momentum generated by the decision to free John McCarthy. (lines 14-16, sam ple EB18, English press editorial, institution al editorial) In 53, authorial support for th e m odulated object would be implied even if the variable were simply “as Tim Congdon points out”. But the authors reinforce the im plications of authorial support by qualifying the person they are quoting as “an em inent monetarist himself”. In 54, authorial support for the m odulated object would be implied even if “so rightly” had been omitted. But they include “so rightly” and thus reinforce the implications . In English, variable 5 follows the tre nd of generally preceding the m odulated object, observed for variables 1 (‘I think’), 2 (‘it seem s’) and 4 (‘they say’) in English and Spanish and for variable 3 (‘probably’) in Spanish. In 15 examples the variable precedes its modulated object, in three the va riable in tervenes, and in two the variable follows. See Figure 5.12.A. On the other hand, in the vast majority of examples it is separated by commas, which suggests its gra mmatical detachment, consistent with its marginal condition in term s of frequency. Chapter 5. Analysis 148 In Spanish, variable 5 (‘as they say’) has the con siderable observed frequency of 67 examples, and an expected frequency of a bout 42. It is the second m ost frequent variable in Spanish, after variab le 4 (‘they say’), and can be said to rein force variable 4 in the presentation of a variety of third person human perspectives to support an author’s current point. Fi g u r e 5.12.A P os i ti on of var i ab l e 5, as th e y sa y , r e l at i ve t o m od u l at e d ob j e ct , i n E n gl i s h precedi n g ; 1 5 in t e r v e n in g ; 3 fo llo w in g; 2 Out of the 67 examples of variable 5 (‘ as they say’) in Spanish, 40 are of the verbless variant, and 27 of the variant with a v erb. In the tw o varian ts the essential role of the variab le is to mark diff e rent, well identif ied human referents as sources of data and views. Authorial commitment is ne ver implied by the variable in the verbless variant and im plied sometimes by the variant with a verb. Cf., w ith authorial support not implied by the variable: 55. Según el canciller , se ha conseguido un acuerdo «del 90%» con Moscú con respecto a los cuatro primeros apartados del acuerdo que se firm ará en mayo. (lines 187-189, sample SA03, Spanis h press reportage, political) 56. según señaló la escritora , «para realizar un trabajo de este tipo, tienes que contar con gente amiga, dispuesta a reflexionar sobre lo que escribe sin que ello Chapter 5. Analysis 149 suponga un mal trago para nadie» (lin es 229-232, sample SA39, Spanish press reportage, cultural) With the verb expressed and authorial support implied, cf.: 57. Como dice Hesse , las elecciones y los votos tan sólo pued en desempeñar su función cuando el ciudadano se encuentr a en condiciones de poderse formar un juicio sobre la vida política y la conducta de sus gobernantes, de modo tal que pueda aprobar o rechazar su gestión. (lines 44-47, sample SJ50, Spanish academic prose, law; em phasis -italics- in original) Out of the 27 exam ples of the variant with a v erb, 13 are in the pres ent ( amo ), nine in the preterite ( amé ), two in the present perf ect ( he amado ), two in the conditional ( amaría ), and one in the f orm in - ra of the imperfect subjunctive ( amara ) incor rectly replacing the preterite ( amé ) from a prescriptivist point of view (cf. example 58 and the discussion in the next paragraph). Thus, th e present is in the majority (although not an absolute majority) and th e preterite follows closely. As of 2009, the tense shift from the preterite ( amé ) to the imperfect subjunctive ( amara or amase ) has been in progress for a long tim e (cf. Bejarano 1962 for the shift to the form in - se , and RAE 1973:subsection 3.15.6b and Alarcos Llorach 1994:159 for the shift to the fo rm in - ra , all of them quoted in R ojo 1996: 679) and is firmly established in the language of the mass media (cf. Rojo 1996:679). It seems to respond to a wish to increase formality, and to be extending fr om the language of the m ass media to other types of discourse. The exam ple in this th esis belongs to academ ic prose, and is as follows: 58. [El derecho a la libertad de expresión es un derecho fundamental de toda persona, que se entrelaza con su dignida d y con el derecho a un trato igual. Privar a una persona del mismo atentaría gravem ente contra su propia dignidad, Chapter 5. Analysis 150 al condenarle al ostracismo, al empobreci m iento intelectual y moral,] que, como ya advirtiera Stuart Mill , es el resultado de la ause ncia de debate y de la imposición dogm ática de ideas. (lines 38-42, sample SJ50, Spanish academic prose, law; emphasis -italics - in original) Exactly locating this ten se shift in time is difficult, bec ause it overlaps with the archaic use of the imperfect subjunctive in - ra ( amara ) instead of the pluperfect ( había amado ; see Moliner 1998b:1581-1583). In a prescriptivist study on Spanish, Góm ez Torrego (1994[1989]:211) advises to reject this verbal form “por pedante y arcaica”. The currency of the views invoked by variable 5 in Spanish is served by its two variants in different ways. As with variab le 3 (‘probably’), the lack of tense of the verbless variant of variable 5 is au tomatically associated with the present ( e.g. in 55). In the variant with a verb, currency is redundantly conveyed by the present ( e.g. in 57) and assumed even when the predicator is in the preterite ( e. g. in 56; in this latter circumstance we find th e ‘past which bears upon the present’ obser ved in English and Spanish in the use of variable 4, ‘they say’). As with variable 4 (‘they say’), with variable 5 Spanish authors som etimes endow the third person reference with a pe rsonal touch, in a com bination of Jakobson’s (1966[1960]) emotive and referential functions. This is the case in two examples, the examples with “com o diría un castizo” and “co mo diría el inolvidable, Tip”. Cf.: 59. como diría un castizo , “menos da una piedra” (line 178, sample SB09, Spanish press editori al, letters to the editor) In the relative m ajority of examples of variable 5 in Sp anish, the variable precedes its modulated object (31 examples ), but the tw o other positions, variable intervening and variable follo wing, are also well represented, with 19 and 17 examples respectively. See Figure 5.12.B. Again, the expression of stance favours the sentence- initial position. On the other hand, the two other positions are favoured b y the mobility of the variable in turn derived from its gramm a tical dependency, and by the use of signs Chapter 5. Analysis 151 of quotation (especially invert ed commas) which help reader s identify that what is at stake is a third party’s s tance. Fi g u r e 5.12.B P os i ti on of var i ab l e 5, as th e y sa y , r e l at i ve t o m od u l ate d ob j e ct , i n Sp an i s h precedi n g ; 3 1 in t e r v e n in g ; 1 9 f ol l ow i n g ; 17 5.4 The variables as a group in Englis h and Spanish press reportage, press editorial and academic prose: an overview F i gu r e 5.13.A T h e var i ab l e s p e r ge n r e i n E n gl i s h 225 160 104 0 50 100 150 200 250 pr ess repor ta g e pr ess edi t or i al aca dem i c pros e number of exampl e s En gl i s h APPENDIX I 254 A02 56 be able to take civil court action over the threat.<p/> A02 57 <h|>Contempt A02 58 <p_>Courts will have the twin powers of issuing an injuction to A02 59 stop an illegal dispute a nd ordering a council to maintain A02 60 essential services.<p/> A02 61 <p_>It means that a Left-wing au thority which refuses to crack down A02 62 on industrial action can be lega lly forced to do so or face stiff A02 63 fines for contempt.<p/> A02 64 <p_>The Charter will also st rengthen the powers of the watchdog A02 65 bodies overseeing privatised water, gas and electricity A02 66 companies.<p/> A02 67 <p_>They will be able to co nsider finan cial compensation for A02 68 consumers hit by prolonged disrupt ion of supplies or a severe fall A02 69 in standards. British Rail se ason ticket holders who suffer from A02 70 persistently poor servi ces will qualify for free-travel A02 71 vouchers.<p/> A02 72 <p_>Labour has accused ministers of trying to water down Mr Major's A02 73 original plans for the charter.<p/> A02 74 <p_>But one senior minister sa id last night: <quote_>"The launch A02 75 will show they have actually been beefed up. At the mom ent there is A02 76 virtually nothing the individu al can do if public services break A02 77 down. Under the charter people will have more power in their A02 78 hands."<quote/><p/> A02 79 <p_>The charter is the key weapon in a new Tory initiative designed A02 80 to build on the party's c ontinuing popularity revival and Mr A02 81 Major's own strong voter support, particularly after his success at A02 82 the G7 summit.<p/> A02 83 <p_>The plans outlined today w ill be a mplified in mini-charter s A02 84 from individual departments - plus a 'handy guide' which may be A02 85 distributed to households.<p/> A02 86 <p_>The latest Harris poll, pub lished by the Observer yesterday, A02 87 confirmed the recent trend in Mr Majo r's favour, slicing Labour's A02 88 lead to only 3 per cent, and showing the Tories picking up support A02 89 from both Neil Kinnock's party and Paddy Ashdown's Liberal A02 90 Democrats.<p/> A02 91 <p_>The survey gives Labour 42 per cent and Tories 39, with the A02 92 Liberal Democrats st ruggling at 14 per cent.<p/> A02 93 <p_>Despite such encouragement, the Prem ier gave a strong signal A02 94 yesterday that he is still planning for a 1992 election, rather A02 95 than one this autumn.<p/> A02 96 <p_>In a newspaper interview, he emphasised the importance of A02 97 bringing negotiations on the future of the European Community to a A02 98 conclusion at the next EC summit, in Decem ber.<p/> A02 99 <p_>He declared: <quote_>"I don't intend to take any risks of A02 100 having any other part y negotiate at those A02 101 inter<?_>-<?/>governm ental conferences that will be so important to A02 102 Britain's future."<quote/><p/> A02 103 <p_>With the Tory attack looming, Labour fired off a pre-em ptive APPENDIX I 255 A02 104 broadside yesterday.<p/> A02 105 <p_>Shadow chancellor John Smith said the claim that Britain will A02 106 be out of recession by Chri stmas was <quote|>"bogus", and A02 107 environment spokesm an Bryan Goul d said the Government had run out A02 108 of ideas.<p/> A02 109 <p_>Shadow transport secretar y John Prescott will today unveil A02 110 Labour's plans to make BR run on tim e by threatening to sack A02 111 managers who fail to meet sta ndards of quality and reliability.<p/> A02 112 A02 113 <h_><p_>The buck stops he re, pledges water supremo<p/> A02 114 <p_>by DOMINIC KENNEDY<p/><h/> A02 115 <p_>THE head of the water company at the centre of the A02 116 contamination scare spoke yesterday of his anguish over A02 117 <quote_>"this rotten affair"<quote/>.<p/> A02 118 <p_>And Sir John Page insi sted: <quote_>"The buck stops A02 119 here."<quote/><p/> A02 120 <p_>The former Tory MP, who is chairman of Three Valleys Water A02 121 Services, said: <quote_>"Ever si nce six this morning I have been A02 122 wandering about worrying like hell. This is a very serious affair. A02 123 It is the unthinkable, that untr eated water should go out. Our team A02 124 is completely overwhelm ed by this awful event."<quote/><p/> A02 125 <p_>Sir John was out at a dinner party when the contamination was A02 126 confirmed. He could not be contacted and learned of the A02 127 developments only when he return ed in the early hours of Sunday to A02 128 his home in Taplow, Buckingham shire.<p/> A02 129 <p_>He woke at 6am and listened to radio news bulletins about the A02 130 pollution, then visited the comp any HQ in Rickmansworth before A02 131 returning home.<p/> A02 132 <p_><quote_>"I want to get the whole thing operationally A02 133 right,"<quote/> he said. <quote_ >"For the next 24 hours I'm going A02 134 to be at the end of the telep hone and probably at very frequent A02 135 meetings."<quote/><p/> A02 136 <h|>Inquiry A02 137 <p_>Sir John, former MP for Ha rrow West, retired at the last A02 138 General Election after 27 years. His successor Robert Hughes, whose A02 139 constituents ha ve been affected by the scare, pulled no punches A02 140 yesterday. <quote_>"While we a ll appreciate accidents can happen, A02 141 water is now an expensive commod ity for all of my constituents and A02 142 such an accident is com pletely unacceptable,"<quote/> said Mr A02 143 Hughes.<p/> A02 144 <p_><quote_>"I demand a full public inquiry into th e activities of A02 145 the company and will be seeking a debate in Parliam ent."<quote/><p/> A02 146 <p_>Reports that the company faile d to warn consumers until several A02 147 hours after the fault was detected should be investigated urgently, A02 148 added Mr Hughes. Sir John said : <quote_>"I think the concern of A02 149 Robert Hughes is appropriate and completely legitim ate. I intend to A02 150 speak to him as soon as possible. W e have nothing to A02 151 hide."<quote/><p/> APPENDIX I 256 A02 152 <p_>Asked whether the company would comp ensate families who have A02 153 paid for bottled water he said: <quote_ >"We haven't thought about A02 154 that detail as yet."<quote/><p/> A02 155 <p_>Sir John's involvem ent with the water industry be gan nine years A02 156 ago when he became a director of Colne Valley W ater Company. He A02 157 became chairman three years before it merged with the neighbouring A02 158 suppliers, Lee Valley Water Com pany and Rickmansworth Water A02 159 Company, in 1990. The merger, crea ting the seventh-largest U K water A02 160 company, was approved by the Monopolies and Mergers Commission. The A02 161 French giant Compagnie Generale des Eaux, which A02 162 already owned 28 per cent of Co lne, 16 per cent of Rickmansworth A02 163 and the whole of Lee, bought the newly-merged company. CGE is the A02 164 largest water group in the world, and has interests in waste A02 165 disposal, funeral services, utilities and construction.<p/> A02 166 <p_>The area covered by Thr ee Valleys was unaffected by the A02 167 privatisation of the water industry. Its w a ter has been A02 168 traditionally supplied by th e private sector.