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Strategic management, scenario analysis and competitive advantage analysis: New opportunities for anti-money laundering system reform

Lyeonov, Serhiy

Abstract

The article identifies and mathematically substantiates vectors of reforming the financial monitoring system based on the synergistic approach in the cross-country context by developing scenarios by selecting internal and external factors that stimulate money laundering. The key external and internal factors of the money laundering process intensification are indicated. Competitive advantages of the anti-money laundering processes, the achievement of which is possible in terms of key external and internal factors for activation of money laundering process are formed. The relationship between the key internal and external factors of money laundering intensification and competitive advantages by building a binary characteristic matrix is formed. The synergy effect made by the mutual influence of simultaneously acting internal and external factors – a quantitative feature of the further strategy of the financial monitoring system reforming in terms of cross-country analysis is calculated. An economic-mathematical model for evaluating and interpreting strategy for improving the financial monitoring system in terms of cross-country context based on integer optimization is developed. In the article, there is calculation of the number of competitive advantages received by each observed country, without considering the possible synergy effect of mutual influence of simultaneously acting internal and external factors on each other. Moreover, there is quantitative assessment of the synergy effect made by the emergence of additional competitive advantages due to a certain combination of simultaneous influence made by external and internal factors of the money laundering intensification. The “ideal” situation of the possibility of gaining all possible competitive advantages in reforming the financial monitoring system in terms of cross-country context by overcoming internal and external factors stimulating the money laundering is studied. The results of the cross-country analysis form a basis for the further formalization of the limits for quantitative evaluation of the developed strategies through a uniform distribution.

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140 2023, olume 26, issue 2, pp. 140–157, DOI: 10.15240/ ul/001/2023-2-009 Finance S a egic managemen , scena io analysis and compe i i e ad an age analysis: New oppo uni ies o an i-money launde ing sys em e o m Se hiy Lyeono 1, Yu ii Bilan2, Olha Kuzmenko3, Olena K ukhmal4, László Vasa5 1 Sumy S a e Uni e si y, Educa ion and Resea ch Ins i u e o Business, Economics and Managemen , Economic Cybe ne ics Depa men , Uk aine, ORCID: 0000-0001-5639-3008, [email p o ec ed]; 2 Alexande Dubcek Uni e si y o T encin, Facul y o Social and Economic Rela ions, Slo akia, ORCID: 0000-0003- 0268-009X, y[email p o ec ed]; 3 Sumy S a e Uni e si y, Educa ion and Resea ch Ins i u e o Business, Economics and Managemen , Economic Cybe ne ics Depa men , Uk aine, ORCID: 0000-0001-8520-2266, [email p o ec ed]; 4 Sumy S a e Uni e si y, Educa ion and Resea ch Ins i u e o Business, Economics and Managemen , Depa men o Fi - nancial Technologies and En ep eneu ship, Uk aine, ORCID: 0000-0001-9118-1713, [email p o ec ed]; 5 Széchenyi Is án Uni e si y, Facul y o Economics, Hunga y, ORCID: 0000-0002-3805-0244, [email p o ec ed] (co esponding au ho ). Abs ac : The a icle iden i ies and ma hema ically subs an ia es ec o s o