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Climatology of Lyapunov exponents : the link between atmospheric rivers and large-scale mixing variability

Garaboa Paz, Ángel Daniel; Eiras Barca, Vicente; Pérez Muñuzuri, Vicente

Abstract

Large-scale tropospheric mixing and Lagrangian transport properties have been analyzed for the long-term period 1979–2014 in terms of the finite-time Lyapunov exponents (FTLEs).Wind field reanalyses from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts were used to calculate the Lagrangian trajectories of large ensembles of particles. Larger values of the interannual and intra-annual mixing variabilities highlight the El Niño Southern Oscillation, the storm track, or the Intertropical Convergence Zone among other largescale structures. The mean baroclinic instability growth rate and the mean atmospheric river occurrence show large correlation values with the FTLE climatology as an indication of their influence on tropospheric mixing in the midlatitudes. As a case study, the role that land-falling atmospheric rivers have on large-scale tropospheric mixing and the precipitation rates observed in Saharan Morocco and the British Isles has been analyzed. The atmospheric river contribution to tropospheric mixing is found to decrease from 15% in Saharan Morocco to less than 5% for the UK and Ireland regions, in agreement with their contribution to precipitation that is 40% larger in the former than in the latter region

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Supplement of Earth Syst. Dynam., 8, 865–873, 2017 https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-8-865-2017-supplement © Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License. Supplement of Climatology of Lyapunov exponents: the link between atmospheric rivers and large-scale mixing variability Daniel Garaboa-Paz et al. Correspondence to: Vicente Pérez-Muñuzuri ([email protected]) and Daniel Garaboa-Paz (angeldaniel.g[email protected]) The copyright of individual parts of the supplement might differ from the CC BY 3.0 License. Seasonal effects on the FTLE climatology Figures 1,2 account for the seasonal effect observed in the FTLE climatology for the period 1979 −2014. Note the largest values of the FTLE alternate between southern and northern hemispheres along the whole period. As observed in Figure 1 in the main text, three latitudinal bands are also clearly visible in the Hovmöller diagram. Note that the maximum values are observed for mid-latitudes.5 Figure 1. Seasonal mean for the backward FTLE based on the 35 years timeseries for the seasonal periods; (a) DJF, (b) MAM, (c) JJA, and (d) SON. Note the largest values of the FTLE for the northern/southern hemisphere during the winter season. 1 Figure 2. Hovmöller diagram based on week averages for the 35 years FTLE backward timeseries. Correlation between the FTLE time series and ENSO indices Figure 3 shows the monthly backward and forward FTLE time series and the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) for the 19792014 period. The FTLE series are anticorrelated with the SOI index, with correlation coefficients −0.85 and −0.67, respectively. Figure 3. Monthly time evolution of the backward/forward FTLE anomalies and the SOI Index for the 1979-2014 period. Precipitation rates in Sahara and British Isles due to Atmospheric Rivers5 Figure 4 shows the rainfall rates measured in the Sahara-Morocco (a) and British Isles (b) regions coinciding with a landfall atmospheric river. Precipitation rates are shown as a percentage out of the total retrieved from Sheffield et al. (2005). 2 Figure 4. Ratio of daily precipitation coinciding with an atmospheric river detection out of the total, for the Sahara-Morocco (a) and UKIreland (b) regions. The database of precipitation used in this analysis is the global rain data retrieved from Sheffield et al. (2005). This global high-resolution dataset has been constructed by the combination of observational and reanalysis data from the NCEP-NCAR. References Sheffield, J., G. Goteti, and E.F. Wood (2006). Development of a 50-year high-resolution global dataset of meteorological forcings for land surface modeling. Journal of Climate, 19(13), 3088–3111, doi:10.1175/JCLI3790.1. 3