<p/> A02 169 <p_>The three smaller water com p anies still exist, and are known to A02 170 customers by their old nam e s. Their boards of directors are A02 171 identical: Jim McGown is chairm an, and Robert Simpson is deputy A02 172 chairman. They also have two non-executive directors, Peter Darby, A02 173 head of finance, and Richard Me dhurst, head of water quality. They A02 174 are subsidiaries of Three Valle ys, which is chaired by Sir John. A02 175 Its directors include Mr McGown and Mr Simpson, plus Jean-Claude A02 176 Banon from General Utilities, the London branch of A02 177 <foreign_>Compagnie Generale des Eaux<foreign/>. The other A02 178 directors all served with the three old companies. They are Jim A02 179 Bolton, former chairm an of L ee Valley, John Hasledene, former A02 180 director of Colne Valley an d Lee Valley, Michael Ross-Collins, A02 181 former director of Rickmans worth and Colne Valley, Jean-Pierre A02 182 Tardieu, former director of Lee Valley, and John Paterson, form e r A02 183 director of Lee Valley.<p/> A02 184 <p_>Mr McGown, Mr Simpson, Mr Bolton and Mr Ross-Collins all live A02 185 in the area supplied by Thre e Valleys W ater Services.<p/> A02 186 <p_>CGE's British water companies also includ e North Surrey, A02 187 Folkestone and Tendring Hundred.<p/> A02 188 A02 189 <h_><p_>Major on top of the world<p/> A02 190 <p_>By JOHN DEANS, Political Correspondent<p_><h/> A02 191 <p_>JOHN MAJOR returned from tr iumph on the world stage last night A02 192 to deliver his most upb eat economic forecast yet. <p/> A02 193 <p_>After winning hearts in Moscow and a grudging respect in A02 194 Peking, he turned his attention to domestic agenda which is looking A02 195 increasingly favourable.<p/> A02 196 <p_><quote_>"We are beginning to see the econom y turning A02 197 round,"<quote/> he said. <quot e_>"That has an effect on A02 198 expectations and behaviour.<p/> A02 199 <p_>People begin to spend again, which means the econom y be gins to APPENDIX I 257 A02 200 grow and there is a gene ral virtuous circle."<quote/> A02 201 <p_>Although voicing regret about unemployment, he forecast that A02 202 inflation would be down to 4 pe r cent by the end of the year and A02 203 recession would soon be a thing of the past. But on the speculation A02 204 about a possible November elec tion the Prem ier remained cool. A02 205 <quote_>"I'm in no particular rush,"<quote/> he said.<p/> A02 206 <p_>His confidence was echoed by Foreign Secretary Douglas Hurd, A02 207 who flew home from Hongkong with him and declared later: <quote_>"A A02 208 fourth term of governm ent is firmly within our grasp. The most A02 209 striking indicator is the increas ed optimism a mong ordinary voters. A02 210 They are now more optimistic about the economy than at any tim e in A02 211 the past three years."<quote/><p/> A02 212 <p_>While the history-making m a y be over for now, there will be no A02 213 let up in Mr Major's itinerary. He and his wife Norma spend the A02 214 weekend with the Queen at Balm oral, followed by a two-day tour of A02 215 Scotland where Tory constituencies remain vulnerable. On W e dnesday, A02 216 the Premier flies to Paris for talks with P resident Mitterand and A02 217 meetings with leaders from Russia and the newly-em erging A02 218 democracies of Eastern Europe.<p/> A02 219 <p_>After that, he embarks on a programme of visits to m arginal A02 220 constituencies around Britain. W hile careful not to rule out the A02 221 autumn option com pletely, the Pr ime Minster has m ade it clear that A02 222 one high priority is to ensure that he represents Britain in the A02 223 next stage of negotiations on European union in December.<p/> A02 224 <p_>The latest popularity research brought more bad news for the A02 225 Labour Party last night.<p/> A02 226 <p_>The Newsnight poll of polls, analysing four of the m ain recent A02 227 surveys, put the Conservatives one point ahead and showed 60 per A02 228 cent of the electorate satisfie d with John Major' s performance.<p/> A02 229 <h|>Dropped A02 230 <p_>The result did not take into account yesterday's Gallup poll, A02 231 which gave the Tories a 4.5 per cent lead, or the latest fall in A02 232 interest rates.<p/> A02 233 <p_>Newsnight gave the Tories 41 per cent, three per cent up since A02 234 the last similar survey, while Labour dropped back three points.<p/> A02 235 <p_>The Liberal Democrats gained one, to 15 per cent.<p/> A02 236 <p_>Backing for Mr Major increased by six points while A02 237 dissatisfaction with Mr Kin nock rose two to 52 per cent.<p/> A02 238 <p_>Labour's campaign coordinator Jack Cunningham insisted last A02 239 night that domestic affairs woul d rescue his party. <quote_>"This A02 240 is what will determine the out com e of t he election,"<quote/> he A02 241 said.<p/> A02 242 A03 1 <#FLOB:A03\><h_><p_>How the Kurds were saved from Saddam<p/><h/> A03 2 <p_>The creation of a save haven for the Kurds inside Iraq was A03 3 achieved only after a fortnigh t of intense m a noeuvring. The man who A03 4 displayed the greatest diplomacy on the world stage was the prim e A03 5 minister. For, as <tf_>Nicholas Wood<tf/> in London and <tf_>Martin APPENDIX I 258 A03 6 Fletcher<tf/> in Washington report, it was hi s skills which turned A03 7 a scheme fraught with polit ical difficulties into reality.<p/> A03 8 <p_>THE lowest point in John Major's 15-day personal Odyssey to A03 9 bring succour to the legions of dispossessed Kurds dying in their A03 10 thousands of cold and hunger in the mountains of northern Iraq came A03 11 at Arsenal football club a fortnight ago yesterday.<p/> A03 12 <p_>The prime m i nister, a keen Chelsea supporter, could not have A03 13 been comforted by the sight of their London rivals crushing Aston A03 14 Villa 5-0. But far more painf ul for him was the realisation that A03 15 Margaret Thatcher, his predecessor, h ad emerged from enforced A03 16 retirement to cham pion the cause of the refugees.<p/> A03 17 <p_>That same afternoon, Mr s Thatcher had stepped onto her A03 18 Belgravia pavement to tell the world that <quote_>"legal A03 19 niceties"<quote/> could not be allowed to stand in the way of a A03 20 people's salvation. Mr Major, already under fire for his alleged A03 21 dallying over the poll tax, could have imagined the rest. The A03 22 Kurdish emigr<*_>e-acute<* />s duly obliged, letting it be A03 23 known that they had appreciated the chance to talk to a A03 24 <quote_>"doer not a ditherer"<quote/>.<p/> A03 25 <p_>By the time he had reached Highbury stadium , Mr Major, from the A03 26 comfort of his bullet-proof Daim ler, had acted to lim it the damage. A03 27 After frantic discussions with his aides, including at least three A03 28 telephone calls during the match, he brought forward the A03 29 announcement of an outline plan to brin g relief to the Kurds.<p/> A03 30 <p_>Nevertheless, the morning headlines m ade gri m reading. A03 31 <quote_>"The voice of conscien ce ... It takes Maggie to speak out A03 32 for the Kurds"<quote/> trumpete d the <tf_>Daily Mail<tf/> over a A03 33 story contrasting George Bush's enthusiasm for golf and Mr Major' s A03 34 passion for football with Mrs Th atcher's sense of occasion. That A03 35 Thursday, April 4, Mr Major cut short his week's break in A03 36 Huntingdon to return to London to take charge of the biggest A03 37 political problem to hit his desk since a rriving in the hot A03 38 seat.<p/> A03 39 <p_>As ever in politics, th e criticism was not totally fair. A03 40 According to one senior Foreign Office source yesterday, after A03 41 witnessing the harrowing scenes on television of the Kurds fleeing A03 42 from President Saddam Hussein' s avenging arm y, the prime minister A03 43 had been driving forward an international relief operation on A03 44 behalf of the Kurds two days before Mrs Thatcher dram atically A03 45 raised the stakes.<p/> A03 46 <p_>Tristan Garel-Jones, the Foreign Office duty minister during A03 47 the Easter recess, had been left in no doubt of the prime A03 48 minister's intentions by St ephen W all, his private secretary A03 49 responsible for foreign affair s, on the Monday before. <quote_>"The A03 50 message was simple: this th ing is serious. W e want action A03 51 now,"<quote/> the source said ye sterday. But for the next two days A03 52 Whitehall's wheels ground slowly as the Overseas Developm ent A03 53 Administration wavered over th e pounds 20 million costs of the Major APPENDIX I 259 A03 54 plan.<p/> A03 55 <p_>By Wednesday, even before Mrs T hatcher's sensational A03 56 intervention, things were begi nning to take shape. On Thursday, A03 57 April 4 Mr. Major gave deta ils of the po unds20 million m ountain A03 58 airlift, while still ruling ou t m ilitary intervention. But the real A03 59 work was going on behind the scenes on a plan that was to take the A03 60 European Community and the Americans unawares at special summ it of A03 61 EC leaders in Luxem bourg on the following Monday.<p/> A03 62 <p_>With Douglas Hurd, the foreign secretary, on top of Taishan, A03 63 China's m ost sacred mountain, Mr Major took personal charge of what A03 64 was to be unveiled as the safe havens plan in Luxembourg. As one A03 65 delighted minister put it yest erday, <quote_>"he saw the greasy A03 66 ball lying on the grass, scooped it up, rubbed it twice on his A03 67 shirt, put his head down, and ran for the line. It was A03 68 magic."<quote/> The prime m ini ster had 'bounced' both the Americans A03 69 and the Europeans into following Britain's lead.<p/> A03 70 <p_>The details of the pr ime minister's <quote_>"safe A03 71 haven"<quote/> plan were not finalised until he reached Luxem bourg A03 72 on the Monday of the EC summit. But before he announced them, he A03 73 secured another diplomatic d eal with Presiden t Mitterrand of A03 74 France.<p/> A03 75 <p_>In the shadow of the summ it, the French chaired a m eeting of A03 76 the Western European Union whic h pledged aid to southeast Turkey. A03 77 The French want the EC to absorb the union and play a military role A03 78 in Europe, something Britain and the US have resisted. By letting M A03 79 Mitterrand have his way, Mr Majo r won French backing for his plan. A03 80 On the flight to Luxembourg, Mr Major was warned about the risks of A03 81 pressing his scheme by close advi sers. <quote_>"He was warned that A03 82 the US was not on board and that the administration wanted to get A03 83 their troops back home,"<quote/ > one insider said. <quote_>"H e was A03 84 told he would need troops to make the safe havens plan work. We all A03 85 said to him "we cannot guarantee success on this. Yo u have to A03 86 realise there is a possibility of failure and that the Americans A03 87 and the Europeans might say no."<quote/><p/> A03 88 <p_>Mr Major, perhaps determin ed to rid him s elf of the dithering A03 89 tag once and for all, was adaman t that they should press on. Backed A03 90 by Douglas Hogg, junior minister at the Foreign Office, he told his A03 91 officials. <quote_>"It's th e right thing to do. Get on with A03 92 it."<quote/> At the prime minist er's behest, Mr O'Donnell performed A03 93 one vital service, translati ng the mandarin words of the Foreign A03 94 Office into a four-point pl an that could be ready<&|>sic! A03 95 assimilated by the m edia.<p/> A03 96 <p_>The Americans were told of the plan only after the prime A03 97 minister arrived in Luxem bour g. Mr Wall briefed Brent Scowcroft, A03 98 the national security adviser, and Mr Major sent a message direct A03 99 to President Bush. Sir David Hannay, Britain' s ambassador to the A03 100 UN, set about persuading the Russians and the Chinese that by A03 101 interfering in Iraq Britain was not seeking to set a precedent for APPENDIX I 260 A03 102 Georgia and Tibet.<p/> A03 103 <p_>Mr Major's enclave propos al received the chilliest of A03 104 receptions in Washington. Unwilling publicly to snub an ally, A03 105 Marlin Fitzwater, the White H ouse press secretary, instead dam ned A03 106 it with faint praise, saying it had <quote_>"some merits"<quote/> A03 107 and was <quote_>"worthy of consid eration."<quote/> Privately senior A03 108 administration officials complain ed that the Britis h had failed to A03 109 consult Washington before putti ng the idea to th e EC and listed a A03 110 string of objections.<p/> A03 111 <p_>The Americans had already b een caught on the hop the day before A03 112 when Richard Cheney, the US de fence secretary, had found himself in A03 113 the studios of ABC Television wh en the Turkish president, Turgut A03 114 Ozal, announced a <quote/>"bu ffer state"<quote/> proposal on A03 115 air.<p/> A03 116 <p_>One senior American official told <tf_>The Times<tf/> that the A03 117 idea would never get through th e UN Security Council because China A03 118 and the Soviet Union would argue that it violated the sovereignty A03 119 of a member state. It threatened the perm anent fragmentation of A03 120 Iraq because the enclaves, once es tablished, would be far harder to A03 121 dismantle. It would alm ost certainly mean US troops re-entering A03 122 Iraq because <quote_>"we don't see anyone else A03 123 volunteering"<quote/>.<p/> A03 124 <p_>In the face of British and European determination to forge A03 125 ahead, the Bush administration was obliged to devise its own A03 126 counterplan which was first disc losed by an official travelling A03 127 from Turkey to the Middle East with Mr Baker on Wednesday last A03 128 week.<p/> A03 129 <p_>Mr Fitzwater announced that America had told the Iraqis to A03 130 cease all military activ ities in the air and on the grou nd north of A03 131 parallel 36 so that relief operations could proceed unhindered, A03 132 thus creating what W hite House officials privatel y admitted was a A03 133 de facto safe haven.<p/> A03 134 <p_>That night Mr Bush telephone d Mr Major, and after a 20-minute A03 135 conversation Downing Street and the White House both issued A03 136 statements saying the two leaders had agreed on the need for a safe A03 137 haven.<p/> A03 138 <p_>In a telephone conversation conducted on first nam e terms, Mr A03 139 Major told the US leader that aid would not be enough and it was A03 140 vital to get the Kurds off the mountains. Sir David Hannay tackled A03 141 the problem of convincing the UN to abandon the cherished principle A03 142 of non-intervention, and by Monday, after talks with A03 143 Se<*_>n-tilde<*/>or P<*_>e-acute <*/>rez de Cu<*_>e-acute<*/>llar, A03 144 the UN secretary general, he was making headway.<p/> A03 145 <p_>Mr Major then spoke to Pres ident Bush and Se<*_>n-tilde<*/>or A03 146 P<*_>e-acute<*/>rez de Cu<*_>e- acute<*/>llar on Tuesday night, A03 147 firming up an agreem ent that in siders reckoned was 70 per cent in A03 148 the bag.<p/> A03 149 <p_>By the time of the joint W ashington and Downing Street APPENDIX I 261 A03 150 announcements about the use of force to secure the havens, the A03 151 prime m i nister's days as a d itherer - if not President Bush's A03 152 - appeared to be numbered.