e o ming he inancial moni o ing sys em based on he syne gis ic app oach in he c oss-coun y con ex by de eloping scena ios by selec ing in e nal and ex e nal ac o s ha s imula e money launde ing. The key ex e nal and in e nal ac o s o he money launde ing p ocess in ensi ica ion a e indica ed. Compe i i e ad an ages o he an i-money launde ing p ocesses, he achie emen o which is possible in e ms o key ex e nal and in e nal ac o s o ac i a ion o money launde ing p ocess a e o med. The ela ionship be ween he key in e nal and ex e nal ac o s o money launde ing in ensi ica ion and compe i i e ad an ages by building a bina y cha ac e is ic ma ix is o med. The syne gy e ec made by he mu ual in luence o simul aneously ac ing in e nal and ex e nal ac o s – a quan i a i e ea u e o he u he s a egy o he inancial moni o ing sys em e o ming in e ms o c oss-coun y analysis is calcula ed. An economic-ma hema ical model o e alua ing and in e p e ing s a egy o imp o ing he inancial moni o ing sys em in e ms o c oss-coun y con ex based on in ege op imiza ion is de eloped. In he a icle, he e is calcula ion o he numbe o compe i i e ad an ages ecei ed by each obse ed coun y, wi hou conside ing he possible syne gy e ec o mu ual in luence o simul aneously ac ing in e nal and ex e nal ac o s on each o he . Mo eo e , he e is quan i a i e assessmen o he syne gy e ec made by he eme gence o addi ional compe i i e ad an ages due o a ce ain combina ion o simul aneous in luence made by ex e nal and in e nal ac o s o he money launde ing in ensi ica ion. The “ideal” si ua ion o he possibili y o gaining all possible compe i i e ad an ages in e o ming he inancial moni o ing sys em in e ms o c oss-coun y con ex by o e coming in e nal and ex e nal ac o s s imula ing he money launde ing is s udied. The esul s o he c oss-coun y analysis o m a basis o he u he o maliza ion o he limi s o quan i a i e e alua ion o he de eloped s a egies h ough a uni o m dis ibu ion. Keywo ds: Economic g ow h, sus ainable g ow h, economic de elopmen , e o ming scena ios, compe i i e ad an ages, in e nal ac o s, ex e nal ac o s, inancial moni o ing, syne gy e ec . JEL Classi ica ion: G28, С10, С44, С49. E+M_2_2023_kniha.indb 140 24.5.2023 12:58:57 141 2023, olume 26, issue 2, pp. 140–157, DOI: 10.15240/ ul/001/2023-2-009 Finance APA S yle Ci a ion: Lyeono , S., Bilan, Y., Kuzmenko, O., K ukhmal, O., & Vasa, L. (2023). S a egic managemen , scena io analysis and compe i i e ad an age analysis: New oppo uni ies o an i-money launde ing sys em e o m. E&M Economics and Managemen , 26(2), 140–157. h ps://doi.o g/10.15240/ ul/001/2023-2-009 In oduc ion The de elopmen o economic ela ions, he eme gence o new inancial ins umen s, scien- i ic and echnological p og ess a e among hose ac o s ha inc ease he isk o a ac ing cash lows o he shadow economy, c ea e con- di ions o hei launde ing, and in some cases, ind oppo uni ies o co up ion and o ganized c ime. A he same ime, he de elopmen o he inancial moni o ing sys em c ea es com- pe i i e ad an ages o de eloping he na ional economy and i s sus ainable g ow h. 1. Theo e ical backg ound Gi en he scien i ic li e a u e, one should no e ha he gene al heo e ical and p ac ical is- sues o an i-money launde ing and he impac o he inancial moni o ing sys em a e s udied in he wo ks o many scien is s. Resea ches in his a ea ha e di e en di ec ions and e eal a ious aspec s o he opic. Le chenko e al. (2019) in es iga e he isk o money launde ing in de eloping and ansi- ion economies and he impac o he inancial moni o ing sys em on economic de elopmen . Le chenko e al. (2018) summa ize he a gu- men s and coun e a gumen s in he scien i ic discussion on he main ools o he na ional eco- nomy de-shadowing, as well as o e heo e ical and me hodological p inciples o c ea e he de- shadowing s a egy o he na ional economy. Lyulyo e al. (2021) iden i y d i e s o he shadow economy in coun ies and subs an ia e he empi ical ela ionship wi h he le el o in es - men , economic g ow h, social and physi cal heal h o he popula ion. Acco ding o Gine icius e al. (2020a), Gine icius e al. (2020b), Shpak e al. (2021) and Simo ic (2021), he highe he le el o na ional economic de elopmen , he lowe he size o he shadow economy. The long- un analysis e ealed ha shadow economies nega i ely a ec ed o eign di ec in es men in lows (Baya e al., 2020; Bilan e al., 2020; Boyko e al., 2014). I ano a and Ko dos (2017) analyse he com- pe i i e ad an ages caused by he educ ion o he shadow economy and he s eng hening o he an i-money launde ing policy. Tiu inyk and Mazu enko (2021) also s udy he coun y’s compe i i e ad an ages and de e mine he le - el o inancial moni o ing as an impo an ac o in de ining he a ou able business en i on- men , he le el o p o ec ion o ci izens’ igh s, ma e ial well-being o he popula ion. The ela ionship be ween ac o s o mac- oeconomic s abili y and s a e egula ion e ec- i eness was s udied by Roszko-Wój owicz and G zelak (2020). Bouche a a e al. (2020) anal- yse he ole and ools o mac op uden ial policy. An impo an a ea o esea ch is he s udy o he e ec i eness o he di e en ac o s p o id- ing mac oeconomic s abili y (Kobushko e al., 2021; Kohno a e al., 2019; Kosch & Sza ucki, 2020; Oliinyk e al., 2019; Pe oye e al., 2020; Thai e al., 2021; Tkachenko e al., 2019; S adomska e al., 2019). An impo an a ea o esea ch is o assess he ole o he inancial moni o ing sys em o economic g ow h and s eng hen o he com- pe i i e ad an ages o he coun y (Ba yk e al., 2020; B ychko e al., 2021; Glo a e al., 2020; K y ych & Goncha enko, 2020; Pakhnenko e al., 2021). Be na delli e al. (2021) analyse he empo al s abili y o he ela ionship be- ween ins i u ions and economic g ow h and eal economic con e gence. Muj aba e al. (2018) analyse he ela ionship be ween wo impo an indices o business ac i i y, namely: he deg ee o en ep eneu ial ac i i y egula ion by he cen- al sys em and he co up ion in he coun y. Legenzo a e al. (2019) use ne wo k analysis o assess he links o he global banking sys em. Coun y-speci ic ac o s o mac oeconomic s a- bili y we e s udied by Telizhenko e al. (2019), Saeed and Shanan (2020), Piplica (2021), Plas un e al. (2018), Mie zejewska and Dziu - ski (2019), and Uddin e al. (2021). One should no e ha The Financial Ac ion Task Fo ce (FATF) (2021) ca ies ou he e alu- a ion o he an i-money launde ing sys em in he coun y. The FATF me hodology does no e lec he ocus on he an i-money launde ing esul s. Pol (2018) examines he FATF ap- p oach and no es he misuse o ou come E+M_2_2023_kniha.indb 141 24.5.2023 12:58:57 142 2023, olume 26, issue 2, pp. 140–157, DOI: 10.15240/ ul/001/2023-2-009 Finance labels o ou pu s, as well as he me hodo- logy o assessing he an i-money launde ing egime’s e ec i eness. On he o he hand, he posi i e impac o an e ec i e an i-money launde ing sys em con- ibu es o o e coming he shadow economy and is mani es ed in he imp o emen o he coun y’s mac oeconomics (Al-Tkhayneh e al., 2019; Juznik, 2021; Kuzne so a e al., 2018; Sysoye a & Kleinschmid , 2017; Vasily- e a e al., 2016). Compe i i e ad an ages a e o e coming co up ion, imp o ing he in es men clima e, inc easing economic ac i i y, en su ing and imp o ing he legal en i onmen , en su ing sus ainable social de