<p/> A03 153 A03 154 <h_><p_>Role of West pos es dilemm a for Rafsanjani<p/> A03 155 <p_>From EDWARD GORMAN in TEHRAN<p/><h/> A03 156 <p_>THE decision to go ahead with plans for safe areas in northern A03 157 Iraq has left the Iranian government out in the cold. Tehran is A03 158 coping with the larg est number of Kurdish refugees, and according A03 159 to Western diplomats, seem s in a dilemma about how to respond.<p/> A03 160 <p_><quote_>"They haven't made up their m inds what they A03 161 want,"<quote/> commented one seni or Western envoy, who said Tehran A03 162 has been wrongfooted since the c oncept of a safe haven or enclave A03 163 was first mooted. <quote_>"They have a real dilemma, which they A03 164 haven't resolved, which has impor tant political and hum anitarian A03 165 dimensions,"<quote/> he added.<p/> A03 166 <p_>Throughout the Gulf confront ation, President Rafsanjani's A03 167 approach has combined conflicti ng impulses. Like the United S t ates, A03 168 Iran does not want to see Iraq break up, and like Am erica, it wants A03 169 President Saddam Hussein pushed out of power.<p/> A03 170 <p_>But despite denouncing the i nvasion and annexation of Kuwait, A03 171 it has also attacked American and allied m ilitary involvem ent in A03 172 the region and called for a w ithdrawal. Recently it has blam ed A03 173 America for encouraging the Kurds in their uprising, and for A03 174 ignoring the plight of ref ugees on the Iran-Iraq border.<p/> A03 175 <p_>Tehran has been shut out of the president's plan because it is A03 176 largely a response to Turkey's needs and because of the continuing A03 177 deep fracture in American-Iranian relations. It can be expected to A03 178 criticise the proposals because th ey involve further deploym ents of A03 179 allied troops and will fuel fears here that the Am ericans are not A03 180 sincere in their undertakings to withdraw from the region.<p/> A03 181 <p_>The Iranian government is understandably nervous of any A03 182 solution to the Kurdish problem which helps to form alise Kurdish A03 183 aspirations to a separate or au tonomous state, and the implications A03 184 that may have for m illions of Kurds living on the Iranian side of A03 185 the border.<p/> A03 186 <p_>However, President Rafsanjani has made it clear he wishes to A03 187 see the eventual re patriation of refugees from Iran. Som e observers A03 188 believe he may choose publicly to distance him s elf from the A03 189 American plan, while allowing or encouraging as m any refuge es to A03 190 return home under its auspices as wish to do so. This will require A03 191 careful presentation by the presiden t, who cannot afford to be seen A03 192 by his people to be partic ipating in, or endorsing, an A03 193 American-brokered solution.<p/> A03 194 A03 195 <h_><p_>Insults pepper B onn accord<p/> A03 196 <p_>From IAN MURRAY IN BONN<p/><h/> A03 197 <p_>IT SEEMED a good idea when th e Germ an government and opposition APPENDIX I 262 A03 198 agreed last Friday to work t ogether in two comm ittees to rescue A03 199 eastern Germany from economic collapse. Before a single meeting can A03 200 be arranged, however, both si des are at each other's throat.<p/> A03 201 <p_>Helmut Kohl, the chancellor, yesterday ruled out any idea that A03 202 the Social Democrats (SPD) woul d be allowed to discuss government A03 203 policy. Hans-Jochen Vogel, the opposition leader, implied this made A03 204 little difference since the gove rnm ent was now largely following A03 205 the interventionis t policy of the SPD.<p/> A03 206 <p_>The tone of the exchanges is growing m ore vitriolic. The A03 207 chancellor should whistle off th e firebrands of his party, said A03 208 Frau Herta D<*_>a-umlaut<*/>ubler-G melin, the deputy SPD leader. A03 209 The SPD was falsely raising the expectations of poor people in A03 210 eastern Germany, countered Volker R<*_>u-um laut<*/>he, general A03 211 secretary of the chancellor's Christian Demo crats (CDU).<p/> A03 212 <p_>Certainly electione ering is involved, since A03 213 Rhineland-Palatinate, Herr Kohl 's hom e state, votes for a new A03 214 parliament on Sunday. Voters there have always picked a CDU A03 215 government, but opinion polls show the SPD in the lead, and H err A03 216 Kohl's party risks a hum iliating defeat.<p/> A03 217 <p_>Despite the argument, the government has abandoned its reliance A03 218 on private investment to pull the east out of econom i c A03 219 difficulties. Treuhand, the agency set up to privatise A03 220 old communist combines, is now helping lam e<? _>-<?/>duck industries A03 221 to survive rather th an killing them off.<p/> A03 222 A07 1 <#FLOB:A07\><h_><p_>Dexter's backing his England flops<p/> A07 2 <p_>By Colin Bateman<p/><h/> A07 3 <p_>ENGLAND'S Test selectors performed a remarkable act of faith A07 4 when they named their first Sunday squad of the summer A07 5 yesterday.<p/> A07 6 <p_>They have shown faith in the ability and fitn ess of the 11 who A07 7 lost the last Test, naming them all for the fourth Test against the A07 8 West Indies which star ts in Birmingham on Thursday.<p/> A07 9 <p_>They have shown faith in Chris Lewis, the talented but fragile A07 10 Leicestershire allrounder who is recalled despite leaving doctors A07 11 baffled over the dizzy spells which have forced him to pull out A07 12 minutes before his la st two Tests at home.<p/> A07 13 <h|>Experienced A07 14 <p_>Yesterday's announcement of the 12 for Edgbaston m ust have A07 15 caused disappointment for several player' s-in-waiting but their A07 16 chances could yet come through injuries.<p/> A07 17 <p_>Mike Atherton's durability fo r a five-day Test without a rest A07 18 day is still in doubt because of his stom ach strain, while Robin A07 19 Smith's damaged finger m akes it painful for him to bat against even A07 20 a county attack.<p/> A07 21 <p_>Glamorgan's Hugh Morris, as he was at Trent Bridge, is on A07 22 stand-by.<p/> A07 23 <p_>Despite the fitness doubts a nd the lack of runs this series APPENDIX I 263 A07 24 from Atherton, Graeme Hick a nd Allan Lamb - 158 runs from 15 A07 25 innings - the selectors decided on an unchanged top six for the A07 26 fourth consecutive Test, alt hough they will consider the order.< p/> A07 27 <p_>Chairman Ted Dexter said: <quote_>"W e felt these batsmen were A07 28 the best at the start of the su mmer and we still feel th ey are the A07 29 best.<p/> A07 30 <p_>"Selection is dictated by having three experienced batsmen in A07 31 Gooch, Lamb and Smith and thr ee at various stages on the learning A07 32 curve in Atherton, Hick and Ramprakash.<p/> A07 33 <p_>"The three 'learners' are all talented players and we see no A07 34 point in stopping the learning process.<p/> A07 35 <p_>"Of the experienced batsme n, Lamb is the only one struggling A07 36 and we are confident he is as likely to produce as anyone."<quote/> A07 37 The challengers have clearly not made much of an impression. Apart A07 38 from Morris being in his perm anent stand-by position, Devon Malcolm A07 39 and Dermot Reeve are dropped af ter be ing in the squad for the third A07 40 Test.<p/> A07 41 <h|>Pilloried A07 42 <p_>There is no hint of a br eakthrough either for David Gower, who A07 43 is beginning to find his touc h again, or Ian Botham, who m ust A07 44 surely recognise that England will now never rate him again as a A07 45 Test class all-rounder.<p/> A07 46 <p_>And Phil Tufnell must patiently keep taking wickets for A07 47 Middlesex until the selectors decide his face fits once m ore. The A07 48 conviction shown by Graham Gooch, Micky Stew art and Dexter in their A07 49 players has to be admi red if not agreed with.<p/> A07 50 <p_>The last time the W est Indi es were here in 1988 the selectors A07 51 were pilloried after using four captains and 23 players in a series A07 52 lost 4-0. This summer England have used 13 players and are an A07 53 honourable 1-1 with two to play.<p/> A07 54 <p_>As opposed to the major overh aul perform ed before every Test in A07 55 1988, England this summer have re fused even regular services with A07 56 Gooch clinging firmly to the wheel hoping the wheels don't com e off A07 57 on the last lap.<p/> A07 58 <p_>Lewis's recall is, withou t doubt, the most daring thing the A07 59 selectors have done throughout the series.<p/> A07 60 <h|>Problems A07 61 <p_>England will want him to pl ay at Ed gbaston on what is expected A07 62 to be a slow wicket in place of spinner Richard Illing worth or A07 63 strike bowler David Lawrence.<p/> A07 64 <p_>Lewis is understandably as conderned about his f itness as he is A07 65 upset about suggestions that so me of his problems are figm ents of A07 66 his imagination, and that he spends m ore time on the physio's couch A07 67 than on the field.<p/> A07 68 <p_>Encouragingly, since the Headingley Test, he has not missed a A07 69 Championship match with Leiceste r, scoring useful runs and bowling A07 70 182 overs taking 20 wickets.<p/> A07 71 <p_>Edgbaston will be as vital a gam e for Lewis as it will be for APPENDIX I 270 A09 132 jumps by jeep before lunch with Haughey. It was an event few would A09 133 have thought possible afte r Mountbatten's slaughter.<p/> A09 134 <h|>Explosion A09 135 <p_>Princess Margaret was the la st royal visitor before that, way A09 136 back in the Sixties. She stayed at Birr Castle in County Offaly A09 137 with her then husband the Ea rl of Snowdon, but their trip was A09 138 marred by a small terrorist expl osion near the estate walls.<p/> A09 139 <p_>Only three months ago, however, Eire President Mary Robinson A09 140 made an historic official visit to Britai n, leading to A09 141 Fine Gael spokesman Brendan McGahon calling for A09 142 a royal return match, saying: <quote_>"There is a distinguished A09 143 Royal Family in Britain and we should receive them in the sam e A09 144 manner President Robins on was received."<quote/><p/> A09 145 A09 146 <h_><p_>High-flying Major's new status symbol<p/><h/> A09 147 <p_>PRIME Minister John Major is in need of an aeroplane befitting A09 148 his sudden status as a globe- trotting international statesman.<p/> A09 149 <p_>That is why he flew first to Russia, then on to China, not in A09 150 the ageing VC 10 so favoured by his predecessor, but in a poun ds35 A09 151 million TriStar. <p/> A09 152 <p_>Speed, of course, is one factor. The VC10, all of 234 years A09 153 old, is slower and requires many more refuelling s t ops.<p/> A09 154 <p_>Then, of course, there is the delicate and unspoken matter of A09 155 statesmanly status.<p/> A09 156 <p_>France's President Mitterrand travels in a supersonic Concorde. A09 157 The President of the United St ates flies in one of two Boeing A09 158 747-200Bs which stand six-storey high, have been dubbed the Flying A09 159 Taj Mahals, and cost over pounds600 m illion.<p/> A09 160 <p_>The VC-10-borne Prime Minister is belittled by such high-flying A09 161 comparison - a point given illustration when he flew into the A09 162 airforce base near Kennebunkport to consult with George Bush and A09 163 found himself dwarfed alongsid e one of the president's m ighty A09 164 Boeings.<p/> A09 165 <p_>The switch to the TriStar - this one is supplied by British A09 166 Airways - could signal the move towards the privatisation of VIP A09 167 travel which has traditionally been handled by the RAF.<p/> A09 168 <p_>It has certainly brought the British Premier into the m odern A09 169 age of government air travel - a nd represents yet another definite A09 170 break from the Thatcher era.<p/> A09 171 <p_>The TriStar's configurati on is comfortable - the seats are A09 172 first class and there are single beds for Major, his wife Norma, A09 173 Foreign Secretary Douglas Hurd and Downing Street foreign affairs A09 174 specialist Sir Percy Craddock.<p/> A09 175 <p_>Its communication equipment, provided by the electronic spies A09 176 at GCHG, is of the most sophisticated variety.<p/> A09 177 <p_>It allows the Prime Minist er to communicate instantly with A09 178 president Bush. Just as importantly, it has enabled him to keep up A09 179 with Chelsea's football scores.<p/> APPENDIX I 271 A09 180 A09 181 <h_><p_>And Another Thing...<p/><h/> A09 182 <p_>GOOD news for the Princess Royal from Scotland, where fears A09 183 that her friend, Ol d Etonian farmer John Corbett, 44, might follow A09 184 HRH into the divorce courts have proved premature.<p/> A09 185 <p_>Lord Rowallan's son, who lost his family seat - Rowallan Castle A09 186 - after being hit by massive death duties, is now down to his last A09 187 1,000 acres after sel ling the castle plus 6,000 acres to a leisure A09 188 consortium.<p/> A09 189 <p_>Corbett, who frequently ente rtained Anne and Mark Phillips at A09 190 Rowallan, has decided to take a to lerant attitude towards his wife A09 191 Sandie's fondness for a member of the Scottish horse show A09 192 fraternity, which has been th e talk of equine Scotland.<p/> A09 193 <p_>He married former groom , Sandie, 29, after divorcing his first A09 194 wife Jane, and assures me: <quote_>"There was never a A09 195 split."<quote/><p/> A09 196 A09 197 <h_><p_>A fortune up in sm oke for tobacco heir<p/><h/> A09 198 <p_>RECLUSIVE tobacco heiress Do ris Duke, one of the richest women A09 199 in the world, has disinherited he r adopted daughter, Chandi Hefner A09 200 - for daring to consort with a man Doris does not approve of.<p/> A09 201 <p_>Chandi - no relation to Hugh - has been dating a big, A09 202 good-looking bodyguard who once work ed for Doris in Hawaii.<p/> A09 203 <p_>Doris - worth 874 m illion dollars at my last count and who A09 204 recently put up the 4.6 million dollar bail for the Philippines' A09 205 former first lady, Imelda Marcos when facing fraud charges in New A09 206 York - objected. And she is used to getting her own way.<p/> A09 207 <p_>She wanted to see Chandi, w ho is in her 20s, married - but only A09 208 to someone who m e t her soci ally formidable criteria.<p/> A09 209 <p_>When Chandi refused to break off her romance with the A09 210 bodyguard, Doris, 78 - her father founded the giant American A09 211 Tobacco Company - promptly ord ere d her out of her mansion. She also A09 212 got her lawyers to retrieve the trust fund she had set up for A09 213 <quote|>"daughter".<p/> A09 214 <p_>This strikes me as a charm i ng example of pot calling kettle A09 215 black - for Doris's own romantic r ecord is hardly on e to set before A09 216 a daughter, even an adopted one.<p/> A09 217 <p_>She divorced her first husba nd, Am erican banker and former US A09 218 Minister to Canada, James R Crom well, after ei ght years on the A09 219 grounds of "systematic m ental and physical cruelty". She then A09 220 married Dominican "diplom at" and unconscienced playboy Porfirio A09 221 Rubirosa (a Pari sian newspaper reporting the wedding mistakenly A09 222 called her Madame Doris Duck).