elopmen , inc easing he s abili y o he inancial sec o and o he s (Bo- onos e al., 2020; Chig in & Pimonenko, 2014; Chukwu & Kasz elnik, 2021; Vasilye a e al., 2020; Yelniko a & Ba haq, 2020). S udying app oaches o assessing he e ec i eness o he an i-money launde ing sys em a e ep esen by many schola s a ound he wo ld (And ade & Lou ei o, 2020; Ja ošo á & Noskie ičo á, 2019; Kozmenko e al., 2013; Mus a a e al., 2019; Pe ushenko e al., 2018; Ya o enko e al., 2021). The scien is s’ wo ldwide expe ience o s udying he e ec i eness o complica ed sys ems was s udied o build a model ha akes in o accoun he in luence o a ious ac o s (Kasych & Vochozka, 2017; Kobushko e al., 2020; Koibichuk e al., 2021; Schwab & Zahidi, 2021; Shipko e al., 2020; Sk ynnyk & Vasilye a, 2020a; Sk ynnyk & Vasilye a, 2020b; No iko , 2021; Synia ska e al., 2019). Al hough many schola s a ound he wo ld a e s udying app oaches o assessing he e - ec i eness o he an i-money launde ing sys- em, an i- e o is inancing and he p oli e a ion o mass des uc ion weapons, his ques ion emains open in e ms o he impac made by he sys em e ec i eness on he coun y’s economic and social de elopmen , he pos- sibili y o ob aining posi i e consequences o he economy and socie y. We belie e ha he s udy o ec o s o he inancial moni o ing sys em e o m in e ms o c oss-coun y con ex needs special a en ion. Assessmen o he im- pac made by he sys em’s e ec i eness on he coun y’s economic and social de elopmen allows o de e mining he deg ee o pe ec ion o he sys em and he need o i s e o m, which has p ac ical implica ions o p ac i ione s. Thus, he hypo hesis is ha he e is a ela- ionship be ween key in e nal, ex e nal ac o s o he in ensi ica ion o an i-money launde ing based on FATF assessmen and compe i- i e ad an ages and, in consequence o his, economic and ma hema ical models ega ding he in e p e a ion o s a egies o e o ming he inancial moni o ing sys em in e ms o c oss-coun y con ex may be de eloped. This a icle aims o iden i y and ma h- ema ically subs an ia e ec o s o e o ming he inancial moni o ing sys em based on he syne gis ic app oach in he c oss-coun y con ex by de eloping scena ios by selec ing in e nal and ex e nal ac o s ha s imula e money launde ing. 2. Resea ch me hodology Modelling o he compe i i e s a egies In ege modelling o compe i i e s a egies as a me hodological g ound o o ming a basis o e o ming he inancial moni o ing sys em in e ms o c oss-coun y analysis using a syn- e gy app oach by o e coming in e nal and ex e nal ac o s o money launde ing in ol es he ollowing s ages: 1 S age. Iden i ica ion o he key ex e nal and in e nal ac o s o he money launde ing p o- cess in ensi ica ion. The indica o s o echnical compliance o he inancial moni o ing sys em in he coun y wi h he FATF ecommenda ions a e aken. Acco ding o he FATF me hodology, ac o s a e uni ed in o:  G oup AML/CFT Policies and coo dina ion: R1 – Assessing isks and applying a isk- based app oach; R2 – Na ional coope a ion and coo dina ion;  G oup Money launde ing and con isca ion: R3 – Money launde ing o ence; R4 – Con- isca ion and p o isional measu es;  G oup Te o is inancing and inancing o p oli e a ion: R5 – Te o is inancing o - ence; R6 – Ta ge ed inancial sanc ions ela ed o e o ism & e o is inancing; R7 – Ta ge ed inancial sanc ions ela ed o p oli e a ion; R8 – Non-p o i o ganisa ions;  G oup P e en i e measu es: R9 – Financial ins i u ion sec ecy laws; R10 – Cus ome due diligence; R11 – Reco d keep- ing; R12 – Poli ically exposed pe sons; R13 – Co esponden banking; R14 – Mon- ey o alue ans e se ices; R15 – New echnologies; R16 – Wi e ans e s; R17 – Reliance on hi d pa ies; R18 – In- e nal con ols and o eign b anches and subsidia ies; R19 – Highe - isk coun ies; E+M_2_2023_kniha.indb 142 24.5.2023 12:58:57 143 2023, olume 26, issue 2, pp. 140–157, DOI: 10.15240/ ul/001/2023-2-009 Finance R20 – Repo ing o suspicious ansac- ions; R21 – Tipping-o and con iden iali y; R22 – DNFBPs: Cus ome due diligence; R23 – DNFBPs: O he measu es;  G oup T anspa ency and bene icial owne - ship o legal pe sons and a angemen s: R24 – T anspa ency and bene icial owne ship o legal pe sons; R25 – T anspa ency and bene icial owne ship o legal a angemen s;  G oup Powe s and esponsibili ies o com- pe en au ho i ies and o he ins i u ional measu es: R26 – Regula ion and supe i- sion o inancial ins i u ions; R27 – Pow- e s o supe iso s; R28 – Regula ion and supe ision o DNFBPs; R29 – Financial in elligence uni s; R30 – Responsibili ies o law en o cemen and in es iga i e au ho i- ies; R31 – Powe s o law en o cemen and in es iga i e au ho i ies; R32 – Cash cou i- e s; R33 – S a is ics; R34 – Guidance and eedback; R35 – Sanc ions;  G oup In e na ional coope a ion: R36 – In- e na ional ins umen s; R37 – Mu ual legal assis ance; R38 – Mu ual legal assis ance: eezing and con isca ion; R39 – Ex adi- ion; R40 – O he o ms o in e na ional co- ope a ion. 2 S age. Fo ma ion o compe i i e ad an- ages o he an i-money launde ing p o- cesses, he achie emen o which is possible in e ms o key ex e nal and in e nal ac o s o ac i a ion o money launde ing p ocess: KP1 – O e coming co up ion, KP2 – Imp o ing in es men clima e, KP3 – Inc easing economic ac i i y – ensu ing and imp o ing he legal en- i onmen , KP5 – Ensu ing sus ainable social de elopmen , KP6 – Inc easing he s abili y o he inancial sec o , he sou ces o in o ma ion in e ms o which a e espec i ely: Co up ion Pe cep ions Index (T anspa ency In e na ional, 2021), A Global Fo eign Di ec In es men Coun y A ac i eness Index (Riadh, 2020), Ease o Doing Business Index (Wo ld Bank, 2021), Wo ld Jus ice P ojec Rule o Law Index (Wo ld Jus ice P ojec , 2021), Economic Well- being Index (Kowalski & Vei , 2020). 3 S age. I is p oposed o o m a sample o 42 coun ies based on coun ies ha a e as- sessed by all he abo e c i e ia. The lis o coun ies includes: I aly, Denma k, Uni ed Kingdom, Spain, Sweden, Belgium, China, Canada, he USA, Singapo e, Ko ea, Uni ed A ab Emi a es, Uk aine, New Zeland, Aus alia, Bo swana, Bu kina-Faso, Cambodia, he Czech Republic, Dominican Republic, E hiopia, Fin- land, G eece, Hondu as, Hunga y, Jo dan, Mad- agasca , Mali, Mau i ania, Mau i ius, Mexico, Mo occo, Nica agua, No way, Pakis an, Pe u, Philippines,Russian Fede a ion, Tunisia, Tu - key, Uganda, and U uguay. 4 S age. Fo malizing he ela ionship be ween key in e nal and ex e nal ac o s o money launde ing p ocess ac i a ion and compe i i- e ad an ages by building a ma ix o bina y cha ac e is ics (Tab. 1). A epo on p og ess in add essing he echnical compliance de iciencies iden i ied in he FATF assessmen o hei measu es o comba money launde ing and e o is inanc- ing was analysed, and weaknesses ha do no allow o achie e ce ain compe i i e ad an- ages we e iden i ied o build a ma ix o bina y cha ac e is ics o each coun y. Elemen s in he ma ix o bina y cha ac e - is ics o in e nal and ex e nal ac o s o ac i a e he money launde ing p ocess, p o iding com- pe i i e ad an ages, p esen ed in Tab. 1, a e o malized in he o m o he ollowing o mula: aij = [ 1, i i- ac o p o ides j-compe i i e ad an age 0, i i- ac o does no p o ide j-compe i i e ad an age (1) whe e: aij – bina y indica o , which co esponds o he in e sec ion o he i- ac o (in e nal o ex e - nal) ega ding ac i a ion o he money launde ing p ocess and he j-compe i i e ad an age. (2) whe e: Sgj – he sum o bina y indica o s in e ms o in e nal and ex e nal ac o s o ac i a e he mon- ey launde ing p ocess in e ms o g-g oup; Ng – he numbe o ex e nal o in e nal ac o s in ensi y- ing he money launde ing p ocess in e ms o g-g oup; Ngs – o dinal numbe o he indica o in o al, which begins he sequen ial calcula ion o he g-g oup indica o s. E+M_2_2023_kniha.indb 143 24.5.2023 12:58:58 144 2023, olume 26, issue 2, pp. 140–157, DOI: 10.15240/ ul/001/2023-2-009 Finance 5 S age. De elopmen o economic and ma he- ma ical models ega ding comple e e alua ion and in e p e a ion o s a egies o e o ming he inancial moni o ing sys em in e ms o c oss-coun y con ex based on in ege op imi- za ion. The syne gy e ec o mu ual in luence made by simul aneously ac ing in e nal and ex e nal ac o s is calcula ed o implemen his s age. These a e quan i a i e ea u es o u - he s a egy o e o m he inancial moni o ing sys em in e ms o c oss-coun y analysis, and s a egy o maliza ion: apid, mode a ely as , slow and neu al adap abili y o ex e nal ac o s. Quan i ying he s a egy o e o m he inan- cial moni o ing sys em in e ms o c oss-coun y analysis, he e is a need o some in e media e calcula ions – s eps o summa ize he bina y indica o s p esen ed in Tab. 1. S ep 5.1: Calcula ion o he numbe o com- pe i i e ad an ages ecei ed by each obse ed Fac o s in ensi ying he money launde ing p ocess Compe i i e ad an ages KP1 KP2 KP3 KP4 KP5 KP6 AML/CFT Policies and coo dina ion R1 a11 a12 a13 a14 a15 a16 R2 a21 a22 a23 a24 a25 a26 To al Sg11 Sg12 Sg13 Sg14 Sg15 Sg16 Money launde ing and con isca ion R3 a31 a32 a33 a34 a35 a36 R4 a41 a42 a43 a44 a45 a46 To al Sg21 Sg22 Sg23 Sg24 Sg25 Sg26 Te o is inancing and inancing o p oli e a ion R5 a51 a52 a53 a54 a55 a56 ………………… R8 a81 a82 a83 a84 a85 a86 To al Sg31 Sg32 Sg33 Sg34 Sg35 Sg36 P e en i e measu es R9 a91 a92 a93 a94 a95 a96 ………………… R23 a231 a232 a233 a234 a235 a236 To al Sg41 Sg42 Sg43 Sg44 Sg45 Sg46 T anspa ency and bene icial owne ship o legal pe sons and a angemen s R24 a241 a242 a243 a244 a245 a246 R25 a251 a252 a253 a254 a255 a256 To al Sg51 Sg52 Sg53 Sg54 Sg55 Sg56 Powe s and esponsibili ies o compe en au ho i ies and o he ins i u ional measu es R26 a261 a262 a263 a264 a265 a266 ………………… R35 a351 a352 a353 a354 a355 a356 To al Sg61 Sg62 Sg63 Sg64 Sg65 Sg66 In e na ional coope a ion R36 a361 a362 a363 a364 a365 a366 ………………… R40 a401 a402 a403 a404 a405 a406 To al Sg71 Sg72 Sg73 Sg74 Sg75 Sg76 To al S1S2S3S4S5S6 Sou ce: own Tab. 1: Ma ix o bina y cha ac e is ics o in e nal and ex e nal ac o s o money launde ing p ocess ac i a ion, p o iding compe i i e ad an ages E+M_2_2023_kniha.indb 144 24.5.2023 12:58:59 145 2023, olume 26, issue 2, pp. 140–157, DOI: 10.15240/ ul/001/2023-2-009 Finance coun y, wi hou conside ing he possible syne - gy e ec o mu ual in luence o simul aneously ac ing in e nal and ex e nal ac o s on each o he as a se : S ep 5.2: Quan i a i e assessmen o he syn- e gy e ec made by he eme gence o addi- ional compe i i e ad an ages due o a ce ain combina ion o simul aneous in luence made by ex e nal and in e nal ac o s o he money laun- de ing in ensi ica ion. A syne gy e ec occu s i he sum o bina y indica o s wi hin each com- pe i i e ad an age wi hou conside - ing he syne gy e ec is a leas le el 2; and we calcula e he addi ional e ec when exceeding le el 1. We use a ma hema ical a io ha con ains a combina ion o in ege and a max- imum o wo unc ions o eco d a quan i a i e assessmen o he syne gy e ec o addi ional compe i i e