<p/> A09 223 <h|>Playboy A09 224 <p_>She paid him off with a m illion dollars - a lot of m oney in A09 225 1949 - after just 13 months (Rubi rosa, who died th e quintessential A09 226 playboy's death by driving his Ferrari into a tree, collected A09 227 another millio n dollar divorce se ttlement off Woolworth's heiress APPENDIX I 272 A09 228 Barbara Hutton).<p/> A09 229 <p_>Her next marital excursion was with a bandleader called Joseph A09 230 Castro. That union also went the way of all flesh; they were A09 231 divorced eight years later.<p/> A09 232 <p_>In between there were brie f grapples with Errol Flynn, a Tory A09 233 MP and sundry others.<p/> A09 234 <p_>Doris survived her flings with her finances intact. Chandi - La A09 235 Duke took her in after her own fa mily threw her out for joining the A09 236 Hare Krishnas - has not.<p/> A09 237 A16 1 <#FLOB:A16\><h_><p_>Bad news all round in the year of the cash A16 2 call<p/> A16 3 <p_>Gloom is the key word fo r the results season, as Heather Connon A16 4 reports<p/><h/> A16 5 <p_>COMPANIES representing 40 per cent of the value of the stock A16 6 market are due to publish resu lts in the next six weeks. And the A16 7 picture they paint is likely to be one of alm ost unremitting A16 8 gloom.<p/> A16 9 <p_>The results will cove r the first six months of the year when A16 10 Britain was in the grip of one of the worst recess ions since the A16 11 war. Companies as diverse as BA T Industries and BTR, George W i mpey A16 12 and T&N, all reporting this w eek, will d emonstrate this as they A16 13 report plummeting profits, or even losses. Later in the m onth, RTZ, A16 14 Rolls Royce, Ratners, Dalgety and Prudential Corporation are likely A16 15 to add to the stream of bad news.<p/> A16 16 <p_>But even the worst reporting season for a decade is unlikely to A16 17 halt the stately rise of the FT-SE 100, up more than a quarter A16 18 since the beginning of the year . The market already knows the news A16 19 will be bad - after all, its analysts have sp ent the best part of A16 20 the last year downgrading forecas ts. But this is expected to be the A16 21 worst period and the market's eyes are firm ly on the upside, which A16 22 means next year and 1993.<p/> A16 23 <p_>It is, however, still pos sible that the reporting se ason will A16 24 cause the market to falter. Th e two key factors will be the level A16 25 of rights issues and what co mpany chairmen say about current A16 26 trading.<p/> A16 27 <p_>This has been the year of the rights issue. Already, companies A16 28 have raised more than pounds7bn to repair ravaged balance sheets A16 29 and to prepare them for the uptur n. Mos t analysts expect at least a A16 30 further pounds3bn of cash calls by the year-end, which will pu t the A16 31 total at pounds10m com pared with only pounds3.7bn last year and A16 32 pounds7bn in the peak year of 1987. There are many potential A16 33 candidates with large borrowings and low interest and dividend A16 34 cover. The market favourites, however, are Blue Circle - which A16 35 reports on Thursday - and Cadbury Schweppes, which produces A16 36 interims on 11 Septem ber.<p/> A16 37 <p_>So far, most of the cash calls have been eas ily absorbed. But A16 38 the institutional cash mountain is fast being deplet ed. Analysts at APPENDIX I 273 A16 39 UBS Phillips&Drew estim ate that institutions were holding A16 40 pounds25bn at the beginning of the year. Since then, they have not A16 41 only swallowed the rights is sues, but also the pounds4.9bn water A16 42 privatisation and added sign ifi cantly to their holdings of gilts - A16 43 perhaps by as much as pounds10bn by the end of the year. Paul A16 44 Walton, UK equity strategist at James Capel, thinks future rights A16 45 issues could start strain ing institutional toleran ce, and companies A16 46 asking for more funds could see their shares suffer - particularly A16 47 if they have been forced to offer a large discount to get the issue A16 48 away. So far, the discount to th e share price has averaged about 20 A16 49 per cent; as the year goes on, that could grow.<p/> A16 50 <p_>For most com panies reporti ng over the next few weeks, the A16 51 statement on current trading will be studied with much m ore A16 52 interest than the figures them selves. The hope is that chairmen A16 53 will now be saying the economy is bumping along the bottom and A16 54 there are glimmers of hope on the horizon.<p/> A16 55 <p_>County NatWest believes unexpectedly bad news could m e an a A16 56 period of consolidation. But, as Mr Walton says, that is likely to A16 57 be the lull before the surge as the recovery picks up next year.<p/> A16 58 A16 59 <h_><p_>Headlam acquisition near<p/><h/> A16 60 <p_>THE FOOTWEAR company Headlam Group, were Colin Wyman was ousted A16 61 as chairman in May, said yester day tha t it was involved in talks to A16 62 make a <quote_>"very substa ntial acquisition"<q uote/>, writes A16 63 Robert Cole.<p/> A16 64 <p_>The company said negotiati ons to buy a text iles distribution A16 65 concern with a turnover of pounds85m were near to comp letion.<p/> A16 66 <p_>The news prompted a flurry of activity in the N orthampton-based A16 67 company's shares. The stock closed up 4p at 62p.<p/> A16 68 <p_>On figures for 1990 the ac quisition will increa se the size of A16 69 the company threefold. Head lam made pounds458,000 pre-tax profits A16 70 in 1990 on sales of pounds23.3m, down from pounds 936,000 A16 71 previously.<p/> A16 72 <p_>Releasing the annual results in April, Headlam said it was A16 73 persevering with its acquisiti ve policy despite having drawn a A16 74 blank on several occasions.<p/> A16 75 A16 76 <h_><p_>Why laggard GE C needs new boss<p/> A16 77 <p_>Clare Dobie, City Editor, argues that finally Lord Weinstock' s A16 78 day has come<p/><h/> A16 79 <p_>LORD Weinstock once said he would know when to leave GEC. A16 80 Nobody would have to tell him.<p/> A16 81 <p_>But after 28 years as mana ging director of Br itain' s biggest A16 82 electronics company, that time has now come. Once regarded as the A16 83 country's most brilliant indust rialist, his reputation has become A16 84 tarnished.<p/> A16 85 <p_>'Arnie' has outstayed his welcome. The com pany he created APPENDIX I 274 A16 86 through an unusual combination of spark and attention to detail is A16 87 in decline, with falling prof its and a lagging share price.<p/> A16 88 <p_>Investors, who are seeing ot her shares race ahead, have a rare A16 89 chance to express their views on Friday at the company's annual A16 90 meeting. But experience su ggests none will voice criticism.<p/> A16 91 <p_>To be fair, they have lit tle power. Though shareholders will be A16 92 asked to vote on the position of his 39-year-old son, Simon, they A16 93 will not have the chance to vote on Lor d Weinstock's continued A16 94 presence on the board, despite hi s 67 years of age. Other directors A16 95 are subject to re-election ev ery three years, but not Lord A16 96 Weinstock. Thanks to a provisi on in the company' s articles, adopted A16 97 in 1900, the managing director is exempt from the requirement for A16 98 re-election.<p/> A16 99 <p_>While many shareholders priv ately criticise the com pany's A16 100 recent performance, they are re lu ctant to say anything unfavourable A16 101 in public. He remains widely revered for the achievem ents of the A16 102 1960s.<p/> A16 103 <p_>A statistics graduate and form er civil servant, he joined what A16 104 was to become GEC at the invita tion of his father-in-law. Michael A16 105 Sobell, in 1954. In 1967, it ac quired Associated Electrical A16 106 Industries and a year later English Electric.<p/> A16 107 <p_>Unlike the AEI bid, the deal with EE, then the largest m erger A16 108 seen in the UK, was friendly. It had the backing not just of Lord A16 109 Nelson, who headed EE, but of the Labour government.<p/> A16 110 <p_>GEC was seen as a standard -bearer for Britain in general and A16 111 the electronics industry in part icular (som ething which would be A16 112 anathema to the present Govern m ent, with its opposition to picking A16 113 winners). Lord W e instock became an industrial hero, credited with A16 114 single-handedly improving Britain's balance of paym ents. He was A16 115 widely feared and respected.<p/> A16 116 <p_>Relations with government have remained an important feature of A16 117 the company' s operations, in part reflecting its dependence on the A16 118 Ministry of Defence. The current chairman is Lord Prior, the former A16 119 secretary of state for employm e nt. And his predecessors include A16 120 former Tory ministers Lo rds Carrington and Aldington.<p/> A16 121 <p_>Several other charact eristics visible in 1968, the A16 122 anno<&|>sic! mirabilis, rem a in traits of the com pa ny to A16 123 this day. They include meanness (the com pany is known ironically as A16 124 the Generous Electric Company) , attention to detail - Lord A16 125 Weinstock reportedly once sa id, <quote_>"Once you drop the detail A16 126 then I believe the justification for my activity com es to an A16 127 end"<quote/> - and a determina tion to have cash in the bank.<p/> A16 128 <p_>Over the years the style may have hardly changed but the A16 129 performance has - for the worse. In the past 10 years, pre-tax A16 130 profits, earnings per share and net assets have all fallen in real A16 131 terms (after adjusting for the effects of inflation).<p/> A16 132 <p_>But GEC's stated pre-tax prof its rose 40 per cent. In the sam e A16 133 period the profits of two other leading British com panies, ICI and APPENDIX I 275 A16 134 Marks and Spencer, rose by 190 and 177 per cent respectively.<p/> A16 135 <p_>Its performance also looks dull by the side of overseas A16 136 electronics companies such as Siemens of Germany, where after-tax A16 137 profits rose 228 per cen t in the last decade.<p/> A16 138 <p_>GEC's poor profits performance has been reflected on the stock A16 139 market. Anyone inve sting pounds100 in GEC's shares 10 years ago A16 140 would find they were worth almost the sam e today, though the A16 141 pounds100 buys substantially less.<p/> A16 142 <p_>The same amount invested in either ICI or M&S would have been A16 143 worth more than pounds400 - although an investor in GEC would have A16 144 received some com pensation in the form of dividends.<p/> A16 145 <p_>There are other causes for concern about GEC's recent reco rd. A16 146 The company is well known for having a huge cash pile, which peaked A16 147 at pounds1,7bn in 1987.<p/> A16 148 <p_>While the cash has saved GEC from any financial embarrassm ent A16 149 during the recession, it also s uggests the company has failed to A16 150 find industrial projects o ffering comparable returns.<p/> A16 151 <p_>Research and development spending, though high by UK standards, A16 152 lags behind the com pany's inte rnational com petitors. Assum ing the A16 153 company's disclosed spending of pounds435m was by the A16 154 majority-owned companies, R&D accounted for 7.2 per cen t of sales A16 155 last year, against 11 per cent at Siem ens. Another worry is the A16 156 continuing dependence on the (declining) defence industry. Broker A16 157 BZW reckons it accounts for 23 per cent of attributable profits.<p/> A16 158 <p_>Then there was the loss in 1986 of the Nimrod defence contract A16 159 after nine years and nearly pounds1bn. This was a major blow, A16 160 putting into doubt GEC' s reputation as a reliable defence A16 161 supplier.<p/> A16 162 <p_>Lord Weinstock responded with spirit, instructing managers to A16 163 double profits in the next three or four years. Collectively, they A16 164 failed to deliver.<p/> A16 165 <p_>He then took a different approach, launching a second bid for A16 166 Plessey, long a thorn in GEC' s side, in 1989 together with A16 167 Siemens.<p/> A16 168 <p_>The bid was accompanied by a dram atic switch of strategy. A16 169 Having criticised Plessey for forming joint ventures, GEC went A16 170 about linking up with not just Siemens, but Alsthom of France and A16 171 General Electric of the US as well.<p/> A16 172 <p_>For a short period Lord Weinst ock appeared to be back to his A16 173 old form, taking the initiative. His sense of humour seemed to A16 174 improve as he announced each successive deal.<p/> A16 175 <p_>But the promise of that period has not been fulfilled.<p/> A16 176 <p_>GEC and Siemens have virtua lly gone their separate ways, and A16 177 their only remaining m a jor joint venture is GPT, the A16 178 telecommunications company.<p/> A16 179 <p_>The business owned by GE is small, focused on domestic A16 180 appliances. And the larger vent ure with Alsthom, which makes power A16 181 plants and fast trains, has so far proved financially APPENDIX I 276 A16 182 disappointing.<p/> A16 183 <p_>Margins in the joint ventures were 4.4 per cen t against 9.2 per A16 184 cent for the majority-owned businesses.<p/> A16 185 <p_>As well as performance, there are worries that the joint A16 186 ventures may have m ade GEC less vulnerable to a bid.<p/> A16 187 <p_>In other circumstances a takeover m ight be the market's A16 188 solution to the problem of underperform ance.<p/> A16 189 <p_>But any bidder, even assuming he could obtain approval f rom the A16 190 MoD for a change of control, would risk losing large chunks of A16 191 business to the joint venture partners.<p/> A16 192 <p_>If market forces cannot change GE C, who or what can?<p/> A16 193 <p_>Shareholders, including Prudent ial Corporation which owns 7 per A16 194 cent of the company, must be am ong the best placed to put pressure A16 195 on the board. (The Prudential's fo rmer head of investm e nts is a A16 196 director of GEC).<p/> A16 197 <p_>Though the larger ins titutions have proved ready to intervene A16 198 in the affairs of small com pan ies such as Tace, with sales of A16 199 pounds36m, they are often reluctant to act in the case of larger A16 200 companies such as GEC, which has sales of pounds9,5bn and 119,000 A16 201 employees.<p/> A16 202 <p_>The larger institu tions nearly all profess to be interested in A16 203 what has become known as <quote_ >"corporate governan ce"<quote/>. If A16 204 it is to mean anything, they mu st act over GEC. Otherwise how can A16 205 their repeated call for compan ies to appoint non-executives to A16 206 boards, to split the roles of ch airmen and chief executives and for A16 207 improved access be taken seriously?<p/> A16 208 <p_>If shareholders have had a quiet word with Lord Weinstock or A16 209 his fellow directors, it has not had any noticeable effect. If they A16 210 have not, why not? Are they scared?<p/> A16 211 <p_>Some suggest that in rec ognition of Lord Weinstock' s earlier A16 212 achievements, they are prepar ed to wait for him to retire, A16 213 presumably within the next three years. They might, however, speak A16 214 out if there was any sign of his son succeeding him to the top A16 215 job.<p/> A16 216 <p_>Other would rather the aut horities - effectively the Bank of A16 217 England - acted, presumably re m aining behind the scenes, to put A16 218 pressure on him to step dow n.<p/> A16 219 <p_>But if neither the share holders nor the bank does m ove, it A16 220 would be up to the directors. Th ey could get rid of Lord Weinstock. A16 221 He should be quick to take the hint. Back in 1968 he said: A16 222 <quote_>"If they [the directors] ceased to trust me I would have to A16 223 go."<quote/><p/> A16 224 A17 1 <#FLOB:A17\><h_><p_>V illain with a voice of honey<p/> A17 2 <p_>Alan Rickman is best known for a string of sinister roles - but A17 3 he hates being typecast, he tells Jam es Delingpole<p/><h/> A17 4 <p_>AT ONE stage Alan Rickman threatened to sm ash my face in. At A17 5 least I thought he did. But I wasn't quite paying attention. His APPENDIX I 277 A17 6 voice has such as mesmeric quali ty that it is terribly easy to A17 7 drift off on the delicious musi cality of his speech and forget what A17 8 it is he is actually saying.<p/> A17 9 <p_>It came towards the end of our chat. Som e one had mentioned A17 10 beforehand that Rickman was not an easy person to interview, so it A17 11 was some time before I plucked up the courage to ask him any really A17 12 difficult questions.<p/> A17 13 <p_>But when at last I accuse d him of being cold, cynical and A17 14 reptilian, he stru ck. <quote_>"I'm really in terested in not having A17 15 brick walls put up in front of me,"<quote/> he said, referring to A17 16 those journalists who sought to reduce him to a few easy A17 17 adjectives. <quote_>"And if it m eans the brick builder gets m y fist A17 18 in their face, then so be it."<quote/><p/> A17 19 <p_>So, as I discovered when I played back my tape of the A17 20 interview, his threat had not b een as direct as I had imagined. But A17 21 he had made his point. Alan Rickm an does not like being A17 22 typecast.<p/> A17 23 <p_>The problem is that, for much of his career, he has been unable A17 24 to avoid it. He has played th e demonic lead in <tf |>Mephisto, the A17 25 camp but chilling baddies in <tf_>Die Hard<tf/> and <tf_>Robin A17 26 Hood: Prince of the Thieves< tf/>, the ic y Valmont in <tf_>Les A17 27 Liaisons Dangereuses<tf/>... N one of these people are exactly the A17 28 sort you'd trust to look after your cat while you are away on A17 29 holiday.<p/> A17 30 <p_>What mu st make it even more frustrating for Rickman is that he A17 31 is so terribly go od at playin g these villains . W hen his Sheriff of A17 32 Nottingham snarls <quote_>"No m o re merciful beheadings!"<quote/> A17 33 you long to see his goodie-goodi e rival, Kevin Costner's Robin A17 34 Hood, swinging from the nearest gibbet.<p/> A17 35 <p_>This was the reason why Cost ner decided to re-s hoot and re-edit A17 36 the film. Rickman denies that there was any friction on the set, A17 37 but it is an open secret that, when preview audiences saw the film A17 38 in its original form, they fou nd the Sheriff much m or e sympathetic A17 39 than Robin.<p/> A17 40 <p_>Robin Hood may well be the last tim e Rickman plays the second A17 41 string to anybody's bow. Hollywood loves him . So does the West End A17 42 and Broadway, where he distingui shed himself in <tf_>Les Liaisons A17 43 Dangereuses<tf/>. And even the British film industry has reason to A17 44 be grateful for his performa nces in its latest of ferings, A17 45 <tf_>Close My Eyes<tf/> and <tf_>Truly, Madly, Deeply<tf/>.<p/> A17 46 <p_>Rickman m ay have reached an age at which, as he told one A17 47 interviewer, he is <quote_>"t oo old to play Hamlet"<quote/>, but A17 48 virtually any other leading part he wants is there for the asking. A17 49 At last, he believes, he wi ll be able to confound those casting A17 50 directors who simply want him to repeat his best-known roles.<p/> A17 51 <p_>It is understandable that hi s hackles rise when he is accused A17 52 of specialising in cold, arid cynics. In his defence he cites A17 53 <tf_>The Lucky Chance<tf/> at the Royal Court. <quote_>"I was APPENDIX I 278 A17 54 playing somebody com pletely ope n, energised, with a mission, not at A17 55 all cynical, not at all laid-back, not at all any of those words A17 56 and people said "Gosh, I didn't know you could do A17 57 that.'"<quote/><p/> A17 58 <p_>Perhaps he just been<&|>sic! unlucky. It was not his A17 59 fault that, say, the television series <tf_>The Barchester A17 60 Chronicles<tf/> - in which he played the loathsome Obadiah Slop e - A17 61 succeeded, while the film <tf_>The January Man<tf/> - in which he A17 62 played a nice guy - did not.<p/> A17 63 <p_>And yet, he does have this peculiar ability to invest even h is A17 64 most likeable characters wi th a vaguely chil ling quality. In A17 65 <tf_>Close My Eyes<tf/>, for example, he plays a generous - and A17 66 totally harmless - rich cuckol d. But Rickm an endows his character A17 67 with such an intense inner life that you suspect that, at any A17 68 moment, he m i ght be about to commit som e monstrous act of A17 69 violence.<p/> A17 70 <p_>When I put this to him, Rickm an adopts a pained expression. A17 71 <quote_>"There is a certain wa rmth, I would have thought,"<quote/> A17 72 he says, before suggesting that what I saw as coldness was in fact A17 73 <quote|>"watchfulness". Seeing I am not convinced, he goes on: A17 74 <quote_>"This is me. I have a certain pitch to m y voice, a certain A17 75 way of framing my sentences."<quote/><p/> A17 76 <p_>And there is some truth in that. He speaks slowly, deliberately A17 77 and almost dream ily, with each phrase fading languorously into a A17 78 honeyed, dying fall. He sounds in telligent, sometim es sibilantly A17 79 dangerous, but always ineffably seductive.<p/> A17 80 <p_>This could well be Rickman' s secret. It is why, for example, A17 81 his portrayal of the callous rou<*_>e-acute<*/> in <tf_>Les A17 82 Liaisons Dangereuses<tf/> was so painfully sympathetic. And why, A17 83 after an hour's exposure to his hypnotic charm, I felt a desperate A17 84 urge to write the most gushi ngly favourable interview sycophancy A17 85 could devise.<p/> A17 86 <p_>He works this trick yet ag ain in his latest W est End play, A17 87 <tf_>Tango at the End of Wint er<tf/>. Although he is playing a A17 88 madman, Rickm an does it with su ch quiet reasonableness that his A17 89 character's weird vision of th e world threatens to overwhelm the A17 90 supposedly sane view of those who surround him.<p/> A17 91 <p_>It may sound rem i niscent of <tf_>King Lear<tf/> or <tf_>Henry A17 92 IV<tf/>, but the difference is that Shakespeare and Pirandello give A17 93 their characters a head start by granting them the m ost compelling A17 94 speeches. The text of <tf_>Tango<tf/> does not have this A17 95 sophistication. The sk ill is all Rickman's.<p/> A17 96 <p_>While there is now no shor tage of directors willing to pay A17 97 tribute to his talents, it wa s not always so. Rickman entered RADA A17 98 late - having trained as a gr aphic designer at Chelsea and The A17 99 Royal College of Art - and it was some tim e before he found his A17 100 feet on the stage.<p/> A17 101 <p_><quote_>"When Alan first came to Stratford,"<quote/> one RSC APPENDIX I 279 A17 102 director recalls, <quote_>"it wa s terribly embarrassing. There was A17 103 one season when he was so awful that we had a directors' m eeting A17 104 and we asked each other 'What <tf_>are<tf/> we g oing to do with A17 105 him?' But then he just grew up. And suddenly every one wanted this A17 106 wonderful new l eading man."<quote/><p/> A17 107 <p_>Rickman him self does not se t too much store by his stint at A17 108 Stratford. <quote_>"I was with the RSC for three years but I also A17 109 spent seven years doing plays at the Bush, at Hampstead, and the A17 110 Royal Court, which I regard just as m uch as my spiritual A17 111 home."<quote/><p/> A17 112 <p_>He resents the way regi onal theatre has declined since A17 113 <quote_>"Thatcher put the boot in"<quote/>. He explains: A17 114 <quote_>"When I left drama sc hool you could go to a repertory A17 115 theatre and be in a Shakespear e play or something large where you A17 116 could go and make ghastly m i stak es. About the only places where you A17 117 can do that now are the RSC and the National. Everyone's m aking A17 118 their mistakes in great big p l aces."<quote/><p/> A17 119 <p_>When talking about the <quot e_>"state of the theatre"<quote/>, A17 120 Rickman sounds alm ost excited - which is to say that his voice A17 121 rises a few decibels higher than his customary half-whisper. The A17 122 only other time he appears to s tir from his customary languor is A17 123 when I attempt to define him with a few glib adjectives.<p/> A17 124 <p_>Just as he loathes typecasti ng, so he is unwilling to have his A17 125 personality summed up in a ne wspaper profile. W hich may be why A17 126 Rickman has acquired his "diffi cult" reputation and why - albeit A17 127 with a sharky grin - he made his little rem a rk about fists and A17 128 brick walls.<p/> A17 129 A17 130 <h_><p_>'Gaslight' amid the candyfloss<p/> A17 131 <p_>Byron Rogers makes a pilgrim a ge to Sheringham, where England's A17 132 last seaside rep company is ending its summer season<p/><h/> A17 133 <p_>ENGLAND ends here, at the No rth Sea, and its traditions survive A17 134 in the way an empire survives in its ex tremities long after the A17 135 centre has crumbled. You get the growing sensation when you arrive A17 136 in Sheringham in Norfolk that you have stepped back 40 years. There A17 137 are no Chinese or Indian rest aurants, few mu ltiple stores, and A17 138 people live above their shops th e way they did everywhere once. A17 139 Just down the coast at Cromer is the last end-of-p ier variety show A17 140 and here the last English se aside rep is in summer season.<p/> A17 141 <p_><quote_>"I came here on holidays when I was seven,"<quote/> A17 142 says John Laing, who finds himself back again after a long absence, A17 143 this time to act. <quote_>"The town' s not changed at all, perhaps A17 144 because it's so small, so inaccessib le. People come here to die. If A17 145 we're lucky they'll come to watch weekly rep, and then A17 146 die."<quote/><p/> A17 147 <p_>Whatever happens in his s ubsequent career the actor will never A17 148 forget Wednesdays: Wednesdays was when the weekly change round A17 149 occurred. In the morning he rehear sed and in the evenings appeared APPENDIX I 286 A22 3 <p_>ROB ANDREW hauled England' s Grand Slam heroes back from the A22 4 brink of a disastrous Te st defeat against Fiji in Suva A22 5 yesterday.<p/> A22 6 <p_>Man-of-the-match Andrew ki cked two drop goals, scored his first A22 7 England try and made another for Rory Underwood.<p/> A22 8 <p_>The result re scued a tour that was fl oundering after just one A22 9 win in four attempts.<p/> A22 10 <p_>Now England have the conf idence to face the daunting challenge A22 11 of Australia in Sydney next Saturday.<p/> A22 12 <p_>Andrew's first touchdown, in his 34th gam e for England, was a A22 13 great moment for him .<p/> A22 14 <p_>True, it was a 'dog's dinne r' of a try with Andrew falling on A22 15 the ball after two players from each side had missed an A22 16 up-and-under on the Fiji line. But that didn't m atter to Andrew.<p/> A22 17 <p_><quote_>"Yes, it was speci al for me, although I haven't been A22 18 too worried about scoring as long as the team's been A22 19 winning,"<quote/> he said.<p/> A22 20 <p_><quote_>"I think that was our best win because Fiji h ave A22 21 improved tremendously since we last faced them and they gave us all A22 22 kinds of problems."<quote/><p/> A22 23 <p_>Fiji had England on the rack fo r the first 20 minutes of the A22 24 second half. The scores were tied 12-12 and Fiji fired four drop A22 25 goal attempts wide.<p/> A22 26 <p_>It took a brilliant solo break by Andrew to create a try for A22 27 old schoolmate Underwood on th e right wing to end the siege. A22 28 Underwood extended his try record to 28 on the day he becam e A22 29 England's mo st capped player of all time with 44 appearances.< p/> A22 30 <p_>All the doubts raised by a poor run-up to the Test were erased A22 31 by a team that finished with just nine of the Grand Slam side.<p/> A22 32 <p_>Injuries and loss of form forced the selectors to break up the A22 33 European champions, and their decisions were proved right.<p/> A22 34 <p_>Full back Jon Webb kicked te n points in his first Test for two A22 35 years.<p/> A22 36 <p_>Martin Bayfield made an outstanding debut at lock alongside A22 37 Nigel Redman, who only cam e into the game yesterday morning when A22 38 Paul Ackford pulled ou t with an ankle injury.<p/> A22 39 <p_>Captain Will Carling had no doubts that the 20 m inutes after A22 40 half-time was the toughest period of the tour so far.<p/> A22 41 <p_><quote_>"If we had gone behind, it would have been the end of A22 42 the game,"<quote/> said Carling.<p/> A22 43 <p_>England's other try scorer was prop Jeff Probyn, and that was A22 44 set up by new-boy Bayfield.<p/> A22 45 <p_><*_>black-circle<*/>Jon Hall, the Bath flanker, flies home to A22 46 England tomorrow for an explor atory operation on his right knee.<p/> A22 47 A22 48 <h_><p_>England's struggli ng star will know his fate at A22 49 lunchtime<p/> A22 50 <p_>DON'T ROAST LAMB!<p/> APPENDIX I 287 A22 51 <p_>That will only help Windies win the war<p/> A22 52 <p_>Says Robin Smith<p/> A22 53 <p_>By Steve Whiting<p/><h/> A22 54 <p_>ENGLAND batting star Robin Smith last night pleaded with Ted A22 55 Dexter and the Test sel ectors ... don't axe Allan Lamb.<p/> A22 56 <p_>The nuggety little Northants captain is having one of his worst A22 57 patches in Test cricket with onl y 54 runs from five innings against A22 58 the West Indies.<p/> A22 59 <p_>People are already forgetti ng the two fighting hundreds he made A22 60 in the Caribbean two winters a go and want him left out of next A22 61 Thursday's fourth Cornhill Test at Edgbaston.<p/> A22 62 <p_>But not Smith, whose early batting exploits in South Africa A22 63 were often inspired by Lamb's example, and who still feels a buzz A22 64 when he is at the other end.<p_> A22 65 <p_><quote_>"Lambie was looking good when he m ade 29 in the second A22 66 dig at Trent Bridge,"<quote/> he says.<p/> A22 67 <p_><tf_><quote_>"The West Indi es would love to see us leave him A22 68 out. They admire him tremendously and I know he gets on A22 69 exceptionally well with all o f them.<tf/><p/> A22 70 <p_>"They respect him for what he has done against them . He ha s A22 71 played very well against them in difficult conditions and they know A22 72 that.