ad an ages due o a combina ion o simul aneous in luence o bo h ex e nal and in e nal ac o s o money launde ing ac i a ion: (4) S ep 5.3: Quan i a i e assessmen o he syn- e gy e ec ega ding he eme gence o ad- di ional compe i i e ad an ages by exceeding he sum o bina y indica o s wi hin each com- pe i i e ad an age o h esholds 10, 20 and 30: S ep 5.4: The las s ep o o m he ela ion- ship be ween key in e nal and ex e nal ac o s o in ensi ica ion o money launde ing and compe i i e ad an ages by building he ma ix o bina y cha ac e is ics as an in eg a ed ab- solu e quan i a i e assessmen o scena ios o e o ming he inancial moni o ing sys em in e ms o c oss-coun y analysis (SR) p o- ides o an addi i e con olu ion o he abo e componen s [Fo mulas (1–5)] by o ming he ollowing ma hema ics: 6 S age. A s udy o he “ideal” si ua ion o he possibili y o gain all possible compe i i e ad an ages wi hin he inancial moni o ing sys- em e o ming in e ms o c oss-coun y con ex by o e coming in e nal and ex e nal ac o s s imula ing he money launde ing p ocess. This s age is implemen ed by o ming he maximum possible si ua ion, cha ac e ized by he uni (3) whe e: Zj – bina y indica o , acqui ing a single alue, i i is possible o ob ain he j-compe i i e ad an age by o e coming he ex e nal o in e nal ac o o money launde ing in ensi ica ion, and ze o le el o he wise. (5) (6) E+M_2_2023_kniha.indb 145 24.5.2023 12:59:00 146 2023, olume 26, issue 2, pp. 140–157, DOI: 10.15240/ ul/001/2023-2-009 Finance le els o bina y alues in e ms o compliance o all conside ed in e nal and ex e nal ac o s o all po en ial compe i i e ad an ages (Tab. 2). Thus, gi en he “ideal” si ua ion, he ele- men s o Fo mula (6) acqui e he ollowing alues: – he las line o Tab. 2; will ha e indi idual alues; ake ze o alues in e ms o all six compe i i e ad an ages; – quan i ica ion o he syne gy e ec o addi ional compe i i e ad an ages due o exceeding he h es- hold le el 2 o each g oup o in e nal Fac o s in ensi ying he money launde ing p ocess Compe i i e ad an ages KP1 KP2 KP3 KP4 KP5 KP6 AML/CFT Policies and coo dina ion R1 111101 R2 111111 To al 222212 Money launde ing and con isca ion R3 100110 R4 110110 To al 210220 Te o is inancing and inancing o p oli e a ion R5 100110 … ……………… R8 111010 To al 411340 P e en i e measu es R9 011111 … ……………… R23 111111 To al 9 12 10 9 14 14 T anspa ency and bene icial owne ship o legal pe sons and a angemen s R24 101111 R25 101111 To al 202222 Powe s and esponsibili ies o compe en au ho i ies and o he ins i u ional measu es R26 000111 … ……………… R35 100101 To al 722987 In e na ional coope a ion R36 111111 … ……………… R40 100110 To al 511551 To al 31 19 18 32 36 26 Sou ce: own Tab. 2: De e mining he “ideal” si ua ion o he possibili y o gain all po en ial compe i i ead an ageswi hin he inancialmoni o ingsys em e o ming in e ms o c oss-coun y con ex by o e coming in e nal and ex e nal ac o s s imula ing he money launde ing p ocess E+M_2_2023_kniha.indb 146 24.5.2023 12:59:01 147 2023, olume 26, issue 2, pp. 140–157, DOI: 10.15240/ ul/001/2023-2-009 Finance and ex e nal ac o s sepa a ely and a e: 5 ( o KP1), 1 ( o KP2), 2 ( o KP3 and KP6), 4 ( o KP4 and KP5); quan i a i e assessmen o he syne gy e ec o he addi ional compe i- i e ad an ages by exceeding he sum o bina y indica o s wi hin each compe i i e ad an age o h esholds a he le els 10, 20 and 30: akes a uni alue only o KP4 and KP5, and akes a uni alue only o h ee compe i i e ad an ages KP1, KP4, KP5. Thus, conside ing hese quan i a i e alues in Fo mula (6) in he case o an “ideal” si ua ion, he in eg a ed absolu e quan i a i e assessmen o scena