<quote/><p/> A22 73 <p_><tf_>He plays county cricket with Curtly Am brose and that will A22 74 give him a bit of extra edge, even though Am bie has got him out a A22 75 couple of times in this series.<tf/><p/> A22 76 <p_><quote_>"Ambie m i ght run in to him in a Test match and bowl him A22 77 a brilliant ball that flies off the outside edge down to third A22 78 man.<p/> A22 79 <p_>"Allan will run past Am bie and say 'Why can' t you bowl like A22 80 that for Northants?'<p/> A22 81 <p_>"There'll be a little bit of fun between them, but Am bie will A22 82 be charged up by Allan saying th at, and Allan will be charged up by A22 83 not wanting to get out to him.<p/> A22 84 <p_><tf_>"He knows that next year he'll be taking a lot of stick in A22 85 the Northants dressing room if Am brose knocks him over too A22 86 often."<quote/><tf/><p/> A22 87 <p_>This week it was Smith, averaging 93.66 from 281 runs in the A22 88 series so far, who gave England their biggest scare.<p/> A22 89 <p_>He dropped out of Hampshire' s gam e against Worcestershire at A22 90 Portsmouth with a pain in the finger struck by an Ambrose beam er at A22 91 Southampton three weeks ago.<p/> A22 92 <p_><tf_>There was an even bigge r scare when he went on to field on A22 93 Wednesday as sub for his brothe r Chris, whose wife Julie was in A22 94 hospital for the birth of their first child.<tf/><p/> A22 95 <p_>But Robin knew all was well when he pulled down a scorching A22 96 catch at midwicket to rem ove Phil Newport.<p/> A22 97 <p_>Straightaway he knew he wa s fit to play in the curren t game A22 98 against Warwickshire and the fourth Test.<p/> APPENDIX I 288 A22 99 <p_><quote_>"There was no way I was going to miss the A22 100 Test,"<quote/> he said.<p/> A22 101 <p_><quote_>"I did all the right things - I had my finger X-rayed A22 102 and I knew it wasn't broken, so I'm not taking a risk."<quote/><p/> A22 103 <p_>England's other injury wo rry is opener Mike Atherton, who A22 104 proved his fitness in Lancashire's Championship clash against A22 105 Middlesex yesterday.<p/> A22 106 <p_><tf_>That honour could be li ned up for Glamorgan lefthander A22 107 Hugh Morris, but his pair against the West Indians at Swansea last A22 108 week could hardly have come at a worse time.<tf/><p/> A22 109 <p_>A sparkling 84 at Cheltenham yesterday m eans he might still be A22 110 in when the team is announced at lunchtime today - if only on the A22 111 basis that lightning can't strike three tim es in the same place!<p/> A22 112 <p_>If he isn't, watch out for Kent's Mark Benson or even, as an A22 113 outside gamble, Surrey' s Darren Bicknell ... also lefthanders.<p_> A22 114 <p_>Graeme Hick m ust have made his place safe with a brilliant 141 A22 115 against Hampshire this week to follow his 88 in the B enson and A22 116 Hedges Cup Final.<p/> A22 117 <p_>But thank goodness England aren't the only team with A22 118 problems.<p/> A22 119 <p_>Clayton Lamb ert's 99 against Glamorgan at Swansea this week A22 120 might clinch him the opener's place held shakily until now by P hil A22 121 Simmons.<p/> A22 122 <p_>And there is a strong rumour that the West Indies' 22-year-old A22 123 lefthander Brian Lara only needs r uns against Kent this weekend to A22 124 clinch his first Test cap.<p/> A22 125 <p_>And fast bowler Malcolm Marsha ll - who ended Lam b 's innings at A22 126 Trent Bridge - is having to re st after falling down the steps at A22 127 the team's hotel.<p/> A22 128 <p_>The doubts surrounding both Athe rton and the weather might lead A22 129 England to announce 13 players. My squad:<p/> A22 130 <p_><tf_>Gooch, Morris, Athert on, Hick, Ramprakash, Sm ith, Lamb, A22 131 Russell, Pringle, DeFrei tas, Illingworth, Lawrence, A22 132 Malcolm.<tf/><p/> A22 133 A22 134 <h_><p_>GRAF UP FOR CUP<p/> A22 135 <p_>By Hugh Jamieson<p/><h/> A22 136 <p_>WIMBLEDON champion Steffi Graf is back in the mood to spearhead A22 137 Germany's bid for Federation Cup glory in Nottingh am this week.<p/> A22 138 <p_>Graf, the girl who once ru led the world in awesom e fashion, A22 139 signalled her comeback by regain ing her Wimbledon crown with a A22 140 gutsy win over Argentinian star Gabriela Sabatini.<p/> A22 141 <p_>While Yugoslavia's world num ber one, Monica Seles, delays a A22 142 decision on playing after cont roversially withdrawing from A22 143 Wimbledon at the last minute, 22- year-old Graf is radiating sm iles A22 144 again.<p/> A22 145 <p_><tf_>Her career was torn ap art last year with her father, A22 146 Peter, involved in a sex scandal - but sin ce he was cleared in a APPENDIX I 289 A22 147 paternity case, Steffi has started to move in for the k ill.<tf/><p/> A22 148 <p_>Dad Peter says: <quote_>"She has now got over injuries A22 149 involving her wrist, arm and shoul der. But, m ore i mportantly, she A22 150 is happy again with her life - on and off the court. It's like she A22 151 has been born again and we are now seeing the real A22 152 Steffi."<quote/><p/> A22 153 <p_>Seles has been playing in an exhibition in New Jersey but her A22 154 aim to play in the 1992 Barcelona Olympics could be threatened if A22 155 she doesn't appear at Nottingham .<p/> A22 156 <p_><tf_><quote_>"Monica seems to be a little bit m ixed up but we A22 157 still expect her to honour her commitments and play Federation A22 158 Cup,"<quote/> says Internationa l Tennis Federation spokesman Ian A22 159 Barnes.<tf/><p/> A22 160 <p_>Britain, beaten by the holders USA in last year' s A22 161 quarter-finals, take on New Z ealand in the opening round with our A22 162 hopes resting on Jo Durie, Moni que Javer, Clare Wood and Samantha A22 163 Smith.<p/> A22 164 <p_>A record 56 teams are in the Cup and, after a qualifying round, A22 165 the main com petition begins tomorrow with 32 teams.<p/> A22 166 A22 167 <h_><p_>Mike back on the Test trail<p/><h/> A22 168 <p_>MIKE ATHERTON yest erday scored the runs that should keep him in A22 169 the England team for the fourth Test at Edgbaston this week writes A22 170 STEVE WHITING.<p/> A22 171 <p_>Middlesex spinners John Em burey and Phil Tufnell, on a slow A22 172 turner at Uxbridge, may not quite m a tch up to the fury of the West A22 173 Indies' mean machine.<p/> A22 174 <p_>But Atherton's 91 in almost five hours, coming after a run of A22 175 49 in five Test innings as Engl and's opener, showed he is over the A22 176 stomach injury that kept him out against Notts earlier in the A22 177 week.<p/> A22 178 <p_>It was also enough for Engla nd manager Micky Stewart to say: A22 179 <quote_>"Now he is in the fram e, like everyone else, including Ian A22 180 Botham."<quote/><p/> A22 181 <p_>What Atherton didn't need was his sad end, controversially A22 182 given out leg before as he swep t Tufnell. It was his highest first A22 183 class score since 62 against Der byshire in May. Lanc ashire went on A22 184 to make 329 - a lead of 79.<p/> A22 185 <h|>Victim A22 186 <p_>Botham did his hopes of an England recall little good, despite A22 187 Stewart's assurances.<p/> A22 188 <p_>'Beefy' fell for only five to Derbyshire' s Allan Warner as A22 189 WORCESTERSHIRE were dismi ssed for only 218 and, following on 154 A22 190 behind at Kidderminster, closed at 110-4.<p/> A22 191 <p_>Graeme Hick, desperately looki ng for another big innings boost, A22 192 managed only 24 before falling vic tim to Derbyshire' s teenage pace A22 193 sensation Dominic Cork. Worse was to com e for Hick when he was run A22 194 out for three in the second innings.<p/> APPENDIX I 290 A22 195 <p_>Botham's long-time England colleague David Gower will have to A22 196 wait for a chance to overhaul Geo ff Boycott's England run aggregate A22 197 record.<p/> A22 198 <p_>Gower didn't last long against WARW ICKSHIRE tearaway Allan A22 199 Donald, making only 18 before becom ing the South African's 51st A22 200 first class victim of the season. HAMPSHIRE lost Robin Smith for a A22 201 duck as they struggled to 176 all out - a lead of 250.<p/> A22 202 <h|>Stuttered A22 203 <p_>Darren Bicknell, Surrey's opener who could come into the A22 204 England selector's reckoning, gave them a timely nudge with a fine A22 205 80 against YORKSHIRE at Guildfo rd, passing 1,000 first class runs A22 206 for the season on his home ground. Af ter Surrey declared at 250-2 - A22 207 39 behind - Yorkshire we re in trouble at 42-3.<p/> A22 208 <p_>WEST INDIES opener Phil Simmons guaranteed keeping his Test A22 209 place after hitting a patient 77 against KENT at Canterbury. His A22 210 place had been in danger followi ng a total of only 86 runs in six A22 211 innings in the series.<p/> A22 212 <p_>Brian Lara, who might have grabbed Simmons' Test spot, m ade A22 213 only 19. But Gus Logie warmed up for Edgbaston with a whirlwind 70 A22 214 off 76 balls as the tourists reached 310-7.<p/> A22 215 A22 216 <h_><p_>Platt's that - at pounds5.5m<p/><h/> A22 217 <p_>DAVID PLATT finally joined Ba ri last night in a record-busting A22 218 pounds5.5 million deal.<p/> A22 219 <p_>Aston Villa's England star signed for the Italians after eight A22 220 hours of talks.<p/> A22 221 <p_>The pounds5.5m deal shatters the British trans fer record set A22 222 when England winger Chris Waddle went from Tot tenham to Marseille A22 223 for pounds4.25m.<p/> A22 224 <p_>Platt, once given a free tr ansfer by Manchester United and A22 225 bought by Villa from Crewe for pounds200,000, has signed a A22 226 three-year contract worth about pounds4million.<p /> A22 227 <h|>Move A22 228 <p_>Bari beat off a late mo ve by Marseille and Platt said: A22 229 <quote_>"I'm very excite d about going to Italy.<p/> A22 230 <p_>"It seems to have taken an age for the transfer to be A22 231 completed, but I'm 100 per cent certain it's the right A22 232 decision."<quote/><p/> A22 233 <p_>Platt, with seven goals in his 21 England appearances, added: A22 234 <quote_>"I've spoken to Graham Taylor and he assures m e joining A22 235 Bari won't affect my England prospects."<quote/> Villa chairm an A22 236 Doug Ellis said: <quote_ >"Given the size of the transfer, it is A22 237 only right I spell out the size of the fee.<p/> A22 238 <p_>"We have added one extra clause - Villa will receive 50 per A22 239 cent of the differential if Davi d is sold on by Bari."<quote/><p/> A22 240 A25 1 <#FLOB:A25\><h_><p_>AITC faces split threat<p/> A25 2 <p_>by Jeff Prestridge<p/><h/> APPENDIX I 291 A25 3 <p_>THE Association of Invest ment Trust Com panies, the trade body A25 4 representing the pounds20 billi on investm ent trust industry, is A25 5 losing its battle to stop a nu mber of top companies defecting.<p/> A25 6 <p_>The walk-out, which was led by the pounds572 million British A25 7 Investment Trust and could ex tend to another 14 trusts, has been A25 8 inspired by AITC' s decision to ask members for m ore fees to support A25 9 a marketing campaign.<p/> A25 10 <p_>The seeds of the campaign were sown last year by AITC chairm an A25 11 Philip Chappell when he called on the 200 mem bers to cough up A25 12 pounds5 million to launch an a ssault on the private investor A25 13 market. The plan is to drive discounts down by doubling the num ber A25 14 of private investors.<p/> A25 15 <p_>While Chappell' s plans were watered down to pounds1.7 million, A25 16 the effect is members' fees, payable this month, have doubled. Five A25 17 companies, British Investme nt, RIT Capital Partners, Graham s A25 18 Rintoul, Glasgow Incom e and Yeoman, have said they will no t pay so A25 19 they will have to resign. Other trusts yet to m ake up their minds A25 20 include Gartmore Am erica and the pounds320 million Scottish A25 21 National trust.<p/> A25 22 <p_>The reasons for the revolt are numerous. Some trusts feel the A25 23 campaign will not benefit them directly because they are already A25 24 standing at a premium to net a sset value. others with wind-up dates A25 25 soon are miffed they are having to pay the sam e fees as other A25 26 trusts.<p/> A25 27 <p_>Last week, AITC's executiv e committee discu ssed the crisis to A25 28 see if a comprom ise could be worked out. It is believed chairman A25 29 Michael Hart und Chappell agreed to visit the waverers.<p/> A25 30 <p_>AITC's Lesley Renvoize said : <quote_>"It is sad to lose any A25 31 member but hopefully they will be ba ck. British Investment has left A25 32 before and we'd welcom e it back."<quote/><p/> A25 33 A25 34 <h_><p_>Hellenic adds fizz to investment in Greece<p/> A25 35 <p_>by Ray Mgadzah<p/><h/> A25 36 <p_>CAPITALISM with a Greek flavour is on the march and British A25 37 investors are being offered th e chance to quench their thirst for A25 38 foreign shares by backing Greece' s top soft drinks bottler Hellenic A25 39 Bottling Company.<p/> A25 40 <p_>Hellenic, headed by Gerard Re idy, is expected shortly to become A25 41 the first Greek company to set as ide a s izeable part of its equity A25 42 for foreigners in a pioneerin g offer expected to raise nearly A25 43 pounds70 million through a listing on the Athens stock market.<p /> A25 44 <p_>That would put a value of pounds300 m illion on Hellenic, which A25 45 holds the Coca-Cola franchise for Greece, Ireland und Nigeria and A25 46 also supplies fruit juices. Hell enic has two- thirds of the Greek A25 47 soft drinks market and half of its fruit juice sales. I t s offer A25 48 will mark the first m ove by Greece to entice foreign capital by A25 49 allowing investors to take part in new issues. Other companies, A25 50 including the soon-to-be priva tised telephone service are also APPENDIX I 292 A25 51 expected to target foreigners. Thanks to legal changes, Hellenic is A25 52 setting aside 6.5 per cent of its equity fo r the overseas offer.<p/> A25 53 <p_>The British are expected to pick up the lion's share of the A25 54 foreign tranche. Hellenic, which is owned by Leventis-Ioannou A25 55 Group, is offering 25 per cent of its shares in the float. It is A25 56 being advised by merchant bank Schroders with Hellenic Industrial A25 57 Development Bank as lead bank. City institution s tend to show a A25 58 greater thirst fo r foreign stock than Europeans but Greek shares A25 59 have usually been offered in numbers to o small to attract A25 60 interest.<p/> A25 61 <p_>Leventis-Ioannou's activitie s include Middle East construction. A25 62 It is controlled b y two of Greece's leading families.<p/> A25 63 A25 64 <h_><p_>Lloyd's capacity hit as mem bers quit<p/> A25 65 <p_>by Robert Tyerman<p/><h/> A25 66 <p_>THE Lloyd's of London insuranc e market now admits its capacity A25 67 to write insurance is falling fast as syndicate losses and the A25 68 prospect of its first overa ll deficit since 1967 cause a rising A25 69 tide of members to quit.<p/> A25 70 <p_><quote_>"Capacity is alre ady well down from last year's A25 71 pounds11.25 billion,"<quote/> Lime Street spokesm an Nick Doak told A25 72 the <tf_>Sunday Telegraph<tf/>. Some observers estim ate it could A25 73 have fallen to under pounds8 billion by next year.<p/> A25 74 <p_>Until recently, although m e mbership had fallen from its 1980s A25 75 peak of 33,000 to 26,700, capacity was being maintained, as A25 76 individual members committed m ore of their wealth to the market. A25 77 With the pound strong against the dollar Lloyds' s all-important A25 78 ability to take on American ri sks was also enhanced. This trend was A25 79 not unwelcome to Lloyd's chairm an David Coleridge and the council, A25 80 which felt a return to fewer, more substantial und less panicky A25 81 members would be appropria te for today's tough conditions. < p/> A25 82 <p_>But capacity is now falli ng while the dollar is rising again A25 83 und increasing concern is being expressed about the amounts owed by A25 84 insurance syndicates to th e Lloyd's American Trust Fund, which A25 85 collects and distributes dollar-d enominated prem iums and claims.<p/> A25 86 <p_>A leading underwriter is be lieved to have pulled out of the A25 87 hull market because he feels prem iums are too low, while more bad A25 88 loss news is expected from the Gooder-Walker syndicates 290 and A25 89 298, which wrote excess-of-loss among other business, som e brought A25 90 by broker Bill Brown's Walsham group.<p/> A25 91 <p_>This comes on top of the pounds320 m illion losses faced by A25 92 members of the Feltrim synd icates and the hundreds of millions A25 93 potentially payable on pollution claims.<p/> A25 94 <p_>It is thought the Lloyd's authorities would like to see the A25 95 number of syndicates and member s' agencies reduced to produce a A25 96 more streamlined, better equipped m arket.<p/> A25 97 <p_>Some sources have sugges ted a bottom limit of 300 members per A25 98 agent. Other market practi tioners would like to see m e mbers APPENDIX I 293 A25 99 required to write a minimum cover of pounds500,000 and deposit A25 100 pounds10,000 cash apiece to create a substantial reserve.<p/> A25 101 A25 102 <h_><p_>Cray fishes with pounds111m for bait<p/><h/> A25 103 <p_>HOURS after he launched Cray Electronics' pounds111 million A25 104 hostile bid for software consultancy SD-Scicon on Friday, chairman A25 105 Sir Peter Michael was in confident mood.<p/> A25 106 <p_>From a basem ent room in the old City morgue, hom e of an A25 107 adviser, Michael outlined the plan that he hoped would sound the A25 108 death knell for the independence of a 1980s glamour stock that has A25 109 turned into a 1990s fallen angel.<p/> A25 110 <p_>He summed up his message with the words: <quote_>"SD -Scicon is A25 111 a company that has no m anagement, no strategy and no A25 112 profits."<quote/> The share bid w ith a cash alternative was final A25 113 in the absence of a counter offe r and shareholders would do best to A25 114 take it - or so he said.<p/> A25 115 <p_>SD-Scicon chief executive Ph ilip Swinstead, who has a stake in A25 116 the company worth pounds5.6 m illion, is expected to put up a fierce A25 117 defence. Analysts reckon the offe r may flush out rival bids. In the A25 118 past bids from Sema, Cap Gemi ni Sogeti and Thorn EMI have been A25 119 mooted.<p/> A25 120 <p_>Either way the scene is set for a bruising contest.<p/> A25 121 <p_>In one corner stands Michael, former chairm a n of UEI, the A25 122 electronics and engineering group sold for pounds50 0 million to A25 123 Carlton Communications in 1989. He is advised by Morgan Grenfell. A25 124 Michael led a new team into Cray another fallen 1980s glamour A25 125 stock, 18 months ago. Now he has SD-Scicon's biggest shareholder, A25 126 British Aerospace, with 25 per cent, on his side. <p/> A25 127 <p_>In the other corner stands Swinstead, SD-Scicon's founder. He A25 128 retook the helm a few months a go, revamping the board, appointing a A25 129 non-executive chairman. Sam uel Montagu is advising.<p/> A25 130 <p_>The prize is a company that has fallen on hard tim es. This year A25 131 analysts' forecasts range from pounds5 m illion to pounds11 million, A25 132 revealing the extent of uncertainty surrounding the group's future A25 133 after a run of poor results. Its woes are blam ed on the pounds70 A25 134 million takeover by Systems Desi gners of Scicon in 1988, one of a A25 135 number of purchases made by Swinstead, and loss-m a king contracts, A25 136 some of which are s ubject to litigation.<p/> A25 137 <p_>In 1984, two years after it made its stock m a rket debut, A25 138 Systems Designers stood on a hist oric p/e of 78. The shares peaked A25 139 at 118p in 1986 but now Cray is offering just 42p.<p/> A25 140 <p_>Swinstead has chosen to k eep a low profile so the task of A25 141 fronting the defence has fallen on chairman John Jackson, who also A25 142 heads Cambridge Electronics Industries.<p/> A25 143 <p_>Jackson explains the corner stone of his defence. Cray wants A25 144 SD-Scicon on the cheap when it is com ing through a difficult time, A25 145 he says. Shareholders are set to reap the reward if they remain A25 146 loyal.<p/> APPENDIX I 294 A25 147 <p_>SD-Scicon supporters say rece nt software bidders have paid a A25 148 price above the sales of thei r target. Examples include the A25 149 takeover of Hoskyns by Cap Ge mini Sogeti and the purchase of A25 150 Quotient by ACT.<p/> A25 151 <p_>CGS paid pounds286 million for sales of pounds189 m illion while A25 152 ACT paid pounds27 million for about pounds22 m illion of sales. A25 153 SD-Scicon has sales of pounds256 million but Cray is offering less A25 154 than half of this.<p/> A25 155 <p_>But Michael counters th at SD-Scicon is overshadowed by A25 156 loss-making contracts, against which it wrote off pounds20 m illion A25 157 last year. They cast doubt on the quality of what remains.<p/> A25 158 <p_>Some analysts share this view. <quote_>"Scicon is a can of A25 159 worms. It is going to take the be st managem ent in the world to sort A25 160 it out,"<quote/> says Tressa n MaCarthy of Panmure Gordon.<p/> A25 161 <p_>SD-Scicon says hostile bids are anathema to people businesses. A25 162 But investors might have other ideas and m ay, like BAe, choose to A25 163 take what is left of their money and run.<p/> A25 164 <p_>Ray Mgadzah<p/> A25 165 A25 166 <h_><p_>Grampian bids for pounds56m tonic<p/><h/> A25 167 <quote_>"WHAT we are proposi ng is effectively a managem ent A25 168 buy-in."<quote/> Grampian Holdings ch airman Bill Bughes wants to A25 169 persuade investors his pounds56.5 m illion hostile bid for A25 170 pharmaceutical group Macarthy, ow ner of Savory&Moore and John A25 171 Bell&Croydon, is more than an opportunistic calling of the low A25 172 point in Macarthy's fortunes.<p/> A25 173 <p_>Macarthy, whose last dividend was paid out of reserv es, sees it A25 174 differently. "My firs t reaction was one of amazement," says chief A25 175 executive Ian Parsons. Some investors were m ore prescient. The A25 176 Stock Exchange is investigating the spurt in Macarthy's share price A25 177 from 160p on Tuesday morning to 192p on Wednesday before the bid A25 178 announcement.<p/> A25 179 <p_>Few believe Grampian's pres ent m ix of convertible and equity A25 180 worth 206.4p a share will be the last word - Macarthy now stands at A25 181 230p. But a return to near 1989's peak of 355p is not to be A25 182 expected, even if anothe r bidder enters the fray.<p/> A25 183 <p_>Parsons, in the driving seat since August 1989 after the A25 184 departure of Nicholas Ward, in sists his team can make it grow A25 185 without help from Glasgow-based Grampian, whose operations range A25 186 from veterinary produc ts to sports shoes.<p/> A25 187 <p_>The Macarthy camp suggests Grampian is just a ragbag. H ughes A25 188 claims a strategy of going for m a rket leadership in <quote_>"niche A25 189 products"<quote/>. This makes a log ical target of Macarthy, with A25 190 such gems as Farillon, distributor to hospitals and wholesalers of A25 191 insulin and rubella vaccin e.<p/> A25 192 <p_>Recent comparisons favour Gr ampian, whose profits rose 220 per A25 193 cent between 1986 and 1990 to pounds13.1 m illion. Macarthy's A25 194 increased by only 7 per cent to a depressed pounds4.6 m illion. Over APPENDIX I 295 A25 195 that time, it has underperform ed the FT All-Share Index by nearly A25 196 50 per cent, while Grampian shares hav e outperformed Macarthy's by A25 197 almost 400 per cent. In 1986 inst itutions led by John Govett put in A25 198 Ward as chairman. An Ernest Saunders A25 199 prot<*_>e-acute<*/>g<*_>e-acute<* /> at Guinness, where he headed A25 200 retailing, Ward set abou t beefing up Macarthy.<p/> A25 201 <p_>But he took it into ph armaceuticals wholesaling just when one A25 202 of the two market leaders, Unic hem , was gobbling up market share by A25 203 offering stakes to retailers in return for exclusivity and making A25 204 life tough for competitors.<p/> A25 205 <p_>Macarthy bought the Drumm ond pharmacists from Guinness for A25 206 pounds42.6 million in 1987, funded by a rights issu e at pounds4. A25 207 Much earlier, Hughes had spent 10 years building up Drummond. In A25 208 1988 Macarthy bid pounds65 m illion for Unichem itself. It failed A25 209 and Macarthy's m arket share slumped from 11 per cent to 5 per cent A25 210 until the courts ruled Unichem' s share stake distribution scheme A25 211 illegal in mid-1989 - it has s i nce returned to m ore than 10 per A25 212 cent.<p/> A25 213 <p_>Last August Macarthy sold its wholesale business to the Dutch A25 214 Medicopharma group for pounds15.75 m illion, at a pounds6 million A25 215 loss. Parsons points to recent turnrounds in veterinary products A25 216 and elsewhere. Analysts expect a modest profits upturn to between A25 217 pounds5 million and pounds5.5 m illion in the year to September A25 218 1991.<p/> A25 219 <p_>Macarthy's five-year contract to source 90 per cent of certain A25 220 drugs from Medicopharma m ight ma ke AAH and Unichem, with their own A25 221 franchises, think twice before bi dding but Lloyds Chem ists might be A25 222 interested.<p/> A25 223 <p_>The Grampian package offers an historic p/e ratio of 17.8 and a A25 224 yield increase of 4 per cent. A25 225 A27 1 <#FLOB:A27\><h_><p_>PLAN REFUSED<p/> A27 2 <p_>Club may appeal over big new sports com plex<p/> A27 3 <p_>ROLAND WATSON<p/><h/> A27 4 <p_>COVENTRY and North Warwicks hire sports club may appeal against A27 5 the decision to refuse it planning permission for m as sive A27 6 development in the green belt. A27 7 The top city club wanted to build a major sporting complex on A27 8 farmland near Stoneleigh.<p/> A27 9 <p_>It wants to leave its Bi nley Road HQ, where sport has been A27 10 played for 80 years, because upkeep costs are outstripping A27 11 income.<p/> A27 12 <p_>The aim of the m ove would be to increase membership, improve A27 13 facilities and strengthen finances.<p/> A27 14 <p_>But councillors in Warwic k have dashed the club's hopes.<p/> A27 15 <p_>They unanimously threw out the scheme saying it was far too A27 16 large for the proposed site.<p/> A27 17 <p_>The huge complex would have covered 42 acres of land at New Era APPENDIX I 302 A28 42 rather than to allow themselves to be forced into a quick fix and A28 43 suffer later.<p/> A28 44 <p_>Government sources were hi nting yesterd ay that the consultative A28 45 document, containing a series of options, might not be ready even A28 46 after next week's Cabinet meeting.<p/> A28 47 <p_>Downing Street is hopi ng that a meeting of the Cabinet A28 48 committee considering the repla cem ent tax will take place tomorrow A28 49 but this is not certain. Earlier in the week a series of informal A28 50 meetings were all that were expected.<p /> A28 51 <p_>One source said: <quote_ >"The earlies t we think it (the A28 52 consultative doc ument) will come will be next week or the week A28 53 after. It's got to go to Cabine t. It won't be able to go to this A28 54 week's Cabinet. It could even be the week after next."<quote/><p/> A28 55 <p_>The continuing delays suggest at best an attempt to fine-tune A28 56 the package but, at worst, disarray over the way forward.<p/> A28 57 <p_>Labour's local government spokesman, Mr David Blunkett, rounded A28 58 on the Government last night.<p/> A28 59 <p_>He said: <quote_>"It is sheer hypocrisy for the Conservatives A28 60 to delay their detailed alte rnative proposals to the poll tax and A28 61 existing local government st ructure and functions when they A28 62 themselves chided the Labour Party exactly 12 m onths ago for 'not A28 63 having a clear alternative'.<p/> A28 64 <p_>"It is now time for the G overnm ent - with all the resources A28 65 that they possess through the Ci vil Service and comp uter facilities A28 66 - to spell out for the British electorate just what their policies A28 67 mean.<p/> A28 68 <p_>"If they do not, then it is clear that the British electorate A28 69 will be unable to make a ju dgme nt on what exactly the Conservative s A28 70 have to offer in the local elections.<p/> A28 71 <p_>"Their candidates acro ss the country will be offering local A28 72 people nothing. Their own supporte rs will have no clear idea what A28 73 it is that they are expected to vote on an d the conclusion will A28 74 have to be drawn that the confusion, dithering and incompetence A28 75 will continue."<quote/> <p/> A28 76 <p_>But there is a boost for th e beleaguered Mr Major today: 15 A28 77 Parliamentary hopefuls and counc illors backing him are publishing a A28 78 statement of support.<p/> A28 79 A28 80 <h_><p_>Kinnock to woo floa ting voters in crucial conference A28 81 speech<p/> A28 82 <p_>By PHIL MURP HY, Political Correspondent at the Labour Party A28 83 conference in Brighton<p/><h/> A28 84 <p_>THE Labour leader, Mr Neil Kinnock, will today seek to wo o the A28 85 floating voters with a vision of Labour Britain as a land of A28 86 opportunity for all.<p/> A28 87 <p_>In a crucial speech, Mr Kinnock will use his annual keynote A28 88 address to the party conference to contrast his vision of a Labour A28 89 government offering opportunity for the m any with what he claims is APPENDIX I 303 A28 90 a Tory administration offering opportunity only for the few.<p/> A28 91 <p_>Mr Kinnock will also seek to bolster confidence in Labour's A28 92 ability to manage the economy. He will claim that a Labour A28 93 government will be comm itted to sustained growth, freed from the A28 94 boom and bust of the Tory years.<p/> A28 95 <p_>His speech follows the outlin ing by the Shadow Chancello r, Mr A28 96 John Smith, and the Shadow Trade and Industry Secretary, Mr Gordon A28 97 Brown, of party economic polic y at the conference yesterday.<p/> A28 98 <p_>Mr Smith repeated his ple dge to increase retir ement pensions by A28 99 pounds5 for a single pensioner and pounds8 for a m arried couple, A28 100 and also his promise to incr ease child benefit to the level it A28 101 would have been had the Tories not restrained it - pounds9.55 per A28 102 week.<p/> A28 103 <p_>Labour would end what Mr Smith called <quote_>"The scandal of A28 104 poverty pay"<quote/> with a mi nimum wage set first at pounds3.40 A28 105 per hour, and would restore the direct link between pensions and A28 106 earnings and prices - a link severed by the Tories.<p/> A28 107 <p_>The Shadow Chancellor also repeated his plan to pay for A28 108 increased pensions and child benefit through an increase in A28 109 top-rate income tax from 40p to 50p.<p/> A28 110 <p_>Mr Smith stressed again a constant them e of conference - A28 111 Labour's drive to use more of the talents of the British people.<p/> A28 112 <p_>He said: <quote_>"I want to see a nation energised by the A28 113 skills of its workforce and the technology of the workplace. I w ant A28 114 us to build a society where im aginative training programm es and A28 115 decent child care provision enable women who want to work and m ake A28 116 their vital contribution to our econom y and to our A28 117 society."<quote/><p/> A28 118 <p_>The Shadow Trade and Industry Secretary, Mr Brown, heralded A28 119 <quote_>"a new investm ent decade"<quote/> under Labour. Three new A28 120 investment initiatives in m a nufacturing, skills and technology A28 121 would, he claimed, make Britain the training and technology capital A28 122 of the world.<p/> A28 123 <p_>He also announced an emergenc y jobs and training package, to be A28 124 implemented in the <quote_>"fi rst few days"<quote/> of a Labour A28 125 government, investing in manuf acturing, setting up industrial A28 126 development agencies in the regions, and a new defence A28 127 diversification agency.<p/> A28 128 <p_>But he drew the most ferv ent applause for his attacks on the A28 129 Tories.<p/> A28 130 <p_>Mr Brown accused the Prim e Minister of presiding over A28 131 <quote_>"one of the worst collaps es in manufacturing investment A28 132 since the 1930s"<quote/>.<p/> A28 133 <p_>Referring to secret donati ons to the Tory Party by a Greek A28 134 billionaire, he said: <quote_> "Let us recall their theme in 1987 - A28 135 making Britain great again.<p/> A28 136 <p_>"And this from a party th at now disgracefully depends on A28 137 American-style election dirty tricks, on dubious Hong Kong APPENDIX I 304 A28 138 donations and, most shamefully of all, on a Greek billion aire A28 139 moving his money out of colonels and into Majors - an affront to A28 140 democracy and to Britain."<quote/><p/> A28 141 <p_>He said the people who had done best under the Tories w e re the A28 142 5,000 millionaires, who had become m u lti-millionaires.<p/> A28 143 <p_><quote_>"The 5,0000 who have had cumulative tax cuts of pounds5 A28 144 bn - money which should have gone to child benefit and A28 145 pensions."<quote/><p/> A28 146 <p_>It was the <quote_>"Tory version of the feeding of the A28 147 5,000"<quote/>, he said.<p/> A28 148 <p_>Earlier, the Shadow Empl oyment Secretary, Mr Tony Blair, A28 149 fiercely attacked the Government over the length of Britain's dole A28 150 queues, saying: <quote_>"A Govern ment that tolerates three m illion A28 151 unemployed and m ore is a Gove rnment prepared to shatter the A28 152 cohesion on which our so ciety depends."<quote/><p/> A28 153 <p_>He said Labour would legislat e to require all employers to make A28 154 a minimum investment in traini ng, or pay a contribution to a local A28 155 or national training effort.<p/> A28 156 A28 157 <h_><p_>Governor <quote_> "reported IRA Plot"<quote/><p/> A28 158 <p_>Brixton row fuels pressure on Baker<p/> A28 159 <p_>By PHIL MURPHY, Po litical Correspondent<p/><h/> A28 160 <p_>DEMANDS for the Home Secret ary, Mr Kenneth Baker, to resign A28 161 erupted again last night afte r the sacked governor of Brixton A28 162 Prison spoke out over th e IRA jail-break affair.<p/> A28 163 <p_>Mr Reg Withers claim ed he had passed on to his superiors A28 164 reports that two suspected IRA terrorists were planning to break A28 165 out of Brixton, months before their successful es cape in July.<p/> A28 166 <p_>It emerged yesterday that the IRA tried to force a m e mber of A28 167 staff at Brixton Prison to smuggle a gun to the two suspects, A28 168 Nessan Quinlivan and Pearse McAuley.<p/> A28 169 <p_>The attempt backfired when Mr Withers was told of the plan in A28 170 February, and alerted the Ho me Office Prison Department.<p/> A28 171 <p_>As part of the effort to th wart any breach of security the two A28 172 IRA suspects were moved from D-wing to A-wing at Brixton.<p/> A28 173 <p_>But five months later, on July 7, Quinlivan and McAuley pulled A28 174 a loaded gun on officers escorting them from the prison chapel and A28 175 escaped over the prison wall.<p/> A28 176 <p_>Mr Withers later yesterday retracted suggestions that he had A28 177 written directly to the Home Office calling for Quinlivan and A28 178 McAuley to be transferred from Brixton - but the Home Office A28 179 accepted that the former governor had issued a warning to th e A28 180 Prison Department.<p/> A28 181 <p_>A Home Office spokeswom an sa id that the disciplinary inquiry A28 182 now under way would consider whether anyone sho uld face action as a A28 183 result of failure to pass that information on to senior Prison A28 184 Department and Home O ffice staff and Ministers.<p/> A28 185 <p_>The same spokeswoman said th at the Home Secretary would not be APPENDIX I 305 A28 186 resigning.<p/> A28 187 <p_>However, serious questions are being asked about the Prison A28 188 Department's failure to act on th e tip-off, which was also backed A28 189 up by police information.<p/> A28 190 <p_>The police information, which also warned that the escape A28 191 attempt would take place af ter Mass in the prison chapel, was A28 192 apparently not passed to Mr Withers.<p/> A28 193 <p_>Mr Withers, 59, has b een told to take leave until his A28 194 retirement in October, followi ng an inquiry into the incident by A28 195 the Chief Inspector of Prisons, Judge Stephen Tumim.<p/> A28 196 <p_>Mr Baker, who is on holiday in France, rejected a call from the A28 197 Shadow Home Secretary, Mr Roy Hattersley, for a full public inquiry A28 198 into the circumstances of the Brixton escape.<p/> A28 199 <p_>The Labour spokesman also called for publication of as m u ch as A28 200 possible of the Tumim report into the break-out. Only sections of A28 201 the report were released earlier in the week.<p/> A28 202 <p_>Mr Hattersley warned that , without such a public inquiry, Mr A28 203 Baker's position might becom e impossible. Earlier this week the A28 204 Shadow Home Secretary had stoppe d short of calling for Mr Baker' s A28 205 resignation.<p/> A28 206 <p_>Now he believes that, without further clarification of what A28 207 happened, Mr Baker might have to go.<p/> A28 208 <p_>The Liberal Democrats last ni ght repeated their view that the A28 209 Home Secretary should quit.<p/> A28 210 <p_>A spokesman, Mr Mike Carr, said: <quote_>"This whole business A28 211 is getting murkier and murkier. Earlier in the week we called for A28 212 the Home Secretary's resignati on. In the light of Mr W ithers's A28 213 comments we are now certain th at that was the right thing to A28 214 do."<quote/><p/> A28 215 <p_>The controversy stoked up by the decision to force Mr Withers A28 216 to take early retirement had taken a fresh turn when the former A28 217 governor broke his si lence over the affair.<p/> A28 218 <p_>In a report in the London Evening Standard, Mr Withers said: A28 219 <quote_>"I'm being blam ed for thi ngs which were absolutely outside A28 220 of my control. It is not in my power to move prisoners.<p/> A28 221 <p_>"I made a report to my s uperiors indicating that these m en A28 222 should not be in Brixton. I am very distressed that all this has A28 223 been laid at my door."<quote/><p/> A28 224 <p_>Though he later spelled out in a statement that he was not A28 225 claiming to have written to the Hom e Office requesting the A28 226 transfer, the underlying allegati on that he did contact the Prison A28 227 Department remained intact.<p/> A28 228 <p_>However Mr Baker's deputy, the Hom e Offic e Minist er, Mrs Angela A28 229 Rumbold insisted: <quote_>"The gove rnor had prior warning. The Hom e A28 230 Secretary and I did not. If we ha d been told we would have done A28 231 something."<quote/><p/> A28 232 <p_>Responding to Mr Hattersley' s calls for an inquiry and for A28 233 publication of more of the Tumi n report, Mrs Rumbold said in a APPENDIX I 306 A28 234 letter to the Shadow Home Secretary last night: A28 235 A32 1 <#FLOB:A32\><h_><p_>St rength in depth the key<p/> A32 2 <p_><*_>black-square<*/>ATHLETICS<p/><h/> A32 3 <p_>SPRINGHEAD HARRIERS strength in depth shone through as they A32 4 swept to a last-ditc h win over Goole Youth AC.<p/> A32 5 <p_>Honours were even with only the youths and senior men's relays A32 6 to come and Springhead won th em both with som e s pectacular running A32 7 to clinch victory by just four points, 173-169.<p/> A32 8 <p_>Many personal bests were set and there were new club records A32 9 from Adele Foster with 27 seconds in the under 15 girls 200m and A32 10 for close rivals Claire Dunn, 27.1 and Jacquie Burke 27.3.<p/> A32 11 <p_> Richard Woodmansey - the new find of the season in the senior A32 12 men's group, set a new record in th e long jump with a leap of 5.13m A32 13 and in the youths section Paul Cooper turned his back on the track A32 14 and leapt 6.31m in the long jum p which was never bettered on the A32 15 day.<p/> A32 16 <p_>Young Marc Webster shone in the under 11 m i nor boys' shot with A32 17 5.07m and there were two new r ecords in the m en's javelin from A32 18 junior Craig Napper with 40.46 m and from Mark Hewson with 42.54m on A32 19 his senior debut.<p/> A32 20 <p_>Finally, Allison English pulle d out a tremendous leap of 4.31m , A32 21 in the under 13 minor girls' long jum p to set a season's best and A32 22 then followed that up with a winning leg in the 4x100m relay which A32 23 Springhead won in 59.1.<p/> A32 24 <p_><*_>bullet<*/>East Hull Harr ie rs' Peter Harriso n made a winning A32 25 comeback at the weekend.<p/> A32 26 <p_>On Sunday he came first in the 800m in the Humberside Masters A32 27 held at the Costello Stadium and he completed a hat-trick of wins A32 28 by romping home in the 1500 and 800m in the 50-54 age group.<p/> A32 29 <p_>On Saturday he claimed second place<&|>sic! he'd had in the A32 30 East Hull Harriers Summer League.<p/> A32 31 A32 32 <h_><p_>Lambert makes a swift return<p/> A32 33 <p_>By Malcolm Richardson<p/> A32 34 <p_>SEAHAWKS REPORTER<p/><h/> A32 35 <p_>HUMBERSIDE Seahawks player-coach Dale Lambert today A32 36 praised the fracture clinic at Hull Royal Infirmary for 'altering' A32 37 his fiberglass cast which means he can now m ake his come-back in A32 38 tonight's Pennine Cup clash w ith Blackb urn Blackhawks at the Ice A32 39 Arena (5.45).<p/> A32 40 <p_><quote_>"They have been marvellous to m ake such adjustments to A32 41 the cast which means I can now get a glove on"<quote/> enthused A32 42 Lambert, who has a broken thumb and is being forced to m a ke his A32 43 return two weeks earlier than anticipated - and against doctor's A32 44 orders!<p/> A32 45 <p_><quote_>"No-one wants me to play for another couple of weeks A32 46 but I don't see I have any alte rnative"<quote/> says Lamb ert.<p/> APPENDIX I 307 A32 47 <p_><quote_>"With our guest im port Ransome Durcar having this week A32 48 signed for Durham we just have n' t been able to find a replacement - A32 49 and in any case I need to get back into the thick of the A32 50 action."<p/> A32 51 <p_>Disappointed with m uc h of the Seahawks' recent performances he A32 52 has been issuing a battle-cry th is week to shake th em out of their A32 53 summertime blues.<p/> A32 54 <p_><quote_>"The holiday is over, it's time we all got back to A32 55 work"<quote/> he storms.<p/> A32 56 <p_>Tonight the Seahawks hold an 11-4 lead from the first leg of A32 57 the Pennine Cup, a new challenge match between the two clubs, and A32 58 Lambert is using the chan ce to try out his fitness.<p/> A32 59 <p_><quote_>"I've been out for a couple of weeks and I need to get A32 60 used to the pace of the game again,"<quote/> he says.<p/> A32 61 <p_><quote_>"Sunday's match is m uch more important when we play A32 62 Billingham in the Autum n C up<quote/> (5.45 at the Ice Arena).<p/> A32 63 <p_><quote_>"The British Ice Ho ckey Association have given us a A32 64 second chance in this competition and w e have to grab A32 65 it."<quote/><p/> A32 66 <p_>The Seahawks were beaten 9-6 at Telford on Tuesday but the BIHA A32 67 overturned the result and gave th e Seahawks a 5-0 win after Telford A32 68 illegally iced import Dan Sweeney.<p/> A32 69 <p_>It means the Seahawks now surprisingly top the table on goal A32 70 difference from Nottingham , w ho, howe ver, have a match in hand.<p/> A32 71 <p_>All the signs are that th e group ch ampions will be decided on A32 72 the final match - when Nottingham visit Hull on September 29.<p/> A32 73 A32 74 <h_><p_>Hull II hold on for Yorkshire League victory<p/> A32 75 <p_><*_>black-square<*/>TABLE TENNIS<p/><h/> A32 76 <p_>SEVEN of Hull's Yorkshire Ta ble Tennis League sides went into A32 77 action last week, with five ma tches taking place on H u mberside and A32 78 the Mens II and Ladies tr avelling to Scarborough and Leeds A32 79 respectively.<p/> A32 80 <p_>Hull's Division 1 side got away to a winning start despite a A32 81 maximum for Ashley Hodgson for Scarborough. Dave Randerson, Ian A32 82 Parker and Mark Farnill each scored two victories for Hull II who A32 83 ran out 6-4 winners.<p/> A32 84 <p_>Hull III 9, Keighley 1. Dave Burnham and Mark W illiams (3 each) A32 85 and newcomer from York, Chris Haynes (2) scored well in Hull III's A32 86 runaway 9-1 win over Keighley.<p/> A32 87 <p_>Leeds II 6. Hull Ladies 4. Hull Ladies, with Irene and Nicky A32 88 Thompson, the first mother and daughter com bination to represent A32 89 the county both winning twice, went down 6-4 to Leeds II.<p/> A32 90 <p_>Hull Vet 3, York 7. Mick Farnill (2), Dave Bartlett scored wins A32 91 as Hull Vets went down 7-3 to York. Terry Jarvis won twice as Hull A32 92 Vet II lost 8-2 to Bradford. Hull Vet III were 7-3 winners over A32 93 Halifax with seven games going the distance. Alan Hedley (3), Ron A32 94 Wicks and Mick North (2) were in good form for Hull IV as they [Document text truncated for crawler view.]