ios o e o m he inancial moni o ing sys em in e ms o c oss-coun y analysis (SR) akes he alue o 197 uni s. 7 S age. Calcula ion o in eg a ed ela i e quan i a i e assessmen (VSR) o scena ios o e o m he inancial moni o ing sys em in e ms o c oss-coun y analysis by o malizing he e- la ionship o key in e nal and ex e nal ac o s o he in ensi ica ion o he money launde - ing p ocess and compe i i e ad an ages. I is necessa y o weigh he absolu e es ima e [Fo mula (6)] on he alue SR o he “ideal” si ua ion, i.e., 197 uni s: (7) 8 S age. Quali a i e in e p e a ion o he ela- i e quan i a i e assessmen o s a egies o e o m he inancial moni o ing sys em: apid, mode a ely as , slow and neu al adap abili y o ex e nal ac o s. The “ideal” si ua ion o gaining all possible compe i i e ad an ages wi hin e o ming he i- nancial moni o ing sys em in e ms o c oss- coun y con ex by o e coming in e nal and ex e nal ac o s s imula ing he money launde - ing p ocess is s udied. The implemen a ion o his s age in ol es he o maliza ion o he max- imum possible si ua ion, cha ac e ized by he uni le els o bina y alues in e ms o com- pliance o all conside ed in e nal and ex e nal ac o s o all po en ial compe i i e ad an ages. The s a egy o apid adap abili y demon- s a es he coun y’s acquisi ion o ce ain com- pe i i e ad an ages while achie ing compliance o in e nal and ex e nal ac o s o in ensi ying he money launde ing p ocess wi h speci ic FATF ecommenda ions. The s a egy o neu- al adap abili y indica es he inconsis ency o he echnical ea u es in he moni o ing sys em wi h he FATF ecommenda ions and demon- s a es he lack o compe i i e ad an age. S a - egies o mode a ely as and slow adap abili y a e in e media e. We use a uni o m dis ibu ion o he possible ange o alues om ze o o one o de e mine he lowe and uppe limi s o s a - egies o e o ming he inancial moni o ing sys- em in e ms o c oss-coun y con ex (Tab. 3). Implemen ing he in ege modelling o com- pe i i e s a egies as a me hodological g ound o o m a basis o e o ming he inancial moni- o ing sys em in e ms o c oss-coun y analysis using syne gy app oach by o e coming in e nal and ex e nal ac o s o money launde ing, we conside he ma ix o inpu bina y alues on he example o I aly (Tab. 4). S a egy Lowe limi o possible alues Uppe limi o possible alues Neu al adap abili y o ex e nal ac o s 0.00 0.25 Slow adap abili y o ex e nal ac o s 0.25 0.50 Mode a ely apid adap abili y o ex e nal ac o s 0.50 0.75 Rapid adap abili y o ex e nal ac o s 0.75 1.00 Sou ce: own Tab. 3: Quali a i e in e p e a ion o he ela i e quan i a i e assessmen o s a egies o  e o ming he inancialmoni o ingsys emin e mso c oss-coun y con ex E+M_2_2023_kniha.indb 147 24.5.2023 12:59:02 148 2023, olume 26, issue 2, pp. 140–157, DOI: 10.15240/ ul/001/2023-2-009 Finance Fac o s in ensi ying he money launde ing p ocess Compe i i e ad an ages KP1 KP2 KP3 KP4 KP5 KP6 R1 111101 R2 111000 R3 100110 R4 110110 R5 100100 R6 100110 R7 000010 R8 001010 R9 011111 R10 100111 R11 111011 R12 010010 R13 011000 R14 011010 R15 011011 R16 011011 R17 011111 R18 100001 R19 011000 R20 100111 R21 111010 R22 110111 R23 111110 R24 101111 R25 101111 R26 000111 R27 000111 R28 000111 R29 100111 R30 100110 R31 100110 R32 100111 R33 111001 R34 111110 R35 100101 Tab. 4: Ma ix o bina y cha ac e is ics o in e nal and ex e nal ac o s o ac i a ing he money launde ing p ocess, p o iding compe i i e ad an ages o I aly – Pa 1 E+M_2_2023_kniha.indb 148 24.5.2023 12:59:02 155 2023, olume 26, issue 2, pp. 140–157, DOI: 10.15240/ ul/001/2023-2-009 Finance Kosch, O., & Sza